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OpinionTrump's primary challenge mirage

18:16  29 august  2019
18:16  29 august  2019 Source:   washingtonexaminer.com

A Former Congressman and Tea Party Republican Considers a Challenge to Trump

A Former Congressman and Tea Party Republican Considers a Challenge to Trump Joe Walsh, a conservative radio show host and former Republican congressman from Illinois, is expected to announce he is running for president as early as this weekend, presenting President Trump with a challenger from the right his critics hope will weaken the president in the 2020 election. Mr. Walsh stands virtually no chance of wresting the Republican presidential nomination from Mr. Trump, whose approval rating with Republican voters is consistently in the high 80s, and whose political aides have been aggressively moving to tighten their control over state parties to thwart primary challenges.

Trump denies floating idea of attacking hurricanes with nuclear bombs. ABC News. Chinese vice premier says China is willing to resolve trade dispute with US through 'calm negotiations'. Republican Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge to President Trump . MSNBC 14:26 3 hrs ago.

Others who are mulling Republican primary challenges against Trump include Mark Sanford, a former South Carolina governor and congressman, and former Ohio Gov. John Kasich. Jeff Flake, a former senator from Arizona and a Trump antagonist, also has said he has taken a flurry of recruitment calls

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

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In politics, everybody loves a winner. Despite winning fewer than half of all votes cast in the Republican primaries in 2016, through his subsequent nomination and victory in the presidential election Donald Trump has largely consolidated the support of Republican voters, with a job approval among Republicans that has remained around 90% in Gallup polling.

But that has not stopped the steady stream of speculation that perhaps Trump could be vulnerable to a primary challenge from a group including former right-wing radio host Joe Walsh, former congressman and Gov. Mark Sanford, and former Gov. Bill Weld. They argue that Trump’s unorthodox personality and policy views make him a poor fit for the Republican Party even today and think Republican voters are open to turning that page.

Joe Walsh becomes second Republican to challenge Trump for White House

Joe Walsh becomes second Republican to challenge Trump for White House Joe Walsh, a conservative former U.S. congressman turned talk show host, on Sunday became the second Republican to challenge President Donald Trump for the party's 2020 White House nomination. © Peter Hoffman for The New York Times Joe Walsh, a Tea Party conservative who served one term in the House, went from staunch Trump supporter to acerbic critic. Walsh, 57, announced his long-shot bid to unseat Trump, who has strong support among Republicans, after sharply criticizing the Republican president as a liar and a bully who is unfit for office. "I'm running because he's unfit," Walsh told ABC's "This Week" program.

The president is facing a new 2020 challenge from within his own party while Senator Elizabeth Warren is gaining major traction on the campaign trail. Republican Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge to President Trump .

Trump shares his justification for holding next G-7 at his own country club. Republican Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge to President Trump .

What to make of these primary challengers? While there is polling suggesting some Republican voters may like the idea of having a few options to choose from, there’s little evidence to suggest Trump is actually vulnerable, even if a more prominent Republican were to jump into the race.

Let’s put Trump’s standing with Republicans in context. His overall job approval sits in the low 40s on average and has remained extraordinarily stable for months. This puts his job approval about on-par with Barack Obama’s at this point in late summer 2011.

But underneath the hood, the numbers aren’t quite the same. Obama’s job approval among Democrats at this stage was only 75%, according to Gallup. That same week in late August 2011, he averaged 35% with independents and 11% with Republicans. Trump today has almost the same job approval with independents, but among Democrats, his approval clocks in at a mere 4%. Making up the difference? That much higher approval among Republicans.

EXCLUSIVE: Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge against Trump

EXCLUSIVE: Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge against Trump Conservative firebrand former Illinois Congressman Joe Walsh announced Sunday in an exclusive interview with ABC News Chief Anchor George Stephanopoulos.

The president is facing a new 2020 challenge from within his own party while Senator Elizabeth Warren is gaining major traction on the campaign trail. Republican Joe Walsh announces GOP primary challenge to President Trump .

The announcement, made while President Donald Trump is in France meeting with world leaders at the G7 summit, comes days after Walsh declared on CNN that he was “strongly, strongly considering” mounting a presidential challenge against Trump in the Republican primary . Walsh said he plans to

Obama and Trump had the same job approval at this stage in the game, including among independents. Barack Obama actually had weaker job approval among his own partisans than Trump does now. Yet, at no point during the lead-up to the 2012 election was attention really paid to the prospect of Obama being primaried.

Nonetheless, there have been a number of polls trying to unpack whether or not Trump is vulnerable to a primary challenge by asking Republicans if they’d like to see a challenge emerge. Pew Research Center notably took a look at this question a few months ago and found that while a majority of Republicans said they did not want someone to challenge Trump, over 4 in 10 said they would like to see a challenge.

But wanting options is not the same as pledging to actually choose a different option. It's common in polls of all sorts for people to say they’d like more options to choose from. You may support your local deli adding some new sandwiches to the menu, but that doesn’t mean you actually intend to order something besides your usual.

Joe Walsh says he is challenging Trump 'to make the moral case against him'

Joe Walsh says he is challenging Trump 'to make the moral case against him' Former Illinois US Rep. Joe Walsh, who recently announced he will challenge President Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination, said Monday he's running against the President "to make the moral case against him." "Look, I have been waiting every single day this year for somebody to step up, a Republican to step up, to make the moral case against him. That he is unfit," Walsh told CNN's Alisyn Camerota on "New Day." "Come on -- somebody should challenge him.

MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) — Jeff Flake has a direct message for the Republicans of New Hampshire: Someone needs to stop Donald Trump . And Flake, a Republican senator from Arizona, may stand up against the Republican president in 2020 — either as a Republican or an independent

Donald Trump accepts the 2016 GOP presidential nomination at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland. There is an open question about whether current RNC rules allow money to be spent to support Trump ' s re-election if there is a contested primary for the GOP presidential nomination.

Finally, there’s the way that Trump has reshaped Republican voter preferences to match his. At the start of the Trump presidency, just north of 60% of Republicans supported “the Wall,” a number that expanded to north of 80% as of earlier this year. Republicans have moved away from supporting a restrained executive branch, wavered on free trade, and are even more likely these days to view Russia as friendly. Trump’s Republican critics often note the way he breaks with the party’s long-standing views on key issues; many Republican voters meanwhile adapt their own views to match their presidents’ views.

This isn’t to say that Republicans love and endorse everything Trump does. Majorities of Republicans say sometimes Trump’s statements make them feel concerned or embarrassed. Even those Republicans who are disgruntled with the tweets, the temperament, or the tariffs aren’t necessarily looking to toss Trump overboard and start over, and in states like New Hampshire where independents can participate and shake things up, a hotly contested Democratic primary is likely to consume all the oxygen.

Primary challengers to Trump may provide fodder for cable news segments, but they’re trying to meet a demand that largely doesn’t exist among the Republican primary electorate.

Read More

Sanford announces challenge to Trump.
Former South Carolina governor and congressman Mark Sanford said on Sunday that he will challenge President Trump in 2020 as a Republican. © Getty Images Sanford announces challenge to Trump "I'm here to tell you now that I am going to get in," he said on "Fox News Sunday." Sanford said last week that he was focused on Hurricane Dorian would wait until after the storm had passed to announce his decision on a White House bid. He previously said he would give himself until Labor Day to make a choice.

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