World: The Political Will to Avert a No-Deal Brexit Is Ebbing Fast - PressFrom - US
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WorldThe Political Will to Avert a No-Deal Brexit Is Ebbing Fast

01:55  19 september  2019
01:55  19 september  2019 Source:   bloomberg.com

Boris Johnson's Brexit nightmare could finish off a third prime minister

Boris Johnson's Brexit nightmare could finish off a third prime minister A little over a month into his time as British prime minister, and Boris Johnson can’t escape a topic that has haunted the last two prime ministers: Brexit. It’s a nightmare scenario for any leader, and with the Oct. 31 deadline quickly approaching, negotiators don’t appear to be anywhere close to a deal. require(["medianetNativeAdOnArticle"], function (medianetNativeAdOnArticle) { medianetNativeAdOnArticle.getMedianetNativeAds(true); }); Johnson’s assent to 10 Downing was based on his bold promise to do something his two predecessors didn't want to accomplish: deliver a clean break from the European Union.

Brexit from afar is looking like a disaster about to happen. One European official, watching the situation up close, compared it to two cars driving at Trust is in short supply and there’s a sinking feeling that the desire to get a deal done to avert the potential economic catastrophe of a no deal is evaporating.

The Political Will to Avert a No - Deal Brexit Is Ebbing Fast . Trump has long castigated California over sanctuary cities and even claimed it could be a winning issue with Latinos, even though polls show widespread opposition to his immigration policies among those voters.

(Bloomberg) -- Brexit from afar is looking like a disaster about to happen. One European official, watching the situation up close, compared it to two cars driving at high speed toward each other with each expecting the other to swerve out of the way first.

The Political Will to Avert a No-Deal Brexit Is Ebbing Fast© 12: U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson visits the NLV Pharos, a lighthouse tender moored on the river... Boris Johnson Marks London International Shipping Week

It’s not the first time that the brinkmanship around the U.K.’s departure from the European Union has been compared to a game of chicken. Trust is in short supply and there’s a sinking feeling that the desire to get a deal done to avert the potential economic catastrophe of a no deal is evaporating.

Merkel says still sees 'every chance' for Brexit deal

Merkel says still sees 'every chance' for Brexit deal German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Wednesday she believed agreement could still be reached with Britain on an orderly exit from the EU, pledging to fight for a deal. "The EU will in a few months experience the exit of an important member, the exit of Britain," Merkel said. "I am firmly convinced that we still have every chance to do it in an orderly way and the German government will work toward making this possible until the very last day." However she added that if the European Union and Britain failed to agree on terms for Brexit that Germany as the bloc's top economy was "prepared" for a disorderly divorce.

The Political Will to Avert a No - Deal Brexit Is Ebbing Fast . But while O’Brien has deep connections to the Republican establishment, he has no known experience managing an organization the size of the National Security Council, which has hundreds of employees, many detailed from other

The EU is an economic and political union involving 28 European countries. However, with the risk of no deal rising, MPs from different parties voted through a law forcing the government to seek a third Brexit extension. A no - deal Brexit could affect individuals in all sorts of different ways.

What ‘No-Deal Brexit’ Means and Why It’s a Big Risk: QuickTake

Conversations with officials on the either side of the negotiating table paint a grim picture of the state of play as an Oct. 31 deadline looms. Across EU capitals, the question asked is if Prime Minister Boris Johnson has a plan up his sleeve and if so -- when can they see it.

Will they have to wait for a crunch summit less than two weeks before the crash-out scenario? At a meeting in Paris, French President Emmanuel Macron and Finnish Prime Minister Antti Rinne, agreed the U.K. must present a written proposal for a deal by Sept. 30.

Gibraltar to hold general election on eve of Brexit

Gibraltar to hold general election on eve of Brexit Gibraltar's chief minister on Monday dissolved parliament and called a general election next month, saying the territory needs "strong leadership" ahead of Britain's scheduled departure from the European Union on October 31. 

A no - deal Brexit would be disastrous. My amendment will help prevent it | Yvette Cooper. Read more. MPs are also beginning preparations to target other bills with similar amendments that would give parliament more levers to avert a no - deal Brexit .

Treasury mandarins plan emergency measures designed to avert recession.

These deadlines are largely meaningless -- more a way of trying to exert pressure on the U.K. that under Johnson seems largely impervious to it. His predecessor, Theresa May, buckled at various points and asked for extensions.

No Delay

But pushing back departure beyond Oct. 31 is a red line for a more combative leader who has framed success around just getting Brexit done. The political cost of backing down and compromising keeps getting higher -- on all sides -- and that makes it hard to see a way out even as talks are ostensibly ongoing.

And while kicking the ball down the road is how many crises are dealt with in Brussels, more than two years of negotiations that keep going around in circles have taken its toll. Brexit fatigue is a thing not just with voters. Europe also wants to move on.

Officials say reaching a successful conclusion is a long shot, and there is evidence of bad blood. Luxembourg’s Xavier Bettel vented at a news conference about his frustration with the “nightmare” Brexit process, a view probably many leaders share behind closed doors. He may have been grandstanding, but he showed how patience is running out.

Ex-PM Cameron says Johnson believed Brexit would be 'crushed'

Ex-PM Cameron says Johnson believed Brexit would be 'crushed' Former prime minister David Cameron, who quit after calling Britain's EU membership referendum in 2016 -- said Boris Johnson had told him he was sure Brexit would be "crushed like a toad". 

He added that a no deal exit would be “catastrophic for our British friends as well as for continental Europe”. Downing Street has played down the idea that a new Brussels offer before Tuesday’s vote would be a game-changer, but Mr Juncker has indicated he will do what he can to try to avert a heavy

LONDON — The British government issued its first contingency plans on Thursday for leaving the European Union without an agreement, seeking to prepare the public for possible disruptions without spreading alarm that could undermine support for the entire undertaking.

Bettel Rips Into U.K and Calls Brexit Situation a ‘Nightmare’

While officials in Berlin, Paris and Dublin have revised their earlier assumptions that Johnson doesn’t want a deal, they don’t believe he knows how to get there. Over in London, a senior U.K. official said there isn’t much sign the EU is prepared to give Johnson what he needs.

“The risk of no deal is very real,” European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker told the European Parliament in Strasbourg, France on Wednesday in comments that sent the pound falling. And while a deal is preferable, he’s “not sure we will get there.”

The sticking point remains the backstop -- a series of measures the EU says is needed to prevent the return of customs infrastructure on the Irish border. In its existing form it would keep the whole of the U.K. in a customs union with the bloc until a future trade deal solved the border problem.

Can Boris Johnson Sell an All-Ireland Backstop to Save Brexit?

The EU is willing to adapt that to apply to Northern Ireland only, leaving the rest of the U.K. to diverge from European rules, but the government has said that isn’t acceptable either.

UK Supreme Court hears government side in vital Brexit case

UK Supreme Court hears government side in vital Brexit case LONDON (AP) — The British government was back at the country's Supreme Court on Wednesday, arguing that Prime Minister Boris Johnson's decision to suspend Parliament just weeks before the country is set to leave the European Union was neither improper nor illegal. 

There are those who argue that " no deal " is a misleading term, because a series of mini-deals has already been done. But that 's wrong. So the only way the UK could really have a clean-break Brexit is if it were prepared to walk away, at least for a while, from any kind of stable relationship with the EU

Britain’s politicians seem immersed in a collective madness, and determined to visit on the UK the hardships of war, says the Guardian columnist Jonathan Freedland.

Despite tough talking in public, Johnson’s envoy to the EU and European Commission negotiators have discussed possible solutions, although the U.K. hasn’t presented anything on paper. This is a deliberate attempt by the British side to prevent ideas becoming public only then to be immediately rejected, according to U.K. officials.

While the EU is frustrated by this, it does understand the strategy and was always expecting British proposals closer to the EU summit scheduled for Oct. 17-18, one official said.

The German government, for its part, hasn’t thrown in the towel. “I’ll say again now, just as I said during Boris Johnson’s visit, that I continue to see the possibility of an orderly exit,” Chancellor Angela Merkel told reporters in Berlin.

The EU is keeping a close eye on U.K. domestic politics, too, which have shaped so much of the trajectory of negotiations. Parliament’s victory in forcing Johnson to seek a Brexit delay -- if he hasn’t got a deal after next month’s summit -- is part of their calculus on when compromise might happen.

How Brexit Could Unleash a U.K. Constitutional Crisis

Ireland, which out of the EU economies has the most to lose if the U.K. leaves without a deal, doesn’t see a reason to compromise until the legal battle in London plays out. It’s still waiting to see if Johnson will indeed defy the law as he’s said he’s prepared to.

Irish Prime Minister Leo Varadkar, like Johnson himself, is on an election footing. Caving in to the U.K. would risk being seen as a sign of weakness. It’s far from clear which, if either, leader will give way.

--With assistance from Thomas Penny, Dara Doyle, Patrick Donahue, Gregory Viscusi, Kati Pohjanpalo and Paul Tugwell.

To contact the reporters on this story: Ian Wishart in Brussels at [email protected];Tim Ross in London at [email protected]

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Ben Sills at [email protected], Flavia Krause-Jackson

For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

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