Politics Five Days Until Election, Nearly Twice as Many Democrats Have Returned Their Mail Ballots as Republicans
Fact check: False claim that photo of discarded mail shows ballots cast for Trump
A photo of a dozen boxes of mail discarded on the side of the road is from 2018, when President Donald Trump wasn't even on the ballot."Boy oh boy, there finding thrown away Trump ballets (sic) everywhere now, California, Texas, n Pennsylvania," Kimberly C. Lecroy wrote on Facebook alongside the image.
Almost twice as many Democrats have returned their mail ballots compared to Republicans, according to data compiled by the U.S. Elections Project.
With five days to go until Election Day, more than 76.5 million ballots have been cast so far—more than half the total number of votes cast in the 2016 election.
Slightly more Republicans have cast in-person votes so far (3,511,359 for Republicans compared to 3,115,299 for Democrats), but when it comes to returning mail ballots, Democrats are ahead by far.
Trump casts a 'very secure vote' for himself in Florida: 2020 election updates
"I voted for a guy named Trump," the president said.Trump cast his ballot at the West Palm Beach library near his private Mar-a-Lago club. The president told reporters after leaving the library it was "an honor" to be voting and that he cast a "very secure vote.
Not all states report the party affiliations of those voting early, but those that do include key battleground states Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Florida.
According to the data, 28,803,848 mail ballots have been returned as of early Thursday morning. Of those, 7,445,359 are from Republicans compared to 14,509,626 from Democrats.
However, Democrats also requested mail ballots in greater numbers than Republicans meaning more mail ballots from Democrats have yet to be returned.
Democrats have 10,382,132 mail ballots outstanding while Republicans have 7,313,731 yet to be returned. So far, Democrats have a return rate of 58.3 percent, compared to 50.4 percent for Republicans.
#earlyvote day-end update 10/28
The week in polls: Trump gains in 9 of 12 swing states, but Biden still leads in 10 of them
With just eight days to go to Election Day, both national polls and swing state surveys make it clear the race between Trump and Biden is tightening.President Donald Trump gained on his Democratic challenger Joe Biden in national polling averages, and in nine of 12 contested states. But Biden still holds a sizable lead in the national polls and is still ahead of Trump in 10 of the 12 states that could decide the election.
At least 76 million people have voted in the 2020 general election ð¥³https://t.co/s8K2xFDeSA pic.twitter.com/ZhbDTpkw7B— Michael McDonald (@ElectProject) October 29, 2020
Michael McDonald, a political science professor at the University of Florida who runs the project tracking early voting statistics, called the numbers "stunning" in a recent analysis of the data.
"Nationwide, voters will not only be sent an unprecedented number of at least 87 million mail ballots, but they are returning them sooner than in past elections," McDonald wrote on October 25. He said the pace of early voting in some states indicates they could surpass their total 2016 vote this week.
He added that Democrats have a "huge advantage" in mail ballot requests, and mail ballot return rates. "These national numbers for the states with party registration are reflected in every party registration state; they are not just an artifact of heavily Democratic large states like California conducting all-mail ballot elections," McDonald wrote.
But he cautioned that Democrats may have more ballots outstanding than the figures show as they only reflect states that report party registrations.
McDonald noted that more Republicans need to vote in-person to "make up ground" on Democratic mail voters, whether early or on Election Day.
"There is still some play left in the in-person early vote, but time is starting to run short such that Republicans will need to rely heavily on Election Day vote, which has traditionally been a strong day of voting for Republicans in recent elections," he added.
Polling averages show Trump gaining on Biden in most swing states. Will it be enough? .
Trump gained on Biden in polling average in 9 of 12 swing states since Monday, continuing last week's trend. But of those, he is only ahead in Texas.The deadline for early voting ends Friday in several states where the race is tight, including Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Texas – and on Saturday in the key states of Florida and North Carolina. Though early turnout appears to favor Democrats in many states, Republicans are gaining ground quickly in Florida and other early voting states.