•   
  •   
  •   

Politics Trailing in the polls, Trump enlists his administration, and co-opts the government, to bolster his reelection

00:40  01 november  2020
00:40  01 november  2020 Source:   washingtonpost.com

Biden's big lead: A field guide to the swing-state polls

  Biden's big lead: A field guide to the swing-state polls A close look at the polls in 13 battlegrounds details Biden's advantage in the Midwest and his drive to break new ground in the Sun Belt.A wave of swing-state surveys this week confirmed Biden’s advantage in many of the Electoral College battlegrounds, including posting double-digit leads in some polls in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden are in the homestretch of their campaigns with The poll ’s margin of error is plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. The complaints from President Donald Trump and his allies have been growing louder as the election approaches

JUST WATCHED. Trump erupted at campaign manager over sliding poll numbers. His foreign policy was a disaster," Trump told Reuters Wednesday. Trump also said in the interview that he does not view the election as a reflection of how his administration has handled the coronavirus pandemic.

In the final days of the 2020 election, President Trump has featured his White House press secretary as a star at his campaign rallies, where she has triumphantly joined him onstage.

Trump’s daughter Ivanka, a senior White House adviser, has stumped for him and on Saturday posted a stylized photo with uniformed law enforcement officers in Wisconsin, a key battleground.

His top aides, including Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and national security adviser Robert O’Brien, have found pressing official business in a number of swing states, traveling there on taxpayer money.

And Trump is considering shifting his election night viewing party from the Trump International Hotel to the White House — a move that could help him skirt the local D.C. government’s coronavirus restrictions while also overriding long-standing norms from both political parties to refrain from overt campaigning at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

Everything you need to know about election polls in 2020

  Everything you need to know about election polls in 2020 Insider answers some of the most common polling-related questions of the 2020 election season.It's easy to get confused by political polls and surveys due to their intricacies, averages, and varying methodologies, so Business Insider answered some of the most common polling-related questions of the 2020 election:

As election day approaches, polling companies will be trying to gauge the mood of the nation by On his own health, 72% of respondents said that Mr Trump did not take the "risk of contracting the Can we trust the polls ? media captionCan election polling predict who will become the next US

Before the President departed on his trip to Ohio, then to travel to his Bedminster, NJ, resort, this weekend — The White House staff lined up to Trump 's enemies got a huge tripwire tripped from two simultaneous FBI raids targeting the PrivatBank stolen money laundering trail in Cleveland & Miami.

For months, Trump has obliterated the lines between campaigning and governing, and he and his aides have accelerated their drive to leverage the power of the presidency to shore up his election chances with days left before Tuesday’s vote. Trailing in the polls to Democratic nominee Joe Biden, Trump has employed an all-hands-on-deck approach to maintaining the office, dispatching aides to act as surrogates and using the government’s machinery to bolster his campaign.

The activities have drawn rebukes from government ethics watchdogs and Democrats who have charged that Trump’s team is trampling over the Hatch Act, which prohibits most senior officials, outside of the president and vice president, from engaging in electioneering activities while on the job.

Donald Trump made many promises in 2016 and early in his term. Which has he kept and what is he still working on?

  Donald Trump made many promises in 2016 and early in his term. Which has he kept and what is he still working on? Trump has kept a number of pledges, including tax cuts and conservative judges. But not on others such as bringing back coal and replacing Obamacare."Unlike so many who came before me, I keep my promises," Trump said during his State of the Union speech this year.

View the results of 2020 election polls . See how President Trump is polling against challenger Joe Biden as each vies to win the 2020 presidential election . Select a state name to see its presidential voting history. Select the link below each chart to see all the polling detail for that state.

Even as campaign advisers present polls showing Trump trailing Biden badly in critical battleground states, Trump has questioned their accuracy and insisted his problems lie Trump has sought to use the powers of incumbency to bolster his reelection chances, including using executive action to

A report released Thursday by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), who unsuccessfully sought the Democratic presidential nomination, said that 14 Trump administration officials had been found to have violated the law a total of 54 times. At least an additional 22 officials are under investigation for nearly 100 more violations, the report said.

“What we are seeing now is totally unprecedented,” said Noah Bookbinder, executive director of Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington. “There have certainly been cases where Cabinet officials or other senior officials happen to have meetings in battleground states. . . . But the wholesale co-opting of the federal government to keep a president in power — which I think is an accurate way of describing what is going on now — is something that we have never even approached before.”

Trump aides defended the approach. White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany, who has been touted by the campaign as an adviser, is offering that advice on her own time, White House officials said. She has tweeted in support of Trump’s campaign from her personal Twitter account, which has 1.2 million followers.

How polling works and how it’s changed since 2016

  How polling works and how it’s changed since 2016 Polls, at their best, give us a rough estimate of a candidate’s support at a given point in time. They cannot predict whether a lead is truly safe or certain. (Here are The Post’s most recent polls.) Here’s what to know about what polls can tell us, where they can fall short and what’s changed since 2016. How polls work — and what happened in 2016 U.S. presidential elections are decided by a handful of key states, and polls that cover the whole country or individual states have limits to how precise they can be. All polls have random sampling error, inherent in relying on a sample of the population.

Using government resources to promote his reelection . The New York Times reports that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has seen a crackdown on scientists In the wake of this presidency, we’ll need a new approach to constrain any future President Trump (sorry if I just

Polls show his support is draining – and fellow Republicans are at risk. A sign reads “truth over lies. In the New York Times, Ron Suskind interviewed current and former Trump administration officials and aides who worried about what the president would do to keep his grip on power.

McEnany did not respond to a request for comment. Her White House deputy, Judd Deere, issued a blanket statement to a series of questions about the activities of the president’s aides: “Both the official activity of Administration officials, as well as any political activity undertaken by members of the Administration, are conducted in compliance with the Hatch Act.”

All presidents running for reelection have been bolstered by the trappings of office — traveling with a large media contingent, a government plane and a megaphone amplified by the ability to turn White House events into de facto campaign advertisements.

Like Trump, Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush used Air Force One as a dramatic background at campaign rallies held on airport tarmacs. But as he has barnstormed through swing states during the coronavirus pandemic, Trump has upped the ante — staging the vast majority of his rallies at airports with the majestic presidential jet as a set piece. He also has used Marine One to make theatrical low flyovers at some rallies, thrilling supporters.

Louisville protesters block in 'Trump Train' ahead of rally

  Louisville protesters block in 'Trump Train' ahead of rally A "Trump Train" caravan eventually drove over a curb and across the school's lawn to get to the road.The protesters, who were upset the group was allowed to use school property, attempted to block vehicles from leaving the parking lot with their cars.

Trump Camp's Steve Cortes: 2020 Election is "Morning In America" vs. Biden's "Dark Winter". At PA Rally, Trump Blasts Biden With Video Montage Of His History With China, NAFTA. Fox News' Owner Murdoch Predicts Biden Landslide Win. Trump will deliver stunning upset: Polls are tightening.

Trump Slowly Enlisting More Agencies in ‘Whole of Government ’ Response to Virus. Hospital ships stayed in port, veterans hospitals awaited Members of the Army Corps of Engineers after flooding in Oklahoma last year. The Army Corps of Engineers has yet to be tapped to help in the coronavirus

Past White Houses have carefully sought to wall off their West Wing staff from the campaigns. But on Thursday, Trump called McEnany onstage at a rally in Tampa, then played a video clip of her acting as a campaign surrogate in a television interview earlier in the day.

In the clip, she attacks Twitter chief executive Jack Dorsey over the social media company’s decision to limit the spread of unverified information circulated by Trump allies in an effort to tar Biden. She also defends Trump’s management of the pandemic, which has killed more than 229,000 Americans, with infection rates spiking again through the country.

“Who’s going to say it better than Kayleigh?” Trump said, as the crowd cheered. Her husband, Tampa Bay Rays pitcher Sean Gilmartin, had joined them, holding their infant daughter.

Meredith McGehee, executive director of Issue One, a nonprofit group that advocates for political reform, said that laws such as the Hatch Act are intended to preserve a functioning democracy.

“The norms are what differentiate a functional democratic republic from all the other banana republics around the world,” McGehee said. “The danger of throwing out the norms is that the machinery of government begins to seize up and the American people don’t have faith” in the system.

How to watch election night 2020: the definitive hour-by-hour guide

  How to watch election night 2020: the definitive hour-by-hour guide Election Day is nearly here, and in a matter of hours we’ll find out whether this is the end of the campaign — or just the beginning of a protracted fight over who won. At 7 p.m. (Eastern Standard Time, which applies to all times mentioned here), we’ll start to see returns from Florida, Ohio, North Carolina and Georgia. Trump won all four of these states in 2016 and needs to win them again in 2020. The good news for viewers is that we should see relatively quick results in these key states, all of which are allowed to start processing (i.e., opening envelopes, validating signatures or even counting) their early votes and mail ballots before Election Day.

Trump has used the pandemic as cover to make decisions that, in the past, would be unthinkable for a sitting president. For instance, after the Republican National Convention was canceled in Charlotte in August, Trump delivered his renomination acceptance speech before 1,500 guests on the South Lawn of the White House.

Earlier this year, the Treasury Department ordered that Trump’s name be signed on federal stimulus checks sent in response to the coronavirus pandemic. The Agriculture Department included letters signed by Trump in the emergency food boxes it sent to food banks across the nation.

Meanwhile, Cabinet members have stumped for Trump while appearing in their official capacity. In October, Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue was cited by the Office of Special Counsel, a federal watchdog agency, for violating the Hatch Act by advocating for the president during an official trip to North Carolina. Education Secretary Betsy DeVos is being investigated by the same office for taking aim at Biden during a Fox News interview.

O’Brien recently traveled to battleground areas of Minnesota and Wisconsin to talk up the Trump administration’s support for local mining and defense contractors. Pompeo spoke to a Texas megachurch, addressed the Wisconsin legislature, and made virtual remarks to a Florida conservative antiabortion group.

Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Andrew Wheeler spent 40 days this year on trips to swing states on government business, compared with just 10 days visiting non-swing states, according to a report from E & E News.

Battleground states: These are the 12 states that will determine the 2020 election

  Battleground states: These are the 12 states that will determine the 2020 election Key states to watch include not only perennial toss-ups but also states Trump won solidly four years ago, including Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Texas.Yes, voters in each of the 50 states participate in the presidential election. But, like past elections, it will be key blocs in a dozen battleground states that are likely to decide who occupies the Oval Office in January.

Acting Homeland Security secretary Chad Wolf and acting deputy secretary Ken Cuccinelli have traveled to swing states on official visits to reinforce Trump’s immigration policies. The watchdog group American Oversight filed a complaint with the Office of Special Counsel requesting an investigation into whether their events were aimed at affecting the outcome of the election.

Wolf had already received a warning for taking part in a naturalization ceremony at the White House in August that was televised during the GOP convention.

“What we’re seeing now would have been inconceivable to the previous administration,” said a former Obama White House aide, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the person’s new job did not authorize on-the-record comments. “It’s not simply the Hatch Act violations. Those are the symptoms. The broader disease at play here is the intermingling of political interests and the national interest.”

Federal agencies have also been producing content using taxpayer money that borders on campaign materials. This past week, Interior Secretary David Bernhardt released a campaign-style video on the Interior Department’s official Twitter account in which Trump praised his work preserving “the awesome majesty of God’s creations.”

Immigration and Customs Enforcement also launched a billboard campaign last month in Pennsylvania featuring “criminal aliens” wanted for federal crimes. The signs dovetailed with Trump’s campaign message, saying, “Sanctuary Policies are a REAL DANGER.”

In recent weeks, Trump has made executive decisions that appear aimed at shoring up his reelection prospects. In September, he announced $13 billion in aid to Puerto Rico, despite previously describing the U.S. territory as a burden, as his campaign looked to court Latino voters in Florida. He signed an executive order the same month protecting “critical minerals” to support domestic mining in Minnesota and Wisconsin, both swing states in the election.

Trump, Biden wait with the world for election results in a contest to decide course of America

  Trump, Biden wait with the world for election results in a contest to decide course of America Millions voted in an election between Trump and Biden to determine how the US responds to COVID-19 pandemic, bolsters the economy and heals divisions.Millions turned out to polls for an election that will determine how to respond to a pandemic that has killed a quarter of a million Americans, bolster an economy that has taken a beating from the virus and heal deep divisions over racial injustice.

In early October, Trump held a de facto campaign rally on the South Lawn of the White House and ordered the U.S. Marine Band to play at the event. On Thursday, Trump met with troops at Fort Bragg in North Carolina, a swing state in the election, to present a special citation to Special Forces involved in last year’s mission to kill ISIS leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Trump also has urged aides to use the U.S. government’s intelligence and criminal justice apparatus to damage his Democratic opponents. Pompeo, for example, promised to release more of former secretary of state Hillary Clinton’s emails ahead of the election.

Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe and his acting predecessor, Richard Grenell, have selectively declassified U.S. intelligence that Republicans believed could be helpful to Trump and damaging to Democrats. And Attorney General William P. Barr has made erroneous statements to inflate the threat of voting fraud.

“It’s really a key feature of a democracy that you have fair elections where the people can make their decisions unencumbered,” Bookbinder said. “When the government itself is using its powers to push to keep a leader in place, that starts to look like a totalitarian system.”

Brady Dennis, Juliet Eilperin and Darryl Fears contributed to this report.

a person standing in front of a crowd: White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany smiles when acknowledged by President Trump during his campaign speech just days before Election Day outside of Raymond James Stadium on Oct. 29 in Tampa. © Octavio Jones/Getty Images White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany smiles when acknowledged by President Trump during his campaign speech just days before Election Day outside of Raymond James Stadium on Oct. 29 in Tampa. a man standing in front of a building: The president and first lady Melania Trump depart after his acceptance of the GOP nomination on Aug. 27. © Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post The president and first lady Melania Trump depart after his acceptance of the GOP nomination on Aug. 27. a man and a woman standing next to a fence: Acting Homeland Security secretary Chad Wolf walks in front of a new section of the border wall after giving a speech Oct. 29 in McAllen, Tex. © Joel Martinez/AP Acting Homeland Security secretary Chad Wolf walks in front of a new section of the border wall after giving a speech Oct. 29 in McAllen, Tex.

Trump, Biden wait with the world for election results in a contest to decide course of America .
Millions voted in an election between Trump and Biden to determine how the US responds to COVID-19 pandemic, bolsters the economy and heals divisions.Millions turned out to polls for an election that will determine how to respond to a pandemic that has killed a quarter of a million Americans, bolster an economy that has taken a beating from the virus and heal deep divisions over racial injustice.

usr: 33
This is interesting!