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Sport Path To The College Football Playoff: Who’s Still Alive At The Midseason? What’s Going To Happen?

04:51  09 october  2018
04:51  09 october  2018 Source:   collegefootballnews.com

Texas, Michigan among best one-loss teams still in College Football Playoff hunt

  Texas, Michigan among best one-loss teams still in College Football Playoff hunt Sporting News looks at the remaining one-loss teams in the College Football Playoff hunt. Texas and Michigan are among the best bets.This is why you let the college football season play out. Eleven unbeaten teams remain in the FBS, with 14 one-loss teams in the Power 5 behind them.

Path To The College Football Playoff : Who ' s Still Alive At The Midseason ? What ' s Going To Happen ? By Pete Fiutak October 8, 2018 3:18 pm. shares. So who ’ s really still alive for the College Football Playoff ? Some of the teams that had a technical shot to stay alive – like Indiana, Cal and Maryland – are done now, and knock out any Group of Five program with a loss. As is, an unbeaten GOFer almost has no chance, and at the moment, there aren’t any unbeaten teams in Conference USA, the MAC, Mountain West or Sun Belt.

What ’ s going to happen ? By Pete Fiutak of College Football News |. Cincinnati, Colorado, Oregon. So who ' s really still alive for the College Football Playoff ? A slew of heavy-hitters are done now, and knock out any Group of Five program with a loss. As is, an unbeaten GOFer almost has no chance, and at the moment, there aren't any unbeaten teams in Conference USA, the MAC, Mountain West or Sun Belt.

a close up of a person wearing a helmet: File Photo © File Photo File Photo After Week 6 of the season, what's the Path to the College Football Playoff for the 25 teams still alive for the four spots?

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What Happened, What Mattered, What's Next? ACC | Big 12 | Big Ten | Pac-12 | SEC

- Week 6 Scoreboard & Predictions

Who's Out After Week 5?

Boston College, Cal, Indiana, Maryland, Michigan State, Minnesota, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Stanford, Syracuse, Virginia Tech

So who's really still alive for the College Football Playoff?

Some of the teams that had a technical shot to stay alive - like Indiana, Cal and Maryland - are done now, and knock out any Group of Five program with a loss.

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What Will Happen : The Knights aren’t going to blow it against Cincinnati or at USF, but they’ll be in for a firefight in the American Athletic title game against wither SMU, Houston or Tulane. They’ll win, go 12-0, and finish up in the top six – but not the top four – in the final rankings. However, that’ s rolling the dice considering how bad the ACC has been. What Will Happen : The Tigers will keep this all going at home. They’ll get a wee bit of a scare against either Duke or South Carolina, but they’ll finish 13-0 and be the No. 2 see in the College Football Playoff , going to the Orange Bowl.

So who ’ s really still alive for the College Football Playoff ? It was a big weekend to knock out a slew of key parts, with five of the teams still alive going into last weekend now out. All 12 of the teams on this list are still in the mix, and here’ s what has to happen . What Will Happen : Even if the Knights run the table, the schedule just is’t strong enough. The blowout win over Pitt will only go so far – there won’t be anything else other than a win over Houston – maybe – to get excited about. However, if somehow UCF is the only unbeaten team left, or if it’ s one of two remaining, this might get interesting.

As is, an unbeaten GOFer almost has no chance, and at the moment, there aren't any unbeaten teams in Conference USA, the MAC, Mountain West or Sun Belt.

All the teams on this list are still in the mix, and here's what has to happen.

Group of Five: American Athletic Conference

Cincinnati (6-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: The Bearcats need the Power Five conferences to implode, Notre Dame has to get knocked off, and this needs to be a 13-0 season with a dominant win over UCF on the road. That will get them into the discussion, but …

What Will Happen: No. Even at 13-0, they're not going to get in, but they'll drop at least one game. They're playing well, though, and will be right in the AAC title hunt until the end.

UCF (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: It's going to take a big public relations push and a whole slew of meltdowns from Power Five championship games to get close. Going 12-0 - missing a game because of the hurricane - will be a problem in the Notre Dame debate, but get unbeaten, and get people talking.

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Path to the playoff : Presuming the selection committee has ‘Bama out of the top four Tuesday night, Nick Saban’ s team would need a loss by either Oklahoma or Wisconsin Saturday to create an opening. Path to the playoff : Ohio State’ s résumé would improve significantly with a win over Wisconsin in the Big Ten title game – especially a decisive win. But the Buckeyes also need to root for Oklahoma to win the Big 12, because a TCU team with the same record and a neutral-field win over the Sooners would have an argument.

The Mid -American Conference was the first FBS conference to postpone the season and the last to reverse that decision. But now all 10 conferences will play with varying start dates. When conferences canceled their fall seasons , they were hopeful their teams would have an opportunity to play during the 2020-21 academic year. However, the logistics of a spring football season would have been complex and teams would not have had an opportunity to compete for a spot in the College Football Playoff .

What Will Happen: The schedule isn't good enough. The Knights can go unbeaten, and it won't be enough considering the one Power Five win will be over Pitt. However, the Knights have the inside track to a second straight New Year's Six game.

USF (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: The Bulls have to be amazing over the second half of the season, and they need Cincinnati to stay great - there's a date at UC in mid-November - and the UCF game has to an unbeaten vs. unbeaten showdown.

What Will Happen: It won't get through the slate unscathed, but with wins over Georgia Tech and Illinois, and with the road games at Houston, Cincinnati and Temple to come - along with the UCF game - the chances will be there to make a big case if they go unbeaten.

NEXT: ACC

ACC

Clemson (6-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Go unbeaten, and it's in. There will be some who'll scream about a mediocre schedule and a bad ACC, but there's a win at Texas A&M. Go 13-0, and Clemson is in without any hesitation. One loss? Then it gets tricky. If they win the ACC title at 11-1, they'll need Notre Dame to lose once, and it'll be a huge help if the SEC Championship loser has a loss.

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What happens to Ohio State now that game against Michigan is canceled? Eddie Timanus. Under normal circumstances, Ohio State would be in a comfortable position in the College Football Playoff discussion. But this is 2020 — nothing is normal. The committee clearly has a favorable impression of the Buckeyes, who are expected to remain at No. 4 after the latest set of rankings are announced Tuesday night.

If different teams were getting into the college football playoff every year, I don't think you'd hear all this talk about the rest of the teams seasons being diminished. Right but the fact that it' s the same teams means those teams get absurd amounts of Blue chip recruits, who are looking to get as much national exposure as possible. This then reinforces the same teams going to the playoffs and less people giving a shit about them.

What Will Happen: Clemson will lose once, but so will Notre Dame. The Tigers will win the ACC title, the Big 12 champ will have a loss, and it'll get in as the No. 4 seed.

NC State (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Go 12-0 - the West Virginia game was cancelled thanks to the hurricane - beat Clemson at Clemson, win the ACC title, and get in no matter what … maybe. It would a huge help if Notre Dame loses once, but an unbeaten Power Five champ won't be left out.

What Will Happen: There will be a misfire. It'll lose at Clemson, at Syracuse, or against Florida State to ruin the dream, but it'll still be a great season.

Notre Dame (6-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Lumped in with the ACC teams because of its association with the conference in bowl games, all the Irish have to do is win out, and assume there won't be three unbeaten Power Five champs along with a viable SEC Championship loser. Does 12-0 Notre Dame get in over - if it happens - 12-1 Clemson or 12-1 Ohio State? Yeah.

What Will Happen: As good as Notre Dame has been, it'll get its heart broken be Florida State at home, or at USC, or against Syracuse in Yankee Stadium. It'll get a New Year's Bowl appearance, but it won't get into the big fun.

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Miami (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: It's not a 100% slam dunk that it gets in by winning out and taking the ACC Championship, but it'll be close. Would the 12-1, ACC title-winning Canes get in over a one-loss Big 12 champ? That would be a fight, but they'd need Notre Dame to lose once along the way, and it would be great if the SEC Championship loser has two losses.

What Will Happen: The Canes will lose again. The LSU loss will be brushed aside if they run the table with a win over Clemson in the ACC title game, but they go on the road for four games in five dates - they'll lose once more.

NEXT: Big 12

Big 12

Oklahoma (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Get revenge. If they keep the offense going, get more out of the defense after the coordinator change, and roll through the rest of the schedule with a Big 12 Championship win over Texas, they'll at least be on the doorstep. However, they're in trouble if Ohio State, Clemson, and the SEC champ are unbeaten, and they're out if 12-0 Notre Dame is in the mix.

What Will Happen: They'll rip through the rest of the schedule - including a win at West Virginia - but even at 12-1, they'll be out. The overall schedule won't be strong enough compared to the Big Ten and SEC champ, and the call will be that the SEC championship loser and Clemson will find their way in.

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Texas (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: And now it's Game On. Unlike Oklahoma, if Texas wins out and goes 12-1, that season-opening loss to Maryland will be totally blown off. The Longhorns would be the hot team that beat Oklahoma - possibly - twice, and with a win over West Virginia if that happens. Realistically, win out, get in.

What Will Happen: The Longhorns might be playing well, but there's going to be another loss at some point. Either at Oklahoma State, at Texas Tech, or even at home to West Virginia or Iowa State. And if there's a rematch against Oklahoma, they're not going to beat them twice.

West Virginia (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, and realistically, get in. There won't be an unbeaten Power Five conference champion left out of the equation, and there won't be five of those and an unbeaten Notre Dame. Realistically, if West Virginia goes 12-0 with wins at Texas, TCU, at Oklahoma State, Oklahoma, and then a Big 12 Championship victory to close things out … in.

What Will Happen: The Mountaineers might get to the Big 12 title game, but they'll lose at least once along the way, and they'll lose the championship game if they get there.

NEXT: Big Ten

Big Ten

Iowa (4-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: It's still possible. They have to roll through the rest of their schedule - including a win over Penn State - and they need Wisconsin to lose twice. That's not asking for the world - the Badgers have several brutal late games. Do that, beat Ohio State - or anyone in the Big Ten title game - and get in.

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What Will Happen: It might be a bit more realistic than it seems, but … Iowa isn't going to win at Penn State.

Michigan (4-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, and it'll get in. The opening week road loss to Notre Dame is now totally and completely acceptable, and if it finishes on a 12-game winning streak, it'll have beaten Wisconsin, at Michigan State, Penn State, at Ohio State, and then - probably - Wisconsin again … in.

What Will Happen: It'll be very, very good, and it'll get by Wisconsin and potentially Penn State at home, but there are too many landmines. Michigan has to be perfect, and it won't be.

Ohio State (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Go 13-0, and be no worse than the No. 2 seed in the College Football Playoff. But can it go 12-1 and make it in? If it wins the Big Ten Championship, yeah. It'll get the nod over a one-loss ACC, Big 12, and/or Pac-12 champ. Would it get in over a 12-0 Notre Dame or a 12-1 SEC Championship loser? It would be a great debate, but assume yes.

What Will Happen: The Buckeyes will be stunned once along the way, but will win the East, win the Big Ten title, and get in at 11-1.

Penn State (4-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: This might be more interesting than it appears. If the Nittany Lions rip through the rest of their schedule, on a four-best-team theory, they might get into the discussion as long as the other Power Five championship games implode. Otherwise, they need to win out, and Ohio State has to lose twice.

What Will Happen: They're going to the Rose Bowl. They'll lose once more along the way against Michigan State, Iowa, at Michigan, or Wisconsin, but they'll end up in a New Year's Six game in Pasadena.

Wisconsin (4-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, and it's in. The BYU loss is brutal, but if the Badgers run the table, they'll have won at Iowa, at Michigan, at Northwestern, at Penn State, at Purdue, and will have beaten - likely - Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship. It gets in over a one-loss Big 12 or Pac-12 champ.

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What Will Happen: They'll get to the Big Ten Championship, but they'll also lose at least once more along the way to screw up the CFP dream.

NEXT: Pac-12

Pac-12

Colorado (5-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, and hope for at least one other Power Five conference champ to have a loss. No one will like or respect the 13-0 Buffaloes without a good non-conference win, but no chance an unbeaten Power Five champ is left out. 12-1 with a Pac-12 championship? That gets dicey.

What Will Happen: If they don't lose at USC, they'll lose at Washington. They still have to get through at Arizona, Washington State, Utah and at Cal, and even if they do get to the Pac-12 title game at 11-1, they're not beating whatever comes out of the North.

Oregon (4-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: The loss to Stanford hurts, but if they win out, that will mean they'll have beaten Washington, at Washington State, at Arizona, at Utah, Arizona State, and then whatever comes out of the South. They'll need help - they'd lose out to a one-loss ACC, Big Ten or Big 12 champion, and probably a 12-0 Notre Dame - but there has yet to be a 12-win Power Five champion left out of the fun.

What Will Happen: They'll drop either the Washington or the game at Washington State the next week to end the run, but the Ducks will stay in the Pac-12 title race until the end.

Washington (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Even with the loss to Auburn, and even though the Tigers are struggling, the Huskies are likely to get in going 12-1. They haven't been amazing, but the resume would be just good enough, and they'd get just enough love to get in if there aren't other strong options. They'd need some help, though - they'd be behind a one-loss ACC or Big 12 champ.

What Will Happen: They'll drop another game along the way against someone they shouldn't - like, at Cal - to end the CFP discussion, but they'll get to the Pac-12 title game and win it.

Washington State (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Even with the loss at USC, they're still alive. They beat Utah, to go unbeaten they'll have beaten Oregon, at Stanford, at Colorado and Washington, and they might get to avenge the USC loss in the Pac-12 title game if that happens.

What Will Happen: They're really, really good, but they'll drop another game either on the road against Stanford and Colorado or to Oregon and/or Washington.

NEXT: SEC

SEC

Alabama (6-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, get into the College Football Playoff as the No. 1 seed of No. 1 seeds. Lose once along the way, but win the SEC Championship, and get in no matter what. Go 12-0, and lose to Georgia in the SEC title game, and … then it gets interesting. If Georgia is 13-0 and that's the loss, in. But America would scream.

What Will Happen: Bama won't walk through the rest of the schedule like many thing, but he'll win the SEC Championship and get in as the No. 1 seed.

Auburn (4-2)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Stay with it. Even with two losses, if it wins through the rest of the schedule and has wins over Washington, at Ole Miss, Texas A&M, at Georgia, and at Alabama … look out. It'll have to somehow get to to the SEC Championship through all the traffic of having two SEC losses, but if it does, and it wins it, and it goes 12-2, like it would've been last year … in?

What Will Happen: Nah … they're losing at least two more.

Florida (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Now it's Game On after the win over LSU. The loss to Kentucky is still here, but if the Gators beat Georgia and beats everyone else - it's not crazy; at Vanderbilt, Missouri, South Carolina, Idaho, at Florida State - and UK loses once more, in, and the puck is on their stick at 11-1 for the CFP.

What Will Happen: Be very, very careful here - it might just happen. But assume a loss to Georgia to end the dream.

Georgia (6-0)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: Win out, and at 13-0 with an SEC Championship it's the No. 1 seed. Lose once, but win the SEC title game at 12-1, and it'll get in - no question. But if it's 12-1 with an SEC Championship loss? Then the debate stars, but it's in if there aren't three other obvious options. Notre Dame losing would be nice.

What Will Happen: The Dawgs will lose once along the way - either at LSU, or to Florida, or at Kentucky, or to Auburn, or against the Georgia Tech option on the wrong day, and they'll lose to Alabama in the SEC Championship.

Kentucky (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: It's all still on the table after the Texas A&M loss. Win out against Vanderbilt, at Missouri, Georgia, at Tennessee, Middle Tennessee, at Louisville, and it's in the SEC Championship with a shot at the CFP at 11-1.

What Will Happen: They'll finish the year with double-digit wins, but they'll lose once more along the way - probably to Georgia, but watch out for the date at Missouri - to end the dream.

LSU (5-1)

The Path to the College Football Playoff: It's all still there despite the loss to Florida. Beat Georgia, Mississippi State, Alabama and Texas A&M on the way to 11-1, win the SEC title game, and get in. But a second loss ends it.

What Will Happen: It's a brutal schedule and it's not getting through it without another loss. It'll be in the mix for a New Year's Six game, but it'll lose to either Georgia or Alabama at home - at least.

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