•   
  •   
  •   

Sport UFC Fight Night: Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann - MMA Betting & DFS Preview

17:40  18 september  2021
17:40  18 september  2021 Source:   si.com

UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till odds, predictions: MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks

  UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till odds, predictions: MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks Ian Parker went 58-14 on MMA picks and just locked in his Darren Till vs. Derek Brunson predictionsTill is a -160 favorite (risk $160 to win $100), while Brunson is a +140 underdog in the latest Brunson vs. Till odds from Caesars Sportsbook. In the co-main event, ranked heavyweights take the stage as No. 13-ranked Tom Aspinall is the -250 favorite in the UFC Fight Night odds against No. 14-ranked Sergey Spivak (+200). Before making any UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till picks, make sure you see the expert MMA predictions from SportsLine analyst Ian Parker.

A light heavyweight bout featuring two of the division's veterans headlines this event's main card

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann

#UFCVegas37 MMA Betting Preview

The UFC is back this Saturday and has loaded up a 14-match card for fight fans, headlined by #6 light heavyweight Anthony Smith taking on #11 Ryan Spann. A big victory catapults the winner that much closer to a title shot.

The co-main features Ion Cutelaba vs. Devin Clark in a fight that should be fireworks out of the gates. A monster card overall, featuring 14 fights in total, will kick off at 4 p.m. ET with the prelims, followed by the six-fight main card at 7 p.m. ET. The entire event will be live on ESPN+.

NFL DFS for Cowboys vs. Buccaneers, Week 1: Best DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy football picks, top stacks

  NFL DFS for Cowboys vs. Buccaneers, Week 1: Best DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy football picks, top stacks DFS millionaire Mike McClure shares his NFL DFS picks for the Buccaneers vs. Cowboys 2021 NFL Kickoff GameEzekiel Elliott and Leonard Fournette were No. 4 overall picks in back-to-back drafts, although their careers have diverged since then. Elliott quickly established himself as one of the league's top backs and one of the most-coveted NFL DFS picks on a weekly basis. Fournette flamed out in Jacksonville before reviving his career in Tampa and winning a Super Bowl before Elliott even got to play in one. They will be the primary ball-carriers in Cowboys vs.

EVENT DETAILS

  • DATE: SATURDAY 09/18/21
  • BROADCAST: ESPN+
  • VENUE: UFC APEX
  • LOCATION: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • # of MATCHES: 14

MAIN CARD HOT TAKES, PREDICTIONS & BETS

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT BOUT (205 LBS): #6 ANTHONY SMITH (35-16) VS #11 RYAN SPANN (19-6)

After headlining seven fight cards in a row, Anthony Smith took a back seat at UFC 261 to headliners Usman and Masvidal but came out victorious over Jimmy Crute via TKO in round 1. This week, he jumps back into his usual main event slot and takes on the ever-dangerous Ryan Spann, which lines up two top 15 light heavyweights with above-average grappling bases. For Smith, he makes the walk for his 52nd time, and at just 33 years young, he’s absorbed a ton of damage along the way and has given his fair share as well, finishing 32 of his 35 wins inside the distance. Smith is dangerous on the feet and can slip you into various submissions at any given point of a fight. Smith usually gets the fight going early and has only gone into the championship rounds on three occasions, win or lose.

UFC Vegas 37: Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann card, start time, channel guide

  UFC Vegas 37: Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann card, start time, channel guide UFC Vegas 37: Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann fight card, start time, channel guide. UFC Vegas 37 is set to go down on Saturday, Sept. 18, 2021, starting at 4:00 p.m. ET. The main card and preliminary card will both be shown exclusively on ESPN+. In the headliner, ranked light heavyweights Anthony S mith and Ryan Spann are set for war. Both fighters have had their ups and downs in the UFC, but a win here will surely set them up for success moving forward. Smith comes into this fight on a two-win streak after beating Jimmy Crute and Devin Clark. Although Smith is not a gatekeeper, his ability to shut down the up-and-comers has been impressive recently.

Spann was riding an eight-fight win streak before getting finished by Johnny Walker via punches and a few questionable elbows inside of one round. Spann had dropped Walker twice in that fight and was on his way to a quick win until some poor fight IQ came into play, and he went in for a takedown which put him into a position where Walker tied him up and went for the kill. Spann packs some power but typically leans on his wrestling. He's crafty on the mat and can control his opponent while moving into submission spots. Smith will be a step up in competition for Spann here, and while Spann can come out fast and hurt you, the experience and proven gas tank Smith brings should eventually frustrate Spann, and that’s where we see that poor fight IQ come into play. Outside of round one, where both will come out fast and possibly catch the other, Smith should take over. Executing leg kicks will be key.

Ryan Spann isn't fighting to be great, but rather for 'my family to have a different life'

  Ryan Spann isn't fighting to be great, but rather for 'my family to have a different life' “The key is this right here,” Spann said, holding up his left hand to show his wedding ring. When I have to take a step back to focus on fighting, she does a lot of the work. Smith has more finishes — 19 wins by KO and 13 by submission in a 51-fight career to this point — than Spann has total fights. With the motivation to provide for his family, though, Spann believes he’ll be able to be successful. “I’m working for something,” Spann said. “It’s not that I want to fight to be great because I want the glory and all that. I don’t care about all that. I want my family to have a different life. That’s what I’m fighting for.

Prediction: Anthony Smith

Bet: Fight won’t start round 4 -152

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT (205 LBS): ION CUTELABA (15-6-1) VS DEVIN CLARK (12-5)

Devin Clark has five losses, and none of those have ever made the final bell. Cutelaba brings a 93% win finish rate, and against a guy who just simply doesn’t like getting hit and lacks durability, I see that percentage going up after Saturday night.

Prediction: Ion Cutelaba

Bet: Cutelaba (look ITD -110)

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT (125 LBS): MANDY BOHM (7-0) VS ARIANE LIPSKI (13-7)

The #1 women’s fighter out of Germany makes her long-awaited UFC debut and takes on Ariane Lipski, who's now just 2-4 since entering the UFC. Bohm is hittable and should go to her grappling and top control. This could be a good dog spot. I have to see Bohm under the UFC banner before I lay any bets on her.

Prediction: Mandy Bohm

LIGHTWEIGHT (155 LBS): #14 ARMAN TSARUKYAN (16-2) VS CHRISTOS GIAGOS (19-8)

Tsarukyan is the biggest favorite on the card. The question is whether Giagos survives and makes the final bell. Round one should be fun, but Tsarukyan should take over and cruise to a clear decision.

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann odds, predictions: MMA insider reveals surprising fight card picks

  UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann odds, predictions: MMA insider reveals surprising fight card picks Kyle Marley is up $14,000 in MMA picks and just locked in his Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann predictionsOct 27, 2018; Moncton, Canada; Volkan Oezdemire (red gloves) fights Anthony Smith (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Moncton Events Centre.

Prediction: Arman Tsarukyan

BANTAMWEIGHT (135 LBS): NATE MANESS (13-1) VS TONY GRAVELY (21-6)

Although Gravely isn’t a 2:1 favorite in my book, he should be able to get the nod in this one. Gravely has landed three or more takedowns in each of his UFC fights, and we should see more of this against Maness as well as Gravely grinds out another win.

Prediction: Tony Gravely

MIDDLEWEIGHT (185 LBS): JOAQUIN BUCKLEY (12-4) VS ANTONIO ARROYO (9-4)

If Buckley executes some takedowns, this is his fight. His chin is suspect, and as long as he can avoid getting caught, his cardio and explosive offense should give him the edge.

Prediction: Joaquin Buckley

PRELIM HOT TAKES, PREDICTIONS & BETS

LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT (205 LBS): MIKE RODRIGUEZ (11-6) VS TAFON NCUKWI (5-1)

Ncukwi gets back on track here and possibly with a KO finish. This move back up to light heavyweight is a good move for him. Both guys have high finish and knockdown rates, and I don’t hate the price on the under, but ultimately, I side with the more consistent fighter, Ncukwi. Ncukwi is very durable, so let's couple that with the fact that Rodriguez is just 2-5 in fights past the first round.

Prediction: Tafon Ncukwi

Bet: Tafon Ncukwi -125

WOMEN’S BANTAMWEIGHT (135 LBS): #12 PANNIE KIANZAD (15-5) VS RAQUEL PENNINGTON (11-8)

Although just 11-8, while in the UFC, Pennington has only lost to former or current champs. If anyone could snap that trend, it could be Kianzad, but Pennington is solid in there with making adjustments when needed. Kianzad will overwhelm her on the feet, so watch for some takedowns and top control attempts from the always game and very durable Raquel Pennington.

UFC Vegas 37 predictions

  UFC Vegas 37 predictions Will it be Anthony Smith or Ryan Spann who stands tallest on a card packed with light heavyweight action?Saturday’s UFC Vegas 37 card might not be filled to the brim with immediate contenders, but it’s never a bad thing to see the wheels turning in a division that is long removed from its glory days when champions like Chuck Liddell, Tito Ortiz, Randy Couture, Quinton “Rampage” Jackson, and Mauricio “Shogun” Rua made it arguably MMA’s marquee division. One day Jones came along and cleared out the competition and it’s only recently started to hint at its former intrigue.

Prediction: Raquel Pennington

LIGHTWEIGHT (155 LBS): ZHU RONG (17-4) VS BRANDON JENKINS (15-7)

Is Rong the wrong favorite here? He lost his UFC debut and got peppered with strikes, absorbing over six significant strikes per minute. Jenkins makes his UFC debut but has some time in PFL and LFA and has put together an 87% finish rate along the way. This fight is just an odd price putting Jenkins, a very durable fighter, as a wide dog.

Prediction: Brandon Jenkins

Bet: Jenkins +240

BANTAMWEIGHT (135 LBS): MONTEL JACKSON (10-2) VS JP BUYS (9-3)

Buys will look to lean on his wrestling, but Jackson should be able to fend and show his speed and sheer advantage on the feet in this one.

Prediction: Montel Jackson

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT (125 LBS): ERIN BLANCHFIELD (6-1) VS SARAH ALPAR (9-5)

Blanchfield should cruise here. I am not invested.

Prediction: Erin Blanchfield

WELTERWEIGHT (170 LBS): IMPA KASANGANAY (9-1) VS CARLSTON HARRIS (16-4)

This is a very close fight. Impa comes in as the very slim favorite, but I’d suspect the line flips by fight time. Harris should be a very popular dog play, as he’s much more experienced and has just four losses, with two of them via very close split decisions, but more importantly, he will probably have speed and technique advantage. Harris cruised in his UFC debut back in May in a fight we cashed.

Prediction: Carlston Harris

Bet: Harris +110

BANTAMWEIGHT (135 LBS): GUSTAVO LOPEZ (12-6) VS HEILI ALATENG (14-8-1)

Another close fight to call, and Alateng will have the edge with the grappling, which should come into play in this one. If Lopez can get this one down at some point, watch for some submission attempts that could prove costly for the Mongolian Knight.

NFL DFS Picks Week 2: Best sleepers, value players for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups

  NFL DFS Picks Week 2: Best sleepers, value players for DraftKings, FanDuel daily fantasy football lineups Daily fantasy football expert Sloan Piva breaks down the top sleepers and value picks for your Week 2 FanDuel and DraftKings lineups. Get strategy advice and tips to help you cash in your NFL DFS contests.If you’re a fan of DFS or you just like to find an edge or angle with all your football-related bets, this column will be up your alley all season. Each week, I scour the player pools on the two biggest DFS sites and compile a list of values to help you win some cold, hard cash. The more value players you add, the more money you will have to spend on proven weekly studs at other position spots.

Prediction: Gustavo Lopez

WOMEN’S FLYWEIGHT (125 LBS): EMILY WHITMIRE (4-4) VS HANNAH GOLDY (5-2)

Whitmire is back after a little over a year away and comes in with her back against the wall after dropping her last two. Goldy is also in a tough spot after dropping her last two fights. Both fighters have very little defense on their feet. Goldy probably has the better movement and superior striking. Whitmire has only lost via submission in her career, and Goldy has never attempted one. If Goldy can avoid the takedowns and control, her volume on the feet, even if it’s a mess, should get her at least two rounds in the eyes of the judges.

Prediction: Hannah Goldy

UFC PREDICTION & BET SUMMARY

2021 predictions: 185-131-6 (59%)

2021 wagers: 97-85-2 (53%)

Overall record

Predictions: 566-330-17 (63%)

Wagers: 307-172-8 (64%)

MMA DFS Charts

Heat Chart

table © Provided by Sports Illustrated

Offensive output meter

table: SLpM: Strikes landed per minute TD AVG/15: Takedown average per 15 min © Provided by Sports Illustrated SLpM: Strikes landed per minute TD AVG/15: Takedown average per 15 min table: SLpM: Strikes landed per minute TD AVG/15: Takedown average per 15 min SUM: SLpM+TD AVG/15 © Provided by Sports Illustrated SLpM: Strikes landed per minute TD AVG/15: Takedown average per 15 min SUM: SLpM+TD AVG/15

DFS RECOMMENDATIONS

  • Fighters that typically press the action, land takedowns, and/or high finish rates matched up against those that get finished, roster. (see my charts above)
  • Fights projected to NOT go to a decision
    • Smith/Spann -290
    • Cutelaba/Clark -215
    • Buckley/Arroyo -380
    • Rodriguez/Nchukwi -175
    • Jenkins/Rong -175
    • Buys/Jackson -196
  • For the main event, I like Smith. Both are live in round one, but Smith should take over, and if he can finish this one, he should easily hit value. Spann is worth a crack if you build multiple lineups.
  • Top Tier fighters to build around include: Cutelaba, Jackson, Smith
  • Mid Tier fighter considerations are: Nchukwi
  • Live Dogs that could score: Harris, Lopez, Jenkins, Goldy, Spann

Follow me on Twitter @Y2CASEY

More Betting Coverage:

NFL Betting Week 2 Preview: Early Line Movement & Odds Tracking

College Football Week 3 Bets: Odds, Lines, Spreads, Analysis & Picks

College Football Week 3 Best Bets: Composite Ratings Pick the Winners

NFL DFS Week 2: Plays, Values, Advice For DraftKings & FanDuel

NFL DFS Week 2: Perfect Million-Dollar Lineup Guide

UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega odds, predictions: Proven MMA insider releases surprising fight card picks .
Kyle Marley is up $14,000 on MMA picks and locked in his Brian Ortega vs. Alexander Volkanovski predictionsLAS VEGAS, NEVADA - DECEMBER 14: Alexander Volkanovski of Australia celebrates his win in the octagon during the UFC 245 event at T-Mobile Arena on December 14, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada.

usr: 0
This is interesting!