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World Fear Is Mounting on an Island at the Edge of North Korea

01:30  10 july  2020
01:30  10 july  2020 Source:   bloomberg.com

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Everard said he hoped that the latest statements from North Korea suggest that it may have decided to forgo any strike on the south for now. They are intended to stop North Korean forces from landing troops on the island . On June 25, the war anniversary, South Korean marines trained near an area

Mount PaektuCrater lake at the summit of Mount Paektu, northern Yanggang province, North Korea . The DMZ between North and South Korea has become a de facto nature preserve. Once farmland and subsequently a devastated battleground, the DMZ has lain almost untouched since the

(Bloomberg) -- It’s troublesome when Chinese trawlers show up in the most dangerous waters off the Korean Peninsula. It’s even more alarming when they’re gone.

“It’s a bad omen,” said Choi Ohk-sun, a 65-year-old resident on the South Korean island of Yeonpyeong. The last time that happened was a decade ago, when North Korean artillery rained down on the island, destroying homes a few minutes’ walk from where Choi was picking mulberries late last month.

The Chinese trawlers left the north side of the fertile fishing ground that straddles the two Koreas for a few days after Pyongyang blew up a liaison office built by Seoul and warned of further provocations. Some worried that their exit foreshadowed another military action as tensions ramped between South Korean President Moon Jae-in and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.

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A North Korean plan to fire four missiles near the US Pacific territory of Guam will be ready to present to leader Kim Jong Un in days, state media reports.

Could North Korea actually put a nuclear warhead atop a rocket and fire it at a potential adversary? But analysts say there's no way to determine the extent of North Korea 's missile technology until "My deep fear is that they will launch a live nuclear weapon on one of their missiles," Hanham said.

a group of people standing on top of a hill: 363096031.jpeg © Photographer: SeongJoon Cho 363096031.jpeg

On the sleepy island of Yeonpyeong, the threat of conflict is constant with North Korean coastal howitzers just 11 kilometers (7 miles) away and propaganda banners visible through binoculars. There have been several military clashes in the contested maritime boundary off the west of the peninsula since 1999, making it a possible ignition point for a major conflict that could draw in the U.S. and China — the two biggest allies for the rival Koreas.

South Korean military officials said Chinese ships had just gone missing for half-a-day June 22 before returning. Tensions eased about two days later after Kim suspended unspecified “military action plans” against South Korea. The peninsula marked the 70th anniversary of the outbreak of war on June 25, 1950, without incident.

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The bombardment of Yeonpyeong was an artillery engagement between the North Korean military and South Korean forces stationed on Yeonpyeong Island on 23 November 2010.

Fear and fortitude characterise many of the residents whose homes nudge up against the land that splits the two Koreas. Their lives are invariably shaped by their proximity to North Korea and all the uncertainty that comes with it, the Guardian found on a recent trip through the villages that dot the

The worries did not abate in the village of Yeonpyeong. The island is home to eight bomb shelters that serve as a reminder of the threat it faces to the north.

a close up of a map: Dividing Lines © Bloomberg Dividing Lines

“Missing Chinese ships? It’s taboo. We don’t even talk about it,” Lee Bae-rok, a seafood factory worker, said as he cleaned freshly caught crabs. “It may bring bad luck,” said Lee, who lived in Yeonpyeong for 14 years.

Troubled Waters

Yeonpyeong is located at the center of five islands off in the Yellow Sea — known as the West Sea by Koreans — and is strategically located to help South Korea prevent a naval incursion. The 1953 armistice that ended the Korean War didn’t spell out a sea border, which was later drawn up unilaterally by the U.S. commander and was contested a few decades later by Pyongyang, which wanted the line pushed further south.

a view of a city: Wolf Image © Photographer: SeongJoon Cho Wolf Image

The island of about 2,000 inhabitants — including hundreds of military personnel — suffered the first attack on South Korean soil since the end of the Korean War in November 2010. North Korea shelled targets for more than an hour, killing two civilians and two marines. The flurry damaged almost 300 structures and set wooded areas ablaze.

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In a major show of defiance to the international community, North Korea fired a ballistic missile over the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido Friday.

This year North Korean officials, including dictator Kim Jong-un, have repeatedly indicated an intercontinental ballistic missile test or something similar could A seagull snatches a croissant from a buffet during a press conference at the headquarters of AP Moeller - Maersk in Copenhagen, Denmark.

In crab season in June, South Korean fishermen press as close as they can to the nautical border known as the Northern Limit Line about 1.5 kilometers away. On the other side are typically a few dozen fishing crews from China, which locals say pays North Korea for fishing rights. North Korean naval vessels at times enter the area, adding an element of volatility to already troubled waters.

a person standing in front of a building: SKorea Yeonpyeong Island © Photographer: SeongJoon Cho SKorea Yeonpyeong Island

Defending Korea Line Seen Contrary to Law Remains U.S. Policy

The armistice agreement that ended the war clearly spelled out where troops could go and provided a mechanism to sort out disputes. But there is no such agreement around the NLL maritime border, raising the risk of misunderstanding and unintentional escalation.

Kim Jong Un could be tempted to test South Korea’s maritime defenses as he grows more frustrated with U.S. President Donald Trump’s refusal to relax economic sanctions on his country. While he needs to create enough pressure to force Trump back to the bargaining table, he must be careful to avoid any actions that prompt a direct military confrontation with the more powerful U.S.

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North Korea is a country that has episodically resorted to the use of force in the past and could do so again. In March 2010 it is believed to have sunk a small South Korean warship. South Korea has by far the qualitative edge and it is of course backed up by the extensive strike power of the US military.

The North has warned that it would immediately retaliate by launching nuclear missiles. But predicting how Mr. Kim would actually respond to a limited In 2010, North Korean forces fired about 170 shells at an island in the South, killing two civilians and two soldiers. Analysts later concluded that about 25

Over the years, North Korea has harassed South Korea’s navy through incursions in their contested western seas. In 2002, the provocations turned deadly and in March 2010 North Korea was suspected of torpedoing the South Korean warship Cheonan, killing 46 sailors.

an old barn in a room: Wolf Image © Photographer: SeongJoon Cho Wolf Image

“It has often become a flash point for inter-Korean conflicts because of its position,” said John Everard, a former British ambassador to North Korea. “While Seoul sees maintaining a military presence there as essential for asserting sovereignty over surrounding waters, Pyongyang regards this as provocative.”

Everard said he hoped that the latest statements from North Korea suggest that it may have decided to forgo any strike on the south for now. “If it does launch an attack, it will take care that this is in a way that nobody expects. Surprise is important to the North,” he said.

Shortly after coming into power in late 2011, Kim became the first North Korean leader to visit the islands on his side of the NLL and in 2017 oversaw drills to simulate another strike on Yeonpyeong. The official Korean Central News Agency reported that the exercises would help its troops envelop Yeonpyeong in flames and land North Korean occupying forces on its shores.

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“North Korea has continued to violate the NLL and carry out armed provocations to nullify the NLL,” South Korea’s military wrote in its most recent defense white paper. Locals have learned to live with the threat.

a man jumping in the air: Wolf Image © Bloomberg Wolf Image

“Hell if I care,” Hwang Sam-ju, a 72-year-old farmer who came to Yeonpyeong nearly five decades ago, said when asked about North Korea’s latest provocation. “Our ordinary lives shouldn’t get affected by a few words from that dictator.”

“If they attack us, invade us or whatever, I will also respond,” Hwang said, as she stopped peeling potatoes with a knife. “I’m not afraid.”

‘Homesick’ Observatory

The island is fortified with trenches, coastal artillery batteries, warships and armored vehicles. Parts of the coastline are guarded with thousands of metal spikes pointing out to sea, called “Yongchi,” which translates to dragon’s teeth. They are intended to stop North Korean forces from landing troops on the island.

On June 25, the war anniversary, South Korean marines trained near an area where one of their own was killed in the 2010 attack. They rolled out K-9 Thunder self-propelled artillery that could be used if fighting resumed. Despite the threats, however, islanders say it isn’t easy to leave.

Kim Jong-gyu — an 88-year-old war veteran — said he had no other place to go. His hometown of Yeonbaek can be seen across the water. It used to be in South Korea before the war and now its a part of North Korea.

“Wish I could get there before I die,” Kim Jong-gyu said at the Manghyang observatory — whose name means homesick in Korean — looking at his old hometown. The observatory contains an altar to honor ancestors who weren’t able to return home and it has has a poem on its alter saying “I want to be in my hometown when I get old.”

a person with a bicycle in front of a brick building: 363096075.jpeg © Photographer: SeongJoon Cho/Bloomberg 363096075.jpeg

Kim Jong-gyu has run a repair shop for vehicles since 1958, earning a few hundred dollars a months and has long been fixing broken tires on soldiers’ bicycles for free. Even though daily life is quiet, the years of worries have taken their toll.

“I still get nightmares,” he said. “Even when my wife makes a loud noise when she washes dishes, it freaks me out. I hear it as an explosion.”

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Pompeo hopeful for 'senior' talks soon with North Korea .
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo voiced hope Wednesday of holding high-level talks soon with North Korea and did not rule out a summit, a break with recent pessimistic signs from both countries. © Andrew Harnik Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, seen here speaking at the State Department, has not ruled out a new summit between the United States and North Korea Pompeo, without elaborating, said there was "more discussion than is publicly noticed" with North Korea. "I'm hopeful that we'll be able to have a senior discussion before too long and hopefully advance the ball," Pompeo said at the Economic Club of New York.

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