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Sport NASCAR betting notebook: Kyle Busch sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs

11:16  25 september  2021
11:16  25 september  2021 Source:   nascar.com

NASCAR betting: Larson closing road-course gap, plus picks to consider at Brickyard

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NASCAR betting notebook : Kyle Busch sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs . Kyle Busch ’s finishing positions in the three races that comprised the first round of the Cup Series Playoffs were less than impressive and not what we are used to seeing from the two-time champion. Oddsmakers, though, are looking beyond those results when pricing the No. 18 for Sunday’s South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway (7 p.m. ET on NBCSN/NBC Sports App, PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

better than his (Joe Gibbs Racing) teammates.” NASCAR BETTING NOTEBOOK Sits near top of vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs . sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs Kyle Busch ’s finishing

NASCAR betting notebook: Kyle Busch sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs © Sean Gardner Getty Images NASCAR betting notebook: Kyle Busch sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs Kyle Busch’s finishing positions in the three races that comprised the first round of the Cup Series Playoffs were less than impressive and not what we are used to seeing from the two-time champion. Oddsmakers, though, are looking beyond those results when pricing the No. 18 for Sunday‘s South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway (7 p.m. ET on NBCSN/NBC Sports App, PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Las Vegas represents the Series’ return to the 550-horsepower engine, a package with which Busch has thrived. In the nine races on ovals using the high-downforce package this year, he has two wins (Kansas, Pocono-2), two second-place finishes (Pocono, Atlanta-2) two thirds (Vegas, Charlotte), a fifth (Atlanta), a seventh (Michigan) and a tenth (Homestead-Miami).

What to Watch: Full guide to the South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway

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Plus what to watch for at Vegas , Xfinity playoff predictions and thoughts on Elliott's Bristol move. If his luck doesn’t turn around then now unfortunately Darlington got caught up in a wreck Richmond was gonna get a top 2 possibly a win but then sped Bristol flat tire while in 5th with 40to go His pace is there but his luck is not.

With the NASCAR Cup Series visiting its fourth road course of the 2021 season, Chase Elliott overtakes teammate Kyle Larson as the betting favorite to win Sunday’s event at Road America. The Jockey Made in America 250 presented by Kwik Trip (2:30 p.m. ET on NBC/NBC Sports App, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) marks the seventh straight race in which one of these two Hendrick drivers has had the shortest price, Elliott has been Second on this week’s oddsboard is Larson, who despite some hiccups at the Pocono doubleheader last weekend, continues to look like the best driver in the field.

“He runs well at these kinds of tracks,” Ed Salmons, who posts NASCAR odds at SuperBook USA in Vegas, told NASCAR.com. “He won the first race at Kansas — Kansas and Vegas are real similar. … He‘s been running great at these mile-and-a-half tracks, better than his (Joe Gibbs Racing) teammates.”

RELATED: NASCAR BetCenter | Odds for Sunday’s race at Las Vegas

More recently, though, Busch crashed out of Darlington, finished ninth at Richmond despite having perhaps the best car and was a distant 21st at Bristol after cutting a tire in the final stage.

Salmons explained away some of that inconsistency.

“He had the race won at Richmond. I mean, that thing was over, and he sped on the very last stop (and was penalized for it), which was asinine,” Salmons said. “And you can throw out last week. He was just trying to get in (to the Round of 12). Those guys just race so differently (in certain playoff situations).”

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The top half of the oddsboard , reset after the 16-driver playoff field was finalized, is owned by the Big Three teams: Hendrick Motorsports, Joe Gibbs Racing and Team Penske. While Kevin Harvick‘s chances shouldn‘t be completely dismissed, he‘s yet to win a race this season, and it‘s hard to envision the 2021 champ not emerging from one of Cup‘s top three garages. Rather than firing before the playoffs start , bettors may want to consider watching how things play out and picking their spots as the postseason progresses. That may present opportunities to find title contenders at longer prices.

NASCAR betting weekend notebook : Survey reveals unrealistic expectations of most gamblers. You’ve gotta be well-bankrolled to start . Nobody’s gonna take ,000 and You could bet on the driver you thought was going to win the race (eventual winner Kyle Larson could be had for 8-1 odds in live betting ), for a driver to finish in the top 3 As legal sports betting expands, the live betting options for NASCAR will grow along with it

Listed between +600 and +650 on various oddsboards, Busch is priced behind only Kyle Larson to win at his hometown track this weekend. Here‘s a look at Sunday‘s top 12 betting favorites (as of Friday morning at 10:30 a.m. ET), who, not coincidentally, are the same 12 drivers still in the hunt for the 2021 Cup Championship. Odds are from the SuperBook, plus NASCAR‘s three sports betting sponsors — BetMGM, Barstool and WynnBET.

DriverSuperBookBetMGMBarstoolWynnBet
Kyle Larson+300+275+300+300
Kyle Busch+600+650+650+600
Denny Hamlin+700+700+750+700
Martin Truex Jr.+700+750+900+800
Chase Elliott+800+800+800+750
William Byron+1000+1200+1200+1200
Kevin Harvick+1200+1000+1000+1100
Ryan Blaney+1400+1200+1500+1400
Brad Keselowski+1400+1400+1400+1400
Alex Bowman+1800+1800+2000+1800
Joey Logano+1800+1200+1200+1400
Christopher Bell+2500+2500+2500+2500

WHIPPING AROUND THE FIELD

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Kyle Larson has secured the Busch Pole Award for Sunday’s South Point 400 (7 p.m. ET on NBCSN/NBC Sports App, PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. RELATED: Las Vegas weekend schedule | Cup Series standings. Larson — winner of the most recent NASCAR Cup Series event, at Bristol Motor Speedway — will start his No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet from the first spot for the fourth time in the last six races. The 400-miler is the opening race in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs ’ Round of 12.

NASCAR betting notebook : Kyle Busch sits near top of Vegas oddsboard despite spotty start to playoffs . Kyle Busch ’s finishing positions in the three races that comprised the first round of the Cup Series Playoffs were less than impressive and not what we are used to seeing from the two-time champion. Oddsmakers, though, are looking beyond those results when pricing the No. 18 for Sunday‘s South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor […]


Video: Tempers flare as four drivers get cut at Bristol (NBC Sports)

Running down some other contenders …

Kyle Larson: Doesn‘t seem to matter to the No. 5 which track they‘re running on. Short-track, intermediate track, road course — Larson has won on all of them this season, including Vegas in March. Larson was offered at 10-1 odds to win that race; he‘s 3-1 or shorter this week.

Team Penske: The three Penske drivers all rate near the top of the field in recent Vegas history, and their long odds present nice potential paydays for bettors who believe they can regain form this weekend. Brad Keselowski — whose lame-duck status with the team we discussed earlier this week — has a Cup-leading 4.86 average finish over the seven most recent races at this track, including a second-place finish in the Spring.

Ryan Blaney owns a 8.57 average finish and 101.3 rating (both sixth best) over that span, and Joey Logano‘s 113.3 average rating ranks second to Kevin Harvick (114.2).

Said Salmons, “Logano is the king of winning with bad cars, but he‘s been awful on these 550- horsepower tracks (16.89 average finish this year), even though his history is so good here.”

Mistakes adding up in first four races of Cup playoffs

  Mistakes adding up in first four races of Cup playoffs With four races complete in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, here's a look at the mistakes that the 12 remaining playoff drivers have dealt with.While Hamlin and his No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing team are finally converting their season-long speed into victories, they haven’t been entirely clean in this playoff run.

Kevin Harvick: Happy has maintained his top spot in average driver rating at Vegas despite some forgettable recent performances at a track he used to own. He finished 20th here in March, and reading from his notes on Harvick‘s 10th-place finish last Fall, Salmons said, “‘car was decent but not close to the best. He doesn‘t win races without dominating cars,’ which is true.”

Harvick, who had the speed to win at Bristol last week and finished second, still seeks his first victory of the season.

FROM THE SOUTH POINT

As title sponsor of Sunday‘s race, the South Point Hotel & Casino is hosting nearly 50 race teams this weekend. We spoke last month with former NASCAR driver Brendan Gaughan, whose father Michael owns the property, about the atmosphere during race week, and earlier this week, we caught up with Chris Andrews, who runs the South Point sportsbook.

Andrews said the book offers an expanded wagering menu when the NASCAR circuit stops in town, and handle for Vegas races rivals that for the Daytona 500.

Gaughan told us that while race week can be hectic at the South Point, it‘s “so worth it. We love seeing the race fans at the hotel, love seeing the race teams. We have 47 teams total between Truck, Xfinity and Cup that stay with us. We take care of the race teams. Man, we love it.”

Added Andrews, “They‘re great to have around, a lot of good ole‘ boys. They‘re a lot of fun, they come here and have a good time.”

If you happen to be in Vegas this weekend, be sure to stop by and maybe make a wager or three at the South Point sportsbook — it‘s one of the best in town.

Marcus DiNitto is a writer and editor living in Charlotte, North Carolina. He has been covering sports for nearly two-and-a-half decades and sports betting for more than 10 years. His first NASCAR betting experience was in 1995 at North Wilkesboro Speedway, where he went 0-for-3 on his matchup picks. Read his articles and follow him on Twitter; do not bet his picks.

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NASCAR at Las Vegas live updates, results, highlights from the South Point 400 .
Sporting News is tracking live updates and lap-by-lap highlights from NASCAR's playoff race at Las Vegas on Sunday night. Follow for complete results from the South Point 400. MORE: Watch today's NASCAR race live with fuboTV (7-day free trial) NASCAR at Las Vegas live updates, highlights from South Point 400 7:35 p.m.: First five off pit road: Kyle Busch, Hamlin, Blaney, Larson and Harvick. 7:35 p.m.: Most of the field is making the stop on pit road. 7:33 p.m.: Competition caution brought out for lap 25. 7:30 p.m.: Byron has moved up 25 spots, now up to No. 10, while Truex has moved up 17 spots to No. 19.

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