Sport 2020 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. Heat odds, picks, Game 4 predictions from model on 61-33 roll
Comeback Heat do it again, rally past Celtics for 2-0 lead
LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. (AP) Down by 14 in Game 1, the Miami Heat found a way. © APWF Miami Heat guard Goran Dragic (7) celebrates after sinking a basket against the Boston Celtics during the second half of an NBA conference final playoff basketball game, Thursday, Sept. 17, 2020, in Lake Buena Vista, Fla. (AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill) Down by 17 in Game 2, they did it again Thursday night. And after making the Boston Celtics lose another big lead on the court - as well as their cool in the postgame locker room - the unheralded Heat are two wins away from the NBA Finals.
Theand the face off in a pivotal Game 4 matchup in the Eastern Conference Finals on Wednesday evening. The Celtics will look to duplicate their success from Game 3, with the Heat aiming to recapture their mojo from the first two games of the series. (wrist) is out for Boston, with (knee) listed as questionable for Miami.
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET in Orlando. William Hill lists the Celtics as three-point favorites, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 210.5 in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds. Before you make any Heat vs. Celtics picks, be sure to.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and it's already returned over $5,000 in profit on its top-ratedthis season. It entered the week on a blistering 61-33 run on top-rated NBA spread picks, returning almost $2,500 on those picks alone. It's also a sizzling 11-3 on top-rated picks since the NBA's restart in July. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Celtics top Heat 117-106, cut East finals deficit to 2-1
LAKE BUENA VISTA, Fla. (AP) Getting big leads has been relatively easy for the Boston Celtics in these Eastern Conference finals. This time, they also found a way to finish the job.And just like that, the East title series got a whole lot closer.Jaylen Brown scored 26 points, Jayson Tatum added 25 and the Celtics got right back into the East finals with a 117-106 victory over the Miami Heat in Game 3 on Saturday night. Kemba Walker added 21 to help Boston pull to 2-1 in the best-of-seven series. © APWF Miami Heat's Derrick Jones Jr.
Now, the model has set its sights on. You can . Here are the from William Hill and trends for Heat vs. Celtics:
- Celtics vs. Heat spread: Celtics -3
- Celtics vs. Heat over-under: 210.5 points
- Celtics vs. Heat money line: Celtics -155, Heat +135
- BOS: The Celtics are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
- MIA: The Heat are 8-2 against the spread in the last 10 games
Why the Celtics can cover
The Celtics are the best defensive team in the playoffs, including the No. 1 defensive rating in the league. Boston is allowing only 1.04 points per possession in the postseason, and Brad Stevens' team also leads the NBA in shooting efficiency allowed. The Celtics are versatile and athletic with the ability to contest shots, leading to league-leading marks in two-point percentage (41.2 percent) and three-point percentage (31.4 percentage) allowed in the playoffs.
Jayson Tatum's inspirational halftime speech spurs Celtics to victory
Tatum was the big scorer for the Celtics. He had 31 points, 10 rebounds and six assists. Tatum was sent to the line for 14 free throws and made 12 of them to help give Boston a boost. Game 6 of the series will be on Sunday with Miami leading 3-2. The Celtics seem to have gotten their chemistry in line after their issues following Game 2.Subscribe to Yardbarker's Morning Bark, the most comprehensive newsletter in sports. Customize your email to get the latest news on your favorite sports, teams and schools. Emailed daily.
Offensively, the Celtics are talented and multi-faceted, with four legitimate stars to carry the load. The return ofadds another dimension, with (25.3 points, 10.3 rebounds per game), (21.1 points, 7.3 rebounds) and (19.9 points, 4.9 assists) operating at a high level.
Why the Heat can cover
Miami is functioning at an impressive level on both ends of the floor. Offensively, the Heat rank fourth in the playoffs in points per possession at 1.127, with top-five marks in offensive rebounding, assist rate, assist-to-turnover ratio, true shooting percentage and free throw creation rate.and , both averaging more than 20 points per game in the playoffs, fuel the team's creation, with high-level shooters in , and .
Defensively, the Heat are well-coached, physical and talented, with the numbers to back up their aesthetics. Miami ranks fifth in defensive rebounding and fourth in shooting efficiency allowed during the postseason, all while allowing the fewest three-point attempts per game and limiting opponents to just 35.0 percent from long distance. The Heat also create havoc, generating 7.8 steals per game, andis one of the best defensive big men in the NBA, patrolling the paint with versatility and athleticism.
How to make Celtics vs. Heat picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, with Tatum and Dragic projected to exceed their season-long scoring averages. It also says one side of the spread has all the value..
So who wins Heat vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread has all the value?, and find out.
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