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Opinion 5 Reasons A Senate Trial Would Be A Nightmare For Democrats

18:00  11 november  2019
18:00  11 november  2019 Source:   thefederalist.com

How Mitch McConnell can shape Trump’s future in a Senate trial

  How Mitch McConnell can shape Trump’s future in a Senate trial He only needs a simple majority to overrule Chief Justice John Roberts and frame the trial in the way he wants.Republicans are decrying the impeachment process in the Democratic-controlled House, but if President Trump is impeached, they’ll have almost all the power to decide whether he’s innocent or guilty and should be removed from office. One Republican in particular: Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.).

Senate Democrats are living on a prayer that things don’t go wrong for them in New Jersey. While many things need to break against Democrats for this to happen, the September trial has them nervous. “The fate of a lot of important issues hang in the balance of what happens with this trial .

But in the Senate , Democrats and the independents who caucus with them have significantly more seats to defend: 26 compared with nine held by Ted Cruz (Tex.) has a strong Democratic opponent in Representative Beto O’Rourke, but it would be an uphill battle to turn the Texas seat blue.

Editor’s note: The opinions in this article are the author’s, as published by our content partner, and do not necessarily represent the views of MSN or Microsoft.

Mitch McConnell smiling for the camera: 5 Reasons A Senate Trial Would Be A Nightmare For Democrats© The Federalist 5 Reasons A Senate Trial Would Be A Nightmare For Democrats

The once distant and gauzy fantasy of impeaching President Donald Trump is becoming very real for Democrats, just not quite how they wanted or expected it to. As we move into public testimony this week, the wheels of presidential removal are stuck in deeper mud than ever. The polls have been flat or reversing back Trump’s way for weeks despite alleged bombshell revelations, and the worst could be yet to come if and when the issue moves to the Senate.

McConnell Dismisses Impeachment Updates: ‘It Would Not Lead to a Removal’

  McConnell Dismisses Impeachment Updates: ‘It Would Not Lead to a Removal’ Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell told reporters that he will 'withhold judgement on the daily revelations,' until the case reaches the Senate. © Joshua Roberts/Reuters Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell speaks after a Republican policy lunch on Capitol Hill, January 29, 2019. McConnell’s comments came as Senate Republicans held a press conference to criticize Democrats for filibustering military funding and to warn Americans of the dangers of Elizabeth Warren’s Medicare for All proposal.

WASHINGTON — For Senator Jeanne Shaheen, a New Hampshire Democrat seeking a third term next year in a traditional swing state, a vote on whether to oust President Trump months before they both face voters would be difficult under any circumstances.

I just can't get behind reporting that gleefully predicts doom and gloom. Four more years of Donald Trump vs. four years of a Democratic president would be vastly different, and to claim otherwise is irresponsible and false. The only nightmare is four more years of Trump.

Over the weekend, many Democrats and media allies moved away from the dulcet sound of the Latin “quid pro quo” to the more menacing “extortion” and “bribery,” imagining using a dead language is hurting their messaging.

Many also insisted that the magic of television will persuade voters even if the facts of the case are already known and stipulated for the most part. Not only does this assume that the American people are kind of dumb, it also may rely just a smidge too much on hopes that Ambassador Bill Taylor has some kind of powerful television presence. Could an “end of the Perry Mason episode” moment happen? It is not beyond the realm of possibility, but also extremely unlikely.

So let's assume that Democrats move forward on Articles of Impeachment next month with essentially the same facts that everyone more or less agrees with and the same polls that show the country bitterly divided on impeachment. For the case to move to the Senate under these conditions would be a disaster for Democrats, for a whole host of reasons. Here are five of them.

McConnell discounts quick dismissal of Trump impeachment articles: 'We'll have to have a trial'

  McConnell discounts quick dismissal of Trump impeachment articles: 'We'll have to have a trial' Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) brushed aside a question on Wednesday about trying to quickly dismiss the articles of impeachment against President Trump, noting the chamber would have to have a trial."I don't think there's any question that we have to take up the matter. The rules of impeachment are very clear, we'll have to have a trial. My own view is that we should give people the opportunity to put the case on," McConnell"I don't think there's any question that we have to take up the matter. The rules of impeachment are very clear, we'll have to have a trial. My own view is that we should give people the opportunity to put the case on," McConnell told reporters.

Both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats opposed a third runway at Heathrow in their 2010 election manifestos but with the economic argument strongly favouring the airport in south west London, the convenient thing for them was Why is Heathrow expansion such a nightmare for Mr Cameron?

Anything’s possible, of course. Democrats could find stellar candidates in every quasi-competitive state. Far-right weirdos could win GOP primaries in But odds are , if a Democrat moves into the Oval Office in 2021, he or she will be faced with a Republican Senate . Which means that he or she will not

1. Losing Control Of the Process

In the six weeks thus far of L’Affaire Ukraine, House Democrats have been in complete control of the process. They have chosen witnesses, whether testimony is in private or public, set the rules of questioning and the schedules. In all these areas, their hand has been firmly on the wheel. It is hard to overestimate what an incredible advantage this is.

One can think of it as being both the director and stage manager of a play. They tell the actors where to go, and work to create a narrative convincing enough to sway the American people. But, of course, two parties can play at that game, and once the case moves to the Senate for trial all of those powerful advantages switch hands. Instead of Reps. Nancy Pelosi and Adam Schiff making the rules, it will be Sens. Mitch McConnell and Lindsay Graham.

2. Oh Hi, Hunter Biden

Among the advantages the Democrats have had in the House inquiry is that of approving witnesses. Although they allowed Republicans to request witnesses, the authority to approve them is entirely Democrats’.

McConnell discounts quick dismissal of Trump impeachment articles: 'We'll have to have a trial'

  McConnell discounts quick dismissal of Trump impeachment articles: 'We'll have to have a trial' Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) brushed aside a question on Wednesday about trying to quickly dismiss the articles of impeachment against President Trump, noting the chamber would have to have a trial."I don't think there's any question that we have to take up the matter. The rules of impeachment are very clear, we'll have to have a trial. My own view is that we should give people the opportunity to put the case on," McConnell"I don't think there's any question that we have to take up the matter. The rules of impeachment are very clear, we'll have to have a trial. My own view is that we should give people the opportunity to put the case on," McConnell told reporters.

Democrats are reportedly terrified that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell could schedule the Senate ’s impeachment trial in January — right before the critical Democratic Iowa However, it would be disastrous to abruptly stop campaigning right before the Democratic Iowa caucuses.

Senate Democrats are living on a prayer that things don’t go wrong for them in New Jersey. Jury selection concluded Wednesday in the While many things need to break against Democrats for this to happen, the September trial has them nervous. “The fate of a lot of important issues hang in the

This came into play this weekend when the GOP requested Hunter Biden be brought in to testify about his knowledge of alleged corruption at the energy company Burisma, where he was making Mr. Burns money for Homer Simpson knowledge. That alleged corruption lies at the heart of the entire impeachment.

Schiff says Biden will not testify, in part because he does not want the inquiry to become the very investigation he says he believes is bogus, the one that President Trump wanted Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to engage in. In the House, Schiff can block whoever he wants, but it's hard to see how Democrats could stop the Senate from calling Hunter Biden, and maybe even Joe Biden, in to testify. In that scenario, the investigation Schiff wants shelved will go very public, very quickly, shivving the Democratic frontrunner for president in the process.

2. Senators On The Trail

There are currently six Democratic senators running for president of the United States. Two of them, Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, are polling in the top three of all candidates. The Iowa caucus in on February 3. So let's be generous and say Santa gives Democrats Articles of Impeachment by Christmas, We would be looking at almost all of the month of January, at least, taken up with a Senate trial.

Senate GOP waves Trump off early motion to dismiss impeachment charges

  Senate GOP waves Trump off early motion to dismiss impeachment charges Senate Republicans are telling President Trump's defense team to prepare for a full Senate trial, stating that any motion for an early dismissal of impeachment charges likely won't have the votes to pass.The warnings are a tacit acknowledgement that it would be politically risky to simply discard articles of impeachment - even though all Senate Republicans may ultimately opt to acquit the president.

Democrats in California have good odds of picking off as many as seven Republican-held House seats in November — if an overcrowded field of candidates If the theory behind the “jungle primary” was that candidates would be forced to moderate their appeals to win a broader section of the electorate

Democrats face a really tough Senate map. It’s not that I’m pessimistic about the Democrats ’ overall position next year. Another way for Democrats to gain seats would be for a current Republican to switch parties. Empirically, this happens fairly often after wave elections (two Democratic senators

What are these senators supposed to do? Do they put their campaign stops on hold for a month to be in the chamber and watch the trial, giving their opponents a huge ground game advantage? Conversely, do they skip the trial in order to campaign and eventually vote to remove a president even though they didn’t bother to attend the trial? Neither of these are very attractive options.

4. Republican Unity

During the Trump era, the time the GOP and conservatives in general have been most united and powerful was during the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation hearings. Note, as discussed above, that was a process controlled by Senate Republicans, not House Democrats, and the picture that emerged was of a qualified man being hounded on the basis of politics, not evidence.

The Senate will try to recreate this energy in much the same way. As they puncture the one-sided story crafted by House Democrats, look for Trump’s support to solidify, just as Kavanaugh’s did. There could be no better outcome for the president, who relies almost solely on his base for electoral success.

5. The Odds Of Winning Are Not Good

Notwithstanding the televisual spectacle we will all be treated to this week during public testimony, the Democrats have already made their basic case to the American people and to Republicans in the Senate. The dream of a few short weeks ago, that cracks would emerge and suddenly senators would start turning on Trump, is now dissipating as dawn rises over an actual vote on impeachment.

McConnell suggests House impeachment timing could push Senate trial to 2020

  McConnell suggests House impeachment timing could push Senate trial to 2020 "It looks to me like the House is gonna be on this until Christmas," the Senate Majority Leader said Monday of the House's impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump."Well, all I can tell you at this particular point is it looks to me like the House is gonna be on this until Christmas," McConnell told reporters at an event in downtown Louisville.

Five reasons . He should. Run for governor. 1. Democrats need a winner. He works for one of the state's most prominent trial lawyers, John "For the People" Morgan, and teachers praised Crist even when was a Republican governor for vetoing a controversial teacher merit pay bill.

If Democrat Conor Lamb beats Republican Rick Saccone in the Pennsylvania vacant House seat special election, or even comes But Conor Lamb was not from today's progressive Democrat camp. Just the opposite. Though he is a young, fresh and decidedly good looking face, the ex-marine and

Like hungover frat boys who convinced themselves over the raucous night that they would road trip to Mexico the next day, the cruel sun is now glinting off their empties and discarded Juul pods, and they will be going to class after all.

The result? A huge win for Trump, any way you slice it. There are only two outcomes for the trial: conviction and removal, or acquittal. Once acquitted, the president will take so many victory laps that the track will need new asphalt. Democrats will be left holding an empty bag saying, “We did our duty but the process wasn’t fair,” truly the mantra of winners.

So, is there a way out of this mess for Democrats? There may be. Over the weekend if you were very quiet and listened very carefully, a new word started emerging. That word is “censure.” Censuring, rather than impeaching, the president would allow Democrats to claim some measure of holding Trump accountable without the parade of horribles listed above. It might also deprive Trump of the ability to claim total exoneration.

But alas, it may be too late for that. Democrats promised their base blood, and blood will be had. But as in any good fight, once you level your best shot, the other guy gets to hit back.

House passes temporary spending bill to stave off shutdown .
The House passed a stopgap funding bill that will keep federal government operations running until Dec. 20. © Provided by MediaDC: Washington Newspaper Publishing Company, Inc.After the House passed the bill Tuesday, it heads to the Senate, where Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., pledged to pass it by Thursday, when a temporary funding measure expires. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.

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