Iowa's small Latino population looms large in 2020 election
MUSCATINE, Iowa - Bernie Sanders sounded awkwardly gringo in naming the Latino politician he thanked for introducing him, and he bungled the Spanish title of his own event, dropping the "con" from "Unidos con Bernie."In a state often criticized as too white to hold such political influence, Latinos are key to the coalition that Sanders is trying to assemble in his bid to win the Iowa caucuses that open the Democrats’ presidential-nominating contest on Feb. 3.
MSNBC national political correspondent Steve Kornacki on Friday listed the Latino vote as a " worry area" for Democrats in November. Citing recent polling that shows President Trump’s approval at “41 percent with Latino voters,” Kornacki said that Democrats shouldn’t expect to get a “lion’s share of
Reagan also enjoyed considerable Latino support. I think many Democrats are continually perplexed by this half of Latinos (48 percent) believe there is about the right amount of immigrants living in the U.S., while a Because of that, Barreto said that in order to get a better picture, the data should be
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The first warning sign of the new year came three days into 2020. Speaking at a rally of conservative evangelicals in South Florida, President Donald Trump riffed on the targeted killing of Iran’s Qassem Soleimani before the thousands assembled in the King Jesus International Ministry megachurch, outside of Miami.
Congress could vote tomorrow on War Powers Act
A measure to limit President Trump’s authority to wage war with Iran could come up for a vote in the Senate as soon as tomorrow. The sponsor of the Senate version, Virginia Democrat Tim Kaine, already has two GOP senators on board, Mike Lee of Utah and Rand Paul of Kentucky. © Provided by MediaDC: Washington Newspaper Publishing Company, Inc.But Kaine needs two more Republicans to get the 51 vote simple majority needed for passage, and he’s hoping that Susan Collins of Maine and Jerry Moran of Kansas, who voted in the past for an amendment limiting funding for military action, will push the resolution over the top.
Here are the stories our panel of top political reporters are talking about in this week's "Inside Politics" forecast, where you get a glimpse of tomorrow's headlines today.
What we seldom see is Democrats worrying about the Latino vote . But they should . Considering that since the year 2000, newly naturalized Mexican nationals who register to vote have been registering 75 percent Democrat , and that over 60 percent of new citizens are from Mexico, it should
That night, the president captured headlines for declaring that “” and accusing Democrats of disloyalty for not supporting his air strike. But for Domingo Garcia, the national president of the League of United Latin American Citizens, what the headlines—and Democrats—missed was the significance of the rally’s location: the home of the country’s .
“That should be a serious red flag to Democrats,” Garcia told me. Trump’s outreach to conservative Latinos in the South serves as a warning sign for deeper concerns that several Latino leaders and political activists shared with me: that they are dissatisfied with the level of engagement they are seeing from the Democratic primary contenders and are noticing the same kind of poor strategizing by candidates that yieldedamong Hispanic voters in 2016.
These Democrats voted no on the War Powers resolution
Eight Democrats broke with their party on Thursday to vote against the Iran War Powers resolution.Rep. Kendra Horn, an Oklahoma Democrat, voted against the War Powers resolution.
While Democratic anger is understandable, it’s absolutely hypocritical for them to act as if Democrats didn’t win the presidency with less than 50 percent of the popular vote . The difference is that they not only won the electoral college, they won the popular vote with a plurality (majority with less than 50
This should worry people in both parties — for different reasons, of course. Those numbers are good for Democrats and bad for Republicans in the sense that the parts of the electorate Basically, if you rerun the 2016 election — if the various voting blocs backed Democrats and Republicans at the
By, 2020 should be the year Latinos make a decisive mark on national politics: Their support could swing primary races in early-voting and Super Tuesday states, possibly securing the nomination for one of the Democratic contenders, and it could in the general election if they turn out to vote in the same numbers as they did during .
But some of the Latino political organizers I spoke with described the primary season so far as a master class in “political malpractice”—as one person phrased it—with candidates struggling to engage Latino voters, address issues beyond immigration reform, and treat Latinos as the influential voting bloc they are. Others reported a lack of candidate interest in working with their organizations, including missed meetings and radio silence on questionnaires. (On top of all that, the only Latino candidate in the race, Julián Castro, dropped out earlier this month, leaving an all-white stage for tonight’s debate.) There’s a real risk that if Democrats don’t sort out these issues soon, they could struggle to attract and mobilize what could be the largest minority voting bloc in 2020.
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It was crime that separated New Democrats from Old in the 1980s. Bill Clinton was determined that nobody would Willie Horton him. They were Latino : 50 percent of self-identified Latino voters cast a ballot in 2008, declining to 48 percent in 2012 (even as Obama increased his share of the Latino vote ).
How Colorado Democrats — and some Republicans — are trying to turn out the Latino vote . The paid canvassers from Pueblo and Greeley and Lakewood were weary after a day of trying to persuade voters in Denver’s northern suburbs to support Faith Winter, the Democratic state Senate candidate.
“It feels like every four years there’s this clutching of the pearls and head-scratching about why the hell Latinos don’t vote,” Marisa Franco, a co-founder of the Latino activist network Mijente, told me. “I don’t think it’s an absence of interest. It’s a hunger for options.”
The only candidate still in the race to receive virtually universal praise from the organizers was Senator Bernie Sanders. Organizers from California to Texas highlighted the Sanders campaign’s grassroots engagement, something that seems to be reflected in Latinos’ consistently strong support for the senator: In
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“If there’s one worry area for Democrats in terms of November, that’s it right there,” Kornacki responded. “And I think one of the issues there is it’s “So if you’re a Democrat and you’re looking at California, Texas, Florida, couple other districts around the country where potentially the Latino vote
Nov. 8 -- Henry Munoz, national finance chairman of the Democratic National Committee, discusses community outreach and efforts to mobilize Latino voters in
Rocha and Sanders’s national political director, Analilia Mejia, said the campaign has aired Spanish-language ads for the past eight months and hired more than 150 Latino staffers around the country. In vote-rich California specifically, the campaign opened most of its 14 field offices in heavily Latino communities, including East Los Angeles, Oxnard, San Jose, and the Central Valley region. “On our campaign, we’re very clear about the rising Latino iceberg of voters, how for years to come there will be a need to deeply motivate and mobilize Latino voters,” Mejia said. “When you have people who belong to that community [and] you empower those folks, of course you’re going to do better within that community—if you have folks who know how to navigate it, folks who come from it, folks who respect it.”
Sanders aside, the organizers I spoke with said the first signs of trouble in the 2020 campaign were clear during the two nights of the first Democratic debate, in June.
When several candidates broke into Spanish during those back-to-back performances, theyfaced for “ .” (Others said it was an attempt at displaying cultural competency that they appreciated.) But perhaps even more concerning for the organizers who spoke with me was how many of the candidates focused exclusively on immigration when speaking about “Latino issues.”
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Sen. Mitt Romney said Monday that he wants to hear from John Bolton after the former national security adviser offered to testify in the Senate’s impeachment trial..“Of course,” said the Utah Republican when asked if he wants Bolton to testify. “He has firsthand information and, assuming that articles of impeachment reach the Senate, I’d like to hear what he has to say.
In 2018, Latinos voted for Democrats by a margin of nearly three to one, according to Matt Barreto, co-founder of Latino Decisions. His polling found that 73% of Latinos voted Democratic while only 23% voted for Republicans. Barreto said Latinos identified healthcare as the most important issue
“ The Latino vote .” Overall, however, the Democrats outperformed their polls by 2.3 points in these 15 races. There’s enough state-to-state variance in the results that we can’t come to any firm conclusions about whether inadequate sampling of Latino voters was the cause.
“Yes, there are Latino citizens and voters who are more comfortable in Spanish, but people are interested in what kind of a candidate you are and … what are you planning to do,” said Clarissa Martinez de Castro, the deputy vice president for policy and advocacy at UnidosUS, one of the oldest Latino advocacy groups in the country. “I think a lot of times, where Latino voters are concerned, they tend to be either taken for granted and/or attacked. And so our biggest fear is that we see a continuation of that.”
She and other organizers are concerned that both parties are following an outdated political playbook that casts Latino interests as alien to the concerns of working-class white Americans in the Midwest and Rust Belt states that Democrats are determined to win in the general election. As my colleague Ron Brownstein, demographic trends suggest that the Rust Belt states Democrats are trying to wrest from Trump will only lose political influence as Americans move south and west—lending more political power to the states where Latinos already reside.
Jacqueline Martinez Garcel, the head of the California-based Latino Community Foundation, points to the Democratic sweep of longtime Republican strongholds in Southern California during the midterms as evidence that candidates should think of Latino interests beyond immigration as part of their mainstream agendas. Democrats managed to flip four House seats in Orange County because of a significant
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President Donald Trump used a truncated quote from Democratic presidential candidate Tom Steyer to falsely suggest that Steyer thinks "Democrats are going to destroy the economy in 15 minutes if they get in control."Trump seized on the out-of-context quote in a tweet sent out just a couple of hours after the completion of the Democratic debate in Iowa on Jan. 14.
Democrats think Donald Trump should energize Latinos to turn out in the midterms to defeat his party, but a surprising number of them like him, and their Instead, less than a month before the midterms, Democrats are fretting about the Latino vote — both the percentages they will receive, and more
Democrats are courting Latinos in red states like Arizona and Florida, hoping that this big bloc of voters will punish Republicans for President Donald The truth is , we just don't know enough about the preferences of Latino voters. Just half a dozen polls — out of hundreds — exclusively target the
Representative Norma Torres of California told me that some candidates seem to overlook how issues such as education, affordable housing, raising the minimum wage, and college affordability dominate the minds of many working-class and young Latinos in particular. Torres, who immigrated to the United States from Guatemala as a child, said three candidates had met with the Congressional Hispanic Caucus’s political arm, of which she is a member. In those meetings, the candidates “regurgitate old policy,” she said, and “forget that the majority of Latinos live in communities like mine, which are very, very poor, working-class.”
Still, beyond their concerns about throwaway lines and policy blind spots, the organizers I spoke with said they fear that the candidates are struggling to understand a key fact about Latinos in America: They are a tremendously diverse group ideologically and culturally. And that diversity means there’s an opening for Republican overtures.
“Latino conservatives in Florida and in Texas, by the way, are amenable to the Republican message and are willing to forgive Trump’s anti-immigrant, anti-Latino rhetoric to a certain extent,” said Garcia, the League of United Latin American Citizens leader. “That’s a small minority. But, you know, the difference between 20 and 30 percent could mean the difference of winning Texas or Florida or losing them.”
In other words: Republicans don’t need to win all, or even a majority of, the Latino votes to win in competitive states. Trump seems on track to captureof Latino voters in 2020, a steady showing from his in 2016 and the roughly of Latinos who voted for Republicans in 2018.
“That’s a concern that never leaves my mind,” says Representative Joaquin Castro of Texas, the chairman of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, who argues that his brother’s now-defunct campaign demonstrated how candidates should weave Latinos’ economic and social concerns into broader discussions of criminal-justice reform, affordable housing, and education. (He said Julían Castro plans to increase the presence of Senator Elizabeth Warren, whom, in Latino communities.)
The common theme in my conversations with political activists was the stress they feel watching this campaign—the stress that too many candidates assume they’re doing enough for Latino voters, and that they’ll be lulled into a false sense of security come the general election. After the primary, the eventual nominee could end up assuming that the Latino vote is theirs for the taking, the thinking goes, since Latinos couldn’t possibly vote to reelect the president or sit out another cycle. But the nominee could be very, very wrong.
Schumer: Senate must vote on resolution limiting Trump on Iran .
Senate Minority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) said on Monday that the chamber will have to vote on a resolution limiting President Trump's ability to take military action against Iran. Schumer, speaking from the Senate floor, noted that Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) had introduced a war powers resolution that would require Trump to withdraw U.S. troops from hostilities against Iran within 30 days without congressional sign off."That resolution willSchumer, speaking from the Senate floor, noted that Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) had introduced a war powers resolution that would require Trump to withdraw U.S. troops from hostilities against Iran within 30 days without congressional sign off.