Politics California recall to cost taxpayers $215 million
The big myths about recall elections
Only one of the commonly-held beliefs may be true.The first point is clearly correct. Recalls work wonders for ousting officials. Statistics are hard to come by, but surveys have claimed that somewhere between 75 and 85 percent of incumbent elected officials win their reelection runs. The recall turns that number on its head. According to my calculations, from 2011-2020 throughout the nation, about 60 percent of officials who faced a recall were removed. That percentage is largely unchanged from when I calculated it three years ago. Another 6 percent resigned. The numbers in California are even starker.
A recall election targeting California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) will cost counties $215 million to conduct, according to a new estimate from the state Department of Finance.
The figures, delivered to top legislators in a letter from Deputy Finance Director Erika Li on Thursday, are lower than the initial estimate of up to $400 million to pay for election administration costs. But they are high enough that county governments, already stretched thin by the coronavirus pandemic, will ask the legislature to pay the bill.
The estimate comes from reports from all of California's 58 counties, which are in charge of administering any elections within their boundaries. The costs range from just $19,200 in tiny Sierra County, home of 3,240 residents, to nearly $50 million for Los Angeles County, the largest county in the nation.
California state workers union donating $1M to help Newsom fight recall
The largest workers union in California is donating $1 million to help embattled Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) fight his recall campaign, which reached enough signatures to qualify for a ballot in April.The Associated Press reported that the board of directors of SEIU Local 1000, which represents 96,000 California state workers, approved a $1 million donation on Wednesday that will go to the SEIU California State Council.The council, according to theThe Associated Press reported that the board of directors of SEIU Local 1000, which represents 96,000 California state workers, approved a $1 million donation on Wednesday that will go to the SEIU California State Council.
Newsom and his allies have made the cost of the recall election a central argument against its use. They have said the money could be better spent elsewhere, though California enjoys a record surplus, especially if it is conducted just a year before Newsom is scheduled to face voters again at the end of his term.
Final costs could be higher than the $215 million estimate, Li wrote to legislators, because the overall figure does not include expenses incurred by the Secretary of State's office, which must oversee and certify the vote.
Every voter in California is likely to receive a ballot in the mail for the recall election, after the legislature earlier this year passed a measure extending mail-in voting because of the coronavirus pandemic through the end of 2021.
‘It’s click politics’: Social media stars join California recall field
“It’s click politics — and politics has become a click farm in order to make money for the individual — not to make the world a better place,” said a longtime public relations and marketing expert.Paffrath, a hyperenergetic real estate executive, is churning out campaign messages daily to the 1.65 million subscribers of his popular “Meet Kevin” channel — a shift into politics from the past parade of motivational talks and real estate sales advice that has earned him a big millennial following.
Those voters will have two questions to decide when they get their ballots: Whether Newsom should be recalled and removed from office, and who should replace him in the event he loses the recall question.
More than 50 candidates have already filed papers with the state to indicate they will run in the recall election to be held later this year. Among them are three prominent Republicans - former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, businessman John Cox, who lost to Newsom in 2018, and Olympian and reality television star Caitlyn Jenner. No Democrats have said they will enter the race, and Newsom's team is trying furiously to keep it that way.
Recent polls have showed most voters oppose ousting Newsom, a first-term governor who won office with almost 62 percent of the vote in 2018. A poll conducted last month by the Public Policy Institute of California found 57 percent of voters opposed the recall; a survey conducted by Berkeley's Institute for Governmental Studies found the recall trailing by a 50 percent to 42 percent margin among likely voters.
Cash payments take center stage in Newsom's 1st recall ad .
SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) — As both summer and the scheduling of a recall election date loom, Gov. Gavin Newsom wants to make sure Californians know about the cash payments and prize money he is doling out. “Newsom is delivering money to your pocket," a narrator says over a video of a smiling family gathered on a couch in a campaign ad Newsom released Thursday, his first of the recall. It references $1,100 in one-time cash payments he proposed in his state budget.The spot is one of three now airing statewide on television, though the other two are negative, painting a dark picture of Republicans behind the effort.