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Politics Trump Pins Hopes on Rallies That Could Be Sealing His Defeat

11:30  27 october  2020
11:30  27 october  2020 Source:   bloomberg.com

Trump's ad strategy targeting senior citizens: I recovered from COVID-19 and so can America

  Trump's ad strategy targeting senior citizens: I recovered from COVID-19 and so can America “Don’t let it dominate you. Don’t be afraid of it,” said Trump, who suggested he might be immune to COVID-19. “You’re going to beat it.”“President Trump is recovering from the coronavirus and so is America,” the narrator says. “President Trump tackled the virus head on, as leaders should.

After voting in his home state of Florida on Saturday, Trump raced through rallies in three states: North Carolina He's suggested he might hold as many as five rallies a day in the final stretch before the election. The president has embraced a breakneck campaign schedule in hopes of closing the gap.

Trump 's been telling his fans for weeks that there's no way he can lose. So they're primed for a vicious backlash. Supporters of President Trump rally outside Walter Reed National Military Medical Center on Oct.

(Bloomberg) -- President Donald Trump’s push for a second poll-defying victory is relying on a hallmark of his first -- raucous campaign rallies that Trump sees as a crucial sign of voter enthusiasm but that pollsters say may only be cementing his defeat.

Trump held three rallies Monday, all in Pennsylvania, with three more scheduled Tuesday and as many as five or six a day expected by the weekend. The rallies befit the showman with roots in reality television: blaring music, slick production, video montages, warm-up speeches, Air Force One as a backdrop and the president himself as the headline attraction. Attendees erupt in screams and cheers at his arrival, and local Republicans say it’s unlike any political event they’ve seen.

Trump ramps up rally strategy that may come with more risk than reward

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Trump has all the branch of government on his side and he is somehow still have trouble getting shit done. From what I've gathered, Trump has more drone strikes under his belt but Obama was truthful and disclosed all his . We don't usually notice it because he's usually speaking in a crowded rally

Trump holds three rallies in Pennsylvania Monday. On Tuesday he heads to Michigan, Wisconsin President Donald Trump was heading back on the road Monday for his extended rally tour with 'He has such a large following in Southern Nevada and also in Nevada, this could be possibly one of the

Trump has held five rallies each in Florida and Pennsylvania since his recovery from the coronavirus, more than any other states, along with repeat stops in North Carolina, Wisconsin and Arizona. Democrat Joe Biden has kept a limited travel schedule, holding two events since last Thursday’s debate. And when he does, they are sparsely attended by design, often staged as drive-in rallies, to prevent the spread of coronavirus.

Biden is leading Trump by about 8 percentage points in national polls, according to RealClearPolitics. The two are essentially tied in Florida, a critical state to each one’s potential victory, and Biden has small leads in most battleground states.

‘Red Wave’

Trump has mocked Biden’s small crowd sizes, marveled at his own turnout and cited it as a sign of a looming “red wave.”

Trump’s campaign made stops nationwide. Coronavirus cases surged in his wake in at least five places.

  Trump’s campaign made stops nationwide. Coronavirus cases surged in his wake in at least five places. A USA TODAY analysis shows county COVID-19 cases grew at a faster rate after at least five of Trump's rallies across three states since mid-August.The president has participated in nearly three dozen rallies since mid-August, all but two at airport hangars. A USA TODAY analysis shows COVID-19 cases grew at a faster rate than before after at least five of those rallies in the following counties: Blue Earth, Minnesota; Lackawanna, Pennsylvania; Marathon, Wisconsin; Dauphin, Pennsylvania; and Beltrami, Minnesota.

While President Trump ’s chief of staff on Monday attempted to clarify the assertion that the United States is “not going to control” the coronavirus crisis, the president himself complained that the media is too focused on the pandemic.

Trump said during the rally , in reference to his recovery from Covid-19, hoping to prove to the crowd that his administration had successfully lowered the fatality rate of the disease, even as more Further Reading. Trump required oxygen treatments but could be discharged as early as Monday (Politico).

But the rallies’ impact is far from clear. Republicans say they harvest data from attendees and fire up their base, while Democrats say they get a spike in donations and volunteers, too, and wonder if Trump is merely preaching to the choir.

Holding rallies in defiance of pandemic health recommendations has fueled voters’ disapproval of his handling of the pandemic -- feeding Biden’s key argument that Trump has mishandled the first major crisis of his presidency. And pollsters say there’s little evidence of a rally boost.

“The rapid-fire Trump rallies, while clearly well-received by the base, have done nothing to tip the scale in President Trump’s direction,” said Tim Malloy, a pollster from Quinnipiac University.

No Additional Benefit

Alan Abramowitz, an Emory University professor who studied Trump’s rally impact in the 2016 and 2018 cycles, found they didn’t move the needle in the states where they were held. He expects the same in 2020.

Donald Trump made many promises in 2016 and early in his term. Which has he kept and what is he still working on?

  Donald Trump made many promises in 2016 and early in his term. Which has he kept and what is he still working on? Trump has kept a number of pledges, including tax cuts and conservative judges. But not on others such as bringing back coal and replacing Obamacare."Unlike so many who came before me, I keep my promises," Trump said during his State of the Union speech this year.

Trump kept up his full-bore cross-country campaign swing with a Sunday trip to New Hampshire where he mocked social distancing guidelines as the White The president is holding a string of rallies in the final spring to Election Day. His first event is in New Hampshire, where he trails Joe Biden in polls.

The latest signs that Trump is putting his political priorities ahead of his duty of care to the American people come as the President plans a frantic week of packed rallies that flout If that number was 95%, more than 100,000 lives could be saved from Covid-19 through February, according to the study.

“It doesn’t seem like you’re getting any additional benefit,” he said.

For his part, Biden said Monday in Pennsylvania that the reason his strategy looks different is that “we’re not putting out super spreaders,” referring to events that widely transmit the virus. “Everybody’s wearing a mask and trying as best as we can to be socially distanced,” he said.

Trump appears to bask in the thousands of people who flock to each rally, many from out of state, and the rock-concert atmosphere.

The campaign collects contact information from anyone who signs up to attend, allowing them to identify potential new voters. Trump has lately taken to asking crowds if they’ve already voted -- drawing only scant cheers at his first rally Monday, whereas more cheered when asked if they still had to vote. The crowd erupted when he asked if they’d all vote for him.

“The rally has always been, and is, an important part of the campaign. We gather an awful lot of voter data from those rallies,” said Tim Murtaugh, communications director for the Trump campaign.

“The media and Democrats can scoff at the rally if they want to and think that the president is running a strictly base election. We know through data that that is absolutely untrue. The president is expanding his support,” Murtaugh said. “The president’s rally is absolutely the best weapon the campaign has because our best asset is the candidate, President Trump.”

Fact check: Thin Blue Line flag has taken a prominent place at Trump rallies

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During the speech Trump also spoke about his work to reform prescription drug pricing by the pharmaceutical Before the President departed on his trip to Ohio, then to travel to his Bedminster, NJ, resort He's really going to do IT. He & Barr & Rudy are pulling the pin on this grenade.

US President Donald Trump ’s strategy has been to ignore the coronavirus pandemic and “wave the white flag of defeat ,” says his rival, Joe Biden. Biden and former President Barack Obama have been holding drive-in rallies to prevent the spread of the coronavirus, wile campaigning ahead of the

a group of people standing in front of a crowd: Donald Trump Holds Multiple Campaign Rallies Across Pennsylvania © Photographer: Mark Makela/Getty Images North America Donald Trump Holds Multiple Campaign Rallies Across Pennsylvania

Supporters reach to catch a cap thrown by Trump during his rally in Lititz, Pennsylvania on Monday.

Photographer: Mark Makela/Getty Images North America

Smaller Cities

Local Republican officials say Trump’s rallies are typically in smaller cities that rarely get such attention, and where he needs strong turnout to offset Democratic strongholds in major cities.

“When the president comes to your area, you really pay attention, because a lot of places obviously haven’t ever had a president come,” said Wisconsin GOP Chairman Andrew Hitt. The airport rallies particularly excite the crowd, he said. “All of that theater excites them. It’s an opportunity to continue to keep your base engaged, continue to keep them energized.”

Republicans marvel at the dedication -- people stand in lines for hours, sometimes overnight, to see him. “I have not seen this type of response, ever,” to other political events, said Rae Chornenky, chair of the Maricopa County Republicans, the Arizona county that includes Phoenix. “And even with performers -- I got to see The Doors in 1969, and there was this kind of excitement, but nobody lined up for days.”

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  Top GOP official says cyber attackers stole $2.3 million from Republican Party of Wisconsin Chairman Andrew Hitt said the party discovered the attack Oct. 22 and by Friday realized $2.3 million was taken.Party Chairman Andrew Hitt said the loss was attributed to a phishing attack that has been reported to the FBI.

No Masks

But the rallies have a different perception in the pandemic -- showing the president, maskless, speaking to thousands of people, crowded together and mostly maskless themselves. Add to that Trump’s red-meat rhetoric and it’s a recipe to turn off voters in the middle, said Nancy Zdunkewicz, a Democratic pollster with Change Research.

“He needs to win over some folks. And what he’s doing is not only preventing him from winning over folks, it’s potentially pushing people away that might otherwise be with him -- especially with the Covid stuff,” she said. “He’s highlighting this issue which is the place where he is doing the worst.”

In key states, some Democrats welcome a Trump rally.

“Every time he comes into town, we raise hundreds of thousands of dollars. We recruit thousands more volunteers,” said Ken Martin, chairman of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor party. “First, he usually says something and it ends up costing him votes in this state. Secondly, I’ve said this for years now, there’s no one in the Democratic Party that’s galvanizing our party more than Donald Trump. He is the great unifier.”

Ohio Democratic Party Chairman David Pepper said Trump’s rallies have energized voters in the state, which is essential to Trump’s re-election chances. “If he’s saying something that’s off the rails it fires people up to get involved,” he said. “The other thing I think it does -- his rallies are a nonstop reminder about how much he does not take the Covid crisis seriously.”

Other Democrats across the country have essentially shrugged off the president’s events in their backyard. “I am sure his base is eating it up, but these events don’t change minds,” said Alison Jones, chair of the Pima County Democratic Party in Arizona, where Trump held a rally last week.

Trump is all-in on the rallies. He sees the crowds as a sign that he’s on a comeback tour, rather than a goodbye tour. “This is not the crowd that comes in second, OK?” he said Sunday in New Hampshire. “It’s like a poll, right? But much more accurate.”

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©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

The Daily 202: If Trump wins, these are the 10 most likely explanations for how it happened .
Biden acts like the election boils down to a Pennsylvania Senate race. Joe Biden leads President Trump by 10 points among registered voters, 52 percent to 42 percent, in the final national pre-election poll conducted by NBC and the Wall Street Journal. Majorities of Americans think the country is on the wrong track and disapprove of the president’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic.

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This is interesting!