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Sport NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 12, 2021: Model backing Steelers, Patriots

17:25  28 november  2021
17:25  28 november  2021 Source:   cbssports.com

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One of the best things about Thanksgiving is the leftovers, and after Thursday's tripleheader, there are still plenty of intriguing games left on the Week 12 NFL schedule. The surging Indianapolis Colts are three-point underdogs to Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the latest NFL odds on Caesars Sportsbook. Later, Cam Newton will try to build off of last week's impressive return to Carolina as a two-point favorite against the Miami Dolphins, per the latest NFL spreads.

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Which other NFL matchups offer the best value when looking for the top Week 12 NFL bets and NFL predictions? All of the Week 12 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 12 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on an incredible 130-91 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

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Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 12 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 12 NFL predictions

One of the model's strongest Week 12 NFL picks is that the Steelers (+3.5) cover the spread against the Bengals. The Bengals are coming off of a win against the wayward Las Vegas Raiders, but their offense has been trending the wrong direction over their last three games. Cincinnati should look to make running back Joe Mixon the focal point of its offense this week, as Pittsburgh has allowed 524 rushing yards over its last three games.

SportsLine's model predicts that Mixon will only come away with 74 yards, while Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow will throw as many interceptions as touchdowns in the game. That's not a recipe for margin, and the model projects that Pittsburgh keeps the score within a field goal in almost 60 percent of simulations.

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Another one of its Week 12 NFL predictions: The Patriots (-7) cover against the Titans. The Patriots are the hottest team in the NFL, rattling off five consecutive wins coming into this week's game. They opened as 2.5-point home favorites, but are now seven-point favorites following Tennessee's shocking loss to Houston. The Titans were unable to overcome a four-interception game from quarterback Ryan Tannehill, who will be without his top two receivers.

New England's defense has allowed an average of just 169.6 passing yards per game during the five-game winning streak. The Patriots have outscored their opponents 175-50 over that span. SportsLine's model says New England covers the spread in more than 50 percent of simulations. The over (44) also cashes more than 50 percent of the time.

How to make Week 12 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 12 NFL schedule, and it's calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned almost $7,300 since its inception, and find out.

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Week 12 NFL odds, spreads, lines

Sunday, Nov. 28

Titans at Patriots (-7, 43.5)

Featured Game| New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans
Moneyline
Spread
Total
NE
-320
BET NOW
-7
-110
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o43
-110
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TEN
+250
BET NOW
+7
-110
BET NOW
u43
-110
BET NOW

Jets at Texans (-2.5, 45)

Featured Game| Houston Texans vs. New York Jets
Moneyline
Spread
Total
HOU
-140
BET NOW
-2.5
-110
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o45
-110
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NYJ
+120
BET NOW
+2.5
-110
BET NOW
u45
-110
BET NOW

Eagles at Giants (+3.5, 45.5)

Featured Game| New York Giants vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Moneyline
Spread
Total
NYG
+170
BET NOW
+3.5
-110
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o45.5
-110
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PHI
-200
BET NOW
-3.5
-110
BET NOW
u45.5
-110
BET NOW

Buccaneers at Colts (+3, 53)

Featured Game| Indianapolis Colts vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Moneyline
Spread
Total
IND
+130
BET NOW
+3
-115
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o53
-110
BET NOW
TB
-150
BET NOW
-3
-105
BET NOW
u53
-110
BET NOW

Falcons at Jaguars (+2, 46)

Featured Game| Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons
Moneyline
Spread
Total
JAC
+110
BET NOW
+2
-110
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o46
-110
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ATL
-130
BET NOW
-2
-110
BET NOW
u46
-110
BET NOW

Panthers at Dolphins (+2.5, 42)

Featured Game| Miami Dolphins vs. Carolina Panthers
Moneyline
Spread
Total
MIA
+115
BET NOW
+2.5
-110
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o42
-110
BET NOW
CAR
-135
BET NOW
-2.5
-110
BET NOW
u42
-110
BET NOW

Steelers at Bengals (-3.5, 44)

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Featured Game| Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Moneyline
Spread
Total
CIN
-190
BET NOW
-3.5
-110
BET NOW
o44
-110
BET NOW
PIT
+160
BET NOW
+3.5
-110
BET NOW
u44
-110
BET NOW

Chargers at Broncos (+2.5, 47)

Featured Game| Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Moneyline
Spread
Total
DEN
+125
BET NOW
+2.5
+100
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o47
-110
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LAC
-145
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-2.5
-120
BET NOW
u47
-110
BET NOW

Vikings at 49ers (-3, 49)

Featured Game| San Francisco 49ers vs. Minnesota Vikings
Moneyline
Spread
Total
SF
-175
BET NOW
-3
-125
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o49
-110
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MIN
+150
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+3
+105
BET NOW
u49
-110
BET NOW

Rams at Packers (+1.5, 47)

Featured Game| Green Bay Packers vs. Los Angeles Rams
Moneyline
Spread
Total
GB
+110
BET NOW
+1.5
-110
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o47
-110
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LAR
-130
BET NOW
-1.5
-110
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u47
-110
BET NOW

Browns at Ravens (-3.5, 47)

Featured Game| Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns
Moneyline
Spread
Total
BAL
-180
BET NOW
-3.5
-105
BET NOW
o47
-110
BET NOW
CLE
+155
BET NOW
+3.5
-115
BET NOW
u47
-110
BET NOW

Monday, Nov. 29

Seahawks at Washington (PK, 46.5)

Featured Game| Washington Football Team vs. Seattle Seahawks
Moneyline
Spread
Total
WAS
-110
BET NOW
PK
-110
BET NOW
o46.5
-110
BET NOW
SEA
-110
BET NOW
PK
-110
BET NOW
u46.5
-110
BET NOW

Week 13 Rankings + Jamey Eisenberg's waiver-wire targets .
FFT 11/23

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