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PoliticsMore brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump

06:05  12 june  2019
06:05  12 june  2019 Source:   washingtonpost.com

New poll shows both Biden and Sanders with sizable leads over Trump in Michigan

New poll shows both Biden and Sanders with sizable leads over Trump in Michigan The Rust Belt state was key to the Republican president’s electoral college win in 2016, and his campaign is angling to carry it again.

And a new poll just made their job much more difficult. Quinnipiac University has for the first time conducted national But these polls are beginning to paint a pretty unified picture of Trump 's current political standing as the 2020 race lurches to a start, and it's decidedly not a strong one.

More on that in a second. Quinnipiac’s poll includes an assessment of the favorability of each of the major candidates — not an easy thing to do, given how many there are. If Trump were to run against de Blasio, it seems safe to assume that he wouldn’t have to do much work.

More brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump© Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post President Trump walks from the Oval Office to board Marine One to depart on the South Lawn at the White House on Tuesday. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post)

The New York Times just dropped a brutal story reporting that President Trump is instructing his aides to lie about his poor standing in internal polls. And a new poll just made their job much more difficult.

Quinnipiac University has for the first time conducted national head-to-head polls matching up Trump and some of the leading Democratic presidential hopefuls. None of the matchups is good for Trump.

Trump trails all six by between five and 13 points, with Joe Biden holding the biggest advantage and the lesser-known candidates — Sen. Cory Booker (N.J.) and Mayor Pete Buttigieg — holding the smallest leads.

CNN Poll: Rising share expect Trump to win in 2020

CNN Poll: Rising share expect Trump to win in 2020 A majority of Americans say they think Donald Trump is going to win a second term, according to a CNN Poll conducted by SSRS.

This suggests Trump could have a much more difficult job turning around his bad ratings than Reagan or really any president in the modern polling era. But these stats paint a very grim picture for the President. Anyone who thinks it will be easy for Trump to persuade his doubters is sorely mistaken.

President Donald Trump 's poll numbers are bad, but here's why he could win in 2020 . Despite the consistency of the negative polling results for Trump , I would be at least a little hesitant to read too much into them.

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The findings mirror the limited head-to-head polling we’ve seen in some key early states, with Trump trailing by as much as double digits in crucial Michigan and Pennsylvania, and even trailing Biden in Texas (!) in another Quinnipiac poll. Trump also trails in most national head-to-heads, although often not by as much as Quinnipiac indicates.

As with all polling at this early a juncture, it should not be used to predict any outcomes. Things can and will change. Biden, most notably, remains very popular from his time as vice president, and few analysts expect he’ll be able to maintain that for an entire campaign.

But these polls are beginning to paint a pretty unified picture of Trump’s current political standing as the 2020 race lurches to a start, and it’s decidedly not a strong one. And if there’s one thing the last two years have shown us, it’s that Trump’s political standing hasn’t changed much.

New 2020 polls: Biden tops Trump in Michigan, edges ahead in Texas

New 2020 polls: Biden tops Trump in Michigan, edges ahead in Texas Call it an early warning sign for Donald Trump as he runs for re-election. A new poll in reliably red Texas indicates former Vice President Joe Biden – the clear front-runner right now in the Democratic presidential nomination race – with a slight edge over Trump in a hypothetical 2020 general election showdown. Wednesday’s release of the Quinnipiac poll comes one day after a survey in Michigan indicated both Biden and independent Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont – another leading Democratic nomination contender – both topping the president by double digits in potential general election matchups in the crucial battleground state.

President Donald Trump likes to boast that he is the most popular Republican president among Republicans that has ever existed. This Post-ABC poll comes at a very interesting moment in both Trump 's presidency and the broader debate about the future direction of the Republican Party.

Pete Buttigieg, one of Trump ’s would-be opponents in the 2020 presidential campaign had a prescient moment Tuesday when he told a crowd an hour before Trump spoke: “You will not see me exchanging love letters on White House letterhead with a Analysis More brutal 2020 poll numbers for Trump .

The Times reports this has begun to register with Trump, so much that he has instructed aides to pretend the polls don’t say what they do:

After being briefed on a devastating 17-state poll conducted by his campaign pollster, Tony Fabrizio, Mr. Trump told aides to deny that his internal polling showed him trailing Mr. Biden in many of the states he needs to win, even though he is also trailing in public polls from key states like Texas, Michigan and Pennsylvania. And when top-line details of the polling leaked, including numbers showing the president lagging in a cluster of critical Rust Belt states, Mr. Trump instructed aides to say publicly that other data showed him doing well.

As ominous as the general election matchups in the new Quinnipiac poll are some of the other questions it posed. For instance, the vast majority of the country (7 in 10 people) regards the economy as good — a finding that would appear to be Trump’s ace in the hole. But 41 percent say it’s good and also credit Trump for that. Among independents, 6 in 10 either say the economy is not good or that Trump deserves no credit. Thirty-four percent think it’s good, thanks to Trump.

Trump's job approval ticks up to 45 percent

Trump's job approval ticks up to 45 percent President Trump's approval rating ticked up to 45 percent, while his disapproval numbers slid to 55 percent, according to a new poll released Wednesday.The Hill-HarrisX survey, conducted June 7-8, found that support for Trump rose 1 percentage point from the previous poll on May 24.Both surveys had a 3-point margin of error.Across age groups, voters under the age of 35 in the newer poll were least likely to say they approved of the president, while those in the 50-64 age group were most likely to support him. Thirty-nine percent of respondents between the ages of 18 and 34 approved of Trump, compared to 48 percent of those between 50 and 64.

The 2020 presidential election is still more than 800 days away, but a new POLITICO/Morning Consult poll shows President Donald Trump with paltry But, notably, Trump ’s vote share in each of these matchups is stuck in a narrow band between 28 percent and 30 percent — a poor showing for an

Many expected Hispanics to vote overwhelmingly against Trump in 2016. A Latino Decisions poll conducted just before the 2016 presidential election found Trump had Now, here’s the brutal truth for Democrats: If Hispanic Americans are in fact showing surging approval of Trump , he could be on

Trump also trails each Democrat among independents by at least 15 points, so even if you think the sample is off in some way, that’s a pretty grim starting point. Trump won independents in 2016, according to exit polls, by four points. He trails Biden among them by 30 points.

Trump was asked about the Times report and his standing in the poll shortly before the Quinnipiac poll dropped Tuesday, and all he could muster is that there is a Rasmussen poll showing him at 50 percent approval. Rasmussen has frequently been Trump’s best poll, with no other pollster consistently mirroring its numbers.

Asked whether he instructed aides to lie about the polls, Trump said: “I never do. My poll numbers are great. The amazing thing is all I do is get hit by this phony witch hunt.”

He went on to decry the public polls showing him trailing as “fake polls” that are meant to suppress votes, which isn’t how push-polling works. (There is no sense in suppressing votes 17 months before an election.)

What’s clear is that Trump was worried about his polls before Tuesday, and now he must be even more worried. It’s beginning to appear that if the Democrats can avoid their candidate being torn apart by the primary process and then Trump, they’re in a really good position to start.


Read More

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