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Politics Did Trump keep his campaign promises? Here’s what Americans think.

13:25  28 october  2020
13:25  28 october  2020 Source:   washingtonpost.com

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So how has he done in keeping his promises ? image copyrightAFP. Before election: Trump promised to lower the corporate tax rate and bring in huge tax cuts for working Americans . Before: Mr Trump pledged during his campaign to move the embassy from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem, a divided

Americans increasingly doubt that Donald Trump is a president who keeps his promises , according to Gallup Poll numbers released Monday. Trump , caught in an unfortunate camera angle, is facing increasing public doubts about his ability and willingness to keep his campaign promises .

Less than a week before Election Day, the 2020 election increasingly appears to be a referendum on the incumbent. To better understand the sources of the president’s stable support in the face of a public health crisis, we investigated registered voters’ views of Donald Trump’s political “scoresheet.”

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Do voters think that the president accomplished most of what he promised to do?

In a nationally representative poll conducted a few weeks ago, we find that people who supported Trump in 2016 mostly believe he has kept his campaign promises on core issues such as immigration and trade policies. At the same time, our poll found, Democratic challenger Joe Biden is having the most success attracting 2016 Trump voters who believe the president broke his promises.

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Here ' s a progress report on the president's first two years: Border wall. Trump has delivered on his promises to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement and to While the president keeps chipping away at the Affordable Care Act, Trump has yet to deliver on his promise to "I think the revolving door is operating much as it always has and maybe a little faster and more vigorously

However, we also find that, no matter whether a respondent is a Republican, independent or even a Democrat, those who watch Fox News on a daily basis are more likely to believe that Trump has delivered on his promises.

How we did our research

We interviewed 2,574 registered voters on a variety of political issues. The survey was implemented by YouGov and fielded between Sept. 21 and 29. We weighted the data to 2018 American Community Survey benchmarks for age, gender, ethnicity, education and region.

We asked respondents: “How well do you think President Trump delivered on the following campaign promises he made in 2016?” We asked respondents to evaluate these five campaign promises: 1) build the wall, 2) clean the swamp, 3) fix trade policy with China, 4) fix illegal immigration, 5) repeal and replace Obamacare.

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US President Trump ' s campaign refrain is one of " promises kept ," but Americans Trump has kept a very specific set of promises and let the others go, declaring his mission accomplished. Think your friends would be interested? Share this story! The statements, views and opinions expressed in

A majority of Americans believe President-elect Donald Trump will make good on some of his biggest campaign promises including repealing Obamacare and A new poll shows 64 percent of registered voters believe that President-elect Donald Trump will follow through on major campaign promises .

What Trump promised four years ago

The promises that seemed to resonate the most in 2016 included having tougher immigration and trade policies, and eliminating corruption in Washington, D.C., (“draining the swamp”). Trump has imposed new tariffs on foreign goods and new limits on legal immigration, but did not complete the border wall, a signature component of his promise to fix illegal immigration.

Trump is working hard to claim credit for his trade policies, however. Between Sept. 28 and Oct. 11, trade issues were the fourth-most common theme in Trump-sponsored ads on television.

Who is (un)impressed by Trump’s record?

On average, we found that people who voted for Trump in 2016 thought that the president broke fewer than one of the five promises listed. Respondents who had voted for Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, said that Trump broke 4.3 promises.

As the figure below shows, the distribution of opinions is quite polarized. In addition, we do not observe greater skepticism about Trump’s policy record among Trump voters with higher educational attainment.

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Here ' s exactly what the mogul says he would like to do if he were elected commander-in-chief. 56. Ensure that Americans can still afford to golf. 57. Allow corporations a one-time window to transfer 59. On his first day in office, Trump would get rid of gun-free zones at military bases and in schools.

Why can’t he follow through with his campaign promises ? Why can’t any of the US presidents do everything it must do to improve our lot? by Brandon Smith Back in December of 2016 I wrote an article titled Trump Is Exactly Where The Elites Want Him, which I think was very difficult for a large

chart: CSMaP/YouGov survey, Sept. 21-29 CSMaP/YouGov survey, Sept. 21-29

We also discovered that the media may play a role in managing expectations of the president’s record. It is among frequent viewers of Fox News that we find the respondents who are most impressed with Trump’s record. The 2016 Trump voters who watch Fox News every day perceived an average of only 0.4 broken promises. (People who voted for Trump four years ago but said they watched Fox less than once a week reported that Trump has broken 1.02 promises, on average.)

Conversely, the view that Trump failed to deliver on his promises was especially strong among Clinton voters who watch MSNBC on a daily basis: In this group, the number of perceived broken promises reached 4.7 out of the 5 core promises. Of course, there’s an important caveat: the relationship between news consumption and opinions is not necessarily causal.

What role does social media play?

We also wanted to find out whether exposure to political information on social media translated into differing evaluations of Trump’s first term. To answer this question, we compared the perceptions of Trump’s accomplishments among respondents who said they frequently saw political information posted by friends or acquaintances, news organizations and from politicians or political campaigns in their Facebook feed to perceptions among respondents who told us that they rarely or never saw political information on Facebook.

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We observed that among respondents who see a lot of politics in their feeds, the average number of perceived broken promises was 2.8. On the flipside, among those people whose connections (and followed pages) rarely post political content on Facebook, respondents believed, on average, that Trump had broken 2.6 of his five key promises. These results suggest that exposure to political content on Facebook doesn’t dramatically alter how people view the sitting president.

How Trump’s track record will impact the 2020 vote

For his 2016 supporters, does disappointment with Trump’s record correlate with voter intention to defect in 2020? We find that among 2016 Trump voters who thought the president broke 4 or more of the promises in our study, about a half indicated they would be voting for Biden in 2020.

By contrast, only 2 percent of Trump 2016 voters who thought Trump broke three or fewer promises said they would switch their allegiance and vote for Biden.

Trump voters believe Trump kept his promises, mostly

By and large, Trump voters appear to believe that Trump has kept most of his promises. They also approve of Trump’s handling of the covid-19 pandemic: 86 percent of 2016 Trump voters told us they thought Trump’s handling of the pandemic was “good” or “excellent.”

The proportion of 2016 Trump voters abandoning the president this year will almost surely be small. But our survey suggests one predictor of defection is the perception that the president didn’t meet the expectations he created for himself four years ago.

Jan Zilinsky (@janzilinsky) is a PhD candidate in the New York University Department of Politics and a research associate at the NYU Center for Social Media and Politics.

Jonathan Nagler (@Jonathan_Nagler) is a Professor in the Wilf Family Department of Politics and a co-director of the Center for Social Media and Politics at NYU.

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This is interesting!