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Politics Latino Voters Could Decide the 2020 Election, Starting with Nevada

18:40  21 february  2020
18:40  21 february  2020 Source:   newsweek.com

Another Caucus Is Coming. But Nevada Will Look Completely Different.

  Another Caucus Is Coming. But Nevada Will Look Completely Different. Nevada is more diverse than Iowa and in many ways more reflective of the Democratic Party. And it has a different take on how caucuses should work.Nevada holds the next Democratic nominating contest, on Feb. 22, and the differences with Iowa will go far beyond how the results are tabulated. Nevada’s caucuses will be the first to offer early voting, which begins Saturday. Many caucus sites will be on the Las Vegas Strip to cater to the state’s large urban population. And this year’s caucuses will be trilingual.

A higher Latino turnout in states like Florida and Arizona could have produced a completely different outcome that year. Mr. Trump would never have won the presidency without This year, for the first time in history, Hispanics will be the largest minority group of potential voters in the United States.

The Latino Vote Project, a turnout analysis conducted by the polling firm Latino Decisions and other groups, found last year that Latinos had been crucial to turning elections In Nevada , these groups have mostly reached out to Latinos who are not traditionally targeted by campaigns or political parties.

2020 could very well be the year of the Hispanic voter.

November's election will be the first time that Hispanics will be the largest minority group in the electorate, according to an analysis of federal data by the Pew Research Center. A record 32 million Latinos are projected to be eligible to vote this year.

"The propensity for the Latino vote to identify and ultimately select who will be the next president of the United States is strong," Sonja Diaz, the founding executive director of UCLA's Latino Politics and Policy Initiative, told Newsweek.

Poll: Sanders holds 19-point lead in Nevada

  Poll: Sanders holds 19-point lead in Nevada Sen. Bernie Sanders holds a 19-point lead in Nevada, the next state to vote in the 2020 presidential nominating contest, according to a poll released Monday. © The Hill Poll: Sanders holds 19-point lead in Nevada Progressive pollster Data for Progress found the democratic socialist with 35 percent support Nevada ahead of its caucus on Saturday. Clumped behind him are Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Vice President Joe Biden, with 16 percent, 15 percent and 14 percent support, respectively.

In Nevada , black and Latino voters repeatedly mentioned the similarity of a lot of the pitches they were hearing from Democrats: boasting about the diversity among campaign staff, talking about their family’s migration from European, reminding immigrants that they, too, are welcome in the country.

The 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries and caucuses are a series of electoral contests organized by the Democratic Party to select the approximately 3,979 pledged delegates to the

"The 2018 midterm elections really signaled to the country and to both political parties the power, strength and capacity of the Latino electorate to influence victory."

In 2018, Latino turnout nationwide reached a record-high as the number of voters nearly doubled to 11.7 million from 6.8 million in the 2014 legislative elections. Of the 40 seats that flipped from Republican to Democratic control in the House of Representatives, almost half were in places where the Latino electorate was a sizable plurality or majority.

Another reason that the Latino community will be so critical in the 2020 election is that the population is so young. Between 2016 and today, roughly 5 million new Latino voters have been added into the voting bloc.

Nevada polls: Health care emerges as the top single issue among Nevada Democrats

  Nevada polls: Health care emerges as the top single issue among Nevada Democrats Health care once again emerged as the single top issue for Democrats in Nevada in Saturday's caucuses -- though as in Iowa and New Hampshire, the vast majority of voters also said they were more interested in defeating President Donald Trump than in any one issue. © FREDERIC J. BROWN/AFP/Getty Images Bellagio hotel workers check in before caucusing at Bellagio Hotel in Las Vegas, Nevada February 22, 2020.

Read the latest streaming news and analysis on the 2020 Presidential Election . Mijente, a grass-roots organization that mobilizes Latinx and Chicanx voters , decided to make its first-ever Nevada is where his opponents are starting to realize it. Advisers to three rival campaigns privately conceded

Subscribe. Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign scrambled the electoral map, as he won several states that some considered reliably, even irrevocably, blue. This week’s midterms, blue wave or not, reversed some of those unexpected gains.

"Latinos are a very young and growing population which means that new Latino voters will age into the electorate and have a critical voice for years to come," Diaz said.

For the 2020 election, Saturday's caucuses in Nevada will be the first real test for Democratic candidates on their ability to appeal to Hispanic voters. The Latino community makes up nearly 30 percent of the swing state's population.

Recent polls have shown Bernie Sanders having an edge among Latino voters in the Silver State. A Univision survey released Tuesday found the Vermont senator had 33 percent support among respondents who identified as Latino. A Data for Progress poll found Sanders with an overwhelming 66 percent support among Hispanic likely caucusgoers surveyed.

Joe Biden in a suit standing in front of a door: Joe Biden arrives to speak at the Nevada Black Legislative Caucus Black History Brunch in Las Vegas, Nevada, February 16, 2020. REUTERS/David Becker

Slideshow by Reuters

Candidates who are likely to have a harder time with success in Nevada are Amy Klobuchar and Pete Buttigieg. While the two are coming off strong primary performances in Iowa and New Hampshire (where the populations are roughly 90 percent white), exit polls show they failed to connect with the states' African American and Hispanic voters. In the Univision poll of Latino voters in Nevada, for example, Buttigieg registered just 4 percent of their support while Klobuchar had 7 percent support.

Democratic caucuses in Nevada: Candidates face most diverse electorate

  Democratic caucuses in Nevada: Candidates face most diverse electorate Doors closed Saturday for Democrats to caucus in Nevada, with party officials hoping to avert an Iowa-style disaster and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders looking to prove his general election mettle with a strong showing in the most diverse state in Democrats' nominating contest thus far.While polling is notoriously difficult in Nevada, Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden have jockeyed for the lead in the Silver State, with Sanders rising after his team built deep organizing roots in the state -- particularly within the Latino community -- some eight months ago. An entrance poll Saturday showed Sanders with an early lead in the initial preference of caucusgoers.

Here's how he could fare based on past faceoffs. The Feb. 10-12 poll of 625 registered Latino voters in Nevada found 34 percent support Biden and 31 Considered something of bellwether, Nevada will be the first Western state to assign its delegates for the 2020 presidential election when

The following is a timeline of major events leading up, during, and after the United States presidential election of 2020 . President Donald Trump of the Republican Party, who was elected in 2016

Clarissa Martinez, the deputy vice president of policy and advocacy at the civil rights group UnidosUS, said anyone running for president has to connect with Latino voters in order to be successful because the community will be "decisive and influential" in so many states.

"Candidates need to do their job to win the support of this electorate. The reality is that candidates matter, their positions matter and meaningful outreach is essential. Nevada is a perfect example of that," Martinez told Newsweek.

Voters line up outside the polling place at Fire Station Number 2 on Election Day November 6, 2018. in El Paso, Texas. © Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images Voters line up outside the polling place at Fire Station Number 2 on Election Day November 6, 2018. in El Paso, Texas. Other states to watch for in 2020 in terms of the Latino vote include California, Texas, Florida, Arizona and Georgia. California and Texas, which house the largest Latino populations in the country, will both vote for their preferred Democratic candidate on Super Tuesday.

Both Diaz and Martinez warned Democratic candidates against relying on immigration policy to connect with voters. The Latino community, they said, is generally more concerned about the economy and health care this election cycle.

"Whether you are black, white, Latino or Asian, the growth of this electorate would be a welcome development because these are the kind of issues that voters care about and want to see their elected officials produce solutions on," Martinez said.

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A record high: 1 in 10 eligible American voters are immigrants .
The number of immigrants eligible to vote has risen 93 percent — from 12 million in 2000 to 23.2 million in 2020. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); One in 10 Americans eligible to vote this election is an immigrant, a record high, according to a Pew Research report released Wednesday."I like to be more informed basically about what's going on and what's affecting the community, as a citizen," said Ramos.

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