•   
  •   
  •   

Sport The electoral map of football, 2020 edition: is the United States more of an NFL or College Football country?

07:10  30 october  2020
07:10  30 october  2020 Source:   thecomeback.com

College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Alabama, Iowa State

  College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Alabama, Iowa State SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 25-13 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $700 in profit already. Anybody who has followed it is way up. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 8 from William Hill and locked in picks for every FBS matchup.

For those new to this concept, the electoral map of football is my best attempt to determine if a state is more of a college football or NFL state based on The reality is that areas like the Bay Area, San Diego, and Sacramento will never be college football areas. Los Angeles now has two NFL teams

The map from Election Data Services finds that 10 different states are likely to lose one House seat, and therefore one electoral vote, in the next congressional reapportionment. Add all those pluses and minuses up and you get a net gain of one for the GOP in the Electoral College .

Four years ago, the NFL won a close election (293-to-245) against college football in my first electoral map of football. For those new to this concept, the electoral map of football is my best attempt to determine if a state is more of a college football or NFL state based on my understanding of the residents and their fandom, a lot of which is based on feedback I get from Twitter- as well as plain common sense.

map © Provided by The Comeback

This concept was born out of my frustration of being a California resident vastly outnumbered by NFL fans in my social circle who had absolutely no interest in college football, and thought it was weird I preferred college football to the NFL. But like so many things, our preferences are often determined by where we grew up, where we live now, and where we went to school. We often don’t realize that if we don’t spend time out of our own bubbles. With that in mind, let’s get started with the final map below.

The Electoral College can pick a president who got less votes. Here's why and how.

  The Electoral College can pick a president who got less votes. Here's why and how. The 2020 presidential election again highlights one of the most confusing and controversial parts of the U.S. elections: The Electoral College.It's the system that, four years ago, made Donald Trump president even though Hillary Clinton won the popular vote handily.

All Football . It will be the 59th US presidential election , and comes after a turbulent few months for the nation with the coronavirus pandemic and George Floyd protests sweeping the country .

Football . Tennis. It simply means that he is in a more difficult place than he was before, in part because Democrats have united behind a consensus candidate who has potentially broad appeal." "Biden starts with a slight lead in the Electoral College math. Right now, 232 electoral votes sit in

map © Provided by The Comeback

Solid NFL: 190 Votes

States that are solid NFL, and by a very significant, reliable, and sizable margin.

California (55) A lot of moving parts here, with the Raiders moving out of state and the Chargers moving north. Yes, the state has four Pac-12 teams (all four of which have plenty of empty seats on most weeks), but generally speaking, those four programs are significantly overshadowed in their home markets by not only NFL teams, but also NBA and MLB teams.

The reality is that areas like the Bay Area, San Diego, and Sacramento will never be college football areas. Los Angeles now has two NFL teams, and while that NFL fandom will take some time to grow, UCLA and USC haven’t done much to put a dent in the state’s overall NFL lean down in the L.A. area. The country’s biggest electoral map prize is a safe NFL state and will continue to be.

Opinion: Republicans were against the Electoral College before they were for it

  Opinion: Republicans were against the Electoral College before they were for it Robert Alexander writes that from Nixon to Ford to Trump himself, Republicans have at times favored a direct popular vote. Although Republicans are largely supportive of it today, electoral history suggests that views of the institution change depending on electoral outcomes -- if the outcome serves your interest, then all is well; when it doesn't, then we see major problems. I suspect that had just over 2% of voters in Ohio changed their minds in 2004, from George W. Bush to John Kerry, Democrats and Republicans would have had very different views of the Electoral College.

I believe that the only difference between us and the wildlings is that when that Wall went up, our ancestors happened to live on the right side of it. As someone who lives out here in that desert, I completely agree. Driving at night through the desert for any decent stretch of time is a good way to

The 99th NFL season has officially begun and fans across the United States are ready for another year In the continental United States , the Seahawks cover much of the expansive Pacific Northwest, including Fandom can be fickle, and when it comes to the most popular sport in the country , NFL

New York (29) – The Jets are trash. The Giants are trash. Still, New York City has the biggest concentration of NFL fans in the country. Add in the Bills’ resurgence of late, and the already massive lead from New York City widens further even when adding in Syracuse’s fanbase. There just isn’t a world where New York would ever be a college football state.

Illinois (20) – The Bears are a top-five NFL team in terms of following and brand. Illinois and Northwestern just don’t move the needle enough to really make this state in play for college football.

New Jersey (14) – Two NFL teams play in New Jersey, and the Eagles play right across the New Jersey border. Meanwhile, Rutgers is Rutgers and will always be Rutgers. There might not be a state as blue as New Jersey.

Massachusetts (11) – Tom Brady has left, and the Patriots look like they might not reign over the division, let alone the conference and NFL like they have the past twenty years. That said, any drop in Patriots fandom comes after two decades of growth to feverish levels. More importantly, there isn’t much to point to in terms of  any college football fandom in the state (sorry UMass).

As Trump, Biden hammer at swing states, advocates work to dismantle Electoral College

  As Trump, Biden hammer at swing states, advocates work to dismantle Electoral College Activists say adopting a national popular vote would force campaigns to broaden their outreach, while critics say it gives cities too much power.Now, a long-running effort to make the nation's presidential election a "one person, one vote" system is gaining favor among partisan Democrats still angry that Trump won the 2016 presidency despite losing the popular vote by more than 2.8 million votes.

The following are the scheduled events of association football (soccer) for the year 2020 throughout the world. Numerous association football competitions were either postponed or cancelled during the

The 2020 –21 season is the 141st season of competitive association football in England. Updated to match(es) played on 14 October 2020 .

Maryland (10) – Lamar Jackson has Ravens fans thinking Super Bowl in the near future. While Maryland did beat Texas twice, I think most would agree that Maryland is a basketball school that will largely struggle to find much relevance given their annual schedule includes Penn State, Ohio State, and Michigan.

Colorado (9) – Colorado and Colorado State do have some surprising followings after a modest amount of success the past few decades. The Broncos’ revolving door of quarterbacks since Peyton Manning retired hasn’t helped, but still the Broncos are one of the bigger NFL brands and the state’s most popular team by a huge margin.

a group of people in front of a crowd: Oct 17, 2019; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos fans in the first quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports © Provided by The Comeback Oct 17, 2019; Denver, CO, USA; Denver Broncos fans in the first quarter against the Kansas City Chiefs at Empower Field at Mile High. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

Connecticut (7) – There’s no NFL team in Connecticut, but a few not that far away. UConn is a basketball school with the football team stuck at the bottom of the FBS. Despite no NFL team, there are plenty of NFL fans that make Connecticut a safe blue state.

Tua Tagovailoa has surprising comment about first hit he took

  Tua Tagovailoa has surprising comment about first hit he took On just his second snap of the game, Tagovailoa was sacked by star defensive lineman Aaron Donald and fumbled the ball away. The Rams promptly scored four plays later. Aaron Donald is a monster @AaronDonald97 @RamsNFL #LARvsMIA on FOX pic.twitter.com/008sKcNlY8 — The Checkdown (@thecheckdown) November 1, 2020 In spite of that, Tagovailoa indicated that he actually enjoyed taking the hit. “I don’t know who it was that took me off my feet and body-slammed me,” Tagovailoa said, via Cameron Wolfe of ESPN. “I’m not going to lie, I did enjoy getting hit that first time.

I'm rewriting this and all of my other election pages, so I apologise if this looks messy. Also, this is not what I think will happen, it is only designed to be interesting. The United States presidential election of 2020 was the 59th quadrennial American presidential election , held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020 .

College football is gridiron football consisting of American football played by teams of student athletes fielded by American universities, colleges , and military academies, or Canadian football played by teams of student athletes fielded by Canadian universities.

Nevada (6) – Nevada was already a safe blue state before the Raiders got there. Two pretty meh college football teams don’t move the needle that much compared to the amount of interest the NFL generates in the betting capital of the world. As the Raiders become more rooted in the state, you might see Nevada become the most blue state there is.

New Mexico (5) – A couple of FBS college football teams in the state, but they’re largely afterthoughts. Like many states, the NFL’s national popularity is enough in a lot of these smaller states despite not having a team in them, especially those without any significant college football followings.

Maine (4) – The northeast is solidly NFL without any major college program to win over fans. Maine fits in this bucket.

New Hampshire (4) – See above. No major college program or NFL team, but proximity to the Patriots. Solidly blue.

Rhode Island (4) – The Northeast rule applies here. I’ve still yet to meet anyone from Rhode Island and question if it’s just made up.

Alaska (3) – The NFL carries another state by default where there’s no real rooting interest in the state either way.

Delaware (3) – You’d be surprised that Delaware and Delaware Stare have some considerable fanbases for not being D1 bowl division (this will come into play a lot more as you read this). But there are 3 NFL teams within about an hour drive of the state, making it blue.

The Electoral College, explained

  The Electoral College, explained The bizarre, patchwork, Frankenstein’s monster of a system Americans use to choose their president.But he still has a somewhat better shot of winning anyway, the same way he did last time: through the magic of the Electoral College.

District of Columbia (3) – The popularity of the organization now known as the Washington Football Team has cratered considerably, but that doesn’t change much here. D.C. is a heavy pro sports area, and that’s especially true for the NFL, although a lot of transplants certainly give college football some following here. Despite Dan Snyder’s best attempt, D.C. remains an NFL state.

Vermont (3) – Same northeast rule as the other states in that corner of the country. No major college program and a lot of Patriots fans.

Likely NFL: 59 votes

States that are firmly NFL, but not at margins that make it impossible to move into the lean category at some point in time- but could also easily move to solid states.

Pennsylvania (20) – Pennsylvania lands here despite a similar setup to Ohio, with two NFL teams on opposite sides of the state and one very popular college football team in the middle. The big difference in Pennsylvania is that the NFL playoffs almost always feature one or both of the teams. Additionally, Ohio State doesn’t lose to Indiana. The Steelers and the Eagles are two of the NFL’s blue-chip brands with decades of history that have endeared them to fans across the state. Temple and Pittsburgh give college football enough of a boost to move the state out of the solid bucket, but it’s still a very solid NFL state.

Washington (12) – There have been some interesting years recently in which Washington and Washington State have both been ranked and contenders for the Pac-12. However, Pete Carroll has reliably had the Seahawks in the playoffs and Russell Wilson is one of the NFL’s biggest stars. There’s some path to Washington becoming more of a swing state or even flipping entirely. But we’re not close to that at all, with recent coaching changes at Washington and Washington State, and with the Seahawks being one of the most exciting teams to watch in the league right now.

2020 Latest: Trump team says it's suing to stop Pa. count

  2020 Latest: Trump team says it's suing to stop Pa. count WASHINGTON — The Latest on the presidential campaign (all times local): 3:35 p.m. President Donald Trump’s campaign says it’s suing to temporarily stop the vote count in Pennsylvania, claiming lack of “transparency.” Justin Clark, Trump’s deputy campaign manager, said in a statement Wednesday that the campaign is “suing to stop Democrat election officials from hiding the ballot counting and processing from our Republican poll observers.” He said the campaign wants “to temporarily halt counting until there is meaningful transparency and Republicans can ensure all counting is done above board and by the law.

a crowd of people in front of a building © Provided by The Comeback

Kansas (6) – Kansas State has a pretty devout fanbase. Kansas does as well, but for basketball- and Les Miles hasn’t done much to get KU basketball fans to equally embrace the football team. Meanwhile, the Chiefs — who straddle Missouri and Kansas — are Super Bowl champs, and look to chase down a few more championships with Patrick Mahomes inked to a long-term deal. Kansas is an NFL state with just enough college fans — that include other Big 12 schools and Nebraska — to squeak into this category vs. being a solid NFL state.

Arizona (11) – The Cardinals were so bad the first half of my life that I suspect there were presidential years that had Arizona as a college football state, especially during some of Arizona State’s better stretches. Arizona is a basketball school, who while capable of an occasional football upset, rarely makes any national noise. Meanwhile, the Cardinals seem to be on their way with Kyler Murray, and thus this state remains out of play for college football.


Gallery: Michigan football 2020 schedule superlatives (SMG)

a group of baseball players standing on top of a dirt field: At Rutgers - Nov. 21 Sorry Rutgers, you're still the bottom of the barrel in the Big Ten.  Though Greg Schiano has proven that he can win games in Piscataway, he hasn't had the pleasure of trying to do so against Big Ten competition. However, he does know the lay of the land, having spent several years as Ohio State's co-defensive coordinator under Urban Meyer.  Rutgers has some talent, which it tends to get via transfer more than by recruiting. However, with continued quarterback issues and what's been a porous run defense -- last in the conference -- it doesn't figure to get much better here.  The Scarlet Knights will be severely overmatched in this one, even if Michigan will be facing down two former players when its on offense in this one in LB Drew Singleton and DT Michael Dwumfour.

Minnesota (10) – The Gophers have a solid following spanning football, basketball, and even hockey. That said, the Vikings are the most popular team in the state by a huge margin and are regularly in the playoffs. If there was another Power Five school in the state, perhaps Minnesota would be more of a toss-up.

Lean NFL: 35 votes

States that are competitive, but for now are NFL states.

Indiana (11) – Indiana remains one of the toughest states to call. Notre Dame, Purdue, and IU give it some college football juice for sure, but a lot of that is equaled by the Colts. What pushes this into the NFL category for me is the fact (besides Indiana and Purdue’s meh success on the football field) that the state has a pretty significant amount of Bears fans. Should Notre Dame win a championship, the Colts enter into a decade of awfulness, or Purdue regularly ends up in conference championship games, we could see this flipping. But for now, it’s just not there.

Fact check: State legislators pick electors; Supreme Court ruled against 'faithless electors'

  Fact check: State legislators pick electors; Supreme Court ruled against 'faithless electors' Thirty-two states adopted laws requiring electors to vote as pledged. The Supreme Court ruled in favor of these laws in July. Our fact-check sources: USA TODAY, Nov. 4: "Here's what faithless electors are and what they could mean for the outcome of the presidential election" USA TODAY, July 6: "Supreme Court rules presidential electors can be forced to uphold popular vote" FairVote, accessed Nov. 7: "Faithless Electors" National Constitution Center, accessed Nov. 7: "Common Interpretation: Article II, Section 1, Clauses 2 and 3" The Washington Post, Jan.

graphical user interface, text, application © Provided by The Comeback graphical user interface, text, application © Provided by The Comeback

Wisconsin (10) – The Packers have had great QB play for 25+ years and a couple Super Bowls, and historically Green Bay is one of the NFL’s best teams. That said, UW really represents the soul of the state, and is the more popular team in a large part of the state. I’d be very tempted to make Wisconsin red if there were another college team or two in the state, but the Packers to go with some Bears fans in the state make it blue for now.

Missouri (10) – With the Rams leaving, this state was in good position to become a college football state. However, I think Missouri’s Big 12 departure and subsequent SEC struggles have really crushed the state’s chances of flipping. That, and the fact that the Chiefs play in Missouri and have a plausible path to becoming a dynasty, swings this into the NFL category for now.

Hawaii (4) – Hawaii has had moments as a football program that would have swung into the college football side of the ledger, but those days are long gone. Without a program regularly making noise, it’s hard to overcome the NFL’s stature that just has a higher floor of fandom in states without much of a specific rooting interest in either direction.

Solid college football: 92 votes

States that are solid college by a very significant, reliable, and sizable margin

Tennessee (11) – I’m already having second thoughts on putting this in the solid bucket. The Titans are still fairly new to the the state compared to other NFL franchises. It’s not hard to see this as a swing state in a decade, especially if we see the Titans in the playoffs more regularly. All that said, despite a decade-plus of struggles, UT is still the state’s biggest rooting interest. Throw in a second SEC team in Vanderbilt, as well a good amount of fans other SEC teams in the state, and you have a pretty significant margin of college football fans here. But it’s one to keep an eye on.

Alabama (9) – Potentially the reddest state on the map, with Alabama and Auburn, and no NFL team. No need to explain any further.

South Carolina (9) – See above for Alabama. No NFL team and two Power Five schools, with one of them a perennial national contender. A very dark red state.

Kentucky (8) – I was a little tempted to put this in the likely college football bucket given the Bengals are right across the river. Kentucky has shown signs of life over the last decade, and Louisville seems to make a splash every few years. Until the Bengals are not the Bengals, Kentucky will remain a pretty red state.

Oklahoma (7) – Similar to Alabama with two contenders and no NFL team. One of the reddest states on the map.

a group of people standing in front of a crowd © Provided by The Comeback

Oregon (7) – You find a decent amount of 49ers and Seahawks fans here, but with Oregon State and especially Oregon, the state is definitely firmly a college football state.

Arkansas (6) – Arkansas has fallen considerably the last four years, but this is SEC country and that means college football rules. Without an NFL team, it’s a very red state no matter how bad the Razorbacks are.

Iowa (6) – No NFL team, although a decent amount of Bears, Packers, and Vikings fans exist in the state. That said, the Hawkeyes are the state’s biggest fan base by far, and the Cyclones certainly help the cause in making this a very red state.

Mississippi (6) – Two SEC teams and no NFL teams makes this a a very easy call.

Utah (6) – BYU and Utah are both underrated fan bases and programs in general, with Utah State being no slouch either. No NFL team to compete with, and Utah is solidly red.

Nebraska (5) – Another contender for most red state, although it’s been quite a while since the Cornhuskers were a national contender. Not much to explain here.

West Virginia (5) – The Mountaineers are everything to West Virginia, and let’s not forget Marshall. Despite both programs’ nominal success of late, this is a state that has no path to flipping.

Idaho (4) – Boise State isn’t the national power they once were. but the Broncos are annually in the top-25 mix. You also have the University of Idaho. Given how few people there are in Idaho, and how popular Boise State is, this is a solid red state.

North Dakota (3) – North Dakota and North Dakota State are both good programs at their level, with North Dakota State achieving dynasty status. They put butts in the seats, and while I imagine a lot of these fans are rooting for the Eagles now because of Carson Wentz, it’s hard to imagine that there are enough NFL fans to overcome the local success of these smaller college programs.

Likely college football: 93 votes

States that are firmly college, but not at margins that make it impossible to move into the lean category at some point in time- but could also easily move to solid states.

Florida (29) – Probably right on the fringe of moving into the lean category. Yes, Florida has three NFL teams in the Jaguars, Dolphins, and Buccaneers. But I’d argue that Florida and Florida State have larger fan bases than at least two, and perhaps all three of those NFL teams. While the Buccaneers are an NFL darling right now with Tom Brady, in most years over the last decade none of these teams have actually made the playoffs. Meanwhile Florida, Florida State, Miami, and even UCF have jumped into the top-10 at certain points of time. Throw in USF, and Florida has a pretty unrivaled buffet of college football rooting interests, while the NFL franchises mostly rotate trying to find a QB savior in the draft.

Ohio (18) – I was close to putting Ohio in the solid category, but there’s probably a thin path for the state to one day be a NFL state. The reality is that the Browns and Bengals are mostly allergic to the playoffs, and Ohio State is by far the biggest ratings driver in college football the last two decades. Even if the Browns and Bengals suddenly became the Ravens and the Steelers, Ohio State’s grip on the state is pretty firm. Throw in six MAC schools, as well as a very good Cincinnati program (and hell, even Youngstown State), and you have a lot of pockets of really engaged college football fans.

a group of people wearing costumes © Provided by The Comeback

Michigan (16) – Even with Michigan State trending downwards, the state’s biggest fan base might be Michigan. Throw in a smattering MAC schools, and you have a pretty sizable college football fan advantage- especially with the Lions placed at the bottom of the NFC North for much of the last few years.

Georgia (16) – The Bulldogs being a top-10 program, along with the Falcons’ constant collapses, means UG has more fans than the Falcons in the state. Georgia Tech hasn’t been great, but another Power Five team puts Georgia into the likely category, and not a lean college football.

Louisiana (8) – Very tempted to put this in the lean category, especially with the Saints’ recent success. However, LSU is coming off their National Championship and are by far the biggest rooting interest in the state, and especially outside of New Orleans. The door is open for this to flip one day, but certainly not while LSU is a top-10 program.

Montana (3) – One of my flips from 2016. University of Montana has enough of a following despite not being an FBS school to get it on the college football side of the fence, and with a little margin to spare.

South Dakota (3) – I feel like I heard from the whole damn state in 2016 when I put them down as an NFL state, but made North Dakota a college state. What I’ve learned is that the South Dakota State Jackrabbits are a D1 subdivision powerhouse with a sizable following (for South Dakota at least). You also have the South Dakota Coyotes. So there ya go.

Lean college football: 93 votes

States that are competitive, but for now are college football states.

Texas (38) – You can actually argue Texas is neither and it’s actually a high school football state, but we won’t go there. The Cowboys are the state’s biggest fan base, and there’s another NFL franchise in the Texans, though both have struggled to make much hay in the playoffs. That said, the sheer volume of D1 schools makes this a red state on our map. While Texas, A&M, and Texas Tech haven’t exactly made much noise of late on the national scene, they’re three very sizable and engaged fan bases. Add in programs like TCU, Baylor, and Houston and this state is red… for now.

graphical user interface, text, application © Provided by The Comeback

North Carolina (15) – One of the hardest ones to call, and one of my flips from last time. My initial read was to make it a lean NFL call with the Panthers in mind. While NC State, Wake Forest, Duke, and UNC are all primarily basketball schools, the sheer amount of Power Five programs in the state wipe out the Panthers’ advantage. UNC ascending a bit under Mack Brown, the Panthers rebuilding, and throwing in a sturdy Appalachian State program gives college football a slight edge. The state also seems to be accruing a growing Clemson contingency, which adds slightly to the close 2016 margin.

Virginia (13) –

graphical user interface, text, application © Provided by The Comeback

Another very tough one to call, and one of our flips from four years ago. While Virginia has improved a bit, Virginia Tech hasn’t reclaimed its former stature. That said, the Washington Football Team’s struggles — both on and off the field — have really undercut the state’s NFL leaning to the point it’s flipped. Another thing to consider- the apparently rabid James Madison fans (who knew?). Virginia seems like they’re going to be right on the fence every four years.

Wyoming (3) – While at first glance you’d think this should go along with South Dakota and Montana as states with some college football fandom and no NFL team, I’m told that there are an awful lot of Broncos fans in the state- and hence it’s a bit closer, especially when Wyoming is struggling and the Broncos are good. For now, we’ll keep them here.

And that’s it folks. What do you agree and disagree with? Any predictions for 2024?

The post The electoral map of football, 2020 edition: is the United States more of an NFL or College Football country? appeared first on The Comeback.

Fact check: State legislators pick electors; Supreme Court ruled against 'faithless electors' .
Thirty-two states adopted laws requiring electors to vote as pledged. The Supreme Court ruled in favor of these laws in July. Our fact-check sources: USA TODAY, Nov. 4: "Here's what faithless electors are and what they could mean for the outcome of the presidential election" USA TODAY, July 6: "Supreme Court rules presidential electors can be forced to uphold popular vote" FairVote, accessed Nov. 7: "Faithless Electors" National Constitution Center, accessed Nov. 7: "Common Interpretation: Article II, Section 1, Clauses 2 and 3" The Washington Post, Jan.

usr: 1
This is interesting!