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Politics 'There Is No Next Time' : Inside the Left’s Minimum Wage Fight

12:25  16 february  2021
12:25  16 february  2021 Source:   thedailybeast.com

Bernie Sanders Says Reconciliation 'Only Way' on $15 Minimum Wage, but Joe Manchin Is a No

  Bernie Sanders Says Reconciliation 'Only Way' on $15 Minimum Wage, but Joe Manchin Is a No The Senate Budget Committee chairman said Democrats would not win 10 GOP votes for the measure.Posting on social media on Sunday, the newly-appointed Senate Budget Committee chairman told Democrats that they would not find 10 Republicans to vote in favor of the $15 federal minimum wage under normal rules.

The fight for a minimum wage has become a flashpoint in society. We recently told you about what would happen if this liberal dream became a reality (spoilers: it was complicated). But there ’ s another side to this utopian wish. Abolish the minimum wage and many people will feel squeezed alright, potentially leading to a sluggish economy that benefits nobody. With warnings already rising of another recession just around the corner, now would be the worst possible time for that to happen in.

Minimum wage is the same argument - it' s not like these guys are chomping at the bit to hire ten people but are now upset they can only hire five. Their personal bottom line is what' s at risk, not the best thing for the business or for the customers - and if they could make do with just two people instead of five, they would fire three people in a heartbeat. It bit us collectively in the ass but since there is no real consequence to each of those individual businesses that didn't have a sensible sick policy, expect to see the same thing happen next pandemic.

In the lead-up to the November presidential election, People’s Action, a grassroots coalition, hired a dozen former staffers from Sen. Bernie Sanders’ (I-VT) campaign to discuss the merits of populist economic proposals with voters in conservative and swing states.

Bernie Sanders standing in front of a graffiti covered wall: Photo Illustration by The Daily Beast/Getty/Shutterstock © Provided by The Daily Beast Photo Illustration by The Daily Beast/Getty/Shutterstock

The organizing network, overseen by Sanders alums, quickly ballooned to include some 30,000 volunteers eager to test how far President Joe Biden and Democrats in Congress would be willing to go to make their pledge to raise the minimum wage a reality. For the first time in well over a decade, progressives believe it’s within striking distance.

Democrats Move $15 Minimum Wage Forward as Proposal Passes Committee

  Democrats Move $15 Minimum Wage Forward as Proposal Passes Committee Democrats celebrated the proposal's passage through committee, while Republicans warned it would cost jobs.Committee chairman Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA) said Democrats had moved the minimum wage increase forward on Wednesday morning, after an overnight meeting—which saw Republican lawmakers contest aspects of President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion relief plan.

Track 12 on They Might Be Giants' major-label debut Flood, “ Minimum Wage ” features instrumentation largely cribbed from Frank Sinatra’ s cover of Petula Clark’ s … Read More.

The cellar underground of culture has rebelled, for which there is no difference between the roots and the fruits: the roots themselves consider to be the fruits. This is a spontaneous continuation of the “cultural revolution” of the last two hundred years, the birth of what seemed long buried under the layers of time ;and as an unconscious, this root principle, indiscriminately, makes its own moves in all directions, manifesting itself unexpectedly in our life, replenishing ourselves with different, sometimes conflicting and opposing social forces.

“This isn’t the typical pitch,” said George Goehl, the group’s executive director. “We’re intentionally calling people who are struggling. We’re actually taking on the project of not just calling the choir.”

People’s Action is not operating in isolation. The outfit is part of a broader web of activist leaders eyeing chances to wield political influence with the White House and on Capitol Hill. Unlike the first two years of the Obama administration, when Democrats controlled both chambers of Congress but acquiesced to many moderate and Republican demands, newly emboldened progressives say that they are now bigger, bolder, and better organized. And they have started flexing their expanding power in public and private around issues where they think some in their party may cave.

Minimum wage increase could work under Biden’s stimulus, CBO reports

  Minimum wage increase could work under Biden’s stimulus, CBO reports Sen. Bernie Sanders is fighting to include the minimum wage increase in the package Democrats are crafting to enact President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion stimulus plan. Under the fast-tracked budget process Democrats could use to clear the aid package with just 51 votes in the Senate, the bill must have a direct and substantial impact on federal spending, revenues or the debt. So the Congressional Budget Office score is a boon for Democrats fighting for the minimum wage hike to be included, even as Biden casts doubt on whether it would past muster under Senate rules for the reconciliation process.

Minimum wage in the U. S . has been .25 an hour for the last 10 years. Raising it could lift low-income workers out of poverty, but it might also kill jobs and potentially hurt the economy. Should it be raised or should it stay the same? In 1938, he signed into the law the first ever national minimum wage at 25 cents an hour, which would equal about .45 today. Since that time , Congress has increased the minimum wage 22 times . The current level of .25 was last set in 2009, when President Obama signed it into law. *

low, so there was upward pressure on wages and prices. According to the Phillips curve, policymakers would reduce inflation but raise unemployment if they. decreased the money supply. Suppose points F and G on the right-hand graph represent two possible outcomes for an imaginary economy in the year 2012, and those two points correspond to points B and C, respectively, on the left -hand graph. Then it is apparent that the price index equaled.

Minimum wage is the first big trial, according to interviews with nearly a dozen Democrats across the ideological spectrum.

In 2015, Sanders called for increasing the baseline federal wage figure from $7.25 to $15, effectively standing alone among major party fixtures, including Hillary Clinton, who favored a more modest position. Just a few years later, in the following election, nearly all of the presidential candidates angling for the nomination had backed the idea. During his first appearance on the campaign trail in April 2019, Biden called himself “a union man” and proudly touted the $15 hourly goal.

During the introductory weeks of the Biden administration, the issue is now at the center of discussion in Congress after Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) announced that the $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package she intends to deliver to the Senate will include the wage provision. “Yes, we are very proud of that,” Pelosi said during a press briefing on Thursday.

The minimum wage hike Biden ran on is unlikely to be in the Senate's $1.9 trillion stimulus package

  The minimum wage hike Biden ran on is unlikely to be in the Senate's $1.9 trillion stimulus package Biden recently told governors that he's not optimistic that passing a minimum wage hike would be permissible under budget reconciliation.Increasing the federal minimum wage from its current rate of $7.25 an hour to $15 is a major priority for Democrats, who now control the Senate for the first time since 2015, and is something Biden has also stressed in his campaign and in his presidency.

the federal minimum wage historically decreases in value during stretches when the minimum wage is not increased. How would imposing a minimum wage above the market clearing wage affect employment in a competitive labor market? Employment would decrease as some workers who are willing to work at the lower competitive wage would no longer be able to find work. there is a large amount of job creation and job destruction happening as the same time , during both expansions and contractions.

In Pennsylvania, there is a very unusual home. This a house in the shape of a shoe. The shoe … house is a five-storey house. It has three bedrooms and two bathrooms. There is also a kitchen and a living room. Outside, there is a beautiful garden with many trees and plants.

For weeks, progressives had sternly cautioned that outrage would ensue if the measure was cut from the coronavirus plan. Having promised to get it done as the leading presidential aspirant, Biden’s adoption of the $15 target was one of the strongest persuasion points to rally Sanders supporters behind him, according to a source familiar with the dynamics at the time. The two former rivals have enjoyed a close relationship during Biden’s first weeks in office.

What’s now at stake, top progressive lawmakers say, isn’t just the left’s credibility with voters; it’s the entire party’s. “Democrats need to deliver on a minimum wage increase,” Rep. Ro Khanna (D-CA), who co-chaired Sanders’ campaign in 2020, told The Daily Beast. “We have been campaigning on it for so long and it’s time to prove we can deliver.”

Anticipating what many believe to be only one bite at the apple, congressional progressives like Sanders are working backchannels to get their messaging across to the White House and top members in the House and Senate who they see as allies during a potentially drawn out process.

$15 minimum wage debate: Everything you need to know

  $15 minimum wage debate: Everything you need to know House Democrats have included a minimum wage hike in their latest Covid relief bill, although opposition among some Senate Democrats means it is not at all clear they will have the votes to pass it. © Scott Olson/Getty Images Demonstrators participate in a protest outside of McDonald's corporate headquarters on January 15, 2021 in Chicago, Illinois. Improving worker pay is unrelated in that raising the minimum wage has long been a Democratic priority.

“Sanders’ office was in communication with different leaders, the White House, with House progressives, and that ultimately was a powerful indicator of the momentum that we’re building,” said a Sanders Senate aide. “Playing with live bullets and sending it over to the Senate is a significant indicator of caucus cohesion on this.” A separate senior Democratic congressional aide said upwards of 50 people joined a conference call this week from labor, business, and workers’ rights communities to discuss the $15 fight.

Another top Sanders ally on Capitol Hill, Rep. Mark Pocan (D-WI), said he’s been involved in “lots” of conversations with the White House, congressional leadership, and staff about the minimum wage push. He called it “one of the highest priorities” in the rescue plan.

“Congress has been extremely remiss in not dealing with this for 11 years,” Pocan told The Daily Beast, referring to the last time Congress raised the federal minimum wage. “Our ineptitude has made it so that more people live in poverty… we feel this is one of the most important things you can do in COVID relief, and it’ll have an ongoing impact after COVID is done.”

Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY), for his part, now appears to be more amenable to a possible wage increase and other progressive priorities with direct economic ramifications, according to two sources. “The impression is Schumer has given Bernie a lot of latitude to make this work,” said one Democratic Senate aide.

The problem with a one-size-fits-all federal minimum wage hike

  The problem with a one-size-fits-all federal minimum wage hike Minimum wages are not a free good. They have tradeoffs. While politicians might not pay much mind to such economic arguments, they are well aware of the regional differences among their constituents. If they listen, they should reject a one-size-fits-all federal minimum wage hike and, instead, let cities and states make decisions that best suit the people in their communities.Ryan Young is a senior fellow at the Competitive Enterprise Institute and author of the study "Minimum Wages Have Tradeoffs.

The New York Democrat, taking the reins of the Senate majority for the first time, has recently embraced a series of positions at the vanguard of the left wing. He faces re-election next year, with many in the state openly speculating that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) could challenge him in a primary.

In a press conference earlier this month, Schumer joined highly visible members in the House to encourage the Biden administration to be more aggressive about canceling federal student loan debt. “He’s so available now,” Goehl said. “To grassroots and organizing groups, it’s pretty amazing.”

The tougher audience for progressives fighting for the wage increase has not been Schumer, but a cluster of moderate Senate Democrats. One of them, Sen. Kristen Sinema (D-AZ), told Politico on Friday that she opposes the $15 wage hike as part of the rescue plan, despite previously backing it in 2014. All it takes is for one Senate Democrat to vote no for the entire package to fail in the evenly-split chamber.

Another obstacle is that the legislative tool that Democrats are using to fast-track the bill, budget reconciliation, is governed by arcane, specific rules about the kinds of provisions that can and cannot be passed through the process. A key component is that a bill passed through reconciliation must not contain “extraneous” items—defined as provisions that don’t affect the federal government’s revenues or spending. The minimum wage increase does not obviously meet that test, and Democrats have been divided about whether it ultimately can. Biden himself has openly suggested that the proposal may ultimately get stripped out.

Labor Rights Activists Say Minimum Wage Proposals From Manchin, Romney Aren't Living Wages

  Labor Rights Activists Say Minimum Wage Proposals From Manchin, Romney Aren't Living Wages "The $15 minimum wage itself is a compromise," said Adam Shah, policy director at Jobs With Justice."What we're telling people, if we settle for less, is that rather than having a week in the month where you can't find food, we're saying you'll have three or four days in the month where you can't find food," Adam Shah, policy director at Jobs With Justice, told Newsweek.

“It’s hard to read Sinema’s comments and say there’s going to be a way to do this in the end,” said a Democratic aide, who added that Democrats could approve a tax incentive for businesses to increase their wage. Such an option is seen as a reconciliation-friendly way for Democrats to take at least one step forward on raising wages.

As they work to finalize the legislation, Democrats intend to get the wage language into the text, no matter what its prospects are of surviving reconciliation. But even if it does, Senate insiders say Sinema is hardly the only one in the caucus to oppose including the increase.

Another Democratic aide predicted that 10 to 15 Democratic senators could vote against it “if it somehow gets into the final bill.” The aide also expected the measure to come to a vote on the Senate floor even if it is cut in the budget reconciliation process, possibly as a standalone, as a nod to Sanders and the progressive wing of the caucus.

To that end, Senate and House sponsors re-introduced the Raise the Wage Act with a majority of Democratic co-sponsors on Thursday. And recent public polling indicates the issue also has bi-partisan support. A survey released by the National Employment Law Project and Hart Research found that 62 percent of respondents polled in the 67 “most competitive” congressional districts supported a phased-in increase to eventually hit $15.

This week, the Congressional Budget Office, which analyzes the fiscal impact of legislation, predicted that the Raise the Wage Act could give at least 17 million people a raise and lift 900,000 out of poverty. But the CBO also found that 1.4 million jobs would be lost if the wage is increased to $15 by 2025, a point that conservatives noted in reiterating their opposition to the idea. Sanders and some of his top allies held up the report as clear proof that the wage increase could survive reconciliation because the CBO found it would add to the budget deficit.

Larry Cohen, executive director of Our Revolution, a Sanders-aligned membership organization, pointed to the apparent traction around under unified Democratic control in Washington. In particular, he noted the roles Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA) and Rep. Andy Levin (D-MI) played in the Congressional Progressive Caucus to help ensure the provision remained in the House version that’s headed to the Senate. Jayapal is the head of the caucus and Levin has an extensive background in organized labor.

“The real difference here is the Progressive Caucus is actually acting like a real caucus. This is the first time ever,” said Cohen, explaining his group’s strategy of working from the outside with the CPC, and, by extension, the White House. “There is no next time. If this isn’t done in budget reconciliation it’s not going to get done at all.”

Read more at The Daily Beast.

Everything you need to know about the minimum wage debate .
The last time the federal minimum wage increased was back in 2009, when it rose to $7.25 per hour. Activists have waged a nearly decade-long campaign for an increase to $15 per hour, and President Biden has said he wants to enact that raise into law. “There should be a national minimum wage of $15 an hour,” he said last month. Raising the minimum wage is supported by a majority of Americans, with a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finding 52 percent in favor of raising it to $15 per hour, versus 37 percent in opposition.

usr: 0
This is interesting!