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Politics California recall election: Will the state keep or remove Gov. Gavin Newsom? Results could take time.

16:45  14 september  2021
16:45  14 september  2021 Source:   usatoday.com

Newsom, Warren see national consequences in recall fight

  Newsom, Warren see national consequences in recall fight CULVER CITY, Calif. (AP) — California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom enlisted progressive star Elizabeth Warren on Saturday to help him overcome a looming recall election that could remove him from office, warning that his ouster carries possible consequences for the national Democratic agenda on climate change, immigration and reproductive rights. CULVER CITY, Calif. (AP) — California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom enlisted progressive star Elizabeth Warren on Saturday to help him overcome a looming recall election that could remove him from office, warning that his ouster carries possible consequences for the national Democratic agenda on climate change, immigration and reproductive rights.

LOS ANGELES – Tuesday is decision day in California and voters from the country's most populous state will get the chance to decide whether they will keep Gov. Gavin Newsom or recall him..

It's been a winding path to get here, but polls show the Democrat is likely to keep his job leading a state that is known nationally as a liberal trendsetter.

Regardless of the result, the election itself is both rare and historic. But if Newsom is removed, it would send shockwaves across the country and throughout the Democratic Party.

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Here's what to know about the California recall election that could remove Gov. Gavin Newsom

  Here's what to know about the California recall election that could remove Gov. Gavin Newsom The California gubernatorial recall effort grew into a threat to Gavin Newsom amid the coronavirus pandemic.The California Democrat is facing a Sept. 14 special election that could make him just the third state governor in U.S. history to be removed from office through a recall.

Only twice in U.S. history has a governor been removed from office via recall; once in North Dakota in 1921; and in California when Gray Davis was removed and replaced by movie star Arnold Schwarzenegger in 2003.

On the eve of the election, the governor got some help from President Joe Biden, with the commander in chief telling voters at a campaign rally the "eyes of the nation are on California." Biden warned Monday in Long Beach, California, that removing the first-term governor from office would carry consequences that would reverberate around the nation and risk returning to the "dark, destructive, divisive politics" of former President Donald Trump.

Joe Biden, Gavin Newsom are posing for a picture: California Governor Gavin Newsom greets President Joe Biden during a campaign event in Long Beach, California on September 13, 2021. © BRENDAN SMIALOWSKI, AFP via Getty Images California Governor Gavin Newsom greets President Joe Biden during a campaign event in Long Beach, California on September 13, 2021.

Everything you need to know:California's recall election of Gov. Gavin Newsom is Tuesday. Here's what's at stake.

Allegations fly as recall vote looms for California’s Newsom

  Allegations fly as recall vote looms for California’s Newsom LOS ANGELES (AP) — In a blitz of TV ads and a last-minute rally, California Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom urged voters Sunday to turn back a looming recall vote that could remove him from office, while leading Republican Larry Elder broadly criticized the media for what he described as double standards that insulated Newsom from criticism and scrutiny throughout the contest. The sunny, late-summer weekend was a swirl of political activity, as candidates held rallies, continued bus tours and cluttered the TV airwaves with advertising offering their closing arguments in advance of the election that concludes Tuesday.

More: Biden urges California voters to reject recall and keep Newsom as governor

Larry Elder standing in front of a sign: Republican gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder speaks to supporters during an Asian Rally for Yes Recall at the Asian Garden Mall in Little Saigon, Westminster, California, on September 4, 2021. © RINGO CHIU, AFP via Getty Images Republican gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder speaks to supporters during an Asian Rally for Yes Recall at the Asian Garden Mall in Little Saigon, Westminster, California, on September 4, 2021.

Here's how the process will work

Voters will be asked two questions on their ballot: Should Newsom be recalled? If more than 50% of voters say yes, then the next question will be key: Who should replace him?

Forty-six candidates will appear on the ballot. Conservative radio host Larry Elder has consistently been leading polls among those vying to replace Newsom. He will be stationed Tuesday in Costa Mesa, California, about 40 miles south of Los Angeles, with supporters.

Other prominent Republican candidates running include Caitlyn Jenner, a former Olympic gold medalist who starred on the reality series "Keeping Up with the Kardashians"; former San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer; California State Assemblyman Kevin Kiley; and John Cox, a businessman who was easily defeated by Newsom in the 2018 gubernatorial election.

Recall election: Campaign trip for Gavin Newsom could bring bigger benefit to President Biden

  Recall election: Campaign trip for Gavin Newsom could bring bigger benefit to President Biden President Joe Biden's campaign trip for California Gov. Gavin Newsom ahead of Tuesday's recall election, could help Biden as much as Newsom.Polls indicate Republicans’ attempt to recall California Gov. Gavin Newsom is likely to come up short in Tuesday’s election – for which many votes have already been cast.

The only leading Democratic candidate who has emerged in the race is Kevin Paffrath, a real estate broker and YouTube personality.

The campaign to recall Newsom has largely centered on his COVID-19 policies. He was applauded at the start of the pandemic for being the first to shut down a state over the virus. Months later, California became the epicenter of the COVID-19 outbreak, despite the governor employing some of the strictest mandates in the country.

Around that time, Newsom drew headlines for public flubs, including his attendance at a dinner party at The French Laundry — one of the nation's most exclusive restaurants — at a time when he was discouraging Californians from traveling to see family during the holidays.

More: Newsom election risks making California epicenter of right-wing voter fraud claims

The latest polls: New polls favor Newsom by comfortable margin in California recall

When should we expect final results?

The first polls in the state close at 8 p.m. PT and a flood of results are expected from mail-in ballots and early-in person votes. About 37% of the roughly 22 million ballots sent to California voters had been returned as of Monday, according to an analysis from Political Data Inc.

How Larry Elder has helped Gavin Newsom in California's recall election

  How Larry Elder has helped Gavin Newsom in California's recall election Earlier this year, when California Gov. Gavin Newsom was searching for the right message to convince disengaged Democrats to vote against the effort to oust him in Tuesday's recall election, it would have been impossible to imagine a more perfect foil than conservative talk radio host Larry Elder. © Ringo H.W. Chiu/AP California Gov. Gavin Newsom is photographed during a TV interview before a rally against the California gubernatorial recall election on Sunday, Sept. 12, 2021, in Sun Valley, California.

Democrats had returned a larger share of those ballots than Republicans, meaning early results could show good signs for Newsom. But that might not last and the number of voters who turn out Tuesday will likely be crucial in deciding the race.

California historically takes weeks to count all the votes in statewide elections. In 2020, when nearly 18 million people cast ballots, a third of the votes in the presidential election were counted after election night. Two years earlier, more than 40% were counted after Election Day.

Mailed ballots can arrive up to a week after Tuesday and still be counted, as long as they are postmarked by Sept. 134. This process can take days or weeks. Mail ballots are generally counted in the order they are received, so the last ballots to be counted tend to be the last ones to arrive.

In 2020, Republicans were much less likely than Democrats to vote by mail in part because Trump repeatedly claimed — without evidence — that voting by mail was unsafe and susceptible to fraud.

If that trend continues, the results in the recall election could swing back and forth on election night, depending on which types of votes are being reported — mail ballots or in-person votes.

Most California voters cast their ballots by mail, a trend that accelerated during the pandemic as many voters were reluctant to enter crowded polling places on Election Day. About 87% of California voters cast their ballots by mail in last year’s presidential election.

Gavin Newsom projected to win California recall race

  Gavin Newsom projected to win California recall race CNN and NBC both projected that Democratic Gov. Gavin Newsom would win Tuesday's recall race in California.Newsom held an early and substantial lead in results from California's Tuesday recall election shortly after polls closed at 8 p.m. local time.

For Tuesday’s election, all 22 million registered voters were sent a mail ballot.

Mail ballots take longer to process than in-person votes because election officials must remove the ballots from their envelopes, check the voter’s registration and make sure that the voter’s signature on the envelope matches the one on file. Then the votes can counted.

When voters cast ballots in person, officials perform security measures at the polling place so the votes can be counted soon after the polls close.

Voters who don’t want to vote by mail can vote in person, on Tuesday or during the early voting period. Voters can also drop off mail ballots at local polling places, county election offices or in county drop boxes.

Contributing: The Associated Press

This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: California recall election: Will the state keep or remove Gov. Gavin Newsom? Results could take time.

How the recall election against California Gavin Newsom will work .
The election will be just the second recall election for governor in state history. The other took place in 2003 when Democratic Governor Gray Davis was recalled and Republican Arnold Schwarzenegger became governor. Here's what you need to know about the recall. How did we get here?In February 2020, a group called the California Patriot Coalition began circulating a petition to recall Newsom, citing his administration's policies on immigration, homelessness, the state's drought emergency and taxes. Newsom had faced five previous recall attempts, but such petitions require 1.

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