Politics Biden’s Trade Chief Tasked With Reset After Trump Tariff Chaos
Fact check: Breaking down Joe Biden's first month of claims
President Joe Biden was more consistently factual in his first month in office than his predecessor ever was in office. But Biden was not perfect.President Joe Biden was more consistently factual in his first month in office than his predecessor ever was in office. But Biden was not perfect himself.
(Bloomberg) -- Supply Lines is a daily newsletter that tracks Covid-19’s impact on trade., and for the latest news and analysis on the pandemic.
Weeks before the White House said it would keep tariffs in place on more than $350 billion in Chinese goods, Katherine Tai previewed the bad news to a group of U.S. business leaders.
Tai, who is President Joe Biden’s pick for U.S. Trade Representative, told executives at a private meeting hosted by the Business Roundtable last month that lobbying for the duties to be removed wouldn’t work, according to people familiar with her remarks. Instead, companies keen to keep the so-called phase one trade deal -- struck by the Trump administration and Beijing -- should be prepared to live with the tariffs too, Tai said.
Is Biden pursuing a 'third way' trade policy?
Even at this early stage, one can see that there are more than a few similarities between the Trump and Biden trade agendas. The biggest difference will be in style - the tenor and tone in trade relations - and the absence of asinine pronouncements such as "trade wars are good and easy to win." The Biden preference for multilateralism, heavy consideration of labor and environment in trade relations, and a refrain from wielding tariffs as an ax bode well for U.S. trade relations over the next four years.
Her frank assessment offers a glimpse of the methodical approach she’ll take as America’s top trade official, as well as the hard line she’s expected to pursue in U.S.-China negotiations. Biden is banking on Tai’s low profile -- she’s not as well-known as some of his other economic advisers – and her pragmatic style to distance him from the chaos that defined the Trump administration’s trade agenda.
Biden plans to take a more careful approach to trade, but his administration has provided scant details on thehe’ll pursue. Tai’s confirmation hearing Thursday before the Senate Finance Committee will be one of the first opportunities to hear more about the administration’s plans and her personal views on a long list of challenges ahead.
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As America’s trade chief, Tai will be at the center of helping to manage U.S. relations with China -- and their massive economic consequences. She will help write the next chapter on the thorny relationship between the world’s biggest economies, which is poised to get even more contentious in the years ahead.
Tai, who won multiple big cases against China as a trade lawyer during the Obama administration, will be unwavering in negotiations with Beijing, according to former colleagues.
“She knows where the bodies are buried,” said Eric Altbach, a lobbyist who previously worked with Tai, referring to previous trade negotiations. “The Chinese rightfully expect her to be really tough.”
In addition to China, some of the other pressing matters Tai will face as trade chief include outstanding irritants with the European Union, and pressure to enforce Mexican labor requirements in the new North American Free Trade Agreement.
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But Tai is not personally close with Biden, while other Cabinet officials are. That’s raised questions about howshe’ll have on shaping economic policies broadly, or even if she’ll have the president’s ear. It’s also a big leap for Tai to go from senior congressional staffer, her last job, to the country’s top trade negotiator.
Tai was born in Connecticut and is a graduate of Harvard Law School, where she was a student of Elizabeth Warren before the Massachusetts Democrat entered politics. Warren is one of the senators who will question Tai during the hearing Thursday.
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If confirmed, Tai will be the first Asian American to serve as U.S. trade chief. She declined to comment ahead of her confirmation.
Tai, whose parents were born in China and have also lived in Taiwan, is a fluent Mandarin speaker and has spent the majority of her career in Washington, D.C., most recently as chief counsel on the House Ways and Means Committee. She is credited with helping to convince the Trump administration and Republicans in Congress to agree to major Democratic demands in the U.S-Mexico-Canada-Agreement, one of the biggest bipartisan trade deals Congress has ever passed.
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"The world has moved on beyond Biden's core views, the U.S. is no longer the 'indispensable nation,'" former U.S. ambassador James Jeffrey told Newsweek, "intervention by the U.S. in countries' inner politics to promote American values is problematic and typically a failure."In perhaps no country is this more clear than in Iraq, where U.S. troops remain, albeit in smaller numbers, despite Obama's announcement of a full withdrawal nearly a decade ago amid a collapse in discussions with the Iraqi government at the time.
“Her ability to get results was a big reason that deal passed with such a huge bipartisan vote,” said Senator Ron Wyden, Democratic chairman of the Senate Finance Committee.
Her predecessor, Robert Lighthizer, disrupted the way most of establishment Washington had thought about trade for decades and he frequently kept the small agency in the international headlines. Tai’s style is much less disruptive, though, and Biden has said he wants to focus on domestic issues before international ones.
There are some aspects of Trump’s trade legacy that Biden -- and Tai -- may be keen to keep.
Similar to Trump, the Biden team has put an emphasis on “Buy America” policies in support of domestic manufacturing over relying on imports. Biden is set to study ways to end U.S. dependence on other countries for critical goods, something Tai also supports.
“We need to be thinking ahead,” Tai said at a Center for American Progress event last year, referring to lessons learned from Covid-19 and the next national emergency that could threaten America’s supply chains.
Tai hasa team of key allies who are expected to advocate for strong labor and environmental provisions in trade deals. Nora Todd, former senior staffer to Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, will serve as her chief of staff, and Greta Peisch, trade counsel to Oregon Sen. Ron Wyden, is her pick for general counsel.
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‘Tough as Nails’
It takes a lot to rattle Tai but when she does push back, it’s effective, say people familiar with her style.
“She’s a very unusual combination of someone who’s tough as nails but also extremely diplomatic,” said Tim Reif, former USTR general counsel and now a judge at the Court for International Trade.
This skill will be particularly valuable when she negotiates with her foreign counterparts or when she has to navigate turf wars within the White House and other agencies that frequently weigh in on trade policy decisions.
One example came during the height of U.S.-Mexico-Canada negotiations when Tai ended a meeting with Mexico’s chief negotiator after he refused to answer her questions, according to people familiar with the meeting.
Another time Tai pushed back against a senior administration official during a contentious 2018 briefing after Trump threatened to impose tariffs on cars, according to people familiar with the exchange. She told the official they were on thin ice in their legal authority to do so, the people said.
Ultimately, Trumpwith the auto tariffs.
“Anybody who has the perception that she’ll easily be undermined or overpowered is going to be in for a big surprise,” said Nasim Fussell, a former Republican Senate aide who worked with Tai on Capitol Hill.
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Donald Trump Jr. Says Chinese 'Investment in Hunter Biden' Will Affect Joe Biden's China Policies .
Hunter Biden is currently under investigation by federal investigators in Delaware, but so far no proof of wrongdoing has been uncovered by Congress."China, tells us what we're going to be doing," Trump Jr. said. "You know, that billion dollars to Hunter, that didn't come for free. That was a great return on investment for the Chinese because they know they can get away with it, and our political class will say nothing because they've been on the take in the same way for decades.