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Sport NASCAR at Kentucky odds, predictions: Surprising 2020 Quaker State 400 picks from model that called Daytona

18:31  09 july  2020
18:31  09 july  2020 Source:   msn.com

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With 12 races in just seven weeks since the Cup Series returned from a two-month hiatus, the NASCAR schedule continues on Sunday at Kentucky Speedway with the 2020 Quaker State 400. Opened in 2000, the 1.5-mile tri-oval began hosting NASCAR Xfinity Series races in 2001, but didn't feature the NASCAR's top circuit until 2011, when Kyle Busch won the inaugural Quaker State 400. Busch won again in 2015 and lost by a nose to Kurt Busch a year ago. The green flag drops on the 2020 Quaker State 400 starting grid at 2:30 p.m. ET.

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While Busch doesn't have a win thus far this season, he'll see plenty of action at 13-2 in the latest 2020 Quaker State 400 odds. Meanwhile, NASCAR Cup Series leader Kevin Harvick is the 11-2 favorite on the 2020 NASCAR at Kentucky odds board. Before locking in any 2020 NASCAR at Kentucky predictions, be sure to see the latest 2020 Quaker State 400 picks and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.

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Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at The Real Heroes 400 and the Toyota 500 at Darlington.

Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol. The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure also used the model to lock in an outright bet on Hamlin winning at 10-1 at Miami. And last week at The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season. Anybody who has follow the model has seen huge returns.

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  Starting lineup for Sunday's NASCAR Cup Series race at Kentucky The starting lineup for Sunday’s Quaker State 400 Presented by Walmart NASCAR Cup Series race at Kentucky Speedway (2:30 p.m. ET on FS1, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) has been set. Kyle Busch will start from the pole position, with Joey Logano joining him on the front row to lead the field to green for the […]RELATED: Kentucky schedule | Betting odds | Paint schemes for the Bluegrass State

Now, the model simulated NASCAR at Kentucky 2020 on Sunday, July 12 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Quaker State 400 predictions

For the 2020 Quaker State 400, the model is high on Erik Jones, even though he's a 20-1 long shot in the latest 2020 NASCAR at Kentucky odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 24-year-old has had an up-and-down season and is currently 17th in the standings after a crash at Indianapolis led to a 33rd-place finish.

However, Jones has two top-five finishes in his last four starts, while the Joe Gibbs Racing team has been dominant at Kentucky with five wins in the nine NASCAR Cup Series races there. Jones has finished seventh or better in his three career starts at Kentucky Speedway and was third last season.

And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, the Vegas favorite at 11-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in this loaded 2020 Quaker State 400 starting lineup. Harvick has been the most dominant driver in NASCAR this season and is coming off his fourth win of the season at The Brickyard on Sunday.

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However, he hasn't been able to get over the hump at Kentucky so far in his career. Harvick has just one top-five finish at the 1.5-mile tri-oval and last year he failed to crack the top 20 altogether. With NASCAR still running without qualifying or practice, Harvick's track history makes him a fade on Sunday.

How to make 2020 Quaker State 400 picks

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2020 NASCAR at Kentucky odds of 11-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag, including a massive long shot. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins Sunday's 2020 Quaker State 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Kentucky leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.

2020 NASCAR at Kentucky odds

Kevin Harvick 11-2

Martin Truex Jr. 6-1

Kyle Busch 13-2

Denny Hamlin 13-2

Brad Keselowski 7-1

Chase Elliott 15-2

Joey Logano 11-1

Ryan Blaney 14-1

Alex Bowman 20-1

Kurt Busch 20-1

Erik Jones 20-1

Matt Kenseth 25-1

Aric Almirola 28-1

Christopher Bell 33-1

William Byron 35-1

Clint Bowyer 40-1

Tyler Reddick 50-1

Cole Custer 66-1

Matt DiBenedetto 66-1

Justin Allgaier 100-1

Ryan Newman 100-1

Bubba Wallace 125-1

Austin Dillon 200-1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 200-1

Chris Buescher 300-1

John Hunter Nemechek 300-1

Ryan Preece 500-1

Ty Dillon 750-1

Corey LaJoie 750-1

Daniel Suarez 750-1

Michael McDowell 1000-1

Brennan Poole 1500-1

Joey Gase 2000-1

Timmy Hill 2000-1

Quin Houff 2000-1

Garrett Smithley 2000-1

JJ Yeley 2000-1

2020 O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 Vegas picks, odds, predictions: NASCAR expert fading Kyle Busch at Texas .
Micah Roberts pioneered wagering on NASCAR races and has nailed three Cup Series races this season.Jimmie Johnson crossed the overtime line just before the final caution came out.

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