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Sport 2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 3 predictions from model on 61-33 roll

03:30  20 september  2020
03:30  20 september  2020 Source:   cbssports.com

Comeback Heat do it again, rally past Celtics for 2-0 lead

  Comeback Heat do it again, rally past Celtics for 2-0 lead LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. (AP) Down by 14 in Game 1, the Miami Heat found a way. © APWF Miami Heat guard Goran Dragic (7) celebrates after sinking a basket against the Boston Celtics during the second half of an NBA conference final playoff basketball game, Thursday, Sept. 17, 2020, in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill) Down by 17 in Game 2, they did it again Thursday night. And after making the Boston Celtics lose another big lead on the court - as well as their cool in the postgame locker room - the unheralded Heat are two wins away from the NBA Finals.

Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics take on Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals on Saturday. The Heat are looking to take a 3-0 series lead, with the Celtics aiming to avoid a third consecutive loss in the 2020 NBA Playoffs. The Heat list Andre Iguodala (back) as probable to play in Game 3. Gordon Hayward (ankle) is listed as questionable to play for Boston and could be a game-time call, with Romeo Langford (adductor) ruled out and Javonte Green (knee) listed as probable.

Boston Celtics' keys for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals

  Boston Celtics' keys for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals Here are three things to watch for Saturday night as the Celtics take on the Heat in Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals. Can the Celtics contain the Heat’s second punch?The result of this series will depend on if the Celtics can contain the inevitable second punch from Miami. Boston held a 12-point lead heading into the fourth quarter of Game 1, only to lose in overtime. In Game 2, they led by 17 in the first half before being outscored by 20 in the third quarter.Miami started slow in both games during the series, something that wasn’t the case in the Eastern Conference semifinals versus the Milwaukee Bucks.

Jaylen Brown, Jimmy Butler are posing for a picture: Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center. © Provided by CBS Sports

Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

The latest Celtics vs. Heat odds from William Hill list Boston as the three-point favorite. The over-under for total points expected is 207.5, up a point from the opening line. Before making any Heat vs. Celtics picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks this season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It's also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 4 predictions from model on 61-33 roll

  2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 4 predictions from model on 61-33 roll SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Wednesday's Celtics vs. Heat game 10,000 times.Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NBA odds from William Hill and trends for Heat vs. Celtics:

  • Celtics vs. Heat spread: Celtics -3
  • Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 207.5 points
  • Celtics vs. Heat money line: Celtics -160, Heat +140
  • BOS: The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MIA: The Heat are 9-1 against the spread in the last 10 games

Why the Celtics can cover

Though Boston has struggled at times in this series, the Celtics still have three star-level offensive creators to provide optimism. Tatum leads the way with 25.3 points and 10.0 rebounds per game in the playoffs, with Jaylen Brown adding 20.7 points and 7.3 rebounds per game and Kemba Walker providing 19.8 points and 5.2 assists per contest. Boston finished with the No. 4 offense in the NBA during the regular season, including top-six marks in turnover avoidance and offensive rebounding, and the Celtics are No. 4 in the postseason in free-throw generation.

2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 5 predictions from model on 61-33 roll

  2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 5 predictions from model on 61-33 roll SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Friday's Celtics vs. Heat game 10,000 times.Mar 4, 2020; Dallas, Texas, USA; New Orleans Pelicans guard Lonzo Ball (2) reacts after scoring during the second quarter against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center.

Defensively, Boston remains elite, boasting the No. 1 defense in the playoffs on a per-possession basis. The Celtics lead the playoffs in effective field-goal percentage allowed, including top in marks in field-goal percentage allowed (41.3 percent) and 3-point percentage allowed (31.7 percent). Boston does not have a traditionally dominant rim protector, but the Celtics also rank fourth in blocks per game (5.2) and they should be properly motivated in a must-win setting.

Why the Heat can cover

The Heat are led by a pair of stars in Butler and Bam Adebayo. Butler is averaging 20.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 2.3 steals per game in the postseason, with Adebayo adding 16.8 points, 11.0 rebounds and a team-leading 5.1 assists per game. However, Miami is also receiving star-like contributions from Goran Dragic, with the veteran guard averaging 22.2 points and 4.6 assists per game in the playoffs.

The Heat also rank in the top-three in both assist rate and assist-to-turnover ratio in the playoffs, with top-five marks in shooting efficiency and offensive rebounding. Defensively, Miami is also stellar, ranking fourth in steals per game, fourth in second-chance points allowed and fifth in defensive rebound rate in the playoffs.

Breaking down the most intriguing Lakers-Nuggets strategy entering Game 4

  Breaking down the most intriguing Lakers-Nuggets strategy entering Game 4 The Denver Nuggets will not go away. In Game 3 of the Western Conference finals against the Los Angeles Lakers (a couple nights after Anthony Davis hit a dagger of a buzzer-beating three-pointer to win Game 2), the Nuggets took an 18-point lead into the fourth quarter and stole a game. Nothing looks guaranteed for Read more The post Breaking down the most intriguing Lakers-Nuggets strategy entering Game 4 appeared first on The Comeback. Gallery: The Top 10 players of the 2020 playoffs (SMG)

How to make Celtics vs. Heat picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Tatum and Dragic both projected to outperform their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Celtics vs. Heat spread to jump on, all from the advanced computer model that is up over $5,000 on its top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.

Kevin Durant admits he chose to leave Warriors during season .
It’s one of the things rarely talked about around the NBA. Players recruiting other stars to join them while going up against said rivals during the season. It’s what ultimately led to Durant joining the Warriors.Add in the spat with Green, and that’s what led to his departure from the Warriors and the break up of the NBA’s most-recent dynasty. Durant now admits as much.Subscribe to Yardbarker's Morning Bark, the most comprehensive newsletter in sports. Customize your email to get the latest news on your favorite sports, teams and schools. Emailed daily.

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