College Football Playoff picture: 4 in, 3 to watch ahead of conference championship weekend
Sporting News takes a look at the College Football Playoff picture heading into conference championship weekend.Alabama's 48-45 loss to Auburn and Minnesota's 38-17 loss to Wisconsin trimmed the potential Playoff field down to seven teams with one loss or fewer. There's still room for the chaos factor in the final week of the season, however.
College Football TV Schedule. Future FBS Schedules. Championship Games. Postseason. FCS Playoff Schedule. NFL. Conference . Listed below is the college football conference championship games schedule for the 2019 season.
Entering this weekend’s major- conference , neutral-site championship games, only 10 teams have any kind of shot at the four-team College Football Playoff . The playoff selection committee will announce its final rankings at 12:30 p.m. on Sunday
Conference championship weekend and the College Football Playoff do not mix.
We havesince the CFP began in 2014. Five years later, we are no closer to addressing the three biggest issues with this weekend.
There are far more upsets than blowouts. There are one-sided stakes outside of the SEC, and we still have five Power 5 conferences trying to jam into four spots.
That leads to the usual talking points. We say conference championships don’t matter. We experiment with our own personalized six-, eight-, 12- and 16-team Playoff models, and everybody thinks they have the best plan. We fight for the preservation of the regular season.
Georgia-LSU showdown headlines conference championship weekend
The conference championship games around the country are now set following Week 14 of the college football regular season. © Jonathan Bachman / Getty Images Sport / GettyLSU and Georgia highlight the major conference matchups, with both teams currently slotted inside the top four of the College Football Playoff rankings. The winner is a virtual lock for the CFP, while LSU could still make a very strong case even with a loss. Wisconsin gets a rematch with Ohio State in the Big Ten championship contest after the Badgers went on the road to take down Minnesota on Saturday.
When the four-team field for the College Football Playoff is determined, three programs will have Notre Dame, which does not belong to a conference , is idle next weekend. It is almost impossible to And Alabama and Georgia will meet for the Southeastern Conference title, making it effectively a
There is a perfect number of college football playoff teams and it falls right between the two. The NFL uses a six-team bracket for each conference (for now) Because six is the perfect number. It solves every problem imaginable. Well, almost. First, a six-team playoff gets all five Power 5 conference
The regular season will always matter in college football.
The conference championships? They will continue to be a farce if three issues aren’t resolved.
Problem: Lack of drama
There have been 22 Power 5 conference championship games since the College Football Playoff era, and the statistics show a lack of real drama.
- The higher-ranked team is 18-4 in those games.
- The average margin of victory is 19.2 points per game, and 12 of those 22 games were decided by 14 points or more.
These games lack spice. Clemson is a 24.5-point favorite against Virginia in this week’s ACC championship game. Ohio State is an 18-point favorite in the Big Ten championship game against Wisconsin.
Possible solution: Eliminate divisions
The Big 12 got this right when it added a conference championship game. Oklahoma used it to get into the Playoff each of the last two seasons, and the Sooners might vault in again with the help of a battle of one-loss teams against Baylor this weekend.
Six scenarios for final College Football Playoff rankings, from chalk to chaos
Sporting News looks at all the possible scenarios for the College Football Playoff rankings heading into conference championship weekend.The top six teams in the AP Top 25 — No. 1 LSU, No. 2 Ohio State, No. 3 Clemson, No. 4 Georgia, No. 5 Utah and No. 6 Oklahoma — have the best chances of cracking the field after Saturday's slate of conference championship games. No. 8 Baylor is the only other remaining team with one loss or fewer. Is there a chance that a two-loss team — don't make us say No.
6. Advocate for expansion of the College Football Playoff to 8 teams eventually. Sure, it could be done. But the defensive MVP of the 2016 season’s National Championship made a solid, if The field would be the five power conference champions , the best Group of 5 team, and two at-large bids, all
With the conference championship games coming next weekend, there are more than a half-dozen solid contenders for the four places in the College In the three previous seasons of the playoff , three of the five power conferences had clear-cut, one-loss or undefeated teams that went on to win
That said, this isn’t a perfect solution. Virginia really is the second-best team in the ACC. Ohio State already beat Wisconsin and Penn State.
That speaks to another problem.
Problem: One-sided stakes outside SEC
The conference championships have produced few games where you could say with 100 percent certainty that the winner of that game was in the Playoff.
In fact, there have been just three:
|2015||No. 5 Michigan State 16, No. 4 Iowa 13|
|2017||No. 6 Georgia 28, No 2 Auburn 7|
|2018||No. 1 Alabama 35, No. 4 Georgia 28|
The only other game that was close was No. 1 Clemson vs. No. 7 Miami in the 2017 ACC championship, and the Hurricanes were not a guarantee to get in with a victory.
The fact that the SEC produced two of those three games and has the biggest game of the weekend with No. 1 LSU and No. 4 Georgia is another hold-up for the eight-team playoff. The SEC has no incentive to go to eight knowing it is almost guaranteed one playoff team every year, and the Bulldogs and Tigers likely both will get in if Georgia pulls the upset Saturday.
Utah thanks Paul Finebaum for bulletin board material ahead of big game
The College Football Playoff committee is going to have some difficult decisions to make after the conference championship games conclude this weekend, and Paul Finebaum may play an indirect role in how things play out. © Jeff Swinger-USA TODAY SportsAfter some comments he made about Dabo Swinney drew a strong reaction from the Clemson coach early in the week, Finebaum decided that the next program he wanted to insult was Utah.
View the College Football Playoff Schedule and National Championship game schedule for the 2019 through 2025 seasons at FBSchedules.com. The College Football Playoff Schedule for the 2019 season kicks off with the two semifinal games, the PlayStation Fiesta Bowl and the Chick-fil-A Peach
2017 is exactly why college football needs an expanded Playoff and exactly why it doesn’t. Eliminate the mid-majors from the list, and you’re looking at three obvious teams on average and a fourth 2017 is a perfect example of why we absolutely need to expand the College Football Playoff .
Possible solution: Protect one-loss champions
Just think about those three games listed above. They were the best conference championship games possible. Michigan State’s L.J. Scott’s TD run and Alabama’s Jalen Hurts’ comeback were defining moments that could make the argument for the conference championship game.
They work against it. Those games felt like true playoff quarterfinals. The other one that did — a matchup between No. 7 Penn State and No. 6 Wisconsin in the 2016 Big Ten championship game — produced a 38-31 thriller the Nittany Lions won. Penn State watched one-loss Ohio State go to the Playoff instead.
Problem: Five champions, four spots
After all the arguing, the CFP still is trying to please five Power 5 conferences and the Group of 5 with four playoff spots. UCF proved that a Group of 5 team will never get into the four-team Playoff.
This weekend could expose another problem. Ohio State, LSU and Clemson could all take care of business and give the Playoff three undefeated teams. What will the committee do with a one-loss Utah against one-loss Oklahoma or Baylor if it comes to that? You are leaving a one-loss conference champion out of the Playoff.
1 chaotic scenario that would be a nightmare for the College Football Playoff committee
2016 College Football Playoff predictions update, Nov. 30. Changes in FiveThirtyEight’s CFP Changes for teams that already had a less than 1 percent chance of making the playoff or winning That’s not to say there’s nothing left riding on this weekend’s conference championship games
This is the third season since the College Football Playoff selection committee replaced the Each of the three College Football Playoff fields have featured one undefeated team and three teams with one loss. Three -fourths of the top teams in the country would have a loss by mid-September anyway.
How many one-loss Power 5 champions have been left out to this point? That list includes TCU and Baylor (2014) and Ohio State (2018). The more that happens, the more this process will be strained.
Possible solution: Perfect the eight-team model
It does not have to happen overnight, and you need the SEC to buy in to make it work. The details are obvious otherwise. Put the quarterfinal games on campus. Wait until all five Power 5 conferences play nine — or even 10 — conference games. That would beef up and protect the regular season.
Figure out the proper format for the conference championship games, with or without divisions. Have a consistent model across the 10 conferences that produces a far more dramatic conference championship weekend. If you want to ditch conference championship weekend and seed out the best teams, then that's fine, too.
Six is not enough and 16 is too many. Most models have the right idea with eight teams despite the variation. Include all five conferences, the Group of 5 and two at-large bids to give fans the best of the Bowl Championship Series and College Football Playoff — which to be clear has been a huge success to this point. We’ll spend more time arguing about No. 8 and No. 9, but that’s OK. At least a few two-loss teams might sneak in.
The solutions come easy when you recognize the problems.
It's time to make the conference championship and Playoff fit again.
8-Team College Football Playoff Model Reportedly Under Discussion .
The College Football Playoff is functioning perfectly fine with four teams, but the movement to expand the field to eight teams is gaining momentum with each passing year. According to a new report, the eight-team playoff would include five automatic bids for the winners of conference championship games, two at-large bids, and one bid for the best Group of 5 team. It remains unknown if this model will at some point materialize into a tangible proposal that will be voted on, but it's encouraging something is at least being discussed.