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World Taiwan is in a 'delicate' situation with China as military drills intensify, experts warn

07:26  05 august  2020
07:26  05 august  2020 Source:   msn.com

China conducts military drills in South China Sea

  China conducts military drills in South China Sea Beijing recently conducted "high-intensity" naval exercises in the South China Sea, China's defence ministry said Thursday, as tensions grow over the Asian power's manoeuvres in the contested waters. Chinese H-6G and H-6J jet bombers carried out "high-intensity training, and completed day-and-night training exercises in taking off and landing, long-range assault, and attacks on sea targets," defence ministry spokesman Ren Guoqiang said at a virtual press conference Thursday.Ren said the exercises were part of routine training and had "achieved the expected results", without giving their specific location.

China has warned against what it describes as a growing threat from "separatists" in Taiwan , and Taiwan has been governed separately from mainland China since the end of the Chinese civil war According to the white paper, Taiwan 's government under President Tsai Ing-wen is " intensifying

Опубликовано: 26 мая 2017 г. Taiwan simulates a China invasion during military drill Taiwan has launched large-scale military exercises. President Tsai Ing-wen wants to overhaul the military , but critics warn that her plans could leave the island vulnerable to an attack from China .

  • In the last few months, China has stepped up its military and navy activity around the island, spurring Taiwanese Premier Su Tseng-chang to say late June that China was "disturbing" the island.
  • Some China watchers fear a military conflict between the two lands.
  • Experts say China will likely intensify its efforts to isolate Taiwan internationally, and some expressed concerns there may be a risk of military conflict. "Everything else having failed, Xi may therefore feel compelled to put a premium on a military strategy in the Taiwan Strait," says Michael Cole from the Global Taiwan Institute.
A vendor holds Taiwanese and Chinese national flags near the Sun Yat-sen Memorial in Taipei, Taiwan. © Provided by CNBC A vendor holds Taiwanese and Chinese national flags near the Sun Yat-sen Memorial in Taipei, Taiwan.

Taiwan appears to be distancing itself from China in recent months, as military activities around the island intensify amid heightened U.S.-China tensions and the coronavirus pandemic.

Azar to visit Taiwan amid tensions with China

  Azar to visit Taiwan amid tensions with China Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Alex Azar plans to visit Taiwan, officials announced Tuesday, as tensions between the U.S. and China continue.The secretary will head to Taiwan as the highest-ranking U.S. Cabinet official to visit since 1979 and the first Cabinet member to go there in six years, according to an HHS statement. The department did not announce a specific date for Azar's visit. HHS framed Azar's trip as part of an effortThe secretary will head to Taiwan as the highest-ranking U.S. Cabinet official to visit since 1979 and the first Cabinet member to go there in six years, according to an HHS statement. The department did not announce a specific date for Azar's visit.

Taiwan ’s Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) in a statement affirmed that “provocations by PLA warships and Commenting on the situation , U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for Political- Military Affairs R Tensions between China and Taiwan are not new. Friction has been increasingly evident since

China - Taiwan Relations. Military honor guards lower the Taiwanese flag, at Liberty Square, in Taipei, Taiwan . China , as part of its continued military expansion, has deployed missiles along the Taiwan Strait and periodically conducts drills near the island.

In late July, Taiwan's legislature approved two proposals. One was to rename carrier China Airlines, and the other was to highlight the word Taiwan on passports, which are currently marked "Republic of China" — Taiwan's official name.

In the last few months, China has stepped up its military and navy activity around the island, spurring Taiwanese Premier Su Tseng-chang to say late June that Beijing was "disturbing" the island.

Experts say China will likely intensify its efforts to isolate Taiwan internationally, and some expressed concerns there may be a risk of military conflict, particularly as the island is caught in the crosshairs of Sino-U.S. friction.

U.S.-China relations have deteriorated significantly in recent months, with both countries ordering the other to shut down their respective consulates in Houston and Chengdu.

In Taiwan, "flights to nowhere" and other tricks to cushion the collapse of air traffic

 In Taiwan, © Sam Yeh Children and their parents play the roles of cabin crew and passengers at the headquarters of China Airlines, in Taoyuan (Taiwan) August 8, 2020 Faced with the collapse in air traffic due to the coronavirus, Taiwanese companies are offering scenic flights, hostess and flight attendant training for children, and even "flights to nowhere".

China , like the United States and South Korea, has an avowed interest in denuclearizing North Korea. However, over the past couple years, the Chinese leadership has appeared less concerned with that objective than with preventing South Korea from becoming more deeply embedded in a U.S. alliance

China , which claims Taiwan is part of its territory even though Taiwan functions as a sovereign country with an independent, democratically elected government, blocks its Taiwanese experts were allowed to participate online in a WHO forum on Covid-19 on 12 February in their professional capacities.

This could lead to "some kind of a military dust-up" that may involve areas where China is caught up in territorial or sovereignty disputes — such as the South China Sea or East China Sea or Taiwan, said Orville Schell, Arthur Ross director of the Center on U.S.-China Relations at Asia Society.

Chinese President Xi Jinping has said that Taiwan is the most important and sensitive issue in U.S.-China ties.

Beijing claims democratic self-ruled Taiwan as part of China's territory and has never renounced the use of force to bring the two together. The Chinese Communist Party has never governed Taiwan.

Current relations between China and Taiwan are among the chilliest in decades after Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen's election in 2016, which led to Beijing cutting off official communication with Taipei.

Tsai from the independence-leaning Democratic progressive party won a second term in January with a record number of votes.

US cabinet member meets Taiwan's leader

  US cabinet member meets Taiwan's leader A US cabinet member met Taiwan's leader Monday during the highest level visit from the United States since it switched diplomatic recognition from the island to China in 1979, a trip that Beijing has condemned. Health Secretary Alex Azar is in Taipei for a three-day visit to promote shared democratic values and the island's success in taming the coronavirus. His trip comes as relations between the United States and China are in tumult, with the two sides clashing over a wide range of trade, military and security issues, as well as the pandemic.

India- China Border Clash: Chinese experts acknowledge that Indian Army is expecting a prolonged standoff in the China -India border region They also boost that the Chinese army battle-ready on all the fronts and has accelerated military drills in the South China Sea, Taiwan and India- China border.

CHINA has conducted a number of military drills near Taiwan to intimidate the nation as part of increasing military shows of strength by Beijing in In a worrying escalation in the conflict between the two countries, Chinese military expert , Song Zhongping, said the drill proved " China 's Su-35 fighter

"Rather than weaken the appeal of Taiwan's democracy and erode its support, China's sustained 'sharp power' activities toward Taiwan have resulted in a stronger embrace of democratic governance and willingness to defend it," wrote J. Michael Cole, a senior non-resident fellow at the Global Taiwan Institute, a Washington D.C.-based think tank.

Carrots or sticks

Taipei's moves to distance itself from Beijing will not sit well with Beijing, analysts say.

"All of these gestures — particularly when they come from Taiwan — these kind of decoupling gestures are considered to be provocations in the mainland," said Schell.

Mainland China and Taiwan share close links in culture and business, but recently, Taiwan's regulatory authorities are reportedly looking to tighten mainland investment scrutiny in Taiwanese companies over concerns that Beijing could get access to sensitive data and technologies.

President Xi Jinping's government has been rolling out incentives in an apparent bid to win over Taiwanese and Taiwan businesses, without having to resort to a harder stance.

Xi or Tsai? Taiwan opposition jumps on US envoy's 'vocal slip'

  Xi or Tsai? Taiwan opposition jumps on US envoy's 'vocal slip' Taiwan's opposition party demanded a clarification Monday after a US envoy who is visiting appeared to mispronounce the name of the island's president for her arch rival in China. Health chief Alex Azar met with President Tsai Ing-wen earlier Monday in the highest level visit to Taiwan since the United States switched diplomatic recognition to China. In his opening statement he fluffed the name of President Tsai -- pronounced "ts-eye" -- andHealth chief Alex Azar met with President Tsai Ing-wen earlier Monday in the highest level visit to Taiwan since the United States switched diplomatic recognition to China.

Taipei, Taiwan (CNN) Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen has sent out a warning to Asia in the face of mounting aggression from Beijing. In an exclusive interview with CNN, Tsai said the military threat posed by China was growing "every day" in line with a more assertive foreign policy under its

BEIJING — China ’s president, Xi Jinping, warned Taiwan that unification must be the ultimate goal of any talks China would respect the Taiwanese people’s religious and legal freedoms in a unified “one country, two The United States and China have brushed close to military conflict over Taiwan : in

"Everything else having failed, Xi may therefore feel compelled to put a premium on a military strategy in the Taiwan Strait," said Cole in the report.

"The two pillars of Beijing's strategy toward Taiwan, coercion and incentivization, have failed to arrest ongoing trends in Taiwan supporting independence and a democratic form of governance," Cole wrote. "Everything else having failed, the Chinese leadership could become more inclined to use force against the object of its desire."

In May, Chinese premier Li Keqiang left out the word "peaceful" when he referred to Beijing's perennial desire to "reunify" Taiwan with the mainland. It broke with a decades-old practice, and was noted by China watchers.

A 'delicate' situation

The situation is "delicate" as Taiwan is an area of "core interest" to China, Schell told CNBC. Beijing will not be willing to accord any compromise or flexibility when it comes to the position of Taiwan, he added.

The role of the U.S. also adds to the situation. Washington does not have formal diplomatic ties with Taipei but is bound by law to provide the island with the means to defend itself.

The U.S. has been stepping up its sailings through the Taiwan Strait in recent months, according to Reuters. A U.S. military aircraft also entered Taiwan air space with permission from the Taiwanese in June, a move that angered China.

Azar meets Taiwan's president in highest-level talks in decades

  Azar meets Taiwan's president in highest-level talks in decades Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar on Monday met with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-Wen in the highest-level meeting between officials of the two nations in decades.According to CNN, Azar said his visit "demonstrates the robust US-Taiwan partnership on global health and health security, one of many aspects of our comprehensive friendship.""We consider Taiwan to be a vital partner, a democratic success story, and a force for good in the world," he added.The Health and Human Services secretary also said the trip was intended to have "three overarching themes," according to the network.

Both China and Taiwan have been beefing up their defense capabilities. The mainland has been developing new amphibious assault ships and aircrafts. Taiwan has also been boosting its defense industry with the test flight of a homegrown jet in June.

Taipei has also been displaying its military might — most recently with its annual war games in July.

"The Chinese recognize that in the near-term, they do not have the capacity to really 'retake' Taiwan, not only militarily, but in particular economically and politically," said Rodger Baker, senior vice president of strategic analysis at Stratfor, a consultancy.

China also can't afford to take such any action "that would guarantee that the rest of the world rallies against China," Baker told CNBC.

What China would most likely continue doing is intensify and accelerate steps to isolate Taiwan internationally by pressuring others, he said. The mainland has already pressured many of Taiwan's diplomatic allies to cut ties with the island. Solomon Islands and Kiribati were among the latest to switch sides in September last year, leaving Taipei with just 15 allies remaining.

Just last month, the Chinese foreign ministry said at a scheduled press conference that Beijing would sanction U.S. weapons-maker Lockheed Martin for selling arms to Taiwan. The company is the main contractor for a $620 million missile upgrade package for the island that was approved by the U.S. government. Lockheed Martin told Reuters at the time that foreign military sales are government-to-government transaction.

"We have seen over the years ... not a scintilla of evidence of flexibility on these kinds of core interest questions, and that's what makes Taiwan so dangerous," said Schell.

China Dispute Intensifies as Prague Mayor Plans Trip to Taiwan .
The mayor of Prague will travel to Taiwan to meet President Tsai Ing-wen, deepening a rift between Beijing and politicians in a country once seen as one of the most China-friendly in Europe. © Photographer: MICHAL CIZEK/AFP Mayor of Prague Zdenek Hrib (L) and the mayor of Taipei Ko Wen-je walk at the Old Town Square in Prague on January 13, 2020. Zdenek Hrib, who ignited outrage in China last year when he canceled a sister-city agreement between Shanghai and the Czech capital, will accompany Senate leader Milos Vystrcil in a 90-strong delegation to Taiwan starting Aug. 29.

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