Politics: Independent voters aren't all that independent, analysis says - PressFrom - US

PoliticsIndependent voters aren't all that independent, analysis says

04:40  15 march  2019
04:40  15 march  2019 Source:   cnn.com

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Many independent voters also share another trait, says Jim Melcher of the University of Maine at Farmington. But despite these tendencies, Melcher says most independent voters do lean either toward the Republican or Democratic party, and they tend to vote accordingly in general elections.

An independent voter , often also called an unaffiliated voter in the United States, is a voter who does not align themselves with a political party.

Independent voters aren't all that independent, analysis says© Tamir Kalifa for CNN CNN Town Hall Senator with Howard Schultz Live from Houston, TX Moderated by Poppy Harlow

Voters who identify as independents are rarely actually independent -- and the ones who are tend to not care about politics, according to a new analysis by the Pew Research Center.

Independents are often seen as the best possibility for potential candidates to pick up votes outside their bases, but most independents actually "lean" toward one party or another, according to the analysis. Less than 10% of the population say they truly have no partisan lean.

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Some political analysts say truly independent voters account for just 10 percent to 15 percent of the electorate. He says independents who say they lean toward a particular party — especially those who favor Democrats — are actually more likely to switch sides from one election to another.

Independent voters may rewrite the political playbook. Morrison Institute for Public Policy at Arizona State University and the Schwarzenegger Institute for State and Global Policy have teamed up with Independent Voting to better examine the independent voter phenomenon and the

In general, the number of Americans who consider themselves independents increased from 33% in 1994 to 38% in 2018.

Americans who identify as independents are more likely to lean toward the Democratic Party (17% of the total population) than toward the Republican Party (13% of the total population).

In 2018, just 7% of all Americans say they truly have no leaning toward either of the major parties. Those without a partisan lean -- true independents -- haven't increased as a share of the population, staying under or near 10% since Pew started tracking the question in 1994. Pew reports that those who do not lean toward a party are part of "a group that consistently expresses less interest in politics than partisan leaners" and "were less likely to say they had registered to vote and much less likely to say they voted."

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We like to call ourselves independent , but we still like to vote for our preferred party. In Gallup's most recent analysis , 42 percent of Americans identify as independent , compared with 29 Since 2004, the number of what we'll call "pure" independents — which is to say , those who aren ' t leaning

IndependentVoice.Org is a California association of independent voters working to fix our broken Government. As part of the national independent movement led by IndependentVoting.Org, we're working to make that happen across the country.

Independents have started leaning more toward Democrats in the last five years, compared to being split with Republican-leaners in the past.

The study comes at a time when one possible candidate is making his sales pitch to the middle of the political spectrum, counting on what he believes to be a legion of moderates to back his potential candidacy.

Howard Schultz, the ex-CEO of Starbucks, who is a billionaire and potentially a 2020 third party candidate, thinks American politicians have become "too partisan" and that the majority of the country identifies as being somewhere in the middle of the political spectrum. That fuels Schultz's call for politics with less bickering and divisiveness.

But reaching those voters could be difficult, according to Pew.

Independents, regardless of which party they lean toward, are less likely to vote than those affiliated with either party.

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Independents become independents because we are repelled by the current political system—by the self-dealing and arrogance of Independent voters became more visible as a result. We believe that independent voters deserve respect, recognition and reform and we work in every state—from the

Salmond said that was a good base to build on. Thinking back to when he called the independence referendum, he said that There are divides within the SNP on Europe, with a bloc opposed to the EU. Figures such as the former deputy leader Jim Sillars said he would not vote for independence if it

In a Pew poll last fall, strong partisans were more likely to report that they were registered to vote and participated in the midterm elections, including 59% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans. But only about half of Democratic-leaning independents (48%) and Republican-leaning independents (54%) said they voted. A third of true independents reported voting in the midterm elections.

On issues that are often subject to partisan disagreement, independents usually agree with whatever party they tend to lean toward.

For example, on the border wall with Mexico, 87% of Republicans overall favor expanding the wall, while 92% of Democrats oppose it. Independents who lean Republican are still in favor (75%) and independents who lean toward Democrats are very strongly opposed (95%). Two-thirds of independents with no political leaning oppose the wall, showing a slight preference to the more liberal views.

Overall, just 34% of independents approve of the way Donald Trump is handling his presidency, but that masks widely divergent views among those independents who lean toward a party.

While Trump has very high approval among those who identify as Republicans (84% in 2018), independents who lean toward the GOP also strongly approve of him (69%).

On the other side of the ledger, Democrats and independents who lean toward Democrats are also strongly correlated: Seven percent of people who identify as Democrats approve of the job Trump is doing and 9% of independents who lean toward Democrats feel the same way.

These results are based on a Pew Research Center analysis of surveys of all adults conducted in 2019 and earlier. Results on Trump's approval rating are based on a compilation of 2018 surveys conducted, and results on the wall are based on a survey from January 9 through 14, 2019.

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