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Politics Why Democrats say they might not vote to convict Trump

13:30  03 january  2020
13:30  03 january  2020 Source:   politico.com

Democratic Groups Plot to Make Impeachment Trial Painful for GOP

  Democratic Groups Plot to Make Impeachment Trial Painful for GOP Convict Trump—or else. That’s the message liberal advocacy groups are trying to send to Republican senators in hopes of pressuring them to vote for President Trump’s removal from office, or at least maximizing the political pain for them if they don’t. One such group, Stand Up America, is bankrolling a new $300,000 digital campaign targeting a dozen GOP senators as the impeachment trial draws nearer. The liberal political nonprofit, which has been organizing to support impeachment and other initiatives to counter Trump, tells  The Daily Beast it plans to run digital ads urging the public to call their senator; they will also launch a volunteer-driven texting campaign to

The inquiry into President Trump has the potential to reshape his presidency. Here’s how impeachment works. The Constitution permits Congress to remove presidents before their term is up if enough lawmakers vote to say that they committed “treason, bribery, or other high crimes and misdemeanors.”

What happens next and why is Trump unlikely to be removed from office? Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell has thrown cold water on that idea, saying House Democrats should have secured No Senate Republicans have indicated they may vote to convict the leader of their party.

Senate Democrats are expected to almost unanimously declare President Donald Trump guilty at the end of his impeachment trial. But senators across the party’s spectrum insist they haven’'t made up their mind.

Trump Impeachment Trial Tests Incumbents Key to Senate Control

  Trump Impeachment Trial Tests Incumbents Key to Senate Control The Senate’s historic impeachment trial of President Donald Trump will be especially momentous for a small group of vulnerable incumbent senators whose 2020 re-election bids are central to determining control of the chamber. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); Trump is all but certain to be acquitted on two articles of impeachment since the Constitution requires 67 votes to convict.

His remarks created buzz since no congressional Republicans have publicly said they would even consider taking such a step, and not one House Senate insiders and outside political observers say there are only three GOP senators who might vote to convict Trump on any articles of impeachment.

That would mean that even if every Democrat voted to convict That's why they say wait for Mueller. Mueller seems to be accelerating the pace of actions in his investigation. So that's actually happening but I don't think the fervor for impeachment within the Democratic Party is going to be

It’s a bid to entice a handful of Senate Republicans to join their push for new documents and witnesses involved in the president’s Ukraine scandal, particularly those who have expressed dismay with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell’s vow to coordinate closely with the White House.

It’s also a long-shot appeal to Trump, who maintains he’s done nothing wrong and had a “perfect” call with Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky when he asked for a probe of former Vice President Joe Biden.

Trump has said he wants to hear from his own array of witnesses in the trial. Democrats hope his efforts to clear himself translate to Republican senators agreeing to seek testimony from figures like acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney and former national security adviser John Bolton.

What’s Mitch McConnell’s end game in shaping the Senate impeachment trial to benefit Trump?

  What’s Mitch McConnell’s end game in shaping the Senate impeachment trial to benefit Trump? McConnell has lots of reasons to make this as political as possible.“We all know how this is going to end,” he said on “Fox and Friends” last week.

What happens next and why is Trump unlikely to be removed from office? Former President Gerald Ford, while in Congress, famously said : “An impeachable offense is whatever a That is highly unlikely in this case. No Senate Republicans have indicated they may vote to convict the leader of their party.

Trump “has by his statements brought the high office of the president of the United States in contempt, ridicule, disgrace and disrepute,” Green It is unlikely to be his last, as many of the Democrats who voted to table this measure said they did so because they were waiting to hear testimony from

“What if we get them and some of them exonerate the president one way or another?” asked Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer in a recent interview.

Democrats “are waiting for the evidence that’s presented in the trial,” said Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), a centrist Democrat. Otherwise, “I don’t think it would be fair to the president or the country.”

Polls on impeachment show a sharp partisan divide on whether Trump should be removed from office for pressuring the Ukrainian government to investigate his political rivals. But Senate Democrats’ focus on securing a fair process for the trial appears to be popular, which can only be helped by their claims of neutrality.

New Friday polling shared early with POLITICO by Ipsos and FiveThirtyEight.com suggests the public is more responsive to Democratic calls for testimony from key witnesses. In the survey, 57 percent of respondents want the Senate trial to feature new witnesses and 86 percent think senators should try to be impartial jurors.

4 ways the McConnell-Pelosi impasse over a Senate trial could end

  4 ways the McConnell-Pelosi impasse over a Senate trial could end 4 ways the McConnell-Pelosi impasse over a Senate trial could endHouse Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is withholding the articles of impeachment from the Senate and not naming House lawmakers to prosecute the case (called managers) until Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) agrees on parameters of a trial that she views as fair. “We cannot name managers until we see what the process is on the Senate side,” she has said. But McConnell has said that he’s working in “total coordination” with White House lawyers and that there is no such thing as fair in a political body, so why even try? “This is a political exercise,” he has said.

Trump has said he won't cooperate with the impeachment investigation, which is looking into his Under the law, Democrats say they have no obligation to hold a vote . The Constitution gives the And it dictates the removal from office of an impeached president who is convicted by the Senate of

Why this might not happen: McConnell controls the majority in the Senate. A GOP Senate aide told The Fix it’s possible that some red-state Senate Democrats vote to acquit Trump , which would go a long way to Trump being able to argue that opposition to his impeachment was technically bipartisan.

The idea of impartial senators is laughable to many Republicans, who note presidential candidates like Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) have called for Trump’s removal. And many in the GOP have done little to hide their plans to exonerate the president in “total coordination” with the White House, as McConnell (R-Ky.) put it.

“There’s not one impartial juror of the 100 in the Senate,” said Sen. Mike Braun (R-Ind.). “I’m going to vote to acquit unless there’s something new that comes up, and I don’t anticipate that happening.”

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While many senators hope Schumer and McConnell can strike a deal on rules to govern a trial to give the episode some sheen of bipartisanship, McConnell has a fallback plan. If Republicans can hold 51 of their 53 members in line, they can vote down any motions in the trial to call witnesses that might expose the president to new damning evidence.

McConnell and Schumer made no progress over the holiday break, aides said. The leaders are likely to give some update when they speak on the Senate floor Friday.

As Schumer and McConnell battle over the contours of the trial, Democrats seem to think they have the messaging edge. It’s not just public polling that backs them up.

Already, GOP Sens. Susan Collins of Maine and Lisa Murkowski of Alaska have expressed discomfort with McConnell’s position — evidence that the Republican Party may not be totally unified heading into a critical month for Trump’s presidency.

No, the Senate can't have a trial before the House sends articles of impeachment

  No, the Senate can't have a trial before the House sends articles of impeachment President Trump’s Republican allies want the Senate to hold an impeachment trial to prove that the president is not guilty of high crimes and misdemeanors. But Democrats in the House are standing in the way. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); While the House approved articles of impeachment last December, itsw Democratic majority has not yet appointed the members who will take those articles to the Senate and manage its case in the subsequent trial there.

What happens next and why is Trump unlikely to be removed from office? Former President Gerald Ford, while in Congress, famously said : “An impeachable offence is whatever a That is highly unlikely in this case. No Senate Republicans have indicated they may vote to convict the leader of their party.

They say that impeaching Trump is pointless, since the Republican-held Senate, where a two-thirds Having lost the working-class vote to Trump , their condescension toward ordinary people has only Having sex with an intern in the Oval Office may not rise to the crazy shit Trump is up to, but it was

If Schumer can win over at least three GOP senators on procedural questions, Democrats could deny McConnell’s bid to move the trial along under party line votes.

The Democratic focus on the trial’s process could change, particularly once it starts. And some senators have reached their breaking point as the White House continues to withhold documents and witnesses.

“The president’s actions are impeachable and worthy of removal, and personally I think it would be kind of disingenuous to not share my opinion given how much information I have in front of me,” Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) said in an interview. But he added that he’s “willing to hear contrary evidence from the president and willing to change my mind.”

Democrats also argue a drip-drip of new information in recent days bolsters their case. The website Just Security published emails Thursday that demonstrate the Pentagon had legal concerns about Trump’s hold on military aid to Ukraine. That followed a New York Timesstory this week providing new details about the role Mulvaney played in executing the president’s request to freeze the aid.

Potential Democratic swing votes at the trial like Joe Manchin of West Virginia, Doug Jones of Alabama and Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona have offered little indication for how they might come down on a final vote to convict the president. Sinema has highlighted her role as a juror in the impeachment trial, while Manchin said he has “no clue” where he’ll be.

Jones, who faces a competitive Senate race in Alabama, said over the holiday recess that he’s waiting to see “if the dots get connected” and suggested he’s open to acquitting Trump if that’s where the evidence leads.

Sen. Chris Coons of Delaware, a centrist Democrat, said the Senate trial is Trump’s chance to defend himself after the White House stonewalled the House impeachment proceedings.

McConnell signs on to bill to start Trump trial over Pelosi's objections

  McConnell signs on to bill to start Trump trial over Pelosi's objections Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has signed onto a measure that would allow lawmakers to begin President Trump’s impeachment trial without receiving the articles House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is withholding. © Provided by Washington ExaminerMcConnell, a Kentucky Republican, is among more than one dozen Republicans who are co-sponsors of a measure authored by Sen. Josh Hawley, a Missouri Republican, authorizing the Senate to begin the trial as early as Monday, or 25 days after the House passed the impeachment articles on Dec. 19.

What happens next and why is Trump unlikely to be removed from office? has thrown cold water on that idea, saying House Democrats should have secured the testimony of Bolton and Mulvaney during their No Senate Republicans have indicated they may vote to convict the leader of their party.

“If he’s got a case to make, now’s the time to make it,” Coons said. “I am obligated to keep an open mind. If Secretary [Mike] Pompeo or Mick Mulvaney came in and testified and explained some of what happened, that might help.”

The Senate Democratic push for more witnesses and documents comes after the House voted to impeach Trump in December for abuse of power and obstruction of Congress. Speaker Nancy Pelosi has said she doesn’t plan to announce House managers or submit the articles of impeachment to the Senate until she knows how the trial will be conducted.

While Senate Republicans have accused Democrats of wanting to redo what they see as a rushed impeachment process in the House, Schumer and his caucus say that it is the Senate’s obligation to obtain documents and additional testimony as part of the trial — and that the White House should want to comply if there’s nothing to hide.

“Chuck Schumer has proposed witnesses with direct knowledge and that’s why I don’t think anyone should object,” said Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.), a liberal who is maintaining neutrality. “Especially a president who maintains his innocence.”

Democrats are hoping that moderate Republicans like Collins, Murkowski and perhaps Mitt Romney of Utah and Lamar Alexander of Tennessee will join their calls for witnesses and documents at the outset of the impeachment trial and give them the 51 votes they need to win a motion.

But so far, no Republicans have explicitly backed Democrats’ demands. Collins said in a recent interview with Maine Public Radio that she was “open to witnesses” in the impeachment trial but that it was “premature to decide who should be called until we see the evidence that is presented.”

Senate Republicans have so far leaned toward waiting to decide to bring in witnesses until after the impeachment trial begins and both sides can present their arguments. McConnell regularly notes that’s how Bill Clinton’s impeachment trial went forward.

Should Democrats fail to secure Republican support for additional testimony, they’ll be left with the facts brought forward from the House impeachment proceedings. For many, that is likely to be enough.

“I would be prepared to vote to convict him,” said Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii). “Without any exculpatory evidence that he’s prepared to bring forth, what we have in front of us are the facts and the facts call for him to be impeached.”

McConnell signs on to bill to start Trump trial over Pelosi's objections .
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell has signed onto a measure that would allow lawmakers to begin President Trump’s impeachment trial without receiving the articles House Speaker Nancy Pelosi is withholding. © Provided by Washington ExaminerMcConnell, a Kentucky Republican, is among more than one dozen Republicans who are co-sponsors of a measure authored by Sen. Josh Hawley, a Missouri Republican, authorizing the Senate to begin the trial as early as Monday, or 25 days after the House passed the impeachment articles on Dec. 19.

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