US Get used to surging food prices: Extreme weather is here to stay
The White House's healthcare price transparency opportunity
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Devastating heat. Debilitating droughts. Crippling frost. Extreme weather is creatingaround the world -- and making food more expensive for Americans.
Arabica coffee futures have almost doubled over the past year to seven-year highs asthat have wiped out crops. Retail coffee prices will likely follow suit.
Urban heat islands in Atlanta highlight areas impacted by redlining
During extreme heat events, a few city blocks can mean the difference between a manageable 80-degree afternoon or a sweltering, 100-degree sweat fest. The staggering temperature difference is due in large part to historical redlining, a federal government-sanctioned effort that began in the 1930s that amplified segregation by denying loans and insurance to potential home buyers in poorer neighborhoods and neighborhoods of color.While the racist practice was banned in the late 1960s, its effect is still apparent.
Sugar prices are also on the rise,as well as dry weather in the Dakotas and Red River Valley. Wheat, one of the most common food sources for the average diet, has surged to the highest level in nearly eight years amid
The food price spikes demonstrate how extreme weather, much of it caused by the climate crisis, is having a real-world impact on Americans. And climate scientists warn the fallout will only intensify from here.
"Climate change is coming right into our dining room tables," Cynthia Rosenzweig, adjunct senior research scientist at the Columbia University Earth Institute, told CNN Business.
'Bid to the moon'
World food prices have soared by 31% over the past year, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations. Supply shortages caused by extreme weather is one of several factors behind this food inflation.
Biden is mobilizing the federal government to deal with the effects of extreme heat
Biden is launching an interagency effort to deal with the effects of extreme heat across the country, the White House announced Monday. Extreme heat is the leading weather-related cause of death in the US, the White House said in a fact sheet, citing record-setting temperatures over the summer and more intense and frequent heat waves due to climate change."My Administration will not leave Americans to face this threat alone," Biden said in a statement. "Today, I am mobilizing an all-of-government effort to protect workers, children, seniors, and at-risk communities from extreme heat.
"There's no doubt that changes in weather patterns are impacting our food supply," said Jennifer Bartashus, a senior analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence who covers retail staples and packaged food.
Robert Yawger, a 35-year veteran of the commodities industry, is no stranger to price booms in agriculture. But unlike prior booms, this one isn't being driven by typical factors like emerging market demand or a weak US dollar.
"In the past, it wasn't that there was a climate catastrophe rallying everything at once," said Yawger, executive director of energy futures at Mizuho Securities. "I've never seen anything like this -- where everything is bid to the moon at the same time."
Severe weather events have contributed to natural catastrophe losses of $40 billion during the first half of 2021 alone, according to Swiss Re, the world's largest reinsurance company. That's the second-highest amount on record.
Fact check: Viral claim exaggerates increase in home prices since 1970
Houses are less affordable today than they were 50 years ago. However, a viral TikTok video exaggerates the increase in prices.Young Americans have pushed back by pointing out that U.S. homes are less affordable today than in the past. Recent viral TikTok, Twitter and Facebook posts present one such argument on affordability.
Of course, not all extreme weather is caused by the climate crisis.
For example, some shifting weather patterns, according to Rosenzweig, the Columbia professor who is also senior research scientist at the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies.
Worker shortages, rising transportation costs
And the rise in food prices can be driven by multiple factors -- some of which have nothing to do with climate change.
For instance, some food inflation is being caused by a shortage of workers, including in the agricultural sector amid the pandemic and Trump administration's crackdown on immigration. Transportation costs are also high because ofand a shortage of truck drivers. That's not to mention elevated packaging costs.
during the 12 months that ended in July, according to government statistics released Wednesday. That matches the fastest annual jump in prices since 2008. Producer prices in July, setting a record for the second month in a row.
"I've been in the industry for 38 years and this is the highest we've ever seen inflation go up in our company," said Orlando Olave, senior director of operations at New York supermarket Morton Williams. "It's incredible how many things are going up now."
Equilibrium/Sustainability — Presented by the American Petroleum Institute — Adapting homes to extreme weather changes
Today is Friday. Welcome to Equilibrium, a newsletter that tracks the growing global battle over the future of sustainability. Subscribe here: thehill.com/newsletter-signup. The wooden stilts that used to prop up Francis Waskey's home have gradually sunk into the thawing Alaskan permafrost - leading the vinyl floor to split apart and sending icy drafts through shattered windows, The Washington Post reported. Residences like this one were imported from "the temperate Lower 48" during what the Post described as "home-building frenzy" that coincided with the Trans-Alaska Pipeline economic boom in the 1970s.
93% of wheat in poor condition in Washington State
Wheat prices are going up in part due to "concerns over dry weather and crop conditions in North America," according to the. Specifically, droughts in Canada and the Northwestern part of the United States have wiped out wheat crops.
The most recent croppublished by the USDA found that just 11% of spring wheat across six US states is in good to excellent condition. That's down from 69% a year ago.
In Washington State, a staggering 93% of the spring wheat is in poor or very poor condition because of droughts, according to the
"It's been cooked. Day in and day out they're getting temperatures they've never seen before," Yawger said.
'Complete crop failure'
More than 95% of the Western part of the United States is currently in some level of drought.
"Droughts have caused some farmers to stop growing some crops altogether -- complete crop failure," said Rosenzweig.
Climate change is increasing the frequency and severity of droughts, according to the. A report issued by the group this week found that droughts that may have only happened once a decade, now happen 70% more often around the world.
Chris Field, a professor who studies climate change at Stanford University, worries about how droughts and water constraints in California and the West will impact America's supply of nuts, fruits and vegetables.
Alabama schools battling food shortages amid pandemic
Cayce Davis spends hours of her day on the phone. As child nutrition director for Elmore County schools, she has to call their three food distributors to figure out which food products they actually have and what they can substitute. She has to see if her district’s impromptu food stockpile in a warehouse can meet needs. Then she has to figure out if orders will arrive in time for her short-handed staff to prep and cook 14,000 meals. Last night,As child nutrition director for Elmore County schools, she has to call their three food distributors to figure out which food products they actually have and what they can substitute. She has to see if her district’s impromptu food stockpile in a warehouse can meet needs.
"So far, we have not seen widespread food price increases for American consumers," Field wrote in an email. "But, as extremes become more common, the risk becomes more and more real."
Coffee and sugar prices on the rise
But it's not just warm conditions impacting food supply.
The deep freeze in Texas earlier this year caused at least $600 million in agricultural losses across the Lonestar State, according tofrom Texas A&M University. That included the loss of livestock, citrus and vegetable crops.
Severe frost hasin Brazil, raising fears of a severe decline in production.
Unfortunately, these climate-driven crop problems are only going to add to the sticker shock gripping America.
"If demand remains the same, or even grows as restaurants open, but supply is constrained, that will naturally translate to higher prices that are paid ultimately by the consumer," said Bartashus, the Bloomberg Intelligence analyst.
Even before the unusually cold temperatures in Brazil, US retail coffee prices were on the rise in part because of droughts in Brazil. The average price of ground coffee hit $4.75 per pound in April, the, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Although coffee prices have since retreated, the frost in Brazil threatens to reverse that. The impact to consumers may not be immediate because of the way major companies buy coffee beans (and other commodities).
Starbucks said last month that customersbecause the company buys coffee beans ahead of time and locks in prices.
There's little doubt, at least in Yawger's mind, that climate change is to blame for the simultaneous impact to various crops.
"The chance all of these pieces would move in an anti-harvest way would be one in a million," he said. "The evidence is overwhelming that it is a change in weather."
NFL Week 4 Weather Updates: Rain, wind for Texans-Bills, Buccaneers-Patriots, more could affect fantasy start 'em, sit 'em decisions .
Rain and/or wind are in the forecast for several games this week. With the help of meteorologist Kevin Roth from RotoGrinders, we break down the Week 4 NFL weather forecast ahead of your fantasy start 'em, sit 'em decisions.Before we get into the Week 4 forecasts, here's a reminder that if you have any questions about sports weather or how weather could impact play (and, potentially, your fantasy, DFS, and gambling decisions), don't hesitate to reach out to RotoGrinders' meteorologist Kevin Roth on Twitter (@KevinRothWx) or check out the hourly NFL weather forecasts on RotoGrinders.