Politics Can Google searches predict where coronavirus cases will soon emerge?

23:05  29 october  2020
23:05  29 october  2020 Source:   washingtonpost.com

Argentina hits 1 million cases as virus slams Latin America

  Argentina hits 1 million cases as virus slams Latin America USHUAIA, Argentina (AP) — At the edge of Argentina in a city known as “The End of the World,” many thought they might be spared from the worst of the coronavirus pandemic. Sitting far from the South American nation’s bustling capital, health workers in Ushuaia were initially able to contain a small outbreak among foreigners hoping to catch boats to the Antarctic at the start of the crisis. But as Argentina passed 1 million virus cases Monday, it is now smaller cities like Ushuaia that are seeing some of the most notable upticks. Doctors have had to quadruple the number of beds for COVID-19 patients over the last month.

Google , Facebook, Microsoft and other tech companies are using smartphone location data to track and predict the spread of coronavirus . Given the shortage of reliable testing for COVID-19, and revelations that many cases are remaining undiagnosed, researchers are turning to an unlikely

Coronavirus cases have risen over the last few months in several regions of the world. The World Health Organization (WHO) has. When comparing figures from different countries it is important to bear in mind that not all governments are recording coronavirus cases and deaths in the same way.

There’s a great website called Spurious Correlations in which two obviously unrelated trends are juxtaposed to show how correlation (things lining up neatly) is not always a function of causation (those things actually being linked). There’s no connection between the divorce rate in Maine and per capita consumption of margarine, for example, even if those track with one another over time.

a group of people walking down a street: Servers deliver food to a table at a pop-up restaurant set up in New York's Times Square for “Taste of Times Square Week” on Oct. 23. (Carlo Allegri/Reuters) Servers deliver food to a table at a pop-up restaurant set up in New York's Times Square for “Taste of Times Square Week” on Oct. 23. (Carlo Allegri/Reuters)

On Tuesday, author Dan Sinker came across a correlation with a bit more heft. He compared Google searches for “loss of taste” in the United States with the number of coronavirus cases confirmed each day. The shape of the two curves match.

Google antitrust: Just how much do you actually use it? Way more than you think

  Google antitrust: Just how much do you actually use it? Way more than you think E-mail, calendar, search from Google are just the tip of the iceberg. Could you live without Maps or Waze, or your Chromebook?Google's influence in our lives is overwhelming, which is perhaps one of the reasons the Department of Justice and several state attorney generals banded together to file an anti-trust lawsuit against the company.

Scientists are tracing where the COVID-19 pandemic came from—and predicting where it will go next. As the U.S. has failed to control outbreaks of the coronavirus and its economy founders The search for the virus’s origins must begin behind the squat blue-shuttered stalls at Wuhan’s Huanan

3:49 pm: Worldwide coronavirus cases reach 1 million. Walgreens leaders described the complexities of predicting business trends, as customer patterns shift rapidly during a global crisis. San Diego-based hospital system Scripps Health is preparing for coronavirus cases in the city to

There is good reason to think that these two things are linked. Loss of taste and smell are, by now, recognized as common symptoms of infection with the novel coronavirus. Should someone lose one of those senses, it’s understandable why they’d head to Google to figure out what was happening. The correlation between the two seems as though it probably has a causal link.

Google’s explored the idea that its search data could be used to trace illness before. At one point, the company explored using searches for influenza-related terms as a way to track the spread of the illness. It abandoned the experiment after finding that its predicted number of cases were substantially higher than reality.

Sinker’s tweet nonetheless made me curious about whether there was a consistent relationship between searches for those terms and case totals nationally or in states. Using Google’s online Trends tool and The Post’s coronavirus data set, I compared the two.

Google: Antitrust lawsuit by the US Department of Justice is unfounded

 Google: Antitrust lawsuit by the US Department of Justice is unfounded © DEFAULT_CREDIT google-new Google communicated the assessment in a mandatory listing. The US judiciary accuses the Internet company of forming an illegal monopoly. Investors have so far been unimpressed by the Justice Department's investigations. Google has rejected the antitrust lawsuit that the US Department of Justice filed yesterday against the Internet company as unfounded.

Where is Coronavirus in the world? List of countries with confirmed cases and deaths (total cumulative number) due to the novel coronavirus COVID-19. 215 Countries and Territories around the world have reported a total of 43,777,856 confirmed cases of the coronavirus COVID-19 that originated

The death toll in China, where the coronavirus originated in Wuhan, in Hubei province late last year, currently stands at 3,249, according to In contrast to a steep rise of coronavirus infections, a more gradual uptick of cases will see the same number of people get infected, but without overburdening

Sometimes data analysis yields a truly stunning result. This was such a time.

Google provides search data as an index of peak activity in a period. So if, say, there are 3,000 searches for dinner Tuesday and 2,000 Wednesday, the value for Tuesday would be 100 and the value for Wednesday 67 — two-thirds of the peak. The day-by-day results can be volatile, so I used a seven-day average of that index. I decided to compare that to the seven-day average of new cases as a function of population, mostly because this helped make comparisons between regions easier.

Without further ado, here is the result for the United States overall.

chart, line chart, histogram

Just a remarkable overlap. Except, of course, for that first spike.

But that’s easily explained: The United States was barely doing any testing in March and April, as documented by the COVID Tracking Project. There were fewer confirmed cases back then because there were fewer conducted tests.

Holyoke Soldiers’ Home, National Cherry Blossom Festival, giant pumpkin: News from around our 50 states

  Holyoke Soldiers’ Home, National Cherry Blossom Festival, giant pumpkin: News from around our 50 states How the COVID-19 pandemic is affecting every stateStart the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning.

Search with google . The World Health Organization gave a stark warning on Wednesday that the coronavirus pandemic is far from over, after 106,000 new cases were recorded worldwide over As the country gradually emerges into the post-lockdown age and restrictions are eased, beaches have

Early in the pandemic, cases emerged by the hundreds in food processing facilities. The outbreaks disrupted the country’s meat supply and led some of the hardest-hit plants to Other large outbreaks have emerged on farms, in fruit or vegetable processing facilities and at plants where pet food is made.

chart, line chart, histogram

That void is less apparent when we look at states which were among those hardest hit at the outset of the pandemic. In New York, for example, there was a spike in searches for “loss of smell” or “loss of taste” right before the first surge in confirmed cases. The peak in searches came about 12 days before the peak in case totals.

chart, line chart, histogram

In New Jersey, which was also among the hardest-hit early states, the pattern is the same. You can also see that the recent uptick in the state was matched by a slight increase in searches.

chart, histogram

The first state in which community spread of the virus was confirmed was California. That state has seen two surges, a small one in the spring and another as part of the summer’s surge focused on Sun Belt states. Again, there’s an increase in searches for loss of taste and smell shortly before the increase in cases. The Google data even seems to reflect the double-peak the state went through, though that may be an artifact of the data.

chart, histogram

One of the states hit hardest over the summer was Arizona. The state hit its peak in searches for loss of taste and smell shortly before the state hit its peak in new cases. More recently, an increase in new cases was preceded by an increase in searches for those terms.

Google Home finally gets the Alexa feature I've been waiting ages for

  Google Home finally gets the Alexa feature I've been waiting ages for Maybe now I can stop using Amazon's voice assistant to handle this basic smart home task.I have a ton of smart home devices, and I'd like them to turn on and off or change to a different setting without having to run around shouting at my smart speakers all day. A big part of that is I want all the lights and other devices in my house to turn off when I leave, and come back on when I return, all without me saying a word. Up until now, Google Home had no way of automating anything like that, so I had Alexa handle it.

Coronavirus has gripped Italy where the number of cases rose by 1 ,247 in the last 24 hours - its biggest daily increase in cases since the outbreak began - taking the total to 5,883.

limit my search to r/ Coronavirus . use the following search parameters to narrow your results Welcome to /r/ Coronavirus . Please view our rules before posting or commenting. USAWith coronavirus cases shattering records, Utah’s hospitals say rationing care will start in next two weeks

chart, histogram

Notice that Arizona had a spike in searches for sensory loss in the spring, mirroring the national data. (States which were harder hit at the outset of the pandemic were also ones where more testing was deployed, helping to explain why there’s less difference between Google searches and cases in New York and New Jersey.)

So did Florida, where the summer’s surge was also preceded by a spike in Google searches.

chart, histogram

In Texas, both the summer surge and its more recent increase in new cases trails increases in searches for losses of taste and smell.

chart, histogram

This pattern doesn’t hold universally, it’s important to note. In Wisconsin, the recent surge in cases actually preceded an uptick in searches about sensory loss.


In other states, the Google search data are too spotty to pick out any trends.

In larger states and nationally, though, the correlation is striking. We’ve repeatedly seen increases in searches for information about losing one’s sense of taste or smell shortly before states saw surges in new coronavirus cases.

It’s not necessarily causation, but it’s hard to believe that it isn’t.

Google bundles a free VPN service with its most expensive cloud storage plan .
Google has rolled out a VPN service of its own that’s offered for free to cloud customers who purchase the top tier 2TB Google One subscription. The 2TB storage tier costs $9.99 per month or $99.99 per year and can be shared with up to five family members, including the VPN functionality. Google says its VPN service will encrypt and anonymize internet traffic, protect all browsing data from prying eyes. Furthermore, VPN internet activity will not be tied to user identity. VPN, short virtual private network, is the type of service that you should consider adding to your browsing experience regardless of the device you’re using.

usr: 1
This is interesting!