Politics: Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL) - - PressFrom - US
  •   
  •   
  •   

PoliticsHarris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)

13:46  03 july  2019
13:46  03 july  2019 Source:   abcnews.go.com

Harris confronts Biden on race during Democratic debate

Harris confronts Biden on race during Democratic debate Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris confronted former Vice President Joe Biden over comments he made about working with pro-segregationists when he was in the U.S. Senate, telling him his comments were personal and hurtful. "I do not believe you are a racist. And I agree with you when you commit yourself to the importance of finding common ground," Harris said in a dramatic exchange during the second Democratic debate.

In the CNN poll , Harris and Biden had about even support among Democrats overall, white voters, young voters, nonwhite women and people who watched On the question of electability , Biden , still the frontrunner, took a post- debate hit. In the HuffPost/YouGov poll , 57 percent of respondents said

The ability to beat Trump is Biden ’s core argument for his candidacy. But primary voters are beginning to believe that Elizabeth Warren or Kamala Harris could be just as formidable. The latest polls suggest that if Biden turns in another debate like the last one, his electability argument could be shot.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)
Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)
Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)

A wide advantage in perceived electability boosts Joe Biden in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, but he lags in having new ideas, is challenged by Bernie Sanders and faces a debate-energized Kamala Harris in a new ABC News/Washington Post poll.

Biden sees support from Democrats slip 10 points after debate

Biden sees support from Democrats slip 10 points after debate The percentage of Democrats who say they would vote for former Vice President Joe Biden if the presidential race were held tomorrow slipped by 10 points after the first primary debate.According to a Morning Consult/FiveThirtyEight poll of likely Democratic voters released on Friday, 41.5 percent said before the debates they would vote for Biden tomorrow, but 31.5 percent said the same thing after Thursday night's debate.The apparent decline in

Biden ’s debate blundering appears to have pierced any remaining notions that the former vice president was on a glide path to the nomination. Advisers to at least six other presidential campaigns told POLITICO that Harris ’ successful ambush of Biden , in particular

According to those polled , Warren was a sharp debater , while Harris was "very direct" in her vision for the country. During the second debate , Harris sliced through her rivals’ crosstalk and challenged Biden on his history with racial issues, such as busing.

In current preferences, 29% of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents support Biden and 23% favor Sanders, with 11% apiece for Harris and Elizabeth Warren. The number of undecided potential voters has dropped sharply after the first debates, with gains in support for each of these candidates. Others are in the low single digits, at best.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Provided by ABC News Inc.

See PDF for full results, charts and tables.

Given the time to register to vote in advance of the caucus and primary season, these results are among all leaned Democrats. Among those who are registered now, Biden goes to a 30-19% advantage over Sanders, with 13% for Harris and 12% for Warren.

Crosscurrents underlie candidate preferences in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates. A broad plurality, 45%, says Biden has the best chance to beat President Donald Trump in the general election, but only 18% say he has new ideas, trailing Sanders, Warren and Harris alike.

Graham says Harris will 'be a force to be reckoned with"

Graham says Harris will 'be a force to be reckoned with Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) said Sen. Kamala Harris will be "a force to be reckoned with" following her performance in the first Democratic debate this week. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); "She's got game. She is very talented. She's very smart, and she'll be a force to be reckoned with," Graham said according to a video posted online Saturday by CBS's Face the Nation.

The front -runner fell in a series of national polls after the first Democratic debate last week. Since Thursday's primary debate in Miami when Sen. Kamala Harris of California criticized his record on But, as of now, Democratic voters still prefer electability over ideological purity – and think Biden is

Harris ’ objective was not to fade into the background of an ideological slugfest between Biden and Bernie Sanders, the advisers said. In the debate , Harris willed her way into the conversation about race and policing, calmly noting that as the only black person on the stage, she’d like to be heard.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Provided by ABC News Inc.Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Provided by ABC News Inc.

At the same time, 41% say Harris stood out in her debate performance, easily the leader in this gauge, a wide 15 to 22 percentage points ahead of Biden, Sanders and Warren. And among those who actually watched both Democratic debates last week, the number picking Harris as a standout performer soars to 72%, well above any of her competitors.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Provided by ABC News Inc.(MORE: Health care ranks among Trump's 2020 challenges with voters, poll finds)

An impact is apparent: among the half of leaned Democrats who did not watch either of the two nights of debates, just 5% support Harris for the nomination. Among those who watched the debate in which she appeared, by contrast, her support swells to 20%. That places her numerically second among Thursday-night viewers; Biden has 28% support in this group; Warren, 17%; and Sanders, 15%.

Warren also does better among viewers of her debate than non-viewers, 17 vs. 8% support. Showing strength among highly engaged leaned Democrats, she reaches 22%, virtually matching Biden’s 25%, among those who watched both debates.

Poll: Biden support sinks, Harris moves up to third place after Democratic debate

Poll: Biden support sinks, Harris moves up to third place after Democratic debate Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) surged into third place among 2020 Democratic presidential candidates following what many considered a standout debate performance on Thursday, according to a new Morning Consult poll. 

Former vice president Joe Biden has surged in recent polling while Sen. One disastrous debate performance later, his support and the perception of his electability plunged. Biden ’s got good support from black voters, so perhaps his electability case on that front is actually relatively robust.

Sen. Kamala Harris was widely credited with having a good debate Thursday night—and it has resulted in a bump in the polls . Kamala Harris gestures during the Democratic primary debate hosted by NBC News at the Adrienne Arsht Center for the Performing Arts in Miami.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)

Photo gallery by Reuters

There’s no meaningful difference in Biden’s support across debate-watching groups, and Sanders gets the booby prize – higher support among those who did not watch the debates, 26%, vs. 15% among those who watched the debate in which he appeared and 10% among those who watched both nights. Comparative inattention fits with his younger support profile; 18- to 29-year-olds, his best support group, are least likely to have tuned in.

These results are from a question in which respondents were read a list of Democratic candidates. Asking preferences in an open-ended format produces similar results (25-18-9-9%, Biden-Sanders-Harris-Warren), with gains for each in comparison with April – Biden +8 points, Sanders +7, and Harris and Warren both +5. Those with no opinion dropped sharply, 35% in April compared with 19% now (and 6% when the full list is read).

(MORE: 64% oppose Trump's move to build a wall; On asylum, just 30% support stricter rules )

In another measure, intended participation is high: Seventy-two percent of leaned Democrats say they’re certain to vote in their state’s primary or caucus. That’s up from 56% in November 2015, when it was first asked in the last cycle, a race that pitted just two prime candidates. Current results are similar to what they were in November 2007, the last crowded (albeit not this crowded) Democratic race.

CNN Democratic candidate poll: Harris and Warren rise and Biden slides after first Democratic debates

CNN Democratic candidate poll: Harris and Warren rise and Biden slides after first Democratic debates Sens. Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren have made steep gains after the first Democratic presidential debate, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. shows, with former Vice President Joe Biden's lead over the field shrinking to a narrow 5 points. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); The results indicate a significant tightening in the race for the Democratic nomination.

On Thursday, Harris debated alongside Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York and the author “This question of electability maybe gets shaken up a little bit as a result of these past two nights,” Walsh Harris burst through on night two with a striking exchange with former Vice President Joe Biden , who

A post- debate poll released by CNN shows that Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren gained in support and Joe Biden ’s support fell. A new Hill-HarrisX poll , also conducted after the first debate , found that Harris received a 6-point bump, placing her third among voters.

Debate Reax

Harris’ debate rating comes among those who actually tuned in. Respondents were asked which candidates stood out as having done an especially good job in the debates, with up to four names accepted. Among those who watched both nights, a vast 72% picked Harris for a standout performance. Fewer but 58% named Warren. Neither Biden nor Sanders, nor others, remotely approach these levels. (Pete Buttigieg comes closest, cited by 31%.)

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Stephen Lam/Reuters Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris waves as she joins supporters of the LGBTQ community at the Pride Parade in San Francisco, Calif., June 30, 2019.

Groups

Notably among groups, while Harris challenged Biden on the subject of race in their debate, his support is especially strong among blacks, 41%, 12 points higher than it is overall. Harris’ support, by contrast, is not differentiated by race and ethnicity – 11% among blacks and an identical 11% among all leaned Democrats. Warren, for her part, has notably low support among nonwhites, 5%.

Biden’s support continues to skew older, Sanders’ younger: Among leaned Democrats age 50 and older, Biden leads Sanders by a broad 39-11%. Among those younger than 50, Biden’s support falls to 21% and Sanders’ rises to 32%. (There are no such age gaps in support for Warren or Harris.)

Harris surges to second in new national poll

Harris surges to second in new national poll Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) surged into second place following last week's Democratic presidential debates, cutting deep into former Vice President Joe Biden's long-held lead in the primary contest, according to a national poll released Tuesday.Harris soared to 20 percent in Quinnipiac University Poll's survey, while Biden fell to 22 percent among Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters.That's a significant change from a Quinnipiac poll released last month that showed Biden leading the pack with 30 percent and Harris lingering in a distant fourth place with 7 percent support.

Kamala Harris ' debate performance has led to a surge in support according to a new poll from Morning Consult. Most of the gain came at the expense of former Vice President Joe Biden , who lost five points. Morning Consult has been conducting a weekly tracking poll of the Democratic field.

On Thursday, Harris debated alongside Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York and the author "This question of electability maybe gets shaken up a little bit as a result of these past two nights," Walsh Harris burst through on night two with a striking exchange with former Vice President Joe Biden , who

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Brian Snyder/Reuters Democratic 2020 presidential candidate Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) greets supporters before marching in the Nashua Pride Parade in Nashua, N.H., June 29, 2019.

Among other group differences, Sanders’ support plummets among the most-educated group, while Warren’s rises with education. And by ideology, Warren does better with liberals compared with moderates. (Biden’s better number among moderates than liberals isn’t statistically significant.)

(MORE: Most Americans believe Congress shouldn't impeach Trump: Poll )

While the contest pits prominent Democratic women and men alike, there are no substantial differences in candidate choice on the basis of gender. Men divide 26-26-10-9% among Biden-Sanders-Harris-Warren; women, by a similar 30-21-12-13%.

Who Else?

Former Vice President Biden and 2016 candidate Sanders are, of course, the best-known figures in the Democratic race. While they’re in front, it’s striking that most Democrats and Democratic leaners are not entirely wedded to their current choices; just about a quarter, 26%, say it’s "extremely" important to them that their candidate wins the nomination. That includes about the same number just among Biden’s supporters, 29%.

Still, asking second-choice preferences finds another advantage for Biden: Among those who don’t support him now, 33% pick him as their next-choice candidate. By comparison, among those who don’t currently favor Sanders he’s second choice for 24%. Warren is second choice for 17% of those who don’t back her now, as is Harris for 16%.

Poll: Biden's support from black voters cut in half after debate

Poll: Biden's support from black voters cut in half after debate Former Vice President Joe Biden has lost support among African-Americans after taking heat on racial issues, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll. The survey, conducted from Friday to Monday in the days following the debate in Miami, found 22 percent of adults who identify as Democrats or independents said they supported Biden, down 8 percentage points from a similar poll conducted earlier in June. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.

On Thursday, Harris debated alongside Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York and the author "This question of electability maybe gets shaken up a little bit as a result of these past two nights," Walsh Harris burst through on night two with a striking exchange with former Vice President Joe Biden , who

While it's too early in the Democratic nominating process to know if they succeeded on that front "This question of electability maybe gets shaken up a little bit as a result of these past two nights Harris burst through on night two with a striking exchange with former Vice President Joe Biden , who

That said, another Biden advantage – being seen as the candidate best able to defeat Trump – is unlikely to be all it will take for Biden to prevail. It’s notable that, among those who pick Biden on this measure, 45% nonetheless support another Democratic candidate.

Issues

Health care is the top-rated issue for Democrats and Democratic leaners, and they side heavily with a so-called Medicare-for-all system, a central topic of the debates. Seventy-seven percent of leaned Democrats support a government-run, taxpayer-funded universal health care system like Medicare, essentially the same as it was in an ABC/Post poll back in 2003. Support remains high, 66%, even if it meant doing away with private insurance.

Health care, moreover, is cited by 89% of leaned Democrats as a top issue in their vote in the general election, leading a list of nine items. Eighty-five to 79% cite gun violence, issues of special concern to women, immigration, global warming and the economy as highly important, followed by foreign policy, 72%; abortion, 69%; and taxes, 60%.

(MORE: Biden takes the Democrats' early lead, with signs of a generational showdown (POLL))

Preference in handling two of these issues is generally similar to candidate support overall. On health care, 27% of leaned Democrats pick Sanders as the candidate they trust most and 25% pick Biden, followed by 13% for Warren and 7% for Harris. On immigration, another focus of the debate, 21% pick Biden; 17%, Sanders; 12%, Harris; and 8% Warren, with an additional 8% favoring Julián Castro.

Harris scores in debate performance while electability keeps Biden in front (POLL)© Provided by ABC News Inc.

Viewed another way, Biden and Sanders are essentially tied among leaned Democrats who focus on any of five top issues – health care, issues of special concern to women, immigration, global warming and the economy. One remaining item differentiates them – gun violence, on which Biden has a 10-point advantage. Warren and Harris compete for third position on all these.

In Iowa, Biden's front-runner status looks shaky

In Iowa, Biden's front-runner status looks shaky Joe Biden is still the front-runner in the Democratic presidential race, but the crown is slipping. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); On a two-day holiday visit to Iowa, the state that kicks off the White House nominating fight in seven months, Biden was greeted by new polls showing his lead narrowing in the state and nationally after a wobbly performance in last week's first debate.

On Thursday, Harris debated alongside Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York and the author “This question of electability maybe gets shaken up a little bit as a result of these past two nights,” Walsh Harris burst through on night two with a striking exchange with former Vice President Joe Biden , who

While most issue preferences don’t sharply differentiate candidate choices, there are some differences in issue emphasis among groups. The economy, for example, is rated as highly important by 85% of those without a college degree vs. 67% of college graduates, and by 84% of those with less than $50,000 in annual household incomes vs. 70% of those in the $100,000-plus bracket.

Some gender gaps also emerge. Democratic and leaned-Democratic women are 12 points more apt than men to cite health care as highly important, 95% vs. 83%. Women are 17 points more likely than men to cite taxes as a major issue, 69% vs. 52%. And in the widest gap, women are 23 points more likely to call abortion a top issue, 79% vs. 56%.

Methodology

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone June 28-July 1, 2019, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,008 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 5.5 points, including the design effect, for the sample of 460 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents covered in this report. Partisan divisions in the full survey are 29-23-37%, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y., with sampling and data collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, Md. See details on the survey’s methodology here.

Read More

In Iowa, Biden's front-runner status looks shaky.
Joe Biden is still the front-runner in the Democratic presidential race, but the crown is slipping. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); On a two-day holiday visit to Iowa, the state that kicks off the White House nominating fight in seven months, Biden was greeted by new polls showing his lead narrowing in the state and nationally after a wobbly performance in last week's first debate.

—   Share news in the SOC. Networks

Topical videos:

usr: 1
This is interesting!