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Politics 2020 Watch: Is Biden remaking the Democratic coalition?

12:05  26 october  2020
12:05  26 october  2020 Source:   msn.com

Impatient Democrats want Biden to do more in Texas

  Impatient Democrats want Biden to do more in Texas AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — The whispers about Texas are picking up again. Polls are unusually tight. Political money is piling up. Millions of new voters are on the rolls, and Jill Biden flew in this week for an 800-mile campaign swing that stretched from El Paso to Houston. Taken together, all signs point toward November's election being the closest in America's biggest red state in decades. But that is no high bar given a long trail of blowouts. And with early voting already underway, the surprise of Democrat Joe Biden appearing viable in Texas so late in the game is making some party leaders and supporters impatient for the former vice president to go all in.

Joe Biden has been officially anointed the Democratic presidential candidate at the party's convention, helped over the line with media captionJoe Biden : Will it be third time lucky in 2020 ? "Donald Trump says we ' re leading the world," Mr Clinton said in his five-minute message pre-recorded from his home

ideological – diversity of the Democrats ’ coalition , which stretches from a democratic socialist to a former Supporters watch the program outside the venue where Democratic presidential candidate former “Joe Biden is right, this is a contest for the soul of the nation. And to me that contest is not Joe Biden and his wife Jill Biden celebrate in front of fireworks after Joe Biden accepted the 2020

WASHINGTON (AP) — Presidential politics move fast. What we’re watching heading into the final full week of the 2020 campaign:

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks at a campaign event at Dallas High School in Dallas, Pa., Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) © Provided by Associated Press Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden speaks at a campaign event at Dallas High School in Dallas, Pa., Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

Days to general election: 8

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THE NARRATIVE

Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden gestures to supporters as he boards his campaign plane at Wilkes-Barre Scranton International Airport in Avoca, Pa., Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020 to travel home to Wilmington, Del. after a drive-in rally. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik) © Provided by Associated Press Democratic presidential candidate former Vice President Joe Biden gestures to supporters as he boards his campaign plane at Wilkes-Barre Scranton International Airport in Avoca, Pa., Saturday, Oct. 24, 2020 to travel home to Wilmington, Del. after a drive-in rally. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik)

Welcome to the final full week of the election. Anxiety on both sides is spiking with so much uncertainty heading into an Election Day like no other.

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Biden is crowned as Democratic nominee. Party members will also unveil the 2020 Democratic platform, the list of party values and How to watch the convention. Barack Obama was the last Democrat to build a winning coalition - with the former president, and his wife Michelle, closing out

The 2020 election Democratic field is taking shape, with candidates revealing their intentions on a seemingly everyday basis. View the list of who is running for president.

The coronavirus pandemic is raging again, raising serious health concerns for those who want to vote in person. Each state has its own inconsistent and confusing patchwork of ballot access laws that raise the prospect of intentional or unintentional voter suppression. And Russia and Iran are back actively interfering in the election's closing days.

On paper, Democrat Joe Biden continues to lead President Donald Trump by a significant margin nationally, but polling suggests the race is tight in key battlegrounds like Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. Some Democrats are worried that Trump's toned-down debate performance last week could push the race closer.

President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Manchester-Boston Regional Airport, Sunday, Oct. 25, 2020, in Londonderry, N.H. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) © Provided by Associated Press President Donald Trump speaks at a campaign rally at Manchester-Boston Regional Airport, Sunday, Oct. 25, 2020, in Londonderry, N.H. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

Meanwhile, Trump is racing across America to reach as many voters as possible — the pandemic and public health guidance notwithstanding — while Biden sticks close to home, relying on surrogates like former President Barack Obama to energize targeted groups of Democratic voters.

Fact-checking Trump's massively dishonest weekend: The President made at least 66 separate false or misleading claims in three days

  Fact-checking Trump's massively dishonest weekend: The President made at least 66 separate false or misleading claims in three days President Donald Trump's dishonesty is getting worse. © Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images US President Donald Trump gestures during a rally at Southern Wisconsin Regional Airport in Janesville, Wisconsin on October 17, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP) (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images) Trump has been reliably deceptive for his entire presidency, filling his speeches and tweets with lies and other false statements.

Sanders noted that Biden was a “fan” of the Balanced Budget Amendment, which Sanders said “called for cuts in Social Security.” But the issue is more nuanced than Sanders suggests. Back in 1996, Biden was among the Democrats who voted for a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution.

JUST WATCHED . Watch Sanders go after Biden in speech. Sanders' claim that he can expand the Democratic coalition by bringing out a younger, more diverse group of The senator acknowledged on Wednesday that expanding the Democratic coalition has been hard for his campaign.

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THE BIG QUESTIONS

Is Biden remaking the Democratic coalition?

If Trump loses, it will be because an unlikely coalition of voters has mobilized against him.

Biden is in position to become the first Democrat in a generation to win over a majority of seniors, suburbanites, independents and white, college-educated voters. Trump and 2012 Republican nominee Mitt Romney won all four groups in their elections, pollsters on both sides tell us.

The coalition could have more to do with Trump than Biden, but a reshuffling of voter preferences of this scope could spell trouble for Trump’s Republican Party well beyond 2020. Democrats already had a major advantage among women, people of color and young voters. Their political prospects would improve dramatically if they could maintain their strength with the new groups — especially older voters, who show up to vote far more than other parts of the traditional Democratic base.

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  Kristen Welker: 5 things to know about the moderator of Thursday's presidential debate Kristen Welker has been criticized by President Trump as "terrible & unfair." Get to know the White House correspondent ahead of the last debate.The NBC News White House correspondent and "Weekend Today" co-anchor will moderate the debate at Belmont University in Nashville (9 EDT/6 PDT). The second presidential debate was axed after Trump declined to participate virtually, following his COVID-19 diagnosis. Instead, he and Biden held dueling town halls , and the former vice president beat Trump in the Nielsen ratings.

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Democratic Coalition Against Trump, New York, New York. 456K likes. The Democratic Coalition is the nation's largest grassroots Resistance organization . See more of Democratic Coalition Against Trump on Facebook.

President Donald Trump waves as he steps off Air Force One upon arrival Sunday, Oct. 25, 2020, at Andrews Air Force Base, Md. Trump is returning from New Hampshire and Maine. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon) © Provided by Associated Press President Donald Trump waves as he steps off Air Force One upon arrival Sunday, Oct. 25, 2020, at Andrews Air Force Base, Md. Trump is returning from New Hampshire and Maine. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

How much did Trump help himself in the debate?

The reviews were mixed after last week’s final debate, but the expectations for Trump were extremely low, and the president likely exceeded those expectations simply by following the rules and treating the other participants with respect. A new batch of polling will come out early this week revealing whether the debate changed many minds.

We’re particularly interested in whether Biden’s comments about transitioning away from the oil industry may have hurt him in a state like Pennsylvania. Biden walked back the comment immediately after the debate, explaining that he favors transitioning away from federal subsidies for oil companies — not the oil industry itself.

We’re skeptical that a debate, even with Biden’s comment, can change the trajectory of an election so late in the game, but if Trump ends up winning, the debate will be remembered as a significant moment.

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  Kristen Welker praised for ‘masterclass’ debate moderation, Chris Wallace is ‘jealous’ After Fox News' Chris Wallace failed to maintain order during the first presidential debate, NBC News' Kristen Welker earned solid marks Thursday.After Fox News' Chris Wallace failed to maintain order during the first presidential debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, Welker was applauded for Thursday's controlled exchange.

Mr Biden wants to set up a national contact-tracing programme, establish at least 10 testing centres in every state, and provide free coronavirus testing to all. Mr Biden wants to raise taxes for high earners to pay for investment in public services, but says the increase will only impact those earning over

US election 2020 . Voters in America will decide on 3 November whether Donald Trump remains in the The Republican president is being challenged by Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden , who With that caveat aside, Joe Biden has been ahead of Donald Trump in most national polls since the

Are we headed toward a record turnout?

More than 58 million votes have already been cast in the 2020 election, according to the U.S. Election Project. That is more than 40% of the total votes cast four years ago and puts the nation on pace to break a record on overall turnout.

It's possible, if not likely, that more than 150 million people will ultimately cast ballots in the 2020 general election, which would exceed the highest voting rate in more than a century.

Given uncertainty related to the pandemic, it's too early to draw definite conclusions based on the soaring early vote totals. So far, however, Democrats have a major advantage. Overall, 13.1 million Democrats have cast ballots compared with just 7.4 million Republicans in states that record party registrations.

Notably, Republicans had a narrow lead of less than 150,000 votes for in-person early voting, but Democrats have cast 5.8 million more early mail votes.

Stepping back, higher-turnout elections typically end up being good news for Democrats. Nothing is typical about voting patterns in the Trump era, however. The president's popularity among lower-educated white voters is a major wildcard.

How narrow is the president’s path to victory?

Trump is behind with eight days to go. But the president still has a path to reelection. He also has history on his side: Not since 1992 has an incumbent president failed to win a second term.

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  Majority of voters say Biden won second debate, poll finds Sixty-five percent of voters said the candidates were mostly respectful of each other's time, as opposed to 10% who said that after the first debate.Fifty-four percent of voters who watched the Thursday debate said Biden performed the best, while 39% said that Trump did. Eight percent of voters who watched weren’t sure or had no opinion on who did best.

Trump will win if he holds the Sunbelt — specifically Florida and Arizona — and carries North Carolina and just one of the big three in the Democratic “blue wall” he won in 2016: Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin. Trump is also spending real money to advertise in the expansion states of Minnesota and New Hampshire over the next week.

Biden’s path to the presidency is much wider. If he wins Florida alone, for example, Trump is effectively finished. The Democrat’s chances will also increase significantly if he can pick up North Carolina, Arizona or Georgia, where he’ll campaign on Tuesday. Biden is also within striking distance in Ohio and Iowa, two states Democrats lost by almost double digits four years ago.

But even if Biden loses every one of the aforementioned six states, he can still defeat Trump by reclaiming Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Biden has a highway of possibilities. Trump’s path is incredibly narrow, but it exists.

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THE FINAL THOUGHT

We already know that most voters don't trust Trump on the coronavirus, but any credibility the Republican president had left on the subject took another hit over the weekend as a new outbreak swept through the office of the vice president.

There is no good time for something like this, but it comes a week before the election as Trump insists that the pandemic is improving. That's simply not true by any objective measure.

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AP’s Advance Voting guide brings you the facts about voting early, by mail or absentee from each state: https://interactives.ap.org/advance-voting-2020/.

Biden looks to restore, expand Obama administration policies .
Stop and reverse. Restore and expand. Joe Biden is promising to take the country on a very different path from what it has seen over the past four years under President Donald Trump, on issues ranging from the coronavirus and health care to the environment, education and more. The Democratic presidential nominee is promising to reverse Trump policy moves on things such as withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris climate agreement and weakening protections against environmental pollution.While Trump wants to kill the Affordable Care Act, Biden is proposing to expand “Obamacare” by adding a public option to cover more Americans.

usr: 0
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