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Sport Saints vs. Packers odds, line: 2020 NFL picks, Sunday Night Football predictions from model on 101-67 run

23:20  27 september  2020
23:20  27 september  2020 Source:   cbssports.com

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The New Orleans Saints will be out to continue their recent dominance over the Green Bay Packers when the teams meet in a key NFC matchup on Sunday Night Football. The Saints have won the last two meetings with the Packers, including a 26-17 victory at Lambeau Field in 2017. New Orleans has also won the last three home matchups with Green Bay, including a 44-23 thrashing of the Packers in 2014, the last time they played in New Orleans. The Saints are averaging 43.3 points per game vs. Green Bay in their last three home games in the series.

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Kickoff from New Orleans is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. The Saints have allowed 28.5 points per game this season, while the Packers are allowing 27.5. The Saints are favored by three-points in the latest Packers vs. Saints odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 52. Before making any Packers vs. Saints picks, you need to see the latest Sunday Night Football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,300 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 5-2 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 3 on an incredible 101-67 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

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The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Packers vs. Saints. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds from William Hill and trends for Saints vs. Packers:

  • Saints vs. Packers spread: Saints -3
  • Saints vs. Packers over-under: 52 points
  • Saints vs. Packers money line: Packers +155, Saints -175
  • GB: LB Rashan Gary had a career-high 1.5 sacks against Detroit in Week 2
  • NO: Coach Sean Payton is 4-1 all-time vs. the Packers

Why the Saints can cover

New Orleans has an explosive weapon in tight end Jared Cook, a former Green Bay Packer. Cook is second on the Saints in receptions with seven for 93 yards (13.3 average) and one touchdown this season. He has one explosive play and has converted five first downs. In 2016, Cook had 30 catches for 377 yards and a touchdown for the Packers. He has three TD receptions in his past four home games.

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With Michael Thomas (ankle) out of the lineup, the Saints will turn to wide receiver Tre'Quan Smith, who is third on the team in receptions with six for 90 yards (15.0 average). He has two explosive plays of 20 or more yards and has converted four first downs. Last week against the Raiders, Smith had five catches for 86 yards, the third game of his career with five or more catches. For his career, Smith has 52 receptions for 751 yards and 10 TDs.

Why the Packers can cover

Green Bay has started the season on fire. Quarterback Aaron Rodgers passed for two touchdowns and had a rating of 107.6 in Week 2 against the Lions. He is looking for his third straight road game passing for 300-plus yards and throwing two or more TDs. Rodgers has 1,049 yards passing (349.7 per game) and nine total touchdowns against three interceptions for a 114.7 rating in his past three games against New Orleans.

Running back Aaron Jones continues to be a spark, as he piled up a career-high 236 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns against the Lions. He is one of four backs with 30-plus scrimmage touchdowns (32) since 2018. In the last meeting against New Orleans, he had 131 yards rushing and a rushing TD.

Sunday Night Football odds, line: Packers vs. Saints picks, predictions from expert who's 44-9

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How to make Packers vs. Saints picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over the total. In fact, it says Rodgers and Brees will combine to throw four touchdowns. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Saints vs. Packers on Sunday Night Football? And which side of the spread hits more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Saints spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,300 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.

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