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World Top World Robusta Grower Sees Harvest Delayed by La Nina Rains

01:30  19 october  2020
01:30  19 october  2020 Source:   bloomberg.com

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that rains delayed the harvest and curbed exports from Vietnam, the world ’s largest grower of the year, and some see this as a sign that production will not meet expectations,” said Keith Flury “A late rainy season delayed this year’s harvest .” Robusta -coffee futures for March delivery rose as

(Bloomberg) -- Farmers in Vietnam’s largest coffee-growing province usually start selective picking of new beans around the middle of October. But this year in Dak Lak, incessant rains from La Nina and tropical storms have put harvesting on hold, according to the Buon Ma Thuot Coffee Association.

“Planters are unable to selectively pick ripe fruit as it’s been raining every day for a week.” Trinh Duc Minh, the head of the association, said by phone Thursday. “We’re unsure when the harvest can start as another depression is heading toward the central part of Vietnam.” Only 10% of the coffee trees in the province have ripe fruit, much lower than previous years, he said.

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The coffee harvest in Vietnam, the biggest grower of the robusta variety, may decline in the 2013-2014 season as a drought in the country’s top producing “Looking at low water levels at reservoirs, I can see the risk that the next crop will decline sharply,” Cao Van Tu, chairman of Dak Lak-based Ea

Global robusta demand seen climbing to record in 2018-19. Country is increasing domestic processing of coffee beans. Global consumption of robusta , mainly used by companies including Nestle SA to make instant coffee, is forecast to climb to a record Harvesting began in Dak Nong in late October.

Selective harvesting in the Central Highlands, the coffee belt, may start in late October or early November if weather permits, said 11 traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. Strip picking won’t peak till end-November at the earliest, said seven, while the others see the peak in early December. “The fruit can’t ripen because of high humidity,” said Nguyen Ngoc Minh, a farmer in neighboring Dak Nong province. “Harvesting may be delayed by a month.”

chart, bar chart: Vietnam's coffee output stabilizes after years of growth © Bloomberg Vietnam's coffee output stabilizes after years of growth

The rainy season, which usually ends in the first week of November, may continue until late next month under the influence of the cool air caused by La Nina, said Dang Van Chien, director of Dak Lak’s weather office. La Nina, which occurs when the surface of the Pacific Ocean cools, prolongs the rainy season in the Central Highlands, Chien said by phone on Friday.

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Species: Shorea robusta Part: Resin Country of Origin: India Method: Steam Distillation Growth Method: Wild Harvest . Choya Ral is a traditional destructive distillation of the resin from Shorea robusta / Sal Tree. This ensures top quality, unadulterated products suitable for therapeutic use.

La Nina , the climate driver that typically brings enhanced rainfall to Australia, has been in the spotlight lately as it edges closer to reaching its threshold But if previous La Nina events are anything to go by, it means little for the south-west of WA. This map illustrates the rain that fell across Australia during

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Showers are likely to persist in areas close to the coast in the provinces of Dak Lak, Gia Lai and Lam Dong after the rainy season ends, he said. “Harvesting and drying of beans may not be easy.” Central Highlands rainfall next month and in December is expected to be 20% to 40% higher than the long-term average, the national forecasting center said. The central part of the country, including the coffee belt, may receive four more storms by the year-end.

“If rains persist as forecast, apart from the quality concerns, a possible shortage in supply for shipments in coming months is also worrying me,” said Le Tien Hung, chief executive officer of the second-largest exporter Simexco Dak Lak. His firm plans to ship 100,000 tons in the season ending September.

Total output in the world’s largest robusta grower is forecast at 1.7 million tons, a 6% decline from the 2019-20 season, according to 13 traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. The crop is expected to be smaller “due to dry weather during the development of coffee cherries,” said Judith Ganes, president of New York-based J. Ganes Consulting.

Farmers and middlemen have probably carried a stock of 200,000 tons over to the new season, 50,000 tons less than a year earlier, while warehouses in the Ho Chi Minh City area had probably 190,000 tons in inventories as of Sept. 30, according to the survey. Vietnam shipped close to 390,000 tons of beans in the last quarter of last year, customs data show.

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©2020 Bloomberg L.P.

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