•   
  •   
  •   

Politics Analysis: The year in polls

16:35  25 december  2017
16:35  25 december  2017 Source:   cbsnews.com

Linguists reveal the evolution of Donald Trump’s tweets over time

  Linguists reveal the evolution of Donald Trump’s tweets over time Donald Trump’s first tweet—from the bygone era of 2009 America—was a simple tweet, for simpler times. Be sure to tune in and watch Donald Trump on Late Night with David Letterman as he presents the Top Ten List tonight!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) May 4, 2009But more recently, things have heated up. Last week, Trump called the New York Times “Wrong!” and CNN anchor Don Lemon the “dumbest man on television!” all in a single tweet.Has Trump’s use of his favorite platform for disseminating information changed? Two linguists threw eight years worth of tweets—36,000— into a statistical model to find out.

Watch CBSN Live. Analysis : The year in polls . By Jennifer De Pinto. As for the incoming president, more than half of Americans (56 percent) said they were optimistic about the next four years with Donald Trump in the White House, yet that was the lowest level of optimism for any president-elect in

Four years later, and in the midst of another summer slump, Trump is hoping a similar campaign shakeup will help put him on the path to another WASHINGTON (AP) — In the summer of 2016, Donald Trump was trailing in the polls . With time running out, he changed up his campaign leadership

WASHINGTON, DC - DECEMBER 22: U.S. President Donald Trump talks with journalists after signing tax reform legislation into law in the Oval Office December 22, 2017 in Washington, DC.: Donald Trump Signs Tax Reform And Jobs Bill Into Law At The White House © Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images Donald Trump Signs Tax Reform And Jobs Bill Into Law At The White House January: One president leaves, and another arrives

President Obama left office a popular figure -- 62 percent of Americans approved of the way he handled his job over the past eight years, ranking him third among outgoing presidents since CBS began asking the question in 1981 – behind outgoing presidents Bill Clinton (68 percent) and Ronald Reagan (68 percent).

As for the incoming president, more than half of Americans (56 percent) said they were optimistic about the next four years with Donald Trump in the White House, yet that was the lowest level of optimism for any president-elect in CBS News polling going back to Jimmy Carter in 1977, when the question was first asked.

GOP Tax Bill Hands Biggest Benefits to Top Earners, Study Says

  GOP Tax Bill Hands Biggest Benefits to Top Earners, Study Says The final Republican tax bill would lower taxes on average across the income spectrum for the first eight years, with the largest benefits going to upper earners, according to a new analysis Monday by the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center. Next year, the average federal tax cut would be $1,610, the study found. The bottom fifth of income-earners would get an average cut of $60 and those in the middle fifth would get a $930 cut on average, according to the analysis. The top 1 percent would get $51,140 on average, and the top 0.1 percent would get $193,380, it found.

Four years later, and in the midst of another summer slump, Trump is hoping a similar campaign shakeup will help put him on the path to another WASHINGTON (AP) — In the summer of 2016, Donald Trump was trailing in the polls . With time running out, he changed up his campaign leadership

Pre-election polls fueled high-profile predictions that Hillary Clinton’s likelihood of winning the presidency was about 90 percent, with estimates ranging from 71 to over 99 percent. When Donald Trump was declared the winner of the presidency in the early hours of November 9th, it came as a

Most said Trump would bring change to Washington (59 percent) and more than half saw him as a strong leader (55 percent). Six in ten thought he would divide the country rather than bring people together.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Fewer people were optimistic about President Trump at the beginning of his tenure than with his predecessors © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Fewer people were optimistic about President Trump at the beginning of his tenure than with his predecessors February: Low approval for Trump, but with higher economic optimism

In February, the CBS News Poll took its first measure of Donald Trump's job performance: 40 percent approved, while 48 percent disapproved. His rating was historically low when compared with other presidents during their first month in office. It's a rating that has remained fairly low ever since, but it has been pretty consistent  – generally ranging from the mid to high thirties to around 40 percent.

Targeting calls set record, AP finds Pac-12, SEC had most

  Targeting calls set record, AP finds Pac-12, SEC had most Targeting penalties in the top tier of college football reached an all-time high this season and the Pac-12 and Southeastern conferences had the most players flagged, according to an analysis of NCAA data and research by The Associated Press. Akron cornerback Alvin Davis Jr. was flagged for targeting three times, most in the nation, and seven other players were each flagged twice.

WASHINGTON (AP) — In the summer of 2016, Donald Trump was trailing in the polls . With time running out, he changed up his Four years later, and in the midst of another summer slump, Trump is hoping a similar campaign shakeup will help put him on the path to another come-from-behind victory

National poll analysis includes only a polling firm’s final estimate to ensure comparability with historical data. Analysis of state-level polls , by contrast Unlike national polls , state-level polls in 2016 did have a historically bad year , at least within the recent history of the past four elections.

Views of the president's job performance have been starkly partisan from the outset.  Generally, more than eight in 10 Republicans have approved, while a similar number of Democrats have disapproved.

a close up of text on a white background: Here is how the president's approvals have changed slightly throughout his first year. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Here is how the president's approvals have changed slightly throughout his first year.

One of President Trump's early executive orders temporarily banned foreigners from seven majority-Muslim countries from entering the U.S. A slim majority of Americans disapproved (51 percent) of this action, including a majority of Democrats and half of independents. More than eight in 10 Republicans approved, however.

On the economic front, people were feeling optimistic. Sixty-one percent said the economy was in good shape – the highest that figure had been in ten years, before the Great Recession. The public's views of the economy continued to be positive throughout 2017, climbing to 69 percent in August.

McCarthy Says House Will Have to Vote Again: Tax Debate Update

  McCarthy Says House Will Have to Vote Again: Tax Debate Update Congressional Republicans kicked off the final leg of their six-week legislative sprint to overhaul the U.S. tax code and deliver a major policy victory for President Donald Trump before year’s end. (Bloomberg) -- Congressional Republicans kicked off the final leg of their six-week legislative sprint to overhaul the U.S. tax code and deliver a major policy victory for President Donald Trump before year’s end. The House approved the bill Tuesday and Senate leaders intend to vote on it Tuesday evening.

WASHINGTON (AP) — In the summer of 2016, Donald Trump was trailing in the polls . With time running out, he changed up his Four years later, and in the midst of another summer slump, Trump is hoping a similar campaign shakeup will help put him on the path to another come-from-behind victory

In Poll B, which also has a 3-point margin of error for each individual candidate and a 6-point margin for the difference, the Republican lead of 8 percentage points is large enough that it is unlikely to be due to sampling error alone. 3How do I know if there has been a change in the race?

March: Amid repeal effort, Obamacare more popular than ever

Repealing the Affordable Care Act, or Obamacare, has long been a goal of Republicans in Congress. In March, the House of Representatives failed in its first attempt of the year to pass repeal legislation. Most Americans supported making changes to Obamacare, but only about a quarter backed outright repeal. Republicans divided on this.

Meanwhile, Obamacare was becoming more popular. Before 2017, more had consistently disapproved than approved of the law, but in March, 49 percent said they approved of it – the highest since the law was passed in 2010. Forty-five percent disapproved.

Here is how Americans have viewed the Affordable Care Act. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Here is how Americans have viewed the Affordable Care Act.

Sexual harassment and gender inequality were big topics of discussion this year. In March, 50 percent of women said in today's society there are more advantages in being a man than in being a woman, compared to just 33 percent of men who thought that.

April: Airstrikes in Syria, Trump's 100 days, a new high for legal pot

More than 4 in 5 enrolled in 'Obamacare' are in Trump states

  More than 4 in 5 enrolled in 'Obamacare' are in Trump states Americans in states that Donald Trump carried in his march to the White House account for more than 4 in 5 of those signed up for coverage under the health care law the president still wants to take down.An Associated Press analysis of new figures from the government found that 7.3 million of the 8.8 million consumers signed up so far for next year come from states Trump won in the 2016 presidential election. The four states with the highest number of sign-ups — Florida, Texas, North Carolina and Georgia, accounting for nearly 3.9 million customers — were all Trump states.

Poll of the week: A new Monmouth University poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 50% to 41%. When Rep. Justin Amash is included as the Libertarian Party candidate, it's Biden 47

Last year , in a memo for President Putin, Business Rights Commissioner Boris Titov also cited the FSO’s The fact that the Federal Protective Service conducts polling and sociological analysis is no The FSO’s role in policymaking isn’t limited to polling . The agency has access to a system for

In April, the U.S. launched airstrikes against Syrian military targets in response to a suspected chemical weapons attack by the Syrian government. Most Americans (57 percent) approved of that military action. Following the strike, President Trump's overall job approval rating inched up to 43 percent (it remains his highest approval to date in CBS News Polls).

President Trump marked 100 days in office and 85 percent of Republicans said Mr. Trump was trying to keep his campaign promises. Seventy-nine percent of Democrats said he was tweeting too much.

As more states legalized marijuana, public support for pot legalization reached a new high this year. Sixty-one percent of Americans said it should be legal. Back in 1979, just 27 percent felt that way.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Here is how Americans' views of marijuana have changed. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Here is how Americans' views of marijuana have changed. May-June: Trump fires Comey, member of Congress Shot

In May, the president fired FBI Director James Comey, a decision six in 10 Americans disagreed with. But three in four Republicans agreed with it as most believed the Russia investigation was a witch hunt.

In June, a shooting occurred at a baseball practice for Republican members of Congress that severely injured House Majority Whip Steve Scalise. In its aftermath, 68 percent of Americans, including majorities across the political spectrum, said the tone and level of civility in our political debates had been growing worse. But at the time, most were optimistic that people of different political views were capable of working together. However, by the fall that optimism had dwindled.

Trump defends new tax-cut bill amid negative polls

  Trump defends new tax-cut bill amid negative polls President Trump on Sunday touted provisions in the recently-passed GOP tax plan, while pushing back against polls that indicate the measure is unpopular among the U.S. public. "The Tax Cut/Reform Bill, including Massive Alaska Drilling and the Repeal of the highly unpopular Individual Mandate, brought it all together as to what an incredible year we had," Trump tweeted. "The Tax Cut/Reform Bill, including Massive Alaska Drilling and the Repeal of the highly unpopular Individual Mandate, brought it all together as to what an incredible year we had," Trump tweeted.

July-August: Violence in Charlottesville

A rally by a group called Unite the Right was held in Charlottesville, Virginia. Violence occurred resulting in a motorist running over and killing a young woman. Sixty-three percent of Americans considered the attack an act of domestic terrorism. Large majorities of independents and Democrats and just over half of Republicans agreed. At the time, more Americans said the President's policies encouraged racial division (44 percent), rather than racial unity (12 percent). Another 39 percent didn't think they had much effect.

On a brighter note, most Americans were excited or interested in the total solar eclipse. And forty years after the death of Elvis Presley, 8 percent of Americans believed he may still be alive.

September: Health Care, NFL Protests, OJ Gets Out

Health Care Part II: After a health care bill passed the House in May, the Senate introduced its own in September. Just 20 percent of Americans approved of the bill, known as Graham-Cassidy; 52 percent disapproved. Fewer than half of rank-and-file Republicans supported the bill. Many Americans didn't see much of a benefit in it: More felt it would hurt them personally than help them. The bill was defeated.

The NFL season got underway with some players protesting racial injustice by "taking a knee" during the national anthem -- actions that were often criticized by President Trump. Generally, Americans didn't like either the protests or Mr. Trump's comments about them. Views were influenced by partisanship and race. Whites and Republicans tended to approve of the president's comments and African Americans and Democrats were more likely to approve of the players' protests.

Liberia waiting to hear 1st results of runoff election

  Liberia waiting to hear 1st results of runoff election Liberia's National Elections Commission was expected to begin releasing provisional results Wednesday from the West African nation's presidential runoff.State radio correspondents reported unofficial results overnight indicating that former international soccer player George Weah led in several counties, but election authorities warned the two parties to "stop making premature pronouncements.

More Americans disapprove than approve. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. More Americans disapprove than approve.

Former football star OJ Simpson, was granted parole in September after being convicted for armed robbery and kidnapping. Most Americans continued to think Simpson is guilty of the 1994 murders of his ex-wife and a friend. But views have shifted among black Americans. Sixty-nine percent of blacks said Simpson was innocent in 1995, while views this year were more divided: 41 percent said they thought he was guilty, while 39 percent said not guilty.

October-November: North Korea can be contained, disapproval of Trump's approach

As President Donald Trump prepared for his first presidential trip to Asia, most Americans said North Korea could be contained without resorting to military action. Still, throughout 2017, more said military action would be required than thought that back in 2003.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Most think the threat can be contained. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Most think the threat can be contained.

Most Americans expressed uneasiness in President Trump's ability to deal with North Korea. In late October, 56 percent disapproved of his handling of the issue.

December: The GOP Tax Plan, Flynn's Guilty Plea, Sandy Hook Anniversary

Looking for a legislative win, Congressional Republicans and the President set their sights on tax reform. The Republican plan was met with disapproval by 53 percent of Americans. Most Republicans nationwide supported it and believed it would help the economy.

Still, most Americans of all political stripes felt the plan would help large corporations, the wealthy, and Wall Street investors. More thought these groups would benefit than thought they themselves would.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Most think large corporations and wealthy Americans will benefit more than the middle class. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Most think large corporations and wealthy Americans will benefit more than the middle class.

As part of the Russia investigation, former National Security Adviser Michael Flynn pleaded guilty to lying to the FBI. Most Americans (67 percent) said Flynn's guilty plea and cooperation with the special counsel is a serious issue for the Trump administration. However, most Republicans viewed the Russia investigation overall as politically motivated, while three in four Democrats saw it as justified.

Railroaded: The Real Reasons Al Franken Is No Longer A Senator

  Railroaded: The Real Reasons Al Franken Is No Longer A Senator He and the Minnesotans he represented were pawns sacrificed in a Machiavellian political maneuver .Eddie Zipperer is a political science professor at Georgia Military College.The views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of The Daily Caller.

Investigation into Trump Associates and Russia

a screenshot of a cell phone: Most Democrats think it is justified, while most Republicans do not. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Most Democrats think it is justified, while most Republicans do not.

This December marked five years since the shooting at Sandy Hook Elementary School in Newtown, Connecticut. Today, a third of Americans call the amount of gun violence in the U.S. a crisis. More than half of Americans – 57 percent - want laws covering the sale of guns to be made more strict than they are now, but sharp partisan divides remain on this.

Looking ahead to 2018

What will be on Americans' minds in 2018? We'll be polling to find out if views of President Trump remain as polarizing as they are today. Will economic optimism persist? What about North Korea? And we'll see if Americans' views of the new tax law change over time, as it's implemented during the coming months.

Americans are divided on whether the country can come together.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Americans are unsure if the country can come together. © Provided by CBS Interactive Inc. Americans are unsure if the country can come together.

Stay tuned.


Railroaded: The Real Reasons Al Franken Is No Longer A Senator .
He and the Minnesotans he represented were pawns sacrificed in a Machiavellian political maneuver .Eddie Zipperer is a political science professor at Georgia Military College.The views and opinions expressed in this commentary are those of the author and do not reflect the official position of The Daily Caller.

Topical videos:

usr: 1
This is interesting!