Politics: 5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL - PressFrom - US
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Politics5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL

14:36  11 september  2019
14:36  11 september  2019 Source:   abcnews.go.com

President Trump brings 2020 roadshow to New Mexico hoping to expand electoral map

President Trump brings 2020 roadshow to New Mexico hoping to expand electoral map President Donald Trump will plant his flag Monday night in a state that he lost in 2016 when he brings his massive, campaign rally roadshow to New Mexico.

In a first look at head - to - head 2020 presidential matchups nationwide, several Democratic challengers lead President Donald Trump , with former Vice President Joseph Biden ahead 53 - 40 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University National Poll released today. In other matchups , the

“The head - to - head matchups give this heads up to President Donald Trump ’s team: Former Vice President Joseph Biden and other Democratic contenders would beat the president if the election were held today. Leads range from Biden’s 13 percentage points to thin five -point leads by Mayor

5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL
5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL
5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL

Five Democratic contenders lead Donald Trump in head-to-head matchups in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with several widening their advantage since July. Concerns about the economy, which have pushed down the president’s job approval rating, are a factor.

Poll: All 2020 Democrats but Warren beat Trump in New Hampshire

Poll: All 2020 Democrats but Warren beat Trump in New Hampshire Every 2020 Democratic presidential candidate but Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) beat President Trump in New Hampshire in a poll released Tuesday.In theoretical match-ups, Emerson Polling found that all of the Democratic candidates won out over Trump except for Warren, with former Vice President Joe Biden leading. With a 10-point lead, Biden earned the votes of 55 percent of participants.Tech entrepreneur Andrew Yang was the runner-up against the president, winning 54 percent of voters in a head-to-head race. Yang has struggled to gain traction in the polls and has single-digit support in most surveys.

“The head - to - head matchups give this heads up to President Donald Trump ’s team: Former Vice President Joseph Biden and other Democratic contenders would beat the president if the election were held today. Leads range from Biden’s 13 percentage points to thin five -point leads by Mayor

Biden is in a tight head - to - head matchup with Trump in Texas, with the former vice president at 48% to Trump 's 44%, according to a Quinnipiac University poll published last week. The president was also locked in too-close-to-call matchups with six other Democratic 2020 presidential candidates

Among those tested in the survey, Joe Biden leads Trump by 16 percentage points among all adults, 54-38%, essentially the same as two months ago. Bernie Sanders leads by 12 points, up from 6 in July; as does Elizabeth Warren by 11 points, compared with a slight 7 points previously. Kamala Harris leads by 10 points, while Pete Buttigieg has a slight 6-point edge.

See PDF for full results, charts and tables.

Trump’s support is virtually the same, 38%-41%, in all these matchups, vs. 41%-45% in July. What changes have occurred mainly reflect dips in his support rather than Democratic gains in this poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates.

5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL© Provided by ABC News Inc.

Current standings are similar among registered voters. Biden and Sanders lead Trump by 15 and 9 points, respectively, compared with +10 for Biden and essentially a dead heat for Sanders in July. Warren and Harris have slight 7-point leads among registered voters, improved from even splits two months ago. Buttigieg’s +4 is not statistically significant.

Poll: Biden holds 12-point lead over Sanders, Warren third

Poll: Biden holds 12-point lead over Sanders, Warren third Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 12 point lead over Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), his closest contender, in the Democratic presidential primary, according to a new poll released Monday. 

The top Democratic candidates best President Donald Trump in national head - to - head matchups , according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University out Tuesday.

"The head - to - head matchups give this heads up to President Donald Trump 's team: Former Vice President Joseph Biden and other Democratic contenders would beat the president if the election were held today. Leads range from Biden's 13 percentage points to thin five -point leads by Mayor

(MORE: Trump approval drops by 6 points, majority say recession likely: POLL)

Trump has 40%-44% support among registered voters. While Republicans historically have been more apt to register and vote, there’s plenty of time to register, and registration drives – as well as voter motivation – can shift the equation on Election Day.

5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL© Provided by ABC News Inc.

Democratic front-runner Biden leads Trump among independents, often swing voters, by 17 points, 52%-35% – almost entirely because of a wide Biden lead, 63%-26%, among independent women, vs. 45%-43% among independent men. Sanders performs as well among independents, +18 points, with a smaller gender gap. Independents are +12 points for Harris, a slight +10 points for Warren and a non-significant +7 points for Buttigieg.

Also notably, the Biden-Trump race is a close 49%-44% in the red states Trump won in 2016, as well as 61%-30% in the states won by Hillary Clinton.

Warren rises as solid Democratic option behind Biden, Sanders: Reuters/Ipsos poll

Warren rises as solid Democratic option behind Biden, Sanders: Reuters/Ipsos poll Support for U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren rose more than that of any other Democratic presidential hopeful over the past month, according to the Reuters/Ipsos poll, solidifying her status as a top contender behind Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. © Reuters/Gretchen Ertl FILE PHOTO: Democratic 2020 U.S. presidential candidate and U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) speaks at the New Hampshire Democratic Party state convention in Manchester The Sept. 9-10 poll found that 11% of Democrats and independents said they would vote for Warren in their state's nominating contests, up 3 percentage points from a similar poll that ran Aug. 1 to 5.

President Donald Trump trails all of his Democratic rivals in hypothetical matchups of the 2020 Is there any reason to suspect that President Donald Trump will change his campaign platform from the 2016 race? Other polling has indicated Biden leads Trump in several critical battleground states

President Donald Trump would endure a resounding defeat against potential 2020 contenders Joe Biden or Bernie Sanders, according to a new SurveyUSA poll that surveyed registered voters about their preferred choices in hypothetical, head - to - head matchups . Former Vice President Joe Biden

Among other groups, whites split about evenly between Biden and Trump, 46%-48%, while Trump leads among whites by 10 points vs. Harris, 9 points vs. Buttigieg and a slight 8 points vs. Sanders and Warren. All the Democrats lead by wide margins among nonwhites.

(MORE: 6 in 10 fear a mass shooting; most think gun laws can help: POLL)

That said, with more than a year to go until the general election, Americans still are forming their opinions and gaining familiarity with the potential nominees. And winning the popular vote doesn’t necessarily translate into winning the Electoral College, as shown in the 2016 election.

The Economy

Economic concerns are strongly related to these preferences. Biden leads Trump by 70%-20% among Americans who think a recession is likely in the next year and by a similar margin among those who express concern that the U.S.-China trade dispute will lead to higher prices. Among those who doubt either outcome, vote preference is essentially reversed.

There’s a big effect even among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. Trump leads Biden by 80 points or more among leaned Republicans who are skeptical about a recession occurring or prices rising in a trade war, compared with 27 points among those who are concerned about rising prices in a trade war and 42 points among those who see a recession as more likely. Results are similar with the other Democratic contenders.

Trump in Dead Heat With Top Democrats in Key Swing State of Florida, Poll Finds

Trump in Dead Heat With Top Democrats in Key Swing State of Florida, Poll Finds Despite being underwater nationally, Trump has sustained a net-positive approving rating in Florida, at 49 percent (compared with 46 percent disapproval). Despite Biden's similar performance against Trump when compared to his Democratic peers, the former vice president has retained a solid lead in the primary race. He now holds 34 percent of the primary electorate's support, while Warren has managed to double her share in recent months to 24 percent. Florida's 29 electoral votes are a highly-sought plank of the pathway to Electoral College victory.

Democratic presidential hopefuls Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are leading President Donald Trump in head - to - head matchups in Wisconsin Elizabeth Warren also seen as a popular contender in the latest Marquette University Law School Poll . Still, poll director Charles Franklin cautioned the findings

President Trump likes to mock Nancy Pelosi, but a private survey conducted for the Republican National Committee Trump routinely criticizes the 78-year-old Democratic House minority leader. In a sarcastic Aug. 10 tweet, he wrote: “ Democrats , please do not distance yourselves from Nancy Pelosi.

5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL© Provided by ABC News Inc.

A statistical analysis called regression finds that positive views of the economy are among the strongest predictors of preferring Trump vs. Biden, alongside partisanship and conservatism. Conversely, concern that the trade dispute with China will raise prices and thinking that a recession is likely are among the strongest predictors of backing Biden, controlling for demographics, partisanship and ideology. Results predicting Trump’s approval rating, reported Tuesday, are similar.

Favorables

Biden and Sanders also are aided by comparative personal popularity; a 53%-37% favorable-unfavorable rating for Biden (+16 points) and 51%-39% for Sanders (+12). Trump, by contrast, is 17 points under water, 40%-57%, about the same as when he took office.

The favorable-unfavorable ratio is weaker for the other Democratic contenders tested, who also are less well known. Positive views barely outpace negative ones for Warren, 44%-38%, with 18% having no opinion. It’s an essentially even 38%-35% for Harris (a quarter hold no opinion of her) and 34%-28% for Buttigieg, with about four in 10 expressing no opinion.

(MORE: Warren gains, Harris slips -- and the room for movement is vast)

Notably, four years ago Hillary Clinton was in a weaker position in terms of favorability than any of these Democrats. Her favorability rating was 8 points under water, 45%-53%, at this time in 2015.

Poll shows Biden, Sanders beating Trump in battleground Wisconsin

Poll shows Biden, Sanders beating Trump in battleground Wisconsin Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by nine points among Wisconsin voters while Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) leads by four points, according to a new Marquette University Law poll released on Wednesday. Fifty-one percent of voters in the state said they supported Biden, while only 42 percent voiced support for Trump, according to the survey.The same survey found that Sanders led Trump by four points, or 48 percent to 44 percent. Meanwhile, the president is neck-and-neck with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), with both receiving 45 percent support. Trump was also tied with Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.), with both coming in at 44 percent support.

Trump also trails in most national head - to - heads , although often not by as much as Quinnipiac indicates. As with all polling at this early a juncture, it As ominous as the general election matchups in the new Quinnipiac poll are some of the other questions it posed. For instance, the vast majority of

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump by 10 points in a hypothetical 2020 general election matchup , according to a new poll .

5 Democratic contenders lead Trump in head-to-head matchups: POLL© Provided by ABC News Inc.

Among groups of potential interest, Biden has a 51% favorable rating from independents, vs. Trump’s 39%; and 63% favorability among moderates, vs. Trump’s 30%. The two are essentially even in favorability among white Catholics, a potential swing voting group (52% see Biden favorably, 51% Trump). And in Trump’s 2016 red states, 45% see the president favorably – while 51% have a favorable view of Biden.

Methodology

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Sept. 2-5, 2019, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,003 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 28%-24%-37%, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, New York, with sampling and data collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, Maryland. See details on the survey’s methodology here.

Biden maintains a clear lead in early (very early) polling.
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