•   
  •   
  •   

Politics Lindsey Graham Losing Ground to Jaime Harrison in South Carolina: Election Forecast

14:30  26 october  2020
14:30  26 october  2020 Source:   newsweek.com

The Action Network: Best prop picks for Kansas playoffs

  The Action Network: Best prop picks for Kansas playoffs The Action Network specializes in providing sports betting insights/analytics and is a content partner with NASCAR. Check out more NASCAR betting analysis here. Today’s NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas Speedway is the eighth race of the year at a 1.5-mile track with low- or medium-tire wear. That gives us plenty of data to work […]In particular, there are four representative races that we can lean on to best inform us on driver performance. We can also look back at 2019 data, which had a similar aerodynamic and engine package.

Longtime Republican senator Lindsey Graham is in the fight of his political life against challenge Jaime Harrison in South Carolina . Senator Lindsey Graham ’s lead role in next week’s Supreme Court nomination hearings will be the high-wire finale to his suddenly close race for re- election .

South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham listens to colleagues speak during a Judiciary Committee hearing Enter Jaime Harrison . When you heard he was running for the seat, were you surprised? But airtime in South Carolina is not that expensive. And it seems like the biggest thing that campaign

Republican South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham's prospects of retaining his seat are declining as he looks to stave off his better-funded Democratic challenger, Jaime Harrison, according to a recent election forecast.

Lindsey Graham wearing a suit and tie: Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham (R-SC) arrives for a Senate Judiciary Committee meeting on the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to be an associate justice of the U.S. Supreme Court on October 22, 2020 on Capitol Hill. He is facing a tightening race to retain his seat in South Carolina. © Hannah McKay/Pool/Getty Images Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Lindsey Graham (R-SC) arrives for a Senate Judiciary Committee meeting on the nomination of Judge Amy Coney Barrett to be an associate justice of the U.S. Supreme Court on October 22, 2020 on Capitol Hill. He is facing a tightening race to retain his seat in South Carolina.

According to The Economist's forecast for the race, Graham's chance of winning is 59 percent, dipping compared to his numbers in recent months. This indicates a marked decline since mid-September, when his chances were put at 70 percent.

Democratic Upstart Jaime Harrison on What He Really Thinks of Lindsey Graham

  Democratic Upstart Jaime Harrison on What He Really Thinks of Lindsey Graham The South Carolina politician began as a long shot to upset a GOP Senate fixture. Now he’s breaking fundraising records.In a usual year, in a semi-normal political world, a Democrat running against an incumbent GOP senator in conservative South Carolina — especially if it’s someone as entrenched and D.C.-powerful as Graham, a former manager for the Bill Clinton impeachment hearings who won his last race by 15 points and who has, in fact, never faced a tough electoral challenge — wouldn’t garner much attention. But you may have noticed that this is not a normal year, including in South Carolina.

Former South Carolina Democratic Party Chair Jaime Harrison is breaking fundraising records in Former state legislator Jaime Harrison is challenging GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham for US Senate in Ginsburg's death threw a stick of dynamite into an already supercharged election shaped by a deadly

Lindsey Graham and Jaime Harrison at Allen University in Columbia, S . C ., Saturday, Oct. Democratic leaders in South Carolina are in a position they might not have expected coming into this election cycle: They have a chance to capture a U.S. Senate seat that has been under Republican

The Economist model is updated each day and factors in data on polls, fundraising and factors such as incumbency and the partisan lean of a state.

Ignoring third party votes, it predicts Graham gaining 51 percent of the vote compared to 49 percent for Harrison. In mid-September, Graham had been predicated for around 70 percent.

While The Economist forecast is tipping Graham for a win, some of the recent polling in the state has leaned towards Harrison.

However, a recent poll from The New York Times/Siena College put Graham ahead by six points, with 46 percent of 605 respondents asked October 9 to 14 backing him compared to 40 percent for the Democrat.

Real Clear Politics and The Cook Political Report both rate the race as a toss-up.

How South Carolina became one of 2020’s most unexpected Senate battlegrounds

  How South Carolina became one of 2020’s most unexpected Senate battlegrounds The historically Republican state is now considered a toss-up.In a state where no Democrat has won a Senate seat for more than two decades, former South Carolina Democratic Party Chair Jaime Harrison has fielded an incredibly strong challenge to incumbent Sen. Lindsey Graham, a high-profile Trump ally. Although early polling had Harrison lagging Graham by as much as 17 percentage points in February, recent surveys have the two lawmakers in a statistical tie.

On Monday, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham got some very unwelcome news. "While there are still large hurdles that remain for [Democratic nominee Jaime ] Harrison to become the first Democrat elected to the Senate from South Carolina since 1998, it's clear this race is becoming

A Lot of People Want Lindsey Graham Retired. Jaime Harrison Thinks He’s the Man to Do It. When a young, Black, Yale-educated Democrat The election ended with Hampton installed as governor, because when a special commission in Washington settled the presidential election in favor of Hayes

Graham has bemoaned the level of funding his rival Harrison has pulled in for the race, having said donors are backing the Democrat to "take me out."

"They're trying to take me out," he said. "Every liberal in the country is sending money to South Carolina."

Harrison raised $57 million in the third quarter, while stating he had spent $60 million in that period. Harrison also announced recently having raised "over $2 million" in 48 hours.

Graham has also brought in large sums, raising $28 million in the same period, the most ever raised by a Republican state senator in such a time period. Graham's campaign has since claimed it had taken in $1 million each day throughout the first half of October.

Graham's campaign has accused Harrison of trying to "buy a Senate seat." Speaking on Fox News over the weekend, Graham said: "They want the Senate so badly. They're trying to destroy this president who's had the best presidency since Ronald Reagan. So, help me."

Harrison said his money is "coming from the people," who he said are "tired of Lindsey Graham playing Washington political games," in an interview with MSNBC. He suggested Graham is "in trouble" in the race.

Newsweek has contacted Graham and Harrison for comment regarding the forecast and the outlook of the race.

Start your unlimited Newsweek trial

The final week in polls: Trump eats into Biden's leads in Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania .
The final polls show the race between Trump and Biden has tightened since mid-October, both nationally and in the critical battleground states.Biden's lead in USA TODAY's average of averages, which is based on data from RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight, reached double-digits on Oct. 12, but has since fallen back to a 7.5-percentage point lead. That leaves him back roughly in the same position USA TODAY found him in its first poll roundup on Sept. 28, when his polling average lead over Trump was 7.2 points.

usr: 1
This is interesting!