Sport UFC 251: Jose Aldo vs. Petr Yan odds, picks and best bets

17:07  11 july  2020
17:07  11 july  2020 Source:   mmajunkie.com

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(Editor’s note: This post first appeared on Sportsbook Wire, part of the USA TODAY Network.)

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Petr Yan and Jose Aldo square off in a bantamweight bout for the vacant title on the main card Saturday at UFC 251 at the UFC’s “Fight Island” facility on Yas Island, Abu Dhabi. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 10 p.m. ET on pay-per-view.

Yan (14-1) might have a three-inch disadvantage in reach, but that’s about the only shortcoming here. The switch-stance fighter has a sizable 5.65 to 3.47 advantage in significant strikes landed per minute, and 1.73 to 0.64 in takedown average. Yan is coming off a TKO win in Round 3 against Urijah Faber last time out at UFC 245, and is 6-0 at the UFC level with three KO/TKO victories and three wins by unanimous decision, too. The only setback of his career came at ACB 32, a split decision loss to Magomed Magomedov in March, 2016.

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The veteran Aldo (28-6), coming off a split decision loss to Marlon Moraes at UFC 245, is just 3-5 in the previous eight outings with three knockout losses. In addition, five of his past eight fights have finished inside the distance, too.

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Petr Yan vs. Jose Aldo betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, July 9 at 6 a.m. ET.

Yan (-228) is a heavy favorite against the veteran Aldo (+185), and risking more than two times than your potential return is a bit of risky business, so you’ll need to be more specific. Rolling with YAN BY KO/TKO or DQ (+120) on the 7-way Method of Victory line is a better way to go. If you want to take YAN BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+110) on the 5-way line, adding another route to a winning ticket, it won’t cost you much more.

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Also see: UFC 251 Kamaru Usman vs. Jorge Masvidal: Main Card Odds

UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-143) is a solid play, too, as Yan is a heavy hitter, ranking second among active bantamweights with 1.52 knockdowns per 15 minutes. Yan also has an impressive 2.5 striking differential. On the flip side, he is fifth among bantamweights with a 67.8 significant strike-defense percentage and 87.5 takedown-defense percentage. All of those stats point to a shorter fight and a Yan win.

New to sports betting? A $10 bet Yan by KO/TKO or DQ (+120) returns a profit of $12. A $10 wager on Yan (-228) on the 2-way line fetches a net profit of $4.39, while betting $10 on the Under 4.5 Rounds (-143) returns a net profit of $6.99.

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UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal predictions, odds, picks: Best bets on the fight card from top-rated MMA expert

  UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal predictions, odds, picks: Best bets on the fight card from top-rated MMA expert Brandon Wise has been profitable on UFC picks for five straight years.Usman has vowed to settle his ongoing beef with Masvidal with a dominant performance, while the third-ranked challenger has predicted a stoppage win of his own. Usman is a -260 favorite (risk $260 to win $100), while Masvidal is priced at +210 in the latest UFC 251 odds from William Hill. In the co-main event, Alexander Volkanovski (-240) defends his featherweight title against former champion Max Holloway (+200). Before finalizing your UFC 251 picks, make sure you check out what SportsLine MMA expert Brandon Wise has to say.

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"This thing is trending off the charts. This thing is trending higher than a Conor McGregor fight. This thing is trending as big as a fight as I've ever seen in my entire career." When UFC president Dana White said this t he day before UFC 251, you figured he was just doing his job as a promoter. Not that Jorge Masvidal didn’t become the breakout star of 2019 (he certainly did), but when you start talking about the possibility for anyone’s fight to outdo Conor McGregor numbers, it’s hard to believe.

usr: 1
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