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Politics Suffolk/USA TODAY Poll: Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track

04:25  03 october  2020
04:25  03 october  2020 Source:   usatoday.com

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Biden ’ s current lead over Trump is fueled by his advantages among Latinos (61 percent support him, versus 31 percent for the president), voters Trump ’s job rating among registered voters in the state is 44 percent approve, 52 percent disapprove, according to the poll . That’s a reversal from March

Biden is still leading in the polls , and voters say he won his first debate against Trump . Published Thu, Oct 1 202011:08 AM EDTUpdated Moments Ago. Wednesday' s CNBC/Change Research poll also showed Biden gaining ground nationally over Trump : 54% of respondents picked Biden , while

PHOENIX – Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead President Donald Trump in Arizona with support reaching the critical 50% level with less than a week before ballots are sent out, a new poll finds.  

Joe Biden wearing a suit and tie: This combination of pictures created on Sept. 29, 2020, shows President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio. © JIM WATSON, AFP via Getty Images This combination of pictures created on Sept. 29, 2020, shows President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden squaring off during the first presidential debate at the Case Western Reserve University and Cleveland Clinic in Cleveland, Ohio.

The same statewide poll found Democrat Mark Kelly with a commanding lead over Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., suggesting Democrats in the state could sweep the top two races for the first time since 1944. 

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The political conventions over , Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in the race for the White House by 50%-43%, a new USA TODAY / Suffolk University Poll finds. That advantage narrowed from the 12-percentage-point edge he held in June. As Labor Day looms, launching the campaign' s final sprint

US election 2020. Voters in America will decide on 3 November whether Donald Trump remains in the White Biden leading national presidential polls . National polls are a good guide as to how popular a candidate is across Latest polling averages in battleground states . Scroll table to see more data.

The Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll of 500 likely voters in the battleground state showed Biden with a 4-percentage-point lead over Trump, 50% to 46%.

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Kelly led McSally by 9 percentage points, 49% to 40%.

Biden's lead is similar to 10 polls by others in Arizona taken completely in September. Biden led in eight of those polls, Trump led in one and there was one tie, according to Real Clear Politics.

Kelly has led in all eight of the polls taken in September, usually by high single-digit margins, the website reports.

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Surveys show Biden ahead in a clutch of battleground states that secured Trump ’s victory in 2016, including Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan. A Quinnipiac University poll of Florida, seen as crucial for Trump , found Biden up by 13 points. Biden ’ s campaign is now eyeing an expanded

Biden leads in six 2020 swing states as Trump sees no convention bounce, CNBC/Change Research poll finds. Biden ' s edge over Trump in Arizona , Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania It compares with a 49% to 46% edge Biden held in a poll taken two weeks ago, after the Democratic

The Suffolk poll, conducted between Saturday and Wednesday, has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points. Suffolk has an "A" rating from the website FiveThirtyEight.

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David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston, said Cindy McCain's endorsement of Biden happened just as the poll began and could be significant.

"Her endorsement really is important demographically in ways that a lot of people aren't picking up," he said, noting that her backing likely has the most impact on whites and moderates. 

And Biden reached the 50% mark late in the race and with only 2% of respondents undecided, he said.

"That's an important threshold to hit," Paleologos said.

Apart from the candidate preferences, the poll reflected other worrisome signs for the president's chances in the state as voting in Arizona is set to begin.

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Trump won Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin in 2016, but Biden leads in polls . Former Vice President Joe Biden is ahead of President Donald Trump in the core battleground states of Arizona , Florida The survey found that Biden is ahead of Trump by double digits in the core battlegrounds of Trump won those three states narrowly in 2016, ensuring his victory over Democratic nominee

Joe Biden is ahead of Donald Trump in all six of the states the US president won by the narrowest margins in 2016, according to new polling shared The polling finds that in these battleground states voters disapprove of how the US president has handled the coronavirus crisis, the issue which

Most Arizonans — 56% — say the country is on the wrong track, and 53% say they have an unfavorable view of Trump, while the same share say they generally like Biden.

More than half, 51%, rated Trump's handling of the pandemic as "poor."  

The same share said they would prefer that Trump not fill the Supreme Court vacancy before his term expires, though the issue doesn't seem to have significant effect on voter opinion. About 43% said he should fill the seat opened by the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

About 16% said Trump's effort to quickly fill the seat made them more likely to vote for him and 17% said it made them less likely to do so. The majority — 65% — said it made no difference.

The poll of live callers was mostly completed before the first presidential debate, an event widely seen as a bad night for Trump's prospects. 

Next week, Trump had been scheduled to return to Arizona, traveling to Tucson and Flagstaff on Monday and Tuesday, respectively. However, Trump announced Friday morning via Twitter that he and first lady Melania Trump had tested positive for COVID-19 and "we will begin our quarantine and recovery process immediately."

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Several state and national polls released Monday showed sizable swings in Biden ’ s favor and dips in A USA Today / Suffolk poll showed Biden leading Trump by a resounding 10 points nationally, 50 While New York is not a battleground state , the trend there is still revealing, with a Siena poll

Trump +1. USC Dornsife USC. RCP Poll Average. Biden +6. USA Today / Suffolk USA Today . Biden +3. GU Politics/ Battleground GU Politics.

On Thursday, Biden and his running mate, Sen. Kamala Harris of California, are scheduled to travel to Arizona.

The poll found that 18% of respondents said the biggest issue facing the winner of the election is managing job growth and the economy. Another 15% said it was handling the coronavirus pandemic. 

But the biggest concern, from 19 percent, was bringing the country together. 

Trump is behind with Arizona voters despite an economic record that would usually suggest higher approval ratings. 

Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track

  Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track A Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll shows former Biden leading Trump in Arizona and Democrat Mark Kelly leading GOP Sen. Martha McSally.The same statewide poll found Democrat Mark Kelly with a commanding lead over Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., suggesting Democrats in the state could sweep the top two races for the first time since 1944.

Nearly 80% of respondents described Arizona's economic conditions between fair and excellent. Less than one in five said conditions are poor. Asked whether they are better off than they were four years ago, 45% said they were and 23% at least said they weren't worse off.

That's where those polled say Trump's personal style enters the equation.

Tucson retiree Grady Bowman, 76, is an independent who is supporting Biden and Kelly. He views Trump as selfish and hostile to immigrants, positions he cannot look past.

"I don't like the way he cuts the taxes to help himself," Bowman said. "I am not anti-immigration. I'm married to a lady from Mexico and have a foster daughter from Oman who's a Muslim."

Republican Lloyd Knox, 53, of Gilbert, sees Trump as bringing the right approach to institutions that have stagnated far too long.

"I believe the United States should be run like a business, not politics as usual," Knox said. "He's gotten quite a bit done in his short time there. And had he had a Congress that actually wanted to work with him, how much more would we have gotten done?"

Marlene Kenner, an 86-year-old Republican retiree in Sun City, also sees Trump as delivering on his promises, especially on immigration, which remains her top issue. She is dismayed by glowing support for Biden from others.

"He's trying to look and act like a sweet granddaddy. It's totally wrong. It's so lopsided," she said. "People think he's so wonderful. He's really not that wonderful person he says he is. He didn't do anything for years."

Mark Kelly wearing a suit and tie: Democratic Senate nominee Mark Kelly sits for a portrait on Aug. 5, 2020, at The Van Buren in Phoenix. © Sean Logan/The Republic Democratic Senate nominee Mark Kelly sits for a portrait on Aug. 5, 2020, at The Van Buren in Phoenix.

Mesa resident and health care worker Stephanie Waddell, 26, is a Democrat who, as a supporter of Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., in the primaries, prefers more liberal candidates. While she isn't thrilled with either Biden or Kelly, she will gladly take them over the GOP slate.

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"I consider myself a bit more progressive than either of their stances," Waddell said in an interview with The Arizona Republic after the poll. "But I think a lot is on the line this election, including like our voting rights. As a female, a lot of rights, like my right to birth control and my right to make choices about my own body, are a little bit on the line."

Bowman's support for Kelly is mostly because of his opposition to McSally. 

"My son was an A-10 pilot, just like she was. He actually served under her in the squadron here at Davis-Monthan Air Force Base," Bowman said. "I got to know a little about her from listening to the pilots who worked under her. She seemed to them to be a person who was concerned basically about her own welfare."

Martha McSally smiling for the camera: Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) attends the Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing for Barbara M. Barrett to become secretary of the Air Force on Sept. 12, 2019, in Washington, D.C. © Mark Wilson/Getty Images Sen. Martha McSally (R-Ariz.) attends the Senate Armed Services Committee confirmation hearing for Barbara M. Barrett to become secretary of the Air Force on Sept. 12, 2019, in Washington, D.C.

Kenner defended McSally.

"I'm proud of her background. I think she's blossomed into a good legislator," she said. 

The poll included nearly even mixes of people who identified as Democratic, Republican or independent voters. Republicans held a 2-percentage-point registration advantage as of the state's August primary, and the GOP has continued to out-register Democrats in recent weeks.

Of those polled, about 22% identified themselves as liberal or very liberal. About 37% considered themselves to be conservative or very conservative.

Those polled voted for Trump in 2016 by 1 percentage point. Trump won with Arizona's overall voters by 3.5 percentage points.

Reach the reporter Ronald J. Hansen at ronald.hansen@arizonarepublic.com or 602-444-4493. Follow him on Twitter @ronaldjhansen.

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This article originally appeared on Arizona Republic: Suffolk/USA TODAY Poll: Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track

Second presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump canceled .
Both campaigns have agreed to appear at the third and final presidential debate, a podium format set for Nashville on Oct. 22, the source said.The bipartisan commission, under intense criticism from the Trump campaign, announced the decision in a statement late Friday, saying the campaigns of both Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden "each now has announced alternate plans" for Oct. 15, the date of the debate.

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