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Sport Penn State vs. Iowa odds, line: 2021 college football picks, Week 6 predictions from model on 12-4 run

16:10  09 october  2021
16:10  09 october  2021 Source:   cbssports.com

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The fourth-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions are out for revenge on Saturday when they visit the No. 3 Iowa Hawkeyes for a huge Big Ten and national showdown at Kinnick Stadium. Both teams boast ferocious defenses, with Iowa (5-0) ranking second in points allowed (11.6 per game) and the Nittany Lions unit third in the nation (12.0). Penn State shut down Indiana last week in a 24-0 victory and will be looking to avenge last year's 41-21 loss to Iowa in State College. That broke a six-game PSU win streak in the series, but this Hawkeyes team is out to prove it can hang with the big boys. Iowa crushed Maryland 51-14 last Friday.

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Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET in Iowa City. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Hawkeyes as the 1.5-point favorites in the latest Penn State vs. Iowa odds, and the over-under for total points scored is set at 41. Before making any Iowa vs. Penn State picks, make sure to check out the college football predictions and analysis from the proven SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,400 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 6 of the 2021 season on a 12-4 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

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Now, the model has locked in on Iowa vs. Penn State and just released its picks and analysis. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's CFB picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Penn State vs. Iowa:

  • Penn State vs. Iowa: Hawkeyes -1.5
  • Penn State vs. Iowa over-under: 41 points
  • Penn State vs. Iowa money line: Nittany Lions +110, Hawkeyes -130
  • PSU: The Nittany Lions are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall
  • IOWA: The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS against ranked opponents since 2019
Featured Game| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Penn State Nittany Lions
Moneyline
Spread
Total
IOWA
-130
BET NOW
-1.5
-115
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o41
-110
BET NOW
PSU
+110
BET NOW
+1.5
-105
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u41
-110
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Why Iowa can cover

The defense has carried the team so far. It ranks seventh in the nation in total yards allowed (271.4) and is tied for most in the nation with 16 takeaways. The Hawkeyes have 12 interceptions, led by Riley Moss with three, and seven other players have recorded at least one. They forced seven turnovers in last week's rout, and the defense will come in buzzing off that performance. Linebacker Jack Campbell has made plays all over the field, leading the team in tackles with 46, posting a sack and recovering two fumbles, returning one for a touchdown.

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The Hawkeyes forced four turnovers in last year's matchup and rushed for 175 yards. The favorite is 4-1 against the spread in their last five meetings. Iowa's offense has been an afterthought, but quarterback Spencer Petras is experienced and cautious. He has seven TDs and just one interception, and tight end Sam LaPorta is the top receiver with 22 catches for 263 yards. Running back Tyler Goodson has rushed for 430 yards and five TDs. The Iowa offense averages just 320 total yards, but it is still averaging more than 33 points per game.

Why Penn State can cover

Penn State is 6-0 against the spread in its last six conference games, and the defense has been outstanding. It has yielded some yardage (313.4 yards per game, 33rd in FBS), but opponents haven't been scoring. The unit has eight sacks and nine takeaways, and it has batted down 21 passes. Safety Ji'ayir Brown has led the secondary, posting three interceptions, while Arnold Ebiketie has led the way up front with three sacks. PSU's linebackers are led by Brandon Smith (32 tackles, one sack), and 326-pound PJ Mustipher clogs the middle and provides pressure.

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Penn State is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings, and last year's loss was a product of turnovers. PSU has limited the mistakes so far, giving the ball away just three times. Sean Clifford has 1,336 passing yards, with 11 TDs and three interceptions, and he has a reliable pair of receivers. Jahan Dotson is the top option, and he is tied for 13th in the nation with 35 catches and has scored six TDs. Parker Washington has 25 receptions, and the two have combined for 777 yards. Noah Cain and Keyvone Lee have combined for 361 rushing yards.

How to make Penn State vs. Iowa picks

The model is going under on the total, projecting the teams will combine for 38 points. It also has generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Iowa vs. Penn State ATS pick at SportsLine.

So who wins the Iowa vs. Penn State matchup on Saturday? And which side of the spread is hitting almost 70 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Penn State vs. Iowa spread to back Saturday, all from the advanced model on a 12-4 run on its top-rated college football picks, and find out.

Oklahoma-Kansas game briefly halted due to power outage .
Saturday’s game between Oklahoma and Kansas was halted due to a brief power outage in Lawrence. © Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports Oklahoma Sooners quarterback Spencer Rattler (7) talks with head coach Lincoln Riley. With just over ten minutes to go in the first quarter, Kansas Memorial Stadium lost power. All the scoreboards went down, prompting an official timeout. The succinctly stated reason was that “everything is off.” "Timeout on the field. Everything is off" pic.twitter.

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