•   
  •   
  •   

Politics Men for Trump vs. women for Biden: Which voting group could swing Pennsylvania?

02:20  01 october  2020
02:20  01 october  2020 Source:   usatoday.com

Opinion: Post-debate commentary from CNN contributors

  Opinion: Post-debate commentary from CNN contributors CNN Opinion asked contributors for their takes on how Donald Trump and Joe Biden did in the first presidential debate. The views expressed in this commentary are their own. © Provided by CNN Alice Stewart Scott Jennings: This was a hot mess My gut reaction to this debate is that Donald Trump will feel great about tying up and bludgeoning Joe Biden all night, Biden is wondering whether to show up at the next two debates and moderator Chris Wallace is planning to throw himself in a hot bath and cry.

Voters in America will decide on 3 November whether Donald Trump remains in the White House for another four years. As election day approaches, polling companies will be trying to gauge the mood of the nation by asking voters which candidate they prefer.

Biden vs Trump : who is leading the 2020 US election polls? See how the latest state-by-state polling data would translate into electoral college votes and use FT’s interactive calculator to zero in on the crucial battleground states. Last updated 50 seconds ago.

Monessen, Pennsylvania, doesn't get a lot of presidential visits.

But on June 28, 2016, Republican presidential nominee Donald J. Trump arrived in the old steel mill town and promised he would bring back steel, coal and the working-class jobs of a bygone era.

'Will you shut up, man?' 5 takeaways from the slugfest between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in Cleveland

  'Will you shut up, man?' 5 takeaways from the slugfest between Donald Trump and Joe Biden in Cleveland At Tuesday's debate, Donald Trump repeatedly interrupted Joe Biden. At one point, the Democratic candidate asked Trump, "Will you shut up, man?"Trump-Biden debate was 'a little bit of an embarrassment' for the U.S.

Voters can pick between incumbent Donald Trump and Democrat competitor Joe Biden, who currently enjoys a meteoric lead in the polls. Trump vs Biden voting record: How did Trump and Biden vote on abortion, unemployment and health care (Image: GETTY).

Democratic nominee Joe Biden and republican nominee Donald Trump face off in the first of three presidential debates, in a chaotic night moderated by Fox News host Chris Wallace.

It was what some voters had waited decades to hear, especially blue-collar voters in Monessen who still talked about how the Wheeling-Pittsburgh steel mill helped to build the Golden Gate Bridge in San Francisco.

Start the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning.

Like many old Rust Belt towns in southwestern Pennsylvania, there's more nostalgia in Monessen than jobs. Closed businesses still line many streets, serving as a reminder of the bustling community Monessen used to be.

Joe Biden, Donald Trump are posing for a picture: Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are on opposite sides of the vote-by-mail issue. © AP Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are on opposite sides of the vote-by-mail issue.

Wheeling-Pittsburgh once employed more than 2,000 workers, and Monessen was once home to more than 20,000 people. Now, the population is about a third of that. The median household income is about $27,000.

On that June day four years ago, Trump traded in his usual campaign slogan of "Make America Great Again" for an amended one.

"We're going to make America wealthy again," Trump said at Alumisource, a recycling plant that used to be Wheeling-Pittsburgh steel and employs about 35 people. “It will be American steel that sends our skyscrapers soaring, soaring into the sky.”

Here's what was true and what was false from the first debate

  Here's what was true and what was false from the first debate As Trump and Biden attempted to make their points on the debate stage in Cleveland, NBC News fact-checked their claims in real time.NBC News fact-checked their statements in real time. For full coverage, visit the debate live blog.

Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden's lead over President Donald Trump now stands at five points, but Trump has an edge in the critical battleground states that could decide the electoral college, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.

Elections in Pennsylvania , 2020. Election date: Nov. 3. Registration deadline(s): Oct. 19. Online registration: Yes. Same-day registration: No. Early voting starts: N /A. Absentee/mail voting deadline(s): Nov. 3 (postmarked); Nov. 6 (received). Voter ID: No ID.

Donald Trump wearing a suit and tie: President-elect Donald Trump gives an economic policy speech in Monessen, Penn., in June. © Getty Images President-elect Donald Trump gives an economic policy speech in Monessen, Penn., in June.

A crowd of about 200 watched at Alumisource and thousands more watched at home, as all of Trump's stops were covered by cable news networks then.

"It sounded pretty good to me," said Carl Domito, a 78-year-old Trump supporter and retired laborer in Westmoreland County who watched from home. "I think he said what a lot of people had been waiting to hear. He won my vote that day."

Monessen is still a Democratic city in Westmoreland County, but the rest of the county has turned red since Trump was elected.

In 2016, Democrats had a 10,000 voter advantage. Four years later, Republicans have a 10,000 voter advantage, including thousands of men who have switched parties to support the president.

A big part of Trump's appeal among men is his promise to bring back jobs, according to Peter Navarro, the White House director of trade and manufacturing policy.

Four years ago in Monessen, Trump said Democrat Hillary Clinton supported NAFTA and China entering the World Trade Organization — two policies he said killed the middle class and moved American jobs overseas.

'Mailmen selling ballots. Dumped in rivers. Found in creeks': Trump makes unfounded claims about mail-in voting

  'Mailmen selling ballots. Dumped in rivers. Found in creeks': Trump makes unfounded claims about mail-in voting From claiming mailmen are "selling the ballots" to arguing that mail ballots are being "dumped in rivers," Trump ramped up his assault on mail-votingTrump now says he 'doesn't know' Proud Boys group

Other women called themselves pro-choice but backed Trump because they didn’t think he really “This young man was being fitted for his tuxedo at Dante Zeller Tuxedo & Menswear on Staten Maddie didn’t vote for Trump ; she said she couldn’t do it in good conscience. As I took the picture, I

Manipulating comments and posts via group voting is against reddit TOS. Trump supporter here. I' m well aware that pedantry is when a man wants relations with his sister before And some women voted for Clinton because she's a woman , and some people voted for trump because He could have just been a fucking normal politician and thanked the people who did vote for him for coming out.

"The legacy of Pennsylvania steelworkers lives in the bridges, railways and skyscrapers that make up our great American landscape," Trump said. "But our workers' loyalty was repaid with betrayal."

Trump is repeating that message this year when he visits old mill towns in Pennsylvania, but now he's assigning blame to his 2020 Democratic challenger Joe Biden.

This time around, Trump is focusing less on coal and steel industries, which continue to lose jobs. Instead, he is making the Pennsylvania energy fight about fracking, which he claims Biden wants to ban. Biden during a Pittsburgh campaign stop this month said he does not want to ban fracking.

Biden in Pa.: 'Do I look like a radical socialist with a soft spot for rioters?'

a man wearing a suit and tie: Peter Navarro, an assistant to President Trump, is the director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy. © Saul Loeb/AFP via Getty Images Peter Navarro, an assistant to President Trump, is the director of the Office of Trade and Manufacturing Policy.

Navarro, in an interview with the USA TODAY Network's Pennsylvania Capitol Bureau, said Trump kept his promises that he made four years ago when he revealed his jobs plan in Monessen.

"Biden voted for NAFTA. He voted for including China in the World Trade Organization," Navarro said. "Those two decisions led to hemorrhaging of thousands of factories and millions of manufacturing jobs."

The Trump economy was creating jobs before the pandemic hit. But since then, 4.7 million jobs have been lost, according to the U.S. Department of Labor.

Trump now owns the biggest employment decline of any president in modern history, but Navarro is pointing to the economy before the coronavirus.

A woman could never behave that way and be president

  A woman could never behave that way and be president Words that Hillary Clinton could never utter in 2016, Joe Biden's campaign will now use on T-shirts. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); "Whether you're a woman, a person of color or someone from an identity that's in any other way marginalized, it's difficult to see yourself in the position of these leaders, because they're operating in a world that you're not permitted to operate in," said Laura Palumbo of the National Sexual Violence Resource Center.

At least 18 women have accused Donald Trump of varying inappropriate behavior, including Zervos has since filed a lawsuit against Trump for alleged defamation after he called her and the other women accusing him liars. The article featured an excerpt from Carroll’s book “What Do We Need Men For

Pennsylvania election results 2016: Can Trump win in Pennsylvania ? Latest polls. Muhlenberg’s director Chris Borick said Mrs Clinton has a lead among women , college educated voters and those But the Republican vote has increased in every election over the past 16 years, meaning many see

He's remembering the tax cuts, deregulation, bigger defense budget and trade deals that he said led to a time of prosperity.

"There were historic low rates of unemployment, including for Blacks, Hispanics, veterans, women," Navarro said. "That was our plan."

The spread of COVID-19 thwarted that plan.

"We had to lock down the economy, but we are fighting our way back," he said.

That includes manufacturing personal protective equipment, vaccines and testing swabs in the U.S.

And the choice is clear in the election, Navarro said.

"Biden likes 'made in China,'" he said. "Trump wants 'made in America.'"

More: 'I don't really remember the Obama presidency': Why Trump and Biden debate matters in Pa.

More: Ginsburg's death is raising the stakes in the Pa. presidential election: 'It's enormous'

More: Biden said he will win Scranton. Trump said he will only lose if it's rigged. Who's right?

All the president's Pennsylvania men

Trump is losing ground in every Pennsylvania poll, but he's still getting his highest marks on the economy, and his most reliable support is among white, working-class men 50 and older in southwest and northeast Pennsylvania.

Bill Woodward, an 82-year-old retired telephone worker in Bucks County, is one of those voters.

He voted for Democrats in his younger years but has voted for Republicans for decades.

Woodward said he will be voting for Trump "without a doubt."

"Just look at what he's done for the stock market," Woodward said. "Democrats just want more government and more taxes. That would be a disaster for the country."

Another disaster has been the Democratic viewpoint on the pandemic, he said.

"Shutting down America is totally wrong," Woodward said. "Trump has not wanted to shut America down, and I commend him for that. The president has done a good job during the pandemic against all the bickering."

Democrat Joe Biden tests negative for coronavirus after President Trump reports positive test

  Democrat Joe Biden tests negative for coronavirus after President Trump reports positive test Democrat Joe Biden has tested negative for coronavirus, his doctor announced Friday, hours after President Donald Trump announced a positive testDr. Kevin O'Connor, the primary care physician, said Biden and his wife Jill were each tested and "COVID-19 was not detected.

If Trump wins Pennsylvania again, it will be because of strong support among older men, analysts say.

That includes men who used to vote for Democrats, but in the last 10 years started to vote for Republicans.

“They felt left behind by the Democratic Party, economically and culturally,” said Terry Madonna, pollster and political scientist at Franklin & Marshall College.

a group of people in front of a crowd: Supporters of President Donald Trump cheer as the president speaks about his support for law enforcement during a campaign rally at Avflight Harrisburg at the Harrisburg International Airport on Saturday, September 26, 2020, in Middletown, Pa. © Dan Rainville, USA Today Network - Pennsylvania Supporters of President Donald Trump cheer as the president speaks about his support for law enforcement during a campaign rally at Avflight Harrisburg at the Harrisburg International Airport on Saturday, September 26, 2020, in Middletown, Pa.

The largest demographic of these voters helped Trump win the Steeler Country corner of the state, including Beaver, Fayette, Washington, Westmoreland and Greene counties.

Allegheny County, where Pittsburgh is, reliably voted for a Democrat, as did Philadelphia.

But Trump won Erie, which had voted for Obama four years earlier, and he lost Scranton only by a few thousand votes.

“Trump’s probably going to live or die politically on the economy," Madonna said. "He will have to make the argument to blue collar workers that he’s made things better.”

Biden gets big boost from women

a man wearing a suit and tie: Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., pass each other as Harris moves to the podium to speak during a campaign event at Alexis I. duPont High School in Wilmington, Delaware, Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2020. © Carolyn Kaster, Associated Press Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden and his running mate Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., pass each other as Harris moves to the podium to speak during a campaign event at Alexis I. duPont High School in Wilmington, Delaware, Wednesday, Aug. 12, 2020.

Biden supporters aren't as concerned about which promises Trump might have kept before the coronavirus created a new normal.

They are focused on the biggest promise he didn't keep.

"He did not make America great again," said Cheryl Gregorio, a 63-year-old retiree in Luzerne County. "Not even close."

She points to the biggest public health crisis in 100 years that shut down Pennsylvania for months. The racial injustice and protests that filled city streets. The steady flow of news that yields more questions than answers about the president's character and judgment, including recently revealed information about his tax records.

Suffolk/USA TODAY Poll: Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track

  Suffolk/USA TODAY Poll: Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track A new poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden leading President Donald Trump in Arizona and Democrat Mark Kelly leading GOP Sen. Martha McSally.The same statewide poll found Democrat Mark Kelly with a commanding lead over Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., suggesting Democrats in the state could sweep the top two races for the first time since 1944.

Gregorio will be voting for Biden this year because she's looking for a candidate who is civil and decent to "bring peace to the country."

a man standing in front of a crowd of people: Former Vice President Joe Biden and Dr. Jill Biden talk with people during a visit to the Shanksville Volunteer Fire Department on Friday, September 11, 2020. © Dan Rainville, USA Today Network - PA Former Vice President Joe Biden and Dr. Jill Biden talk with people during a visit to the Shanksville Volunteer Fire Department on Friday, September 11, 2020.

Sarah Eagan, a 23-year-old Montgomery County resident and Pennsylvania press secretary for NextGen America, said Biden is a better choice for her and other young voters.

The issues that matter most to them include affordable health care, affordable college, and racial equity and justice.

Biden CNN town hall in Pa.: 3 takeaways from a battle between Scranton and Park Avenue

"The more we learn about Biden, the more we like and we think he's at least willing to listen to the things that are important to us," Eagan said. "Trump doesn't seem willing to listen."

Biden is also the best choice for seniors, according to Addie Hickson, a Philadelphia resident and Black voter in her 80s.

"Trump has been a mess," she said. "Hopefully, Biden can get us out of that mess."

Hickson voted by mail in the Pennsylvania primary, but she plans to go to her polling place in Philadelphia and cast a ballot in person on Election Day.

"Too much is at stake," she said. "I want to know my vote counts immediately."

Hickson is telling everyone she sees that they "better vote this time," she said. "With the coronavirus and racism, our lives really depend on it."

The Pennsylvania Women for Biden/Harris Facebook group has 116,000 members who say similar things daily.

"If Biden wins the election, it will be on the backs of Pennsylvania women," said Jesse White, a Democratic strategist at Perpetual Fortitude, a Harrisburg consulting firm.

Two new polls released Tuesday show Biden with a 9-point lead in Pennsylvania, thanks in large part to suburban women in the counties that surround Philadelphia.

Biden is appealing to these voters in large margins because of Trump's handling of the coronavirus and swiftly nominating federal Judge Amy Coney Barrett to fill the Supreme Court vacancy left by the recent death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Clinton had a smaller lead at this point in the race four years ago and she easily won the Philadelphia suburbs in 2016, including support from Republican women. But it wasn't enough to offset Trump's gains in the Rust Belt counties.

That trend of women voters continued in 2018 during a so-called pink wave that sent 110 women to the U.S. House and Senate, including four congresswomen from Pennsylvania.

More: Pennsylvania woman elected to Congress in Pink Wave of 2018 poised to shape Trump's fate

The week in polls: Trump trails in 10 of 11 swing states, plurality says Biden won 1st debate

  The week in polls: Trump trails in 10 of 11 swing states, plurality says Biden won 1st debate After polls released last week, Biden overtook Trump in Georgia. And his national lead grew to an average of 8.1 percentage points.With all that going on, it's understandable if you missed the flood of polls that are still rolling in on the state of the race between Trump and his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden.

More: 126 women are on the ballot in Pa., and you might be surprised why they're running

“College-educated women voted in strong numbers in 2016 and 2018, and in 2018 they were a big reason Democrats were able to flip seats,” Madonna said.

These women make up one of the biggest voting blocs in Pennsylvania, and they’re electing women and Democrats, he said.

Madonna expects this trend to continue in November.

Chris Borick, a political science professor and director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion, agrees that college-educated women are an important voting bloc to watch.

In Pennsylvania, where 44,000 votes separated the candidates in 2016, every vote matters, he said.

But analysts agree women might be the most consequential voting group in Pennsylvania, which FiveThirtyEight predicts will be the tipping point in the 2020 election and won by Biden.

"Pennsylvania women will definitely have a big role in deciding which of these men will win the presidency," Borick said.

Candy Woodall is a reporter for the USA Today Network. She can be reached at 717-480-1783 or on Twitter at @candynotcandace.

This coverage is only possible with support from our readers. Sign up today for a digital subscription.

This article originally appeared on York Daily Record: Men for Trump vs. women for Biden: Which voting group could swing Pennsylvania?


Video: Debate fact check: Trump, Biden clash in first presidential debate (USA TODAY)

The week in polls: Trump trails in 10 of 11 swing states, plurality says Biden won 1st debate .
After polls released last week, Biden overtook Trump in Georgia. And his national lead grew to an average of 8.1 percentage points.With all that going on, it's understandable if you missed the flood of polls that are still rolling in on the state of the race between Trump and his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden.

usr: 3
This is interesting!