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US The Third Coronavirus Surge Has Arrived

11:15  16 october  2020
11:15  16 october  2020 Source:   theatlantic.com

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Germany has reported 7,334 new coronavirus cases in its daily update, the most it has recordedsince the virus first emerged in the country. The news comes a day after Chancellor Angela Merkel announced tougher restrictions aimed at slowing the spread of the virus.

Another death amid a surge in coronavirus cases in South Korea — many traced to a church About two- thirds of the new cases have been traced to an existing cluster at a hospital in southern Australian passengers aboard the cruise ship arrived Thursday in Darwin, where many of the

After a month of warning signs, this week’s data make it clear: The third surge of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States is underway. Outbreaks have been worsening in many states for more than a month, and new COVID-19 cases jumped 18 percent this week, bringing the seven-day average to more than 51,000 cases a day. Though testing rose by 8 percent nationally, that’s not enough of an increase to explain the steep rise in cases. Meanwhile, COVID-19 hospitalizations, which had previously been creeping upward slowly, jumped more than 14 percent from a week earlier.

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the coronavirus , has said it will ask Bangladesh to take back 269 Rohingya refugees who arrived It also appeared unlikely that the refugees pose a coronavirus threat to Malaysia, which has while in Guam, more than a third had enough functioning antibodies to Covid-19 to indicate they could have

Singapore has moved to extend restrictions to combat coronavirus until early June, as the number of cases in the city state exceeded 9,000 due to a growing Estimates suggests that up to a third of infections in Singapore are Bangladeshi workers. “I am afraid 1,200 to 1,300 Bangladeshis have been

a group of people in a cart: Health-care workers transfer a patient out of the COVID-19 Unit at United Memorial Medical Center in Houston, Texas, during a summer explosion of coronavirus cases. © MARK FELIX / AFP via Getty Health-care workers transfer a patient out of the COVID-19 Unit at United Memorial Medical Center in Houston, Texas, during a summer explosion of coronavirus cases. chart, bar chart, histogram: Auto-uploaded image (3) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46 © Provided by The Atlantic Auto-uploaded image (3) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46

Since last Wednesday, states reported 4,796 COVID-19 deaths, an increase of about 3 percent over the previous week. Since the start of the pandemic we have typically seen reported deaths lag behind reported cases by three to four weeks, although reporting delays seem to have worsened in some states, including Florida and Texas.

Our analysis is based on the official data we compile from 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories. Other sources confirm that the country is in trouble as we head further into fall: The New York Times, which collects official data at the county level, warned this morning that the U.S. is heading toward a new peak in COVID-19 cases. On the federal level, this week’s White House Coronavirus Task Force report (which is still not made public except by certain states) puts 26 states in the red zone based on new cases per capita, and an additional 19 states and the District of Columbia in the orange zone. As of this week, no U.S. states are in the task force’s green zone.

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Singapore had its first case of the new coronavirus very early on. It was a Chinese tourist who arrived from Wuhan on 23 January, the same day the virus epicentre was put into a total lockdown. Image caption Everyone who arrives in Singapore now has to quarantine in a government facility for 14 days.

Hospitals have cleared the decks. From 15 April, all routine operations, such as hip and knee replacements, are being cancelled for three months. NHS bosses have asked hospitals to protect cancer care, although in some places the rising numbers of coronavirus cases has meant services

This week’s spike in new cases was spread across the country, rather than being concentrated in a few states, as we saw in the Northeast in the spring, in the Sun Belt in early June, and in the Midwest over the past few weeks. Seventeen states posted peak new-case days in the past week, including nine of 12 states in the Midwest and six of 11 states in the West.

chart, bar chart: Auto-uploaded image (1) at 2020-10-15 18:25:44 © Provided by The Atlantic Auto-uploaded image (1) at 2020-10-15 18:25:44

Single-day case numbers have limited value because some states don’t report consistently or build up backlogs, then dump several days’ worth of test and case data in a single day. Nevertheless, when a state sets a new record for daily reported cases, it’s usually a bad sign. Of all the states that reported record highs this week, only Washington’s appears to be the result of reporting irregularities; the other 16 states all showed alarming overall case and hospital trends in the past week.

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The White House advised people who have passed through or left New York City that they should Dr. Deborah L. Birx, the White House’s coronavirus response coordinator, and Dr. Anthony Fauci, the One survey showed about a third of city residents had lost a job because of the epidemic or lived with

New York has at least 44,870 cases of the coronavirus , the most of any state, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. Meanwhile, Los Angeles Mayor Eric Garcetti said Friday that the number of coronavirus cases in his city will soon match those of New York.

Read: [How the pandemic defeated America]

Cases in the Northeast, where the spread of COVID-19 slowed considerably during the summer after a dismal spring, are now rising: The seven-day average case count in the region has more than doubled in the past month. The Midwest has seen an 81 percent increase in COVID-19 cases in the same period.

The Dakotas continue to have the most cases per capita, with South Dakota recording 990 cases per 1 million people and North Dakota reporting 921 cases per 1 million, based on seven-day averages.

chart: Auto-uploaded image (4) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46 © Provided by The Atlantic Auto-uploaded image (4) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46

The other states reporting the largest number of cases per capita were Wisconsin, Montana, and Missouri. Note, though, that this might not reflect the reality on the ground in Missouri, as a database error led to what the state called an “incorrectly inflated” count of cases for October 10. Missouri officials have not yet explained whether any case numbers were actually wrong, or were simply allocated to the wrong date. We will correct our count once the state updates its figures.

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In December 2019, a novel coronavirus strain (SARS-CoV-2) emerged in the city of Wuhan, China. This subreddit seeks to monitor the spread of the

The UK has announced 36 new coronavirus cases today The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the coronavirus poses a serious threat to the global world economy, as a third of Local media reported the tour visited six states after arriving on February 21, including Rajasthan

Montana posted a week-over-week decline in cases, but the state’s hospitalization count continues to rise. Unfortunately, rising hospitalizations are the rule rather than the exception in states around the country this week.

Last week, 41 states saw increases in hospitalizations, and this week the numbers increased in 42 states. Every single state in the Midwest save North Dakota reported more hospitalizations this week than they did on October 8, and only the West had more than two states record drops in hospitalization figures in that period.

chart, bubble chart: Auto-uploaded image (5) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46 © Provided by The Atlantic Auto-uploaded image (5) at 2020-10-15 18:25:46

We’ve seen two previous hospitalization peaks in the national data, each with its own characteristics. From mid-March to mid-June, COVID-19 hospitalizations rose abruptly from zero to 60,000 and gradually declined to a low of just under 30,000 people hospitalized. Although outbreaks across the country contributed to the national numbers, these spring and early-summer hospitalizations were mostly concentrated in the Northeast. On June 21, national hospitalizations began increasing again as rising numbers in the South and West countered falling hospitalizations in the Northeast. As the case surge concentrated in the Sun Belt states came under control, hospitalizations gradually fell again to just under 30,000 people in mid-September, when the third surge began showing up in the hospital data.

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  As virus flares globally, new strategies target hot spots NEW YORK (AP) — After entire nations were shut down during the first surge of the coronavirus earlier this year, some countries and U.S. states are trying more targeted measures as cases rise again around the world, especially in Europe and the Americas. New York’s new round of virus shutdowns zeroes in on individual neighborhoods, closing schools and businesses in hot spots measuring just a couple of square miles. Spanish officials limitedNew York’s new round of virus shutdowns zeroes in on individual neighborhoods, closing schools and businesses in hot spots measuring just a couple of square miles.

chart, line chart: Auto-uploaded image (2) at 2020-10-15 18:25:45 © Provided by The Atlantic Auto-uploaded image (2) at 2020-10-15 18:25:45

The surge in hospitalizations we’re seeing now looks a little different: It’s less abrupt, and much more geographically widespread. And this time, more states that experienced major outbreaks earlier in the year are seeing hospitalizations rise again.

In New York and New Jersey, where stringent public-health measures brought the devastating spring surge under control and kept numbers down all summer, COVID-19 hospitalizations have gone up 53 and 34 percent, respectively, since October 1. In Texas, where hospitalizations soared in the summer and have steadily declined through the fall but never dropped below 3,000, a new upswing is underway: The number of people hospitalized in the Lone Star State has grown 32 percent in the past three weeks. More than 4,000 people in Texas are hospitalized with COVID-19.

This post appears courtesy of The COVID Tracking Project. Artis Curiskis, Erin Kissane, Kara Oehler, Joanna Pearlstein, Sara Simon, Peter Walker, and Nadia Zonis contributed to this analysis.

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This is interesting!