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Sport Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State odds: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 25-13 run

17:15  22 october  2020
17:15  22 october  2020 Source:   cbssports.com

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The Appalachian State Mountaineers finally get back to work after nearly a month off when they host the Arkansas State Red Wolves in a Sun Belt matchup on Thursday night. The Mountaineers (2-1, 0-0) had two games postponed after the coronavirus hit the program, and the team was without several key players in its 52-21 victory against Campbell on Sept. 26. Appalachian State comes in with the nation's fifth-best rushing attack, while the Red Wolves (3-2, 1-1) counter with the third-best passing game.

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Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kidd Brewer Stadium in Boone, N.C. William Hill has the Mountaineers listed as 13.5-point favorites in its latest Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State odds, with the over-under for total points scored set at 67. Before making any Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

Arkansas State vs. Georgia State odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 23-6 run

  Arkansas State vs. Georgia State odds, line: 2020 college football picks, predictions from model on 23-6 run SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated Georgia State vs. Arkansas State 10,000 times.The game is slated to start at 7:30 p.m. ET from Centennial Bank Stadium in Jonesboro, Ark. Georgia State is 12th in the nation in rushing yards per game at 235.0, while Arkansas State is 14th nationally in passing yards per game at 326.0. The Red Wolves are favored by 3.5 points in the latest Arkansas State vs. Georgia State odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 73. Before making any Georgia State vs. Arkansas State picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 25-13 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $700 in profit already. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on App State vs. Arkansas State. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds from William Hill and trends for Arkansas State vs. App State:

  • Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State spread: Mountaineers -13.5
  • Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State over-under: 67
  • Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State money line: Red Wolves +400, Mountaineers -500
  • Arkansas State: WR Jonathan Adams has six catches or more in all five games.
  • Appalachian State: WR Thomas Hennigan has a reception of at least 35 yards in all three games.

Why Appalachian State can cover


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Appalachian State is 4-1 against the spread in its last five home games against a team with a winning road record, and the Mountaineers are rushing for nearly 270 yards per game. Marcus Williams (8.4 yards per carry) and Camerun Peoples (6.4) missed the last game while in coronavirus quarantine, and Daetrich Harrington and Nate Noel stepped up in a huge way. Harrington ran for 211 yards and four TDs, while Noel had 131 yards in his first college action.

The Mountaineers face a Red Wolves team that is 5-11 ATS in its past 16 against teams with a winning record, and ASU has a clear edge on defense. The Mountaineers allow 19.3 points per game (16th in the nation) and are seventh in passing, allowing 163.7 yards. The unit has four sacks and three interceptions and is led by defensive backs Shemar Jean-Charles (eight passes defended), Shaun Jolly (five INTs in 2019) and Kaiden Smith (20 tackles, interception).

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Why Arkansas State can cover

Arkansas State is 3-1 against the spread in its last four as a road underdog, and the Red Wolves have two top-notch quarterbacks who share time. Logan Bonner topped 1,000 yards and had 10 TD passes through four games last season before needing thumb surgery. Freshman Layne Hatcher came on and threw for almost 3,000 yards and 27 TDs. They have combined for 1,834 yards and 21 scores through five games while platooning.

The Red Wolves are 8-5 ATS with the rest disadvantage since 2017, and the offense has talent beyond just the quarterbacks. Running back Jamal Jones has rushed for 253 yards, and the unit has two top-notch receivers. Jonathan Adams is sixth in the nation with 539 receiving yards and has scored seven times, while Dahu Green ranks 17th with 419 yards and has five TDs. The defense gives up big yardage, but it has forced eight turnovers and has recorded seven sacks.

How to make Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the model suggesting the teams will combine for fewer than 60 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas State vs. Appalachian State? And which side of the spread hits over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Appalachian State vs. Arkansas State spread to back, all from the advanced model that is up over $4,100 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.

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