•   
  •   
  •   

World Brexit talks: Why 2018 will be no easier

20:39  15 december  2017
20:39  15 december  2017 Source:   bbc.com

Brexit is engulfed in chaos as 'perfect storm' threatens U.K. government

  Brexit is engulfed in chaos as 'perfect storm' threatens U.K. government British Prime Minister Theresa May's underlying problem is this: Where should the border between a post-Brexit U.K. and the E.U. lie? The British government wants different rules than the E.U. on the free movement of goods and people, and that would require some form of checkpoint.Between the U.K. and the European continent, the answer is easy: The English Channel provides a distinct, watery boundary separating Britain from France, the Netherlands and Belgium, and beyond them Germany, Spain and Italy.Related: Professionals wave goodbye to U.K.

It looks like 2018 will be as tough for talks as 2017, writes Kevin Connolly. The transition (the UK prefers the phrase "implementation phase") will be a period after the UK has ceased to be a member state on 29 March 2019 but before it begins to function entirely outside the union.

It looks like 2018 will be as tough for talks as 2017, writes Kevin Connolly. The transition (the UK prefers the phrase "implementation phase") will be a period after the UK has ceased to be a member state on 29 March 2019 but before it begins to function entirely outside the union.

From a British point of view the best moment of Brexit so far has come and gone.

The leaders of the European Union agreed it was time to move the negotiations on from Phase One to Phase Two.

They even made it known they'd given Theresa May a round of applause after she made a short speech pledging her commitment to a smooth Brexit.

The Latest: EU Commission lauds Brexit progress

  The Latest: EU Commission lauds Brexit progress European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker is lauding a breakthrough in Brexit talks and says he will recommend that negotiations be broadened to future relations and trade.7:45 a.m.

EU ministers meeting in Luxembourg are to receive an update on Brexit talks from the bloc's chief negotiator, Michel Barnier, later. After meeting the European Council's president-elect Charles Michel, Mr Rinne said: "I think there is no time in a practical or legal way to find an agreement before

EU and UK officials will resume Brexit talks this morning in the hopes of reaching a deal that can be agreed by leaders at a key summit on Thursday. After a 90-minute meeting with the prime minister, the DUP said "it would be fair to indicate gaps remain and further work is required".

But Brussels is still Brussels and the UK's negotiators will hardly have time to breathe the sigh of relief to which they privately feel entitled before the questions and the caveats began to crop up.

First the round of applause itself - a polite smattering, it was suggested, rather than a thunderous standing ovation.

And then of course there is the more important question of what happens next.

The UK's chief Brexit negotiator, David Davis, may favour something of a swashbuckling approach to these difficult moments, but the EU favours a disciplined, structured, rigidly-controlled process more akin to buying a house than writing a speech.

So we know that the EU 27 will sit down after the holidays to discuss what they want from a transition period for the UK after Brexit.

Britain and E.U. reach divorce deal to move on to new phase in Brexit talks

  Britain and E.U. reach divorce deal to move on to new phase in Brexit talks The bargain came as May compromised on the biggest challenges facing Britain during its split. A disagreement over borders between Northern Ireland and Ireland nearly derailed the deal this week.On those issues and a host of others, Britain has been forced to capitulate to the European Union after saying earlier this year that it held the upper hand in the negotiations. Instead, British negotiators have found a largely united European Union that sees little need to give in to London's demands.

Повторите попытку позже. Опубликовано: 10 дек. 2018 г. FT economics editor Chris Giles explains the assumptions behind post- Brexit scenarios from the UK government and Bank of England suggesting citizens will be thousands of pounds worse off than if the UK had stayed in the EU.

The issue of the Northern Ireland border in post- Brexit arrangements is seen as the key factor in the EU-UK talks . Mr Johnson submitted new proposals to But Labour's shadow minister for the Cabinet Office, Jon Trickett, told Today he would be "surprised" if the Budget went ahead as planned as "we

The president of the EU Council, Donald Tusk, put it like this: "As for the framework for future relations, it is now time for internal EU 27 preparations and exploratory contacts with the UK to get more clarity on their vision.

"On that basis we should adopt guidelines and start negotiations next year. I trust that the unity on the EU side will continue."

The transition (the UK prefers the phrase "implementation phase") will be a period after the UK has ceased to be a member state on 29 March 2019 but before it begins to function entirely outside the union.

The period is likely to last two years (it will certainly be for a limited time) and we know that the EU will insist that the UK continues to follow all the rules of the customs union and single market.

In effect it will seem pretty much as though the UK is still a member state with the crucial difference that it won't have a vote or a voice in EU decisions.

Brexit deal shows UK can leave EU in 'smooth and orderly' way: May

  Brexit deal shows UK can leave EU in 'smooth and orderly' way: May Prime Minister Theresa May on Monday hailed an interim Brexit deal as proof that Britain could leave the European Union in a "smooth and orderly way", although she warned that payment of the divorce bill was dependent on a final trade agreement. The government struck a deal with Brussels last week on three priority separation issues, paving the way for EU leaders meeting on Thursday and Friday to approve the start of trade talks.Updating parliament on the terms of the financial settlement, rights of European citizens and the Irish border after Brexit, May drew plaudits from all sides of her Conservative party.

He said the EU was still unclear how high getting a Brexit deal featured right now on the prime minister's Realistically though the prime minister's proposals on how to replace the Irish backstop in a Brexit "It would be easier if this discussion were about money," a European civil servant told me.

The British government has proposed a new version of the Brexit deal which the EU is considering. An alternative route for the government would be a short new law specifying the date of an early general election - this would require only a simple majority and not need two-thirds of MPs.

The UK may not be happy with that. One member of the cabinet, Michael Gove, has talked about the possibility of the UK leaving the Common Fisheries Policy early and Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson has argued that the UK could be bound during a transition by all the EU's existing rules but not by any new ones passed after Brexit day.

Here's the problem for the UK.

Any time you spend haggling over the terms of transition will in effect be subtracted from the time available to discuss the overall future of EU-UK relations, including trade, security and defence.

And businesses, banks and the city will be putting the government under huge pressure to get the transition sorted in order to give them the certainty they need to plan for the future.

Sometime later next year - let's say in March - the EU will start to plan its strategy for negotiating that overall future relationship.

All it knows for sure so far is that the UK has said it's leaving both the Single Market and the Customs Union - expect a clamour for the UK to spell things out in much greater detail to grow in the weeks after the Christmas holidays.

Facebook found essentially no Russian effort to sway Brexit vote

  Facebook found essentially no Russian effort to sway Brexit vote The New York Times reports that Facebook has found little evidence of Russian interference, at least when it comes to Russian-purchased Facebook ads. According to Facebook, the Internet Research Agency -- the Russian organization accused of using social media sites like Facebook to influence the outcome of the US presidential election -- spent less than a dollar on Facebook ads ahead of the Brexit vote. In contrast to the thousands of ads seemingly purchased by Russian actors during the US presidential election, just three were purchased during the lead up to the June 2016 Brexit vote.

The political backdrop to all of this is that the EU 27 is now resigned to Brexit - it's generally accepted now that it is going to happen but plenty of European politicians remain hurt and mystified by what they regard as Britain's decision to de-couple itself from one of history's primary engines of peace and prosperity.

Estonian Prime Minister Juri Ratas put it like this: "A divorce is always sad and always very, very difficult. Brexit was not on our priority list but it's still very much in our hearts. I am very pleased that we have achieved sufficient progress in negotiations to start discussions on our future relations."

For keen EU watchers the key phrase there is "sufficient progress" - a grimly familiar form of words that you haven't heard the last of.

Even the Phase One issues (the divorce settlement, the Irish border and citizen's rights) are not finally settled - the progress on them is "sufficient" rather than "complete", after all.

Talks on those issues will continue in the New Year and will culminate in a withdrawal agreement in which they will be enshrined in legally biding language.

The year 2017 was one of dense, tense and sometimes puzzling negotiations here in Brussels. And 2018 will be no different.

This was the year Brexit began to bite .
The price of consumer goods spiked in the U.K., business confidence slumped, growth slowed dramatically and the property market stalled. One more blow: Britain dropped out of the world's top five economies. Kallum Pickering, senior U.K. economist at Berenberg Bank, said the country's economy "should be riding high on the back of the ongoing global upswing.""Instead ... the U.K. has missed out on the fun, with its growth rate slowing," he said.

—   Share news in the SOC. Networks

Topical videos:

usr: 1
This is interesting!