Politics: Trump’s company could save millions if interest rates fall as he demands - PressFrom - US

PoliticsTrump’s company could save millions if interest rates fall as he demands

21:40  24 august  2019
21:40  24 august  2019 Source:   washingtonpost.com

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President Trump could cut his tax bills by more than .1 billion, including saving tens of millions Mr. Trump ’ s proposed changes could allow individuals to qualify for a significantly reduced tax rate of 25 percent on Under his proposal, mortgage interest and charitable giving would still be deductible.

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President Trump stands to save millions of dollars annually in interest on outstanding loans on his hotels and resorts if the Federal Reserve lowers rates as he has been demanding, according to public filings and financial experts.

In the five years before he became president, Trump borrowed more than $360 million via four loans from Deutsche Bank for his hotels in Washington, D.C., and Chicago, as well his 643-room Doral golf resort in South Florida.

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Последние твиты от Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump). 45th President of the United States of America🇺🇸. .The Prime Minister was able to save a great deal of expense and effort for both the United States and Denmark by being so direct.

Fred Trump openly ridiculed him for being too nice, too soft, too lazy, too fond of drink. He frowned on his interests in flying and music, could not fathom What didn’t fail was the Trump safety net. Just as Donald Trump ’ s finances were crumbling, family partnerships and companies dramatically increased

The payments on all four properties vary with interest rate changes, according to Trump’s official financial disclosures. That means he has already benefited from falling interest rates that were spurred in part by a cut the Federal Reserve announced in July, the first in more than a decade — and his payments could drop by millions of dollars more annually if the central bank grants Trump’s wish and further lowers short-term rates, experts said.

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“It will reduce his borrowing costs quite a bit if he gets what he wants,” said Phillip Braun, a finance professor at Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management. Braun said Trump’s savings could be even greater if Deutsche Bank permits his company to pay down the loans more quickly without a penalty, which banks sometimes allow.

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As President Trump delivered his inaugural address in 2017, a slight woman with feathered gray hair sat listening, bundled in a hooded white parka in a fenced-off V.I.P. section. Her name was Rosemary T. Vrablic.

The White House and the Trump Organization did not respond to requests for comment.

While Trump’s adult sons, Donald Trump Jr. and Eric Trump, are managing the family business, the president insisted on retaining ownership of his company after his election, bucking the practice of past presidents. That decision, ethics experts warned, would lead to potential conflicts of interest between his personal interests and public policy goals.

The Trump administration has argued that lower interest rates would spur more consumers to buy homes and cars and businesses to invest in new factories. Cutting rates also typically lowers the value of the dollar, making U.S. products cheaper to overseas buyers, a goal of the president.

But most economists and business leaders say Trump’s trade war is the biggest threat to the economy, not interest rates, which are already at historically low levels.

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The structure of the Trump Organization makes it a prime potential beneficiary – one estimate says the tax plan will save Donald Trump m a year in taxes. Trump ’ s plan would allow the wealthy business owner who re-categorized personal income as business income to access the lower 15% rate .

The interest rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage moved lower last week for only the second time since September, but that was not enough Applications to refinance a home loan, which usually rise when rates fall , did just the opposite, falling 1 percent for the week on a seasonally adjusted basis.

Since taking office, Trump has aggressively sought to lower interest rates and rejected the mostly hands-off approach other presidents have taken to the Fed, repeatedly blasting Chair Jerome H. Powell — whom Trump appointed to the post last year — for not falling in line.

On Friday, after Powell made no announcement of a rate cut and instead voiced concerns about Trump’s trade war with China, the president immediately attacked him on Twitter, writing that “As usual the Fed did NOTHING!” and comparing Powell to Chinese President Xi Jinping.

“My only question is, who is our bigger enemy, Jay Powell or Chairman Xi?” Trump posted.

Trump and his advisers have privately discussed creating a rotation among the Federal Reserve governors that would reduce Powell’s influence, The Washington Post reported this past week.

Asked Friday night by reporters if he wanted Powell to resign, the president responded, “If he did, I wouldn’t stop him.”

The central bank’s benchmark rate is one factor in determining interest owed on variable-rate loans, the kind the president has on his properties. Mortgage rates have also been driven down because of the trade war with China and anxieties about global growth.

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Unless it did as he demanded , Trump wrote, he would launch a "major lawsuit." Beginning in 2004, around when his public company fell into bankruptcy, Trump began playing the role of He demands applause and annihilates those who refuse to give it. He preens about successes he obtained only by

- Low interest rates also encourage people to spend more and save less, so people are more likely to spend large amounts of their savings, which may be - Higher interest rates may have a huge impact on the residential property market, causing demand for houses to fall as well as average house prices.

Experts said it’s difficult to ascertain exactly how much Trump would save if he gets the reduction in short-term interest rates that he has urged, from 2.25 percent to 1.25 percent — a move typically reserved for economic emergencies.

But the president would be substantially impacted by a rate cut, they agreed.

Beginning in 2012, Deutsche Bank provided Trump’s company with about $364 million in loans by working through the bank’s private wealth division, rather than through traditional commercial lending units, according to public loan documents.

Trump’s company could save millions if interest rates fall as he demands© Angel Valentin/For The Washington Post

President Trump’s company took out a $125 million loan to buy and renovate the Doral golf resort in Florida.

The borrowing was for two loans totaling $125 million to buy and renovate the Doral golf resort in Florida, a $170 million loan to renovate Washington’s Old Post Office Pavilion into a Trump hotel and a $69 million loan to refinance an existing Trump hotel in Chicago.

Trump’s financial disclosures and loan records indicate that all four of the loans remain outstanding. His company has paid down at least $19 million of the Chicago loan, according to the filings, though the documents do not show the amount of the remaining balances for any of the properties.

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Beyond the rate reduction, Trump could also benefit from several other provisions likely to be part of the In delaying the December release, Trump promised his company would do “no new deals” while he is in Trump ’ s potential conflicts of interest aren’t limited to tax reform. He stands to benefit from

Trump ’ s father, like most wealthy individuals, also set up trusts before he died . Donald Trump admitted in a 2007 deposition that he borrowed at least million from his future inheritance when he encountered financial difficulties. The documents (appended at the end of this article) suggest some

Trump could save at least $600,000 and as much as $1.1 million annually on just the larger of the two Doral loans if the Fed made a percentage point reduction, depending on the loan agreement, according to Clifford Rossi, a professor at the University of Maryland’s business school.

Even a quarter-point reduction, which most Wall Street investors now predict will occur in mid-September, could save Trump as much as $275,000 annually on that single Doral loan.

“If you’re a consumer borrower with a car loan or a credit card, a quarter-point reduction is significant savings,” Rossi said. Trump “has more loans and a bigger dollar size, so he would get certainly a larger reduction on the amount owed than most Americans out there.”

An analysis by Bloomberg News found that for every quarter-point reduction, Trump could save $850,000 in annual interest rate payments, which would mean more than $3 million in annual savings if the Fed dropped rates a full percentage point as Trump has demanded.

During his years as a real estate developer, Trump was famous for his aggressive efforts to save money, even when it meant breaking up relationships or shattering professional norms.

Trump has been sued dozens of times for nonpayment of bills, by building contractors, bartenders and even his own lawyers. He used money from a nonprofit charity to pay off legal settlements for his for-profit businesses. He once sued his own lender, Deutsche Bank, to get out of a large mortgage.

Before entering politics, Trump often advocated for lower interest rates, which are key for a business that relies on large sums of debt.

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That change alone could save Trump millions , based on documents from Trump ' s 2005 tax return, which were revealed earlier this year by journalist David Cay Johnston. That year, Trump said he had made million from rental real estate, partnerships and other pass-through companies , as

Under Trump , the jobless rate fell further — to 4.1 percent in October, November and December. EIA expects there will be less demand for exports, and increased use of natural gas to generate Trump conspicuously failed to “repeal and replace” Obama’ s Affordable Care Act as he promised to do.

“Interest rates are very critical to the real estate industry, and [Trump has] spent his whole career there, so he has strong opinions about where interest rates should be,” said James Bullard, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. “Every real estate person I’ve ever met in my life has always wanted lower rates in all circumstances, so I think that’s part of [Trump’s] nature.”

In the 1980s, Trump became one of the most aggressive borrowers in the country, using cheap loans to finance an Atlantic City casino empire that ultimately failed and forced four of his companies to file for bankruptcy.

In the wake of that collapse, Trump was largely frozen out by big banks. He used cash to fund much of his company’s more recent real estate expansion, then turned to an increasingly risk-taking Deutsche Bank for some big loans starting in 2012, as The Post has previously reported.

Democrats in Congress have subpoenaed his Deutsche bank records, but Trump sued to stop the bank from responding and the matter remains mired in court.

Previous presidents have avoided publicly criticizing the Fed to maintain the board’s insulation from politics. Trump decided otherwise from the get-go and as global economic concerns mounted in recent weeks, he escalated his already routine attacks on Powell, tweeting at different times in July that “the Federal Reserve doesn’t have a clue!” and “They raised rates too soon, too often, & tightened, while others did just the opposite.”

Four former Fed chairs, collectively appointed and reappointed by six presidents, then published a Wall Street Journal op-ed urging that the Fed be allowed to act “free of short-term political pressures and, in particular, without the threat of removal or demotion of Fed leaders for political reasons.”

Trump further amped up the pressure Friday after Powell spoke at a meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The chair said the U.S. economy was in a “favorable place” but that the trade war Trump launched against China had created a “complex, turbulent” situation.

Trump responded with a tirade on Twitter, blaming China for a boatload of issues and demanding that U.S. companies avoid doing business there. Stock market investors, already wary of a shaky bond market and declining consumer confidence, began a sell-off that resulted in steep market losses.

Braun, the Northwestern professor, said Trump’s constant pressure on the Fed chair and his colleagues to adjust rates to suit the president’s liking could hurt the U.S. economy.

“I don’t think the Fed should be accommodating Trump’s trade war, and the risk is potential inflation and the reputation of the Fed in the future,” he said.

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