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Politics The week in polls: Trump trails in 10 of 11 swing states, plurality says Biden won 1st debate

03:10  06 october  2020
03:10  06 october  2020 Source:   usatoday.com

Opinion: Post-debate commentary from CNN contributors

  Opinion: Post-debate commentary from CNN contributors CNN Opinion asked contributors for their takes on how Donald Trump and Joe Biden did in the first presidential debate. The views expressed in this commentary are their own. © Provided by CNN Alice Stewart Scott Jennings: This was a hot mess My gut reaction to this debate is that Donald Trump will feel great about tying up and bludgeoning Joe Biden all night, Biden is wondering whether to show up at the next two debates and moderator Chris Wallace is planning to throw himself in a hot bath and cry.

First polls since Trump ’s positive test. Little change, but post- debate polls show hints of strength for Biden . Ipsos/Reuters has Biden up by 10 percentage points in a survey conducted entirely on Friday and Saturday, after the Biden leads in two states crucial to Trump ’s re-election chances.

At the moment, polls in the battleground states look good for Joe Biden , but there's a long way to go and things can change very The polls suggest Mr Biden is ahead in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - three industrial states his Republican rival Do polls show who won the first debate ?

Last week, one of the most chaotic and belligerent presidential debates in U.S. history was overshadowed in little more than 48 hours by the news that President Donald Trump had tested positive for COVID-19.

With all that going on, it's understandable if you missed the flood of polls that are still rolling in on the state of the race between Trump and his Democratic challenger, Joe Biden.

USA TODAY is here to help. Each week, we look at look the cumulative seven-days worth of polls, so you don't have to and give you the gist of what they showed.

Here's what was true and what was false from the first debate

  Here's what was true and what was false from the first debate As Trump and Biden attempted to make their points on the debate stage in Cleveland, NBC News fact-checked their claims in real time.NBC News fact-checked their statements in real time. For full coverage, visit the debate live blog.

Polling Data. Poll . Date. Biden + 10 . JTN/RMG Research* JTN/RMG*. Biden + 11 . Economist/YouGov YouGov.

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in six key 2020 swing states , according to a new CNBC/Change Research poll . The survey released Wednesday found swing - state voters' views of Trump and Biden have not This week , 45% of respondents said they have favorable feelings about Trump

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First, we look at the USA TODAY average of averages, which is based on the national averages compiled by polling sites RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight, and see how the race has shifted from the week before. Next, we look at the average polling data on key swing states. Then, we look at the latest polls on tight Senate races. Finally, we look at any interesting outliers, voter stances on important issues and any other pieces of data that jump out.

Donald Trump et al. standing next to a person in a suit and tie: First lady Melania Trump, from left, President Donald Trump, Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden and Jill Biden stand on stage after the first presidential debate at Case Western University and Cleveland Clinic, in Cleveland, Ohio, Sept. 29, 2020. © Julio Cortez, AP First lady Melania Trump, from left, President Donald Trump, Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden and Jill Biden stand on stage after the first presidential debate at Case Western University and Cleveland Clinic, in Cleveland, Ohio, Sept. 29, 2020.

Many of the polls in the past week were conducted wholly or partially before the presidential debate and few were completed after Trump's announcement that he had contracted COVID-19.

'Mailmen selling ballots. Dumped in rivers. Found in creeks': Trump makes unfounded claims about mail-in voting

  'Mailmen selling ballots. Dumped in rivers. Found in creeks': Trump makes unfounded claims about mail-in voting From claiming mailmen are "selling the ballots" to arguing that mail ballots are being "dumped in rivers," Trump ramped up his assault on mail-votingTrump now says he 'doesn't know' Proud Boys group

President Trump and former vice president Joe Biden had a contentious debate , with heated exchanges, attacks and crosstalk on issues including Top advisers to Biden , in the aftermath of a messy and hostile debate that some have already claimed was the worst in American history, say he

See how the latest state -by- state polling data would translate into electoral college votes and use FT’s In these states , the difference in poll numbers between the two men is less than 5 percentage points, suggesting a close race in November. Five takeaways from the first Trump - Biden debate .

Last week: Biden gains on Trump nationally, leads in most swing states

National average

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.8%, Trump 42.7% (Biden +8.1)

Last week: Biden 50.1%, Trump 42.9% (Biden +7.2)

Net change: Biden +0.9

RCP: Biden 50.7%, Trump 42.4%

FiveThirtyEight: Biden 50.8%, Trump 42.8%

Swing state averages

Arizona: Biden +3.3

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.6%, Trump 45.3%

Last week: Biden 48.4%, Trump 44.8%

Net change: Trump +0.3

Florida: Biden +2.4

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.9%, Trump 45.5%

Last week: Biden 48.4%, Trump 46.8%

Net change: Biden +0.8

Georgia: Biden +0.5

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.0%, Trump 46.5%

Last week: Trump 46.8%, Biden 45.6%

Net change: Biden +1.7

Michigan: Biden +5.9

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.7%, Trump 43.8%

'We continue to pray': Joe Biden offers thoughts, prayers to President Trump for speedy recovery after coronavirus test

  'We continue to pray': Joe Biden offers thoughts, prayers to President Trump for speedy recovery after coronavirus test Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden offered his thoughts and prayers Friday after President Donald Trump tested positive for the coronavirus. Your browser does not support this video "Jill and I send our thoughts to President Trump and First Lady Melania Trump for a swift recovery," Biden, a former vice president, said in a tweet. "We will continue to pray for the health and safety of the president and his family." © Andrew Harnik, AP Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden stops to speak to members of the media as he walks out of the Queen Theater in Wilmington, Del.

President Donald Trump and his challenger Joe Biden did not have a debate , but a shouting match filled with personal attacks, interruptions, hateful And how could he, when the Democrat has spent the past week calling a “lid” on the press first thing in the morning? When Biden does talk to the

President Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden kicked off their first fiery presidential debate Tuesday night, sparring over everything from the Supreme Court nomination, coronavirus and Biden 's sons, with moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News admonishing Trump several times for interrupting.

Last week: Biden 49.6%, Trump 43.5%

Net change: Trump +0.2

Minnesota: Biden +8.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.3%, Trump 41.5%

Last week: Biden 50.6%, Trump 41.5%


Video: Biden to Trump: 'You're the Worst President America Has Ever Had' (NowThis News)

Net change: Trump +0.3

Nevada: Biden +5.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.2%, Trump 43.5%

Last week: Biden 48.9%, Trump 43.0%

Net change: Trump +0.2

North Carolina: Biden +1.0

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.5%, Trump 46.5%

Last week: Biden 47.3%, Trump 46.3%

Net change: 0.0

Ohio: Biden +1.5

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.1%, Trump 46.6%

Last week: Biden 48.5%, Trump 46.3%

Net change: Trump +0.7

Pennsylvania: Biden +6.2

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.4%, Trump 44.2%

Last week: Biden 49.4%, Trump 44.6%

Net change: Biden +1.4

Texas: Trump +2.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Trump 48.3%, iden 45.5%

Last week:  Trump 47.9%, Biden 45.2%

Net change: Trump +0.1

Wisconsin: Biden +6.1

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.2%, Trump 44.1%

Last week: Biden 50.7%, Trump 43.8%

Net change: Trump +0.8

Senate races

Arizona: McSally vs. Kelly

Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track

  Biden's lead over Trump holding in battleground Arizona as voters see US on wrong track A Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll shows former Biden leading Trump in Arizona and Democrat Mark Kelly leading GOP Sen. Martha McSally.The same statewide poll found Democrat Mark Kelly with a commanding lead over Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., suggesting Democrats in the state could sweep the top two races for the first time since 1944.

Biden and Trump trade insults in frenzied presidential debate – video highlights. Biden mostly kept his cool but struggled to make sustained arguments in the face of Trump ’s bullying barrage. Art Cullen is editor of the Storm Lake Times in Iowa, where he won the Pulitzer prize for editorial writing.

Biden calls Trump a 'clown' during debate on healthcare. Tonight's debate diminished the United States . For decades, even in the midst of the most vitriolic and bitter election Donald Trump armed himself for his first debate appearance against Joe Biden with the same misinformation he has

A Suffolk University/USA TODAY Network poll found Democrat Mark Kelly with a commanding lead over Sen. Martha McSally, R-Ariz., suggesting Democrats in the state could sweep the top two races for the first time since 1944, as the poll also found Biden with a 4-point lead over Trump.

Kelly led McSally by 9 percentage points.

North Carolina: Tillis vs. Cunningham

A poll from the University of Massachusetts Lowell released Tuesday found Sen. Thom Tillis trailing his Democratic opponent, Cal Cunningham, 49%-43%, among likely voters.

That poll was conducted before Cunningham admitted he had sent text messages of a sexual nature to a woman who is not his wife. It was also done before Tillis revealed he had tested positive for COVID-19.

South Carolina: Graham vs. Harrison

Polls continue to find Sen. Lindsey Graham in a tough fight for a fourth Senate term against his Democtaic challenger Jaime Harrison.

A Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday found the two candidates even with each enjoying the support of 48% of likely voters.

Poll-pourri

Who won the debate?

Forty-nine percent of registered voters said Biden did a better job at Tuesday’s debate compared to 24% who said Trump performed better, an NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll found – one of the few surveys released this week that was wholly conducted after the debate. Seventeen percent didn't think either candidate did better than the other.

'Will you shut up, man?': Testy exchanges on health care, Supreme Court among debate top moments

  'Will you shut up, man?': Testy exchanges on health care, Supreme Court among debate top moments They bickered on who should appoint the next Supreme Court justice, their stances on health care and even brought each other’s families into the fray. Moderator Chris Wallace of Fox News struggled to rein in the candidates and at times admonished Trump as interrupting more frequently than Biden. © Mario Tama, Getty Images A server wears a face shield and face-covering as people sit to watch a broadcast of the first debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden. Start the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning.

Overall, 73% of those polled said the debates would have no influence on how they’d vote.

A New York Times/Siena College poll conducted after the debate found 64% of likely Florida voters at least somewhat disapproved of the way Trump conducted himself during the debate, compared to the 39% of voters who disapproved of Biden’s performance.

Nealry two-thirds say Trump could have avoided infection

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Sunday found 65% – including 9 in 10 registered Democrats and 5 in 10 registered Republicans – believed if Trump "had taken coronavirus more seriously, he probably would not have been infected." Just over a third of Americans said Trump has been telling the country the truth about the pandemic, while 55% did not.

Overall, 57% of Americans disapproved of how Trump has handled the coronavirus outbreak.

The Trump campaign announced Saturday it planned to resume in-person campaigning, despite Trump's condition. But more than two-thirds (67%) of Americans said the candidates should stop in-person campaigning because of the risk of spreading the virus.

Half disapprove of Trump's handling of race

According to a survey from the Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape Project, 56% of Americans disapprove of the president's handling of race – a six-percentage point increase from February,

When broken down by race and ethnicity, Black (72%), Latino (68%), and Asian and Pacific Islander (68%) Americans are much more likely than white Americans (48%) to disapprove of the president's handling of race, though white Americans disapproval is up 5 percentage points since February.

Second presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump canceled

  Second presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump canceled Both campaigns have agreed to appear at the third and final presidential debate, a podium format set for Nashville on Oct. 22, the source said.The bipartisan commission, under intense criticism from the Trump campaign, announced the decision in a statement late Friday, saying the campaigns of both Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden "each now has announced alternate plans" for Oct. 15, the date of the debate.

Contributing: Rebecca Morin, Matthew Brown, Sarah Elbeshbishi, Frank Witsil and Adrianna Rodriguez, USA TODAY; Ronald J. Hansen, Arizona Republic

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: The week in polls: Trump trails in 10 of 11 swing states, plurality says Biden won 1st debate

Biden leads Trump by 12 points nationally, president trails on pandemic trust, in new poll .
Biden's 12-point lead in Sunday's ABC News/Washington Post poll was the latest in a series of surveys to find the president down by double digits.The poll, conducted Oct. 6-9, has Biden up 53%-41% against Trump among registered voters and 54%-42% among likely voters.

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