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OpinionWhat a successful Trump strategy on Iran must include

07:35  16 september  2019
07:35  16 september  2019 Source:   cnn.com

Iran now using advanced centrifuges, violating nuclear deal

Iran now using advanced centrifuges, violating nuclear deal TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran has begun using arrays of advanced centrifuges to enrich uranium in violation of its 2015 nuclear deal, a spokesman said Saturday, warning that Europe has little time left to offer new terms to save the accord. The comments by Behrouz Kamalvandi of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran signal a further cut into the one year experts estimate Tehran would need to have a enough material for building a nuclear weapon if it chose to pursue one. Iran maintains its program is peaceful.

Holding Iran accountable is a core component of any coherent Iran strategy , writes Samantha Vinograd. To date, the administration has suffered from self-inflicted policy wounds and a lack of a thoughtful strategy to get back to the negotiating table.

Samantha Vinograd, CNN September 16, 2019. Holding Iran accountable is a core component of any coherent Iran strategy , writes Samantha Vinograd. To date, the administration has suffered from self-inflicted policy wounds and a lack of a thoughtful strategy to get back to the negotiating table.

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

What a successful Trump strategy on Iran must include© CNN Illustration/Getty Images

While the international community works to determine who is responsible for the most recent attack on Saudi energy facilities, the US government has already pointed the finger at Iran.

Despite initial claims of responsibility by the Houthis, a rebel group backed by Iran, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo placed the blame squarely on Iran and said the attacks did not originate in Yemen.

Iran's nuclear chief: EU has failed to fulfill 2015 deal commitments

Iran's nuclear chief: EU has failed to fulfill 2015 deal commitments Iran's nuclear chief: EU has failed to fulfill 2015 deal commitments

Trump successful “ strategy ” on everything must be not surrounding himself with well known sycophants but hire specialists and listen to them because they know for sure while he is jus John Bolton is right: keep sanctions on Iran , not abolish them.

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Though Iran denies responsibility for the attacks, Saudi Arabia issued a statement Sunday that the attack "either came from Iraq or from Iran." If Iran is found to be the culprit, it would make Saturday's attack just the latest in a series of escalatory attacks by the regime against the United States, our allies and our interests.

This escalation notably comes days before President Donald Trump and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will be in New York for the annual United Nations General Assembly meeting. The White House has not ruled out a potential meeting between the two leaders. If a meeting happens, either in New York or down the road, its substantive success will depend on Trump acknowledging, and being willing to address, some of his self-inflicted policy wounds.

UN atomic watchdog confirms Iran installing new centrifuges

UN atomic watchdog confirms Iran installing new centrifuges BERLIN (AP) — The United Nations' atomic watchdog confirmed Monday that Iran is preparing to use more advanced centrifuges, another breach of limits set in the country's unraveling nuclear deal with major powers. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); Iran had already announced the step, its latest violation of the 2015 agreement as it tries to pressure European signatories to find a way to maintain oil shipments and ease the toll of U.S. sanctions on the Iranian economy.

The United States’ new Iran strategy focuses on neutralizing the Government of Iran ’s destabilizing influence The Trump Administration’s Iran policy will address the totality of these threats from and malign activities by This behavior cannot be tolerated; the deal must be strictly enforced, and the

Iranian proxies provided training to operatives who were later involved in al Qaeda’s bombing of the American embassies in Kenya, Tanzania, and These include the deal’s sunset clauses that, in just a few years, will eliminate key restrictions on Iran ’s nuclear program. The flaws in the deal also include

Bad boy for life

With analysts reviewing the origin of Saturday's attacks on Saudi Arabia, one thing is already clear: Iran is implementing its own maximum pressure campaign to persuade the United States to lift sanctions and give Iran access to sorely needed revenue. While the United States relies on sanctions to punish assessed illegal Iranian activities -- including its support for terrorism and renewed nuclear activities -- Iran is employing violent tactics to implement its agenda.

Iran recently stepped up its terrorizing activities in key international waterways, including when it diverted a British-flagged oil tanker to one of its ports, a move that British authorities said was illegal. Around the same time, US forces destroyed an Iranian drone that came close to the USS Boxer, and while Iran denied the attack, the United States blamed Iran for an attack on oil tankers near the Strait of Hormuz.

Saudi Oil Attack Photos Implicate Iran, U.S. Says; Trump Hints at Military Action

Saudi Oil Attack Photos Implicate Iran, U.S. Says; Trump Hints at Military Action The Trump administration intensified its focus on Iran Sunday as the likely culprit behind attacks on important Saudi Arabian oil facilities over the weekend, with officials citing intelligence assessments to support the accusation and President Trump warning that he was prepared to take military action. 

Pompeo defends Trump tweet threatening Iranian sites. Khamenei's adviser: Iran response to US will be military. Trump speaks after ordering strike on top Iran Recent years have seen a shift towards a more interventionist, US-style foreign policy. This has included increasing arms sales -- though still

After Mr. Trump ’s announcement, Iran ’s Supreme National Security Council said it was designating as a terrorist organization the United States Central Some American officials said the broad designation potentially covers 11 million members of the Iranian group and affiliated organizations, including the

Iran also supports militia groups in countries such as Iraq and Syria that threaten the United States and allies such as Israel. The administration announced this spring that it had new intelligence indicating "a heightened risk that Iranian forces or proxies were considering an imminent attack on American forces or interests in the Persian Gulf or Iraq." Some foreign counterparts voiced skepticism over this latest announcement, but the intelligence community stated publicly in January that Iranian-backed militias in Iraq remain the primary threat to US personnel in Iraq, and they expected that threat to increase.

The US intelligence community also assessed that Iran will continue to develop and maintain its terrorist capabilities to deter or retaliate against its perceived enemies.

As the largest state sponsor of terrorism, the Iranian regime has a long-standing record of supporting violence and in the past year alone has been accused of plotting an assassination in Denmark and a bomb attack in Paris. Iran denied involvement in both plots.

Trump’s Challenge: Can His Word on Iran Be Trusted?

Trump’s Challenge: Can His Word on Iran Be Trusted? For a president with a loose relationship with the facts and poisonous relationships with allies, the attack on the Saudi oil fields poses a challenge: how to prove the administration’s case that Iran was behind the strike and rally the world to respond. President Trump must now confront that problem as he struggles with one of the most critical national security decisions of his presidency. 

Today: President Trump is now saying that Iran appears to be responsible for the weekend attacks Meanwhile, America’s top diplomat putting the blame squarely on Iran . The secretary of state, Mike And the message they’re sending by having such a successful attack is, if you counterstrike against Iran And does the U.S. have such strategies that would maintain dominance without provoking an

If Trump exits the Iran deal believing he can impose much tougher terms on Tehran, he is deluding himself. So Trump ’s attempt to replicate what he sees as a successful North Korea-style pressure campaign against Iran could fail, producing this instead: less-effective international efforts to contain

With advanced cyber capabilities, Iran poses a significant threat in the digital space as well. It has the proven intent and capability -- including against Saudi Aramco -- to launch cyberattacks globally. The Department of Homeland Security and FBI warned in June that Iran has stepped up its cyberattacks against the United States amid rising tensions.

In other words, Iran's malign activity matrix isn't thinning out -- arguably it's expanding.

Don't encourage bad behavior

While Iran's record of illegal activities predates Trump -- and will likely outlast his time in office -- his policy decisions have exacerbated tensions with Iran. His decision to list the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps as a foreign terrorist organization was met with warnings by the Pentagon that the designation could endanger US troops.

His decision to withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal has not only led Iran to ramp up attacks against the United States and its allies, but it has also unnecessarily reintroduced a nuclear threat at a time when we are facing so many other threats. With Iran restarting activities that were banned under the Iran nuclear deal, such as breaching a limit on their stockpile of low enriched uranium and enriching uranium at a higher level than permitted, US national security experts have to contend with the added concern of a resurgent Iranian nuclear threat.

Trump says he will hit Iran with new sanctions over Saudi oil attack

Trump says he will hit Iran with new sanctions over Saudi oil attack Trump's administration already slapped Iran with crippling sanctions aimed at driving the country’s oil exports to zero and choking Tehran’s economy. The goal, administration officials say, is to force Iran back to the negotiating table after Trump withdrew from the 2015 nuclear deal last year. Trump said that deal was not restrictive enough and he wants a new agreement that would limit Iran’s ballistic missile program and its support for terrorism in the region. I have just instructed the Secretary of the Treasury to substantially increase Sanctions on the country of Iran!— Donald J.

Absent any real off-ramp for Iran, tensions and attacks will likely continue. This could impact US national security in several ways. Iran props up proxies throughout the Middle East, including by supplying them with advanced drone technology, weapons and intelligence.

A UN panel of experts concluded Iran has supplied drone technology to the Houthis in Yemen, and that's having impacts beyond Yemen's borders. The Houthis have launched attacks into Saudi Arabia this year, and they aren't the only Iranian proxies attacking the kingdom. US intelligence officials assessed that an attack in May on a Saudi oil-pumping station was launched by an Iranian-backed militia in Iraq. Iran has also helped Lebanese Hezbollah improve its capabilities.

A broad range of soft targets -- including energy facilities -- still exists in Saudi Arabia and throughout the region. After Pompeo blamed Iran for Saturday's attack, Iran warned, "Everybody should know that all American bases and their aircraft carriers in a distance of up to 2,000 kilometers around Iran are within the range of our missiles." We've already sent more military assets to the region and conducted cyber operations against Iran recently, but we run the risk of getting into an endless military buildup if we don't identify a credible way to reduce tensions.

New York minute

So what should the Trump administration do? Holding Iran accountable for its unacceptable actions is a core component of any coherent Iran strategy, but to date the administration has suffered from self-inflicted policy wounds and a lack of a thoughtful strategy to get Iran back to the negotiating table.

Whether it's a Trump-Rouhani meeting in New York or private discussions between US and Iranian experts to lay out the parameters for meaningful negotiations, the national security team should not miss the forest for the trees: Iran is a bad actor, but by making a series of policy missteps the administration has aggravated those threats. Removing any one of those threats, starting with nuclear ones, should be a priority. Doing so will require the President to do something out of character -- admit that he was wrong about withdrawing from the nuclear deal without any realistic plan to renegotiate it.

What a successful Trump strategy on Iran must include© Jeremy Freeman Sam Vinograd
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