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Sport 2021 Kentucky Derby horses, predictions, odds: Expert who nailed Derby prep races shares bets, picks

18:25  25 april  2021
18:25  25 april  2021 Source:   cbssports.com

Get to know the trainers who will have horses running in the 2021 Kentucky Derby

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Brad Cox can become the first Louisville-born trainer to win the Kentucky Derby when he sends out three horses, including the favorite Essential Quality, in the 2021 Kentucky Derby on Saturday, May 1. The 41-year-old Cox grew up two blocks from Churchill Downs and attended Iroquois High School. The Kentucky Derby 2021 will mark the first time he has had a horse in the Run for the Roses. Essential Quality is the 5-2 favorite in the latest 2021 Kentucky Derby odds. Cox also saddles Risen Star Stakes winner Mandaloun (15-1) and expected pacesetter Caddo River (30-1) among the 2021 Kentucky Derby horses.

a group of people riding on the back of a horse with Churchill Downs in the background © Provided by CBS Sports

Post time for the Kentucky Derby 2021 is set for 6:57 p.m. ET. With a talented 20-horse field entering the starting gate, you'll want to see what racing insider Bob Weir has to say before making any 2021 Kentucky Derby picks.

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Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.

Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.

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Last year, his first for SportsLine, Weir was on fire. On June 13, Weir hit a $2 superfecta in the Ogden Phipps Stakes that paid a whopping $1,039. He crushed the exacta and trifecta in the Forego Stakes in August for $1,134.50. He hit the late Pick 4 at Belmont Park on June 18, June 19, June 25, July 2 and July 5, with the June 25 score returning a whopping $2,159.50.

This year, he has dominated the 2021 Kentucky Derby prep races, hitting the exacta in the Sam F. Davis Stakes and Tampa Bay Derby and the trifecta in the Risen Star Stakes and Blue Grass Stakes. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Weir has handicapped the 2021 Kentucky Derby horses, made his picks and constructed his bets. You can only see them here.

Top 2021 Kentucky Derby predictions

One shocker: Weir is fading Highly Motivated, even though he is coming off a second-place finish in the Blue Grass Stakes and has never finished off the board in his career. A son of Into Mischief, Highly Motivated is looking for his third career win. In two starts this year, he has a second- and a third-place finish.

Bob Baffert may be selling Medina Spirit short, but here's why you shouldn't

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But there are serious questions whether Highly Motivated will excel at the 2021 Kentucky Derby distance of 1 1/4 miles. The Blue Grass was his first race around two turns, and Weir is not certain whether he will be able to pass horses as the races get longer. "Highly Motivated took advantage of a pace-less field and was run down late," Weir told SportsLine. "I think that was the day for Highly Motivated."

Another curveball: Weir is high on Soup and Sandwich, a massive 30-1 long shot in the Kentucky Derby odds 2021. A son of Into Mischief, Soup and Sandwich has two wins and one second in three career starts. He is coming off a runner-up finish to Known Agenda in the Florida Derby.

Soup and Sandwich is trained by Mark Casse, who won the 2019 Preakness Stakes with War of Will. "Moving forward into the Kentucky Derby is a lot to ask, but I'm going to trust Casse on this one," Weir said.

How to make 2021 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Weir is also high on an underrated horse who has been training well at Churchill Downs. He's also high on a colossal long shot that would net any backer an epic payday. He's sharing which horses to back only at SportsLine.

Kentucky Derby betting preview: Essential Quality will be tough to beat

  Kentucky Derby betting preview: Essential Quality will be tough to beat Classrooms have begun to fill, the echo of cheers and jeers is in the air at stadiums again, and the Kentucky Derby has returned to the first weekend in May, reclaiming its mantle as the kick-off leg of the Triple Crown series. Chief among the field of runners is morning line betting favorite No. 14 Essential Quality (2-1). Essential Quality comes into the Derby with five wins in five career starts. With that said, he’ll be up against quite a few other foes that possess a similar skill set in No. 15 Rock Your World (6-1), No. 9 Hot Rod Charlie (8-1), and No. 17 Highly Motivated (15-1), to name a few. Typically, these types of runners shape the race.

So who wins the Kentucky Derby 2021? And which epic long shot is a must-back? Check out the latest Kentucky Derby odds 2021 below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Kentucky Derby.

2021 Kentucky Derby horses, odds

HorseOdds
Essential Quality5-2
Hot Rod Charlie6-1
Medina Spirit8-1
Rock Your World8-1
Known Agenda12-1
Highly Motivated15-1
Mandaloun15-1
Midnight Bourbon15-1
Super Stock20-1
Bourbonic30-1
Caddo River30-1
Dynamic One30-1
Soup and Sandwich30-1
Helium50-1
Hidden Stash50-1
Like the King50-1
Sainthood50-1

2021 Preakness Stakes odds, Medina Spirit predictions: Expert who nailed 9 winners releases picks .
Jody Demling has called the winners of the Preakness Stakes nine times in the past 16 yearsJockey Kent Desormeaux urges Silver Tree past Giant Wrecker for a win by a neck in the Oceanport Stakes at Monmouth Park in West Long Branch, New Jersey on Haskell Invitational Day. Silver Tree clipped .36 seconds off the track record previously held by Giant Wrecker for the 1 1/16 miles course.

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