•   
  •   
  •   

Politics Fact check: Wisconsin turnout in line with past elections, didn't jump 22% as claimed

01:15  06 november  2020
01:15  06 november  2020 Source:   usatoday.com

Post-ABC polls: Biden leads Trump narrowly in Michigan, significantly in Wisconsin

  Post-ABC polls: Biden leads Trump narrowly in Michigan, significantly in Wisconsin Post-ABC polls: Biden leads Trump narrowly in Michigan, significantly in Wisconsin The surveys show Biden narrowly ahead of Trump among likely voters in Michigan by 51 percent to 44 percent, with Libertarian Party nominee Jo Jorgensen at 3 percent. In Wisconsin, likely voters favor Biden by 57 percent to 40 percent, with Jorgensen at 2 percent. Among registered voters, Biden’s edge in Michigan is five points, while he leads by 17 points in Wisconsin.

PolitiFact is a fact - checking website that rates the accuracy of claims by elected officials and others on its Election officials worked through the night in Wisconsin to tally the unprecedented numbers of The Milwaukee numbers in this tweet — which were not final at the time — are in line with how

Voter turnout for Wisconsin is significantly higher at this election than in pervious years. The state also allows people to register to vote on election day This led to a surge of activity on social media, claims of voter fraud and that large numbers of votes from Trump supporters were being invalidated.

The claim: Wisconsin voter turnout jumped from 67% in 2016 to 89% in 2020

a group of people standing around a table: Elizabeth Quirmbach, right, registers Ayuka Sinanoglu, center, outside of University of Wisconsin-Madison's Memorial Union in Madison, Wis., on Oct. 19, 2020. © STEVE APPS, AP Elizabeth Quirmbach, right, registers Ayuka Sinanoglu, center, outside of University of Wisconsin-Madison's Memorial Union in Madison, Wis., on Oct. 19, 2020.

The long wait for presidential election results has created a void in which citizens are seeking information on how we got here — a void being filled often with poorly researched information.

Donald Trump Jr. was among the many on social media the day after the election reacting to voting numbers without first considering or researching whether they’re legitimate.

Millions of Americans are voting for the first time this year, and it's not just young people

  Millions of Americans are voting for the first time this year, and it's not just young people This year's election is seeing a surge in first-time voters. And it's not just young people.Last week, the Indiana resident voted for the first time.

And the one clear fact is that Pennsylvania's count will not be over until Friday, which means that every attempt to settle it before then is fraught for both men. Your details from Facebook will be used to provide you with tailored content, marketing and ads in line with our Privacy Policy.

The US election has shown the value of independent, fact -based journalism like this results service. Help us deliver the high-quality news and information you need. The numbers update throughout election night, as more data on voter turnout becomes available.

Start the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning.

The president’s son tweeted “I’m calling bull****,” at about 2 p.m. on Nov. 4, sharing another tweet that claimed turnout in Wisconsin jumped from 67.34% in 2016 to 89.25% in 2020. Eric Trump, another of the president’s sons, posted the same thing on Facebook, saying, “Looks like fraud!”

It fed into the false narrative swirling among conservatives that Wisconsin and other key states went to Democratic candidate Joe Biden as a result of voter fraud.

The turnout claim — retweeted based on Trump Jr.’s share more than 13,000 times — is absurd and based on a misunderstanding of basic election math. Twitter has since suppressed the original tweet, noting it “might be misleading about an election.” It is misleading.

Survey: Nearly 2 out of 3 voters will cast their ballots early in-person or by mail, not on Election Day

  Survey: Nearly 2 out of 3 voters will cast their ballots early in-person or by mail, not on Election Day The survey showed a significant partisan divide, too. Those supporting Biden are more likely to say they plan to vote by mail than those who support Trump.When combining those who are voting by mail (42%) and those who voting early in-person (26%), nearly 2 in 3 voters will be casting their ballot ahead of Election Day, according to a survey from the Democracy Fund + UCLA Nationscape Project.

Here’s what you need to know As Biden wins Michigan and Wisconsin , Trump’s path to re- election narrows. Gary Peters holds on to his Senate seat in Michigan, as Susan Collins is re- elected in Maine. After President Trump claimed without evidence early Wednesday that he had won the election

We've fact - checked what the president said in his speech delivered from the White House on President Trump claimed he had already won the US election despite many uncounted votes in At the time he spoke, roster of tightly-fought states including Georgia, Wisconsin , Pennsylvania, and

USA TODAY has reached out to Trump Jr. for comment.

More: Fact check: That spike in the Wisconsin vote tally was expected and legitimate, not fraud

The real turnout numbers

Wisconsin had more than 3.6 million registered voters heading into Election Day, and more than 3.2 million Wisconsinites voted in the presidential race.

But those aren’t the numbers used to calculate turnout here.

For starters, Wisconsin allows same-day voter registration, so that number of registered voters goes up throughout the day. In 2016, for example, 12.7% of voters registered on Election Day, according to the Wisconsin Elections Commission.

Even more important, registered voters is the wrong figure entirely for calculating turnout. Voter turnout in a same-day registration state is based on the percentage of eligible voters who cast a ballot.

So when you divide the number of votes cast in Wisconsin — 3,278,963 as of Nov. 5 — by the voting-age population in Wisconsin (4,536,293 as of 2019, according to the elections commission), you get a turnout rate of 72.3%.

Battleground states: These are the 12 states that will determine the 2020 election

  Battleground states: These are the 12 states that will determine the 2020 election Key states to watch include not only perennial toss-ups but also states Trump won solidly four years ago, including Georgia, Iowa, Ohio and Texas.Yes, voters in each of the 50 states participate in the presidential election. But, like past elections, it will be key blocs in a dozen battleground states that are likely to decide who occupies the Oval Office in January.

US stocks jumped again on Thursday as the presidential election hung in the balance with the Dow rising nearly 600 points and the S&P 500 rallying toward its biggest Your details from Facebook will be used to provide you with tailored content, marketing and ads in line with our Privacy Policy.

jump to content. Trump falsely claims he has won election and demands Supreme Court stops more ballots being counted. Is the cutoff for waiting in line only on election day? We were fortunate that we didn ' t need to wait in line but sucks for others that came late. Democrat turnout sways. Republican turnout is constant.

That’s the highest rate ever behind the 2004 election, but solidly in the range of past presidential contests here.

Recent presidential election turnouts in Wisconsin:

  • 2020 — 72.3%
  • 2016 — 67.3%
  • 2012 — 70.4%
  • 2008 — 69.2%
  • 2004 — 72.9%
  • 2000 — 67%

It is also worth noting that while Biden received about 250,000 more votes than Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton did in 2016, Trump exceeded his own 2016 totals by 14.6% percent, or about 200,000 votes.

So, a good chunk of the increased turnout was due to his supporters.

More: Fact check: Wisconsin has more registered voters than ballots cast

Our ruling: False

We rate this claims FALSE because it is not supported by our research. The purported difference in turnouts isn't due to fraud or something nefarious, it’s due to bad math.

Turnout is measured as a percentage of eligible voters, not registered voters. Trump Jr.’s figures use eligible voters for the 2016 figure but registered voters for 2020. Using the proper denominator for 2020 shows a turnout around 72%, firmly in the range of past presidential elections.

Our fact-check sources

  • Donald Trump Jr., Nov. 4, tweet
  • Eric Trump, Nov. 4, Facebook post
  • MIlwaukee Journal Sentinel, Nov. 5, 2020, Wisconsin election results
  • Wisconsin Elections Commission, Wisconsin Voter Turnout Statistics, accessed Nov. 5, 2020
  • New York Times, Aug. 1, 2017, 2016 Wisconsin Election Results

Contact Eric Litke at (414) 225-5061 or elitke@jrn.com. Follow him on Twitter at @ericlitke.

Will Democrats expand their control in the House? Here are the races and surprises to watch

  Will Democrats expand their control in the House? Here are the races and surprises to watch Democrats are trying to flip key Republican strongholds, as the election remains close between President Donald Trump and Democrat Joe Biden. © Saul Loeb, AFP/Getty Images House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., holds the gavel during the opening session of the 116th Congress at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 3, 2019. More: Control of the Senate hangs in the balance on Election Day. Here are key Senate races to watch More: President Trump claimed during the debate the GOP will take back the House on Election Day. That is unlikely.

Thank you for supporting our journalism. You can subscribe to our print edition, ad-free app or electronic newspaper replica here.

Our fact check work is supported in part by a grant from Facebook.

This fact check is available at IFCN’s 2020 US Elections FactChat #Chatbot on WhatsApp. Click here, for more.

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Fact check: Wisconsin turnout in line with past elections, didn't jump 22% as claimed

Fact check: States don't have more than 100% voter turnout in an election .
A post uses outdated data to argue there are more votes than registered voters in key battleground states. Data shows no state exceeds 100% turnout.“Huh. It just so happened that we are on track to have more votes than registered voters in every single state that could potentially win Trump the election,” claims an image posted to Facebook on Nov. 4. “You’ve been caught Dems.

usr: 3
This is interesting!