Politics Opinions | Could Trump end up going quietly? Here are 5 ways that might happen.
Fact check: Biden voted to tax Social Security, wants to reform retirement benefits
As a senator, Joe Biden voted to tax Social Security benefits. As a presidential hopeful, he does not propose taxing property or retirement accounts.The former senator from Delaware was also the deciding vote in raising the Social Security tax rate to up to 85% in 1993, according to the meme.
No other human being has had a closer-up view of President Trump’s corrupt machinations than Michael Cohen, so when Trump’s former fixer says Trump won’t give up power even if he loses reelection, it’s worth entertaining.
“There will never be a peaceful transition of power under Donald J. Trump,” Cohenon Sunday, adding that Trump is desperate to retain the immunities , including possible prosecution for tax crimes.
WeTrump hopes to prematurely declare himself winner while invalidating millions of mail ballots, which could unleash a sustained post-election struggle.
Opinion: America got cheated
Trump and Biden appeared separately -- in different cities, with different moderators and on different networks -- in overlapping town halls. Had they been on the same stage, the stark differences between the two would have seemed even more dramatic, but the town halls were revealing in many ways.This week in America he would have felt cheated, as an opportunity for real drama slipped through his fingers.
But if you squint, you can discern various scenarios in which Trump ends up going quietly — or relatively so. Presuming for now that Joe Biden wins, here are five such possibilities:
Biden wins by a landslide. This is the most obvious: Biden wins in a rout so convincing that there is literally no avenue open for Trump to contest or resist it. This might seem a bit more plausible with new polls finding Bidenand .
To be sure, a landslide win is unlikely. Trump isin Texas and Georgia. But , Biden is closer to winning places like that than Trump is to winning Michigan and Wisconsin, which makes a landslide as plausible as a Trump victory.
If so, there would be no possibility that post-election litigation in, say, Pennsylvania could rescue Trump. And large swaths of Trump’s supporters might accept the inevitable, leaving no support base for holding out.
USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll: Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 7 points in pivotal Pennsylvania
A majority of likely Pennsylvania voters also said they do not support adding justices to the Supreme Court. "You start creating more justices to get the opinions you want," he said. "It's almost like 'well I gotta win and I'm just gonna create new facts.' " But Laws said that she supports adding justices to the Supreme Court, adding that it shouldn't be called court packing. "I believe it should be called court evening," Laws said. She said that she believes that the "minority shouldn't be ruling the majority," adding that the "the majority of the country is pro choice.
Biden wins Florida on election night. Because Florida’s voting rulesmail ballots to be counted well in advance of Election Day, an election night call here is likely.
This means avoiding a scenario in which Trump declares himself winner even as enormous numbers of mail ballots remain outstanding in key states. Since Trump has no plausible path without Florida, it would likely mean a winner is called on election night.
Also: Because Florida has had years of experience using mail balloting, a process often run by Republicans, it will be much harder to contest the result with “voter fraud” lies.
Indeed, Trump himselfFlorida’s absentee balloting at “Safe and Secure,” because he thinks it will benefit him there (while claiming it’s fraudulent where he thinks it’ll hurt him). Given this duality is, it would be poetic justice if this made it impossible for him to contest the results.
Debate transcript: Trump, Biden final presidential debate moderated by Kristen Welker
Here is the full transcript of the final presidential debate between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden, moderated by Kristen Welker in Nashville on Oct. 22, 2020. Headers have been added for ease of reading. © Mario Tama, Getty Images People are pictured watching the final debate between President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden at The Abbey in West Hollywood, California. [0:00] Welker: A very good evening to both of you. This debate will cover six major topics.
Biden wins Arizona and runs strong (enough) in the Rust Belt. Arizona is another state that begins counting mail ballots well before Election Day. As, it may end up boasting the smoothest election process of any battleground.
If Biden is called winner of Arizona on election night or early the next morning, it might be very apparent early that he’s winning the electoral college. Biden can get to 270 with the states Hillary Clinton won plus Arizona plus only two of the three “blue wall” states Trump swiped. (Even if Biden wins Michigan and Wisconsin but loses Pennsylvania, he gets there with Nebraska’s 2nd district, where he).
It’s plausible Biden could be called winner of Arizona even as early tallies in the three “blue wall” states (where mail ballot counting isto litigation challenge) show that Biden will win at least two of them no matter what happens with those challenges. Republicans would continue litigating, but at this point the real outcome couldn’t be obscured.
Vote-by-mail goes well for Biden in Pennsylvania. Once Amy Coney Barrett is seated on the Supreme Court, Republicans will try again to overrule a lower ruling allowing for the counting of absentee ballots that arrive after Election Day. (They failed when the eight-justice court deadlocked.)
The 60 Minutes interview that President Trump cut short
In an interview that's made headlines this week, Lesley Stahl presses President Trump on once-again rising coronavirus cases and what his priorities would be if re-elected. Stahl also speaks with Mr. Trump's running mate, Vice President Mike Pence.We begin with President Donald Trump and Vice President Mike Pence. I spoke with the president on Tuesday in the Roosevelt Room at the White House.
It’s. But either way, early voting has been so explosive in Pennsylvania — nearly 1.5 million people have by mail there — that it’s plausible late arriving ballots might not be pivotal.
“It does appear that people are returning their ballots sooner than in 2016,” Michael McDonald, who runs the, told me. “It reduces the chance that those late arriving ballots would be decisive.”
It’s true that in the state, counting might drag out for days after Election Day. And if it’s very close, Republicans might be able to make up the difference through litigation invalidating mail ballots in small numbers.
But the state supreme courtthat non-matching signatures can’t be used for this, depriving Republicans of a big weapon. And it’s plausible Biden could win by a sizable enough margin that even if litigation does continue, it won’t make the difference. This is even more true if the numbers of late arriving ballots aren’t big enough to matter.
If Biden is leading in Pennsylvania, it’s hard to imagine him losing Wisconsin or Michigan, meaning he’d be on track to winning the electoral college.
Fox News behaves responsibly. Fox News’ decision desk is one area of the network that’sfrom Trump and his propagandists. So it’s plausible that Fox might call the election against Trump before he and his supporters are willing to surrender.
Candidate Trump decried the national debt in 2016 and promised to eliminate it. It's only gotten bigger.
Analysts point to several reasons for the jump, including his tax cuts in 2017 and the federal response to the economic fallout from the pandemic."We can't send another politician to the White House," Trump tweeted on July 24, 2015, a few weeks after he announced his candidacy for the presidency.
Fox-trusting Republicans areto believe vote-by-mail will be fraudulent. Which means Fox has lay the groundwork for Trump to contest the results even if he’s losing.
The flip side is that, if Fox’s decision desk handles this responsibly, educating viewers about the realities of Trump’s pending loss, it could badly cripple such efforts in the minds of his supporters.
None of this is meant to sound sanguine about avoiding serious bedlam. All kinds of terrible outcomes in the courts remain possible, as does serious violence.
But there are ways this could end with a relative whimper (and a barrage of ALL CAPS tweets) as opposed to something far worse. And there’s one way to make these scenarios more likely: Vote in enormous enough numbers to make them happen.
The Daily 202: If Trump wins, these are the 10 most likely explanations for how it happened .
Biden acts like the election boils down to a Pennsylvania Senate race. Joe Biden leads President Trump by 10 points among registered voters, 52 percent to 42 percent, in the final national pre-election poll conducted by NBC and the Wall Street Journal. Majorities of Americans think the country is on the wrong track and disapprove of the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic.