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Politics The week in polls: Trump gains in 9 of 12 swing states, but Biden still leads in 10 of them

14:51  26 october  2020
14:51  26 october  2020 Source:   usatoday.com

The week in polls: Trump erases Biden's bounce in Florida, Biden gains in Georgia

  The week in polls: Trump erases Biden's bounce in Florida, Biden gains in Georgia In the Senate, a poll found Doug Jones may not be doomed after all. And another found Lindsey Graham's race may not be as tight as believed.They have found Biden still holding a commanding lead nationally (though down slightly from last week) and leading in 10 of 12 swing states. But Trump regained a slight polling average lead in Ohio and ate a big chunk out of Biden's leads in Pennsylvania and Minnesota. Trump also erased Biden's gains in Florida from last week, which some Democrats had hoped signaled their nominee was pulling away in the crucial Sunshine State.

Last week : Biden gains on Trump nationally, leads in most swing states . A Reuters/Ipsos poll released Sunday found 65% – including 9 in 10 registered Democrats and 5 in 10 registered Republicans – believed if Trump "had taken coronavirus more seriously, he probably would not have

Biden leading national presidential polls . National polls are a good guide as to how popular a He has hovered around 50% in recent months and has had a 10 -point lead on occasions. The polls suggest Mr Biden has big leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin - three industrial states his

With just eight days to go before the election, both national poll and swing state surveys make it clear the race is tightening.

President Donald Trump gained on his Democratic challenger Joe Biden in national polling averages, and in nine of 12 contested states. But Biden still holds a sizable lead in the national polls and is still ahead of Trump in 10 of the 12 states that could decide the election.

Biden's average lead is only 3 percentage points or more in five of the swing states, but those include the crucial states of Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin that Trump flipped in 2016. And while Trump grew his modest lead in Ohio and cut Biden's leads in Arizona, Florida and Georgia further down to size, he also lost ground in Texas and Iowa.

Fact-checking Trump's massively dishonest weekend: The President made at least 66 separate false or misleading claims in three days

  Fact-checking Trump's massively dishonest weekend: The President made at least 66 separate false or misleading claims in three days President Donald Trump's dishonesty is getting worse. © Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images US President Donald Trump gestures during a rally at Southern Wisconsin Regional Airport in Janesville, Wisconsin on October 17, 2020. (Photo by MANDEL NGAN / AFP) (Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images) Trump has been reliably deceptive for his entire presidency, filling his speeches and tweets with lies and other false statements.

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden is still leading President Donald Trump in the polls , though averages of national surveys show a trend toward a slightly tightening race. But Biden continues to hold his edge over the incumbent in a handful of crucial swing states .

Post-ABC polls released during the week found very tight races in Florida and Arizona, while polls the previous week found Biden with a slight lead in Today there are relatively few voters who say they could change their minds before they vote, with more than 9 of 10 Trump and Biden supporters

a group of people standing in a park: A Biden supporter drives past the line for a Trump Rally in Pensacola, Florida, Oct. 23, 2020. © Gregg Pachkowski, Pensacola News Journal A Biden supporter drives past the line for a Trump Rally in Pensacola, Florida, Oct. 23, 2020.

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The USA TODAY average of averages is based on the polling averages calculated by RealClearPolitics (RCP) and FiveThirtyEight.

Last week: Trump roars back in Florida, Biden gains in Georgia

National average

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 51.4%, Trump 42.9% (Biden +8.6)

Last week: Biden 51.9%, Trump 42.1% (Biden +9.8)

Net change: Trump +1.2

  • RCP: Biden 50.8%, Trump 42.8%
  • FiveThirtyEight: Biden 52.0%, Trump 42.9%

At this point in 2016: Clinton +5.6

Swing state averages

Arizona: Biden +2.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.8%, Trump 46.1%

Biden's big lead: A field guide to the swing-state polls

  Biden's big lead: A field guide to the swing-state polls A close look at the polls in 13 battlegrounds details Biden's advantage in the Midwest and his drive to break new ground in the Sun Belt.A wave of swing-state surveys this week confirmed Biden’s advantage in many of the Electoral College battlegrounds, including posting double-digit leads in some polls in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

Biden is still leading in the polls , and voters say he won his first debate against Trump . Published Thu, Oct 1 202011:08 AM EDTUpdated Thu The NBC News national polling average had Biden up 7. 9 points over Trump . That figure is based on an unweighted average of the 10 most recent reliable

Joe Biden is still beating President Donald Trump in most general election polls , according to averages of survey results from FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics. But those trackers show signs that Biden 's lead is narrowing slightly following the parties' national conventions.

Last week:  Biden 49.3%, Trump 45.5% (Biden +3.8)

Net change: Trump +1.1

Florida: Biden +1.9

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 48.9%, Trump 47.0%

Last week: Biden 48.7%, Trump 46.0% (Biden +2.7)

Net change: Trump +0.8

Georgia: Biden +0.5

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.6%, Trump 47.1%

Last week: Biden 47.9%, Trump 46.6% (Biden +1.3)

Net change: Trump +0.8

Iowa: Biden +1.1

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 47.4%, Trump 46.3%

Last week: Biden 47.8%, Trump 47.0% (Biden +0.8)

Net change: Biden +0.3

Michigan: Biden +7.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.5%, Trump 42.7%

Last week: Biden 50.4%, Trump 42.9% (Biden +7.5)

Net change: Biden +0.3

Minnesota: Biden +7.1

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.4%, Trump 42.3%

Last week: Biden 49.0%, Trump 41.2% (Biden +7.8)

Net change: Trump +0.7

Nevada: Biden +5.8

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.6%, Trump 43.8%

Last week:  Biden 49.3%, Trump 43.4% (Biden +5.9)

Net change: Trump +0.1

North Carolina: Biden +1.9

Debate transcript: Trump, Biden final presidential debate moderated by Kristen Welker

  Debate transcript: Trump, Biden final presidential debate moderated by Kristen Welker Here is the full transcript of the final presidential debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, moderated by Kristen Welker in Nashville on Oct. 22, 2020. Headers have been added for ease of reading. © Mario Tama, Getty Images People are pictured watching the final debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden at The Abbey in West Hollywood, California. [0:00] Welker: A very good evening to both of you. This debate will cover six major topics.

See how President Trump is polling against challenger Joe Biden as each vies to win the 2020 presidential election. Use the sort to view the polls in different ways. Select a state name to see its presidential voting history. Select the link below each chart to see all the polling detail for that state .

Biden vs Trump : who is leading the 2020 US election polls ? With less than two weeks to go before the US presidential election, former vice-president Joe Biden , the Democratic party’s nominee, is polling narrowly ahead of incumbent Republican president Donald Trump in key battleground states

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 49.1%, Trump 47.2%

Last week: Biden 48.8%, Trump 45.9% (Biden +2.9)

Net change: Trump +1.0

Ohio: Trump +1.0

USA TODAY average of averages: Trump 47.4%, Biden 46.4%

Last week: Trump 46.7%, Biden 46.4% (Trump +0.3)

Net change: Trump +0.7

Pennsylvania: Biden +5.4

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.0%, Trump 44.6%

Last week: Biden 50.0%, Trump 44.5% (Biden +5.5)

Net change: Trump +0.1

Texas: Trump +1.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Trump 48.1%, Biden 46.8%

Last week: Trump 48.9%, Biden 46.0% (Trump +2.9)

Net change: Biden +1.2

Wisconsin: Biden +5.7

USA TODAY average of averages: Biden 50.1%, Trump 44.4%

Last week: Biden 50.5%, Trump 43.8% (Biden +6.7)

Net change: Trump +1.0

Senate races

Arizona: McSally closing the gap with Kelly

In most polls, for most of the race, Mark Kelly, a former astronaut and husband of former Rep. Gabby Giffords of Arizona, has held a lead – sometimes in the double digits – over GOP incumbent Sen. Martha McSally. But several polls this week indicate Kelly's lead has slipped substantially, if not disappeared altogether.

In a poll released Oct. 5, Morning Consult found Kelly up 13 points over Kelly, 51%-38%. But a Morning Consult poll released Thursday found Kelly up just 4 points over McSally, 48%-44%. And two polls released Friday found McSally with a slight lead: one, from Susquehanna Polling and Research found McSally up 50%-47% and one from Basswood Research found her up a little over 1 point.

Majority of voters say Biden won second debate, poll finds

  Majority of voters say Biden won second debate, poll finds Sixty-five percent of voters said the candidates were mostly respectful of each other's time, as opposed to 10% who said that after the first debate.Fifty-four percent of voters who watched the Thursday debate said Biden performed the best, while 39% said that Trump did. Eight percent of voters who watched weren’t sure or had no opinion on who did best.

But Biden is sitting on a massive cash advantage, leads a race that has defied sharp turns even Democrats with dark memories of 2016 may panic if there is a tightening of the polls in the coming While Trump plans a traditional frantic rush through battle ground states with big rallies -- with his

This and numerous other polls also show Trump trailing badly in six swing states likely to decide the all-important electoral college. “RIGGED 2020 ELECTION: MILLIONS OF MAIL-IN BALLOTS WILL BE PRINTED BY FOREIGN COUNTRIES, AND OTHERS,” was a false claim he tweeted this week in

Kentucky: McConnell poised to win again

Democrats have long dreamed of unseating Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in Kentucky, but it appears they will have to wait another six years to try again. According to two polls this week,  former Marine pilot Amy McGrath is poised to suffer the same fate as McConnell's past challengers.

A survey from Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy released Wednesday found McConnell leading McGrath 51%-42% and one released Thursday by the polling firm Cygnal found him winning by an even larger margin, 50%-40%.

"McConnell should be feeling very confident," said Brent Buchanan, Cygnal’s CEO and founder. "The Senate Leader has had a historic role in driving the effort to confirm Trump’s judicial appointees to the federal bench – including Amy Coney Barrett – and it’s clear voters in the Bluegrass State appreciate his work."

Poll-pourri

Majorities don't want Affordable Care Act or Roe v. Wade tossed

The majority (56%) of likely voters preferred that the Affordable Care Act, often referred to as Obamacare, be upheld in court, while 66% said they agreed with the Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion, according to a poll from Quinnipiac University. Democrats fear for the future of the ACA with a Supreme Court that is soon to have a 6-3 conservative majority after Amy Coney Barrett's expected confirmation on Monday.

Polling averages show Trump gaining on Biden in most swing states. Will it be enough?

  Polling averages show Trump gaining on Biden in most swing states. Will it be enough? Trump gained on Biden in polling average in 9 of 12 swing states since Monday, continuing last week's trend. But of those, he is only ahead in Texas.The deadline for early voting ends Friday in several states where the race is tight, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Texas – and on Saturday in the key states of Florida and North Carolina. Though early turnout appears to favor Democrats in many states, Republicans are gaining ground quickly in Florida and other early voting states.

Majority says Biden won the final debate

Most registered voters said Biden performed better than Trump during the second presidential debate, according to a Politico/Morning Consult poll released Friday.

Fifty-four percent of voters who watched the Thursday debate said Biden performed the best, while 39% said Trump did. Eight percent of voters who watched weren’t sure or had no opinion on who did best.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: The week in polls: Trump gains in 9 of 12 swing states, but Biden still leads in 10 of them

The final week in polls: Trump eats into Biden's leads in Arizona, North Carolina, Nevada and Pennsylvania .
The final polls show the race between Trump and Biden has tightened since mid-October, both nationally and in the critical battleground states.Biden's lead in USA TODAY's average of averages, which is based on data from RealClearPolitics and FiveThirtyEight, reached double-digits on Oct. 12, but has since fallen back to a 7.5-percentage point lead. That leaves him back roughly in the same position USA TODAY found him in its first poll roundup on Sept. 28, when his polling average lead over Trump was 7.2 points.

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